Sunday, August20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Emerald Isle, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:50PM Sunday August 20, 2017 3:50 AM EDT (07:50 UTC) Moonrise 4:10AMMoonset 6:11PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 948 Pm Edt Sat Aug 19 2017
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms, then showers and tstms likely.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers and tstms likely, then a chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Emerald Isle, NC
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location: 34.51, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200743
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
343 am edt Sun aug 20 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will move across the area from the north today
and then stall and dissipate offshore tonight. High pressure
will extend over the area from offshore Monday through
Wednesday, then a stronger cold front will move through
Thursday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 300 am Sunday... Latest guidance is indicating weak surface
cold front wind shift line currently just north of area will
move south across area this morning, followed by weak high
pressure from the n-nw. No significant cooling or drying
expected with boundary passage except for temps a few degrees
cooler northern outer banks with NE to E wind. Deeper moisture
axis has shifted off coast with short wave trough moving into
area, and guidance in general agreement only isolated
shower TSTM threat along coast this morning and then over
southern sections this afternoon with weak convergence from sea
breeze combined with veering winds due to boundary passage.

Patchy fog and low clouds expected early this morning, mainly
for inland and southern coastal sections.

Max temps mainly upper 80s to lower 90s with mid 80s for
northern outer banks.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday
As of 300 am Sunday... Weak high pressure will extend over area
from n-ne with surface boundary dissipating offshore. Convective
activity expected to remain offshore during evening, but some
isolated threat along coast overnight with light onshore flow.

Patchy fog and low clouds possible for mainly inland sections
late tonight with mostly clear skies and light winds. Went with
mos blend for min temps, ranging from near 70 coastal plains to
mid 70s coast.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 3 pm Saturday... No significant changes to the forecast
with a quiet start to the week followed by a frontal passage
with widespread showers and thunderstorms mid week and cooler
and drier air for the end of the week into next weekend.

Sunday night through Tuesday... A front will wash out across the.

Area. The end result will be a slightly more comfortable but still
seasonably hot and humid air mass. There will be slightly higher
moisture near and south of the front itself, and that is where we
will confine precip chances. Highs through the period will be around
90 inland to mid 80s at the beaches.

Wednesday into Thursday... Best shot for precipitation over the
extended period will come late Wednesday into Thursday as a new,
stronger front moves into the area. With consistency in for this
period. Models for this feature, elevated pops to 60% Wednesday
night into Thursday.

Friday into Saturday... .Good news with the frontal passage will be
some significant relief from the heat and humidity. Expect mostly
dry conditions with highs in the lower 80s both Friday and Saturday
and lows falling into the mid 60s inland.

Aviation 07z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Monday ...

as of 145 am Sunday... Mix ofVFR and sub-vfr with patchy
fog stratus will continue until around 08z, then widespread ifr
to lifr mainly in fog expected at TAF sites until 12z-13z. Main
threat of lifr for kewn and koaj as both sites saw decent
rainfall Sat afternoon. Conditions improving toVFR by 14z and
persisting rest of TAF period. Isolated shower TSTM threat for
southern sections but not enough coverage expected to mention in
tafs. Winds will become NE this morning behind weak frontal
passage and then gradually veer to E and SE this
afternoon evening but speeds remaining below 10 kt.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday ...

as of 3 pm Saturday...VFR through Tuesday. SubVFR conditions
possible late Wednesday into Thursday in scattered showers and
storms.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 300 am Sunday... Current sw-w winds 5-10 kt will shift to
n-ne this morning as weak front moves south across area. Weak
high pressure will build in from N and extend over area through
tonight with winds gradually veering to E and SE 10 kt or less.

Seas mainly 2-3 feet today will become 1-2 feet tonight.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 3 pm Saturday... Quiet boating conditions continue through
Tuesday. During this period winds will be 10 kts or less with
wave heights 2 to 3 feet. With a boundary near the coastal
waters wind directions will vary quite a bit during this time
depending on location on the water (north to south). Tuesday
night winds begin to increase out of the south as a front
approaches and by Wednesday marine conditions become less
favorable. Ahead of the front southwest winds increase 10 to 20
kt, with seas building to 3 to 5 feet as a gradient tightens
ahead of the front. Timing of the frontal passage will begin
Wednesday night and by Thursday it should be through all the
waters. Seas will be 2 to 4 feet Thursday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Rsb
aviation... Jbm eh
marine... Jbm eh cqd hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41159 21 mi37 min 83°F3 ft
41064 21 mi42 min WSW 12 G 18 81°F 83°F1015.7 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 23 mi50 min WSW 1 G 1.9 80°F 82°F1015.1 hPa (-0.3)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 26 mi50 min WSW 2.9 G 2.9 81°F 1015.5 hPa (+0.0)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi42 min SW 14 G 19 83°F 83°F1015.4 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi50 min SW 5.1 G 6 81°F 83°F1014.6 hPa (+0.0)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 46 mi81 min 83°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi42 min SW 12 G 16 83°F 83°F1015.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NE3
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC13 mi53 minN 09.00 miFair70°F0°F%1016 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC24 mi1.9 hrsN 010.00 miA Few Clouds77°F77°F100%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9SW10SW10W5W7W105SW8SW9SW10--N9N3NW3CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW7SW6SW7SW5SW9SW8SW9SW9SW9SW12SW13
G23
SW9S13S12SW13SW12
G19
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SW9SW8SW9
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2 days agoNE3CalmCalmCalmSE5SE5SE7SE6S7SE8S9S10S11S7S8
G16
S7S6S6S7S6S6S6S7S7

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:57 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:53 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:22 PM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-00.10.61.21.82.22.32.11.60.90.3-0.2-0.3-0.10.51.32.12.7332.61.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:26 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:55 AM EDT     1.31 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:22 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:29 PM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.40.1-000.20.611.21.31.210.60.3-0-0.2-0.10.10.511.51.71.71.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.