Friday, July25, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

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What's New / NOTES
6/17/2014 - I reported slow load times to NOAA and they quickly resolved the problem. Sorry for any inconvience. NOAA had some stuck processes on two servers. This was a problem on 5 to 10% of the requests.
6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 8:18PM Friday July 25, 2014 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC) Moonrise 4:11AMMoonset 6:14PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 255 Pm Edt Fri Jul 25 2014
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt...becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat... Increasing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Mon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming n. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...diminishing to flat.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop... Increasing to a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ100 255 Pm Edt Fri Jul 25 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. Cold front will settle just south of the area today and weaken Saturday. Hot ridge of high pressure will build through Monday. A strong cold front will move through the region Monday night. Dry and pleasant high pressure will build in by mid week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251838
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
238 pm edt Fri jul 25 2014

Synopsis
A stationary front will linger to the south of the area tonight.

High pressure will build to the south Saturday and Sunday. A
strong cold front will move through Monday night. High pressure
behind the front will pass to the north Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 235 pm fri... Forecast area remains rain-free this afternoon.

All convection is passing far to the south. With the stationary
front remaining to the south overnight I have removed mention of
precip. Lows close to 12z MOS guidance.

Short term /Saturday/
As of 235 pm fri... Stationary front to the south will dissipate
Saturday as a surface ridge builds to the south. Time sections and
forecast soundings show depth of moisture decreasing during the
day so have kept out any mention of rain. Southwest flow will push
high temps into the lower 90s along the coastal plain with mid-
upper 80s all other locations.

Long term /Saturday night through Friday/
As of 235 pm fri... Mainly dry weather expected Sat night into mon
morn as flow aloft briefly becomes zonal with limited forcing for
precip. Main story Sun will be heat as mdls all show low lvl
thickness ridge just to the w... Highs well into the 90s combined
with dewpts mainly 70 to 75 will lead to apparent temps 100 to 105
sun aftn. Given strong instab cont isold pop Sun aftn inland as
sea brz could fire a few cells as it moves inland. Strong cold
front for mid summer will approach from the W Sun night and
mon... Good SW flow ahead of the front will lead to muggy lows in
the 75 to 80 dgr range Sun night. Good heating early Mon will
again lead to temps well into the 90s with apparent temps again
approaching or briefly reaching 105 inland. The heat will lead to
strong instab with capes progged AOA 4000 Mon aftn. This instab
combined with stronger shear aloft and forcing ahead of upr trf
and front will lead to sct/numerous shra/tsra with some storms
likely becoming svr with big hail and damaging winds... Mainly mon
aftn and evening. Capped pops at good chc for now Mon aftn and
evening as still some uncertainty on cvrg of storms.

Front will drift slowly offshore Tue and kept small pop near
cst... Will be much cooler with highs in the 80 to 85 dgr range.

Cooler and mainly dry weather expected Tue night thru Thu as the
front drifts further off the cst and weak high pres builds in from
the nw. Dewpts will drop and high temps will cont to hold in the
80s... Lows inland will drop into the lower 60s. By Fri front may
begin to drift back to cst so went with lower chc pops closer to
cst... Highs will cont to hold in the 80s.

Aviation /19z Friday through Wednesday/
Short term /through sat/
as of 235 pm fri... Scattered CU field this afternoon will likely
dissipate with sunset. Expect low clouds and patchy fog to develop
late in the moist boundary layer and near calm winds. Low clouds
and fog will burn off quickly Saturday. Time sections and forecast
soundnigs show moisture decreasing quickly during the day with
light south winds developing.

Long term /Saturday night through wed/...

as of 235 pm fri... MainlyVFR Sat night thru Mon morn as SW flow
grad increases ahead of approaching front with little precip
expected. Sct to poss numerous shra/tsra will develop Mon aftn and
cont into the evening along and ahead of strong mid-summer cold
front. Strong instab Mon will lead to a few of the storms poss
becoming svr with large hail and damaging winds... Brief subVFR
likely as the shra and storms cross. Expect precip to be E of taf
sites later Mon night as front slowly crosses... Could see some
reduced CIGS behind front into early Tue as low lvl inversion
dvlps. Drier air and mainlyVFR expected later Tue thru Wed as
front drifts further offshore and high pres builds in from the nw.

Marine
Short term /through sat/
as of 235 pm fri... Stationary front to the south tonight will
dissipate Saturday and high pressure builds to the south. Light
northeast to east winds will veer to south by Saturday afternoon
as the high takes over. Seas will average 2-3 feet.

Long term /Saturday night through wed/
as of 235 pm fri... Sw flow wl grad ramp up Sat night Thu Sun with
speeds reaching 15 to 20 kts Sun aftn. Seas of 2 to 3 ft sat
evening will grad build... Reaching 4 to 5 ft outer wtrs late sun.

Sw winds will cont to increase and peak Mon ahead of strong late
july cold front. SW winds 20 to 25 kts Mon will lead to seas of 5
to 7 ft... Highest outer cntrl and SRN wtrs. The front will drift
slowly off the cst Mon night and Tue with light mainly n/ne wind
developing. Seas will subside to 3 to 5 ft late Mon night and 2 to
4 ft tue. NE winds will increase to near 15 kts Wed as high pres
builds in from the NW with seas cont 2 to 4 ft.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Hsa/rf
marine... Hsa/rf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi45 min E 12 G 14 78°F 81°F4 ft1016.7 hPa (-1.1)72°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi35 min E 11 G 13 78°F 83°F1015.6 hPa (-1.4)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi55 min 82°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi35 min ESE 9.7 G 12 75°F 82°F
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi50 min ENE 4.1 78°F 1016 hPa74°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi35 min SE 11 G 14 79°F 81°F1016.1 hPa (-0.7)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi95 min E 12 G 12 76°F 81°F1016.4 hPa (-1.1)
WLON7 39 mi35 min 79°F 82°F1015.9 hPa (-1.4)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi35 min E 11 G 12 78°F 1016.5 hPa (-0.8)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi39 minSSE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F71°F72%1016.3 hPa
BOGUE FIELD MCAL, NC19 mi38 minSE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F69°F67%1017 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7E5SE7S5S76
G26
S7NE14E9S4N3NW6NW5N5N10N6N7N7NE7E5CalmE4E5S7
1 day agoS10S9S7SW6SW4S4S4CalmSW4SW5SW6W8SW8SW7SW7SW9W10SW9SW9
G14
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SW8W10N13W6
2 days agoSE11SE4S5S4S6S5CalmSW4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW5W54W5CalmW35S9S9S11

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Fri -- 01:34 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:19 AM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:14 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:46 PM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.30.20.61.21.82.32.52.52.11.50.80.30.10.20.61.32.22.93.43.53.22.61.8

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:16 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EDT     3.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:56 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:33 PM EDT     4.96 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.40.511.92.83.43.63.42.81.910.30.10.41.12.23.44.44.94.94.43.42.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.