Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Ridge, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:28PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 1:36 PM EDT (17:36 UTC) Moonrise 8:54AMMoonset 10:31PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 954 Am Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Rest of today..N winds 10 kt...becoming E this afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 10 kt or less...becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 954 Am Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will dominate conditions across the coastal waters for most of the week into the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Ridge, NC
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location: 34.49, -77.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 271405
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
1005 am edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
An upper disturbance will bring a few showers later today,
followed by drier and slightly cooler air through mid week.

Summer warmth and humidity will return late week and into
the weekend with a few thunderstorms in the mix.

Near term through tonight
As of 10 am Tuesday... A very weak surface pressure pattern resides
over the area this morning with a fairly potent vort MAX expected to
move through the area this afternoon into early evening. There is
limited moisture with which to work and surface convergence is
lacking ATTM so we are not expecting much in the way of coverage of
showers and storms. Overall, going forecast was in good shape but
did make a few tweaks to reflect a relative lack of clouds
presently. Temperature forecast with middle to upper 80s today and
lower to middle 60s tonight still looks good as do 20 pops and
partly cloudy skies later this afternoon into tonight.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
As of 3 am Tuesday... Unseasonably dry and cool conditions will
draw few complaints as the muggy feel remains absent from the
sensible weather regime, as continental high pressure born from
the upper us plains sinks SE into the carolina skies. This short
lived visit however will give way to in the inevitable return
of summer as the surface high center slips offshore by Wednesday
night. As a result, Thursday maximums will reach near normal
values for late june, with dewpoints climbing back well into the
60s after the brief dry dip into the 50s Wednesday. The
moisture profiles suggest diurnal cumulus is likely each day,
but very dry air above 8000 feet will be unsupportive of any
mentionable precipitation chances.

Long term Friday through Monday
As of 300 pm Monday... Long term period will be marked by the
return of weather more typical of late june as bermuda high
pressure ridges back into the area. High temperatures will
reach the upper 80s to lower 90s for the remainder of the
period. Lows will increase into the lower 70s for remainder of
the period. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms,
mainly in the afternoon and evening, during the rest of the
period.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
As of 010...VFR this TAF cycle as clouds remain at 5 kft or
higher. A disturbance aloft will bring isolated -shra between
19z and 00z later today, but tstms will be few to none as
moisture is limited. Overnight skc-sct100 with n-ne winds 5 kt
or less. With falling dewpoints, mist and fog not expected to
cause vsby restrictions.

Extended outlook... Flight restrictions possible in thunderstorms
Saturday afternoon.

Marine
Near term through tonight ...

as of 10 am Tuesday... Expect light N winds to become E to SE this
afternoon, then south tonight before becoming northerly again as a
surface trough moves off the coast. Speeds look to remain 10 kt or
less through tonight though 15 kt is possible closer to the coast
this afternoon due to the sea breeze. Seas of 2 feet or less are
expected.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night ...

as of 3 am Tuesday... Veering 10-15 kt winds start NE then e
then SE late Wednesday as the center of high pressure over land
slips offshore. With dry air aloft showers or tstms are not
expected. By daybreak Thursday the high center will migrate to
a position between the outer banks and bermuda. This will
prompt an e-se flow Thursday and Thursday night, with seas 2-3
feet and winds 15 kt or less. A few outer water showers are
possible late Thursday but not of hazardous consequence. Seas se
in direction with mixed periods of 9 and 6 seconds.

Long term Friday through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm Monday... S to SW winds by Friday and prevailing
through Saturday, speeds could top out around 15 kt Saturday.

Seas around 2 feet are expected most of the period with a few 3
footers possible Saturday as winds increase slightly.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... 8
near term... 31
short term... Mjc
long term... Ran
aviation... 8


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 21 mi48 min SE 6 G 7 82°F 81°F1016.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi37 min 80°F1 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi88 min S 1.9 G 3.9 80°F 80°F1016.8 hPa
WLON7 26 mi48 min 89°F 82°F1016.7 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 26 mi111 min WNW 1.9 84°F 1018 hPa64°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 37 mi88 min N 3.9 G 7.8 80°F 81°F1016.7 hPa
41159 40 mi53 min 82°F2 ft
41064 40 mi88 min NE 1.9 G 3.9 80°F 81°F1017.3 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC17 mi1.7 hrsVar 410.00 miFair83°F64°F55%1016.8 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair86°F57°F37%1016.8 hPa
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC23 mi1.7 hrsVar 310.00 miFair83°F61°F48%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE63Calm3S4S4S4S3S3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W4W3W3W5W3NW54
1 day agoW7W74NW5NW6NW9N5CalmS3CalmSW6SW8NW4SW3CalmCalmN5N3N8N6N7N9NE10
G15
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2 days agoSW14
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SW6S4SW7Calm--SW6SW7W3SW3W7W3W4W7W6W5--

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:46 AM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:49 AM EDT     4.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:42 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:13 PM EDT     5.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.83.41.80.4-0.4-0.6-0.10.92.23.34.14.33.92.91.70.5-0.3-0.40.11.12.53.94.95.4

Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:06 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:43 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:30 PM EDT     3.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.72.9210.2-0.3-0.400.91.92.732.92.41.70.90.2-0.2-0.20.21.12.23.23.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.