Monday, September1, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

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6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 7:36PM Monday September 1, 2014 7:23 PM EDT (23:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:09PMMoonset 10:52PM Illumination 50% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 647 Pm Edt Mon Sep 1 2014
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds...decreasing to 4 seconds late. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms late this evening and overnight.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds...increasing to 9 seconds in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms...mainly after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop... Increasing to a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ100 647 Pm Edt Mon Sep 1 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. Bermuda high pressure will extend over the area through Tuesday. A weak cold front will approach the area from the north Wednesday...then stall and dissipate Thursday. High pressure ridges into the region from offshore Friday and Saturday...then another cold front will drop into the area Sunday into Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 012300
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
700 pm edt Mon sep 1 2014

Synopsis
Bermuda high pressure will extend over the area through Tuesday. A
weak cold front will approach the area from the north
Wednesday... Then stall and dissipate Thursday. High pressure
ridges into the region from offshore Friday and Saturday... Then
another cold front will drop into the area Sunday into Monday.

Near term /tonight/
As of 7 pm mon... No sig changes needed to ongoing forecast for
early evening update. Radar continues to show little to no
activity over the cwa... Though will continue to keep mention of
iso pops overnight with best chances along the coast after
midnight. Overnight... An approaching weak short wave will be
moving across the area and may result in isolated
shower/thunderstorm chances mainly east of hwy 17. Otherwise... Will
continue with warm and muggy conditions as high pressure remains
over the area... Bring light moist SW flow. Overnight lows in the
lower to upper 70s.

Short term /Tuesday/
As of 320 pm Monday... Hot and humid conditions will continue as
bermuda high dominates the area with a southerly flow while the
upper level ridge flattens. Isolated showers/thunderstorms will
mainly develop along the seabreeze and thermal trough durng the
afternoon/evening. Highs will in the low 90s inland and mid/upper
80s along the coast.

Long term /Tuesday night through Monday/
As of 245 pm mon... Models are in good agreement with the overall
pattern and features into Saturday. The upper ridge flattens tues
into Wed as a stronger shortwave moves across the ohio river valley
and through new england. No significant changes to previous forecast
for Wed into Thu with pops around 30 percent as a backdoor cold
front drops into and stalls across the area. Upper level dynamics
remain rather weak with the core of the upper jet remaining well
north of the region but plenty of moisture will be in place with
moderate to strong instability to allow for sct showers and
thunderstorms... Especially INVOF the front where better sfc
convergence will reside. Shear and mid level lapse rates remain
rather weak so severe chances will remain low but could see locally
heavy precip with weak steering flow and high pwats.

The frontal boundary dissipates late thurs into Fri with high pres
strengthening offshore and upper ridging building aloft and expect
mainly isolated diurnally driven convection Fri into sat.

The GFS and ECMWF show some differences Sunday into Monday. The gfs
has a more amplified upper trof across the east and drives a back
door cold front through the area on Sunday with strong northerly
flow on Monday. The ECMWF is not as strong with the upper trof and
hangs the front up just barely making it into our area. For the
forecast hedged towards wpc guidance which slowly brings the front
into the area and just through on Monday. With the slow moving front
and a series of shrtwvs providing a focus for precipitation Sunday
into Monday could see some locally heavy rainfall amounts across the
area.

Low level thicknesses support highs in the low 90s through much of
the extended. Warmest day looks to be Wed when low level thicknesses
are greatest. Slight cooling thurs with greater cloud
cover... Especially northern area where ne/ely flow expected north of
the backdoor cold front... However winds expected to be rather light.

Will see more of a cool down Sunday into Monday with highs in the
mid to upper 80s.

Aviation /00z Tuesday through Saturday/
Short term /through Tuesday/...

as of 7 pm mon...VFR conditions currently across the area with
light swly flow. Main challenge again overnight will be the
potential for patchy fog and stratus. Will continue to trend with
persistence given the same airmass... With oaj having the best
chance for sub-vfr overnight. Any fog/stratus that develops should
burn off quickly after sunrise with predVFR conditions returning.

Isolated convection possible again Tue afternoon/evening.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/...

as of 245 pm mon... GenerallyVFR conditions expected through the
long term although patchy light fog possible during the early
morning hours. Isol-sct convection possible each day with best
chances Wed through thurs as a backdoor front drops into the region.

Marine
Short term /through Tuesday/...

as of 7 pm mon... Bermuda high over the western atlantic will
continue to dominate the coastal waters tonight into Tuesday. Sw
winds 10 to 15 knots will continue overnight... With latest obs
showing SW winds around 15 kt with gusts to 20kt north of
ocracoke. Seas will be building 2 to 4 feet... Mainly over the
northern/central waters. SW winds will increase Tue afternoon to
15 to 20 knots with seas of 2 to 4 feet.

Long term /Tuesday through Friday/...

as of 245 pm mon... The bermuda high offshore will bring s/sw winds
across the waters into wed. Winds generally around 5-15 kt tue
night and early morning wed. A backdoor front drops into the region
wed through thurs bringing light winds... Generally 10 kt across the
southern waters and less across the north. Winds north of the front
expected to be E to NE while remaining s/sw to the south. The front
is forecast to dissipate by Fri with sly flow around 5-10 returning
to all waters... Increasing to 10 to 15 kt by late Saturday ahead of
an approaching front. Models in good agreement keeping seas around
3-4 ft... Locally to 5 ft near diamond shoals... Into early Wed but
then subside to around 2 ft thurs and Fri with light winds across
the waters... Increasing to 2 to 3 feet Saturday.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Bm/cqd
short term... Bm
long term... Rsb
aviation... Cqd/rsb
marine... Bm/cqd/rsb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi63 min SSW 14 G 16 83°F 83°F1018.2 hPa75°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi35 min SSW 17 G 18 83°F 85°F1017.3 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi43 min 83°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi83 min S 16 G 19 80°F 83°F
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi98 min S 8 85°F 1018 hPa78°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi35 min SSW 7 G 11 82°F 83°F1017.3 hPa
WLON7 39 mi35 min 85°F 84°F1017.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi83 min SSW 11 G 14 83°F 1017.7 hPa (-1.0)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi27 minS 910.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3SW3S4S3CalmS4CalmCalmW3S3CalmCalmW7SW6W5W4W5SE6S12S10S8S7
G16
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1 day agoSE5S6CalmSE4CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4E8E7S9S10SE10S11S10S8
2 days agoSE6E5E6E6E5NE3E3N4E3NE3NE4N3N3NE4E4E53SE5E8S8S9S8S7S5

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Mon -- 12:12 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:21 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:53 PM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:15 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.82.72.31.81.20.60.30.40.71.322.73.23.33.12.721.40.80.60.711.52

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
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Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:40 PM EDT     4.73 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:57 PM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
43.73.22.31.50.80.50.71.32.23.24.14.64.74.33.62.71.81.10.91.11.72.43.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.