Monday, October20, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/17/2014 - I reported slow load times to NOAA and they quickly resolved the problem. Sorry for any inconvience. NOAA had some stuck processes on two servers. This was a problem on 5 to 10% of the requests.
6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 6:29PM Monday October 20, 2014 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:14AMMoonset 3:43PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Edt Mon Oct 20 2014
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt late this evening and early morning...then becoming nw 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...increasing to a moderate chop late this evening and early morning...then diminishing to light chop late. A slight chance of showers.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
AMZ100 319 Pm Edt Mon Oct 20 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. High pressure off the coast will move away from the area as a cold front approaches from the west. This front is expected to move across eastern north carolina Tuesday night. Another system will approach the area near the end of the week and is expected to affect the area through much of the weekend with high pressure building back over the area by Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 202015
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
415 pm edt Mon oct 20 2014

Synopsis
High pressure off the coast will move away from the area as a cold
front approaches from the west. This front is expected to move
across eastern north carolina Tuesday night. Another system will
approach the area mid to late week with high pressure building
back over the area by the weekend.

Near term /tonight/
As of 120 pm mon... Models in good agreement in dropping mid level
low pressure from north of the great lakes region today to around
the pa/wv border late Tuesday. Surface high pressure along the coast
this afternoon is expected to be offshore at the start of the
tonight period and will continue to drift eastward. Models differ on
weak coastal trough that is expected to develop tonight... But they
do agree that coastal sections will have some areas of rain tonight.

Increasing moisture/cloud cover will allow low temperatures to reach
into the lower to middle 50s.

Short term /Tuesday/
As of 130 pm mon... First piece of mid level energy will cross the
area Tuesday morning. Surface reflection will hold off moving
through the area til the main mid level energy swings through the
base of trough after this time period. Time height cross sections
showing moisture confined to below 7h... And model are keeping the
area dry on Tuesday... For the most part. However will keep some low
pops in as can rule out chance of anything forming.

Long term /Tuesday night through Monday/
As of 4 pm mon... No major changes to the long term fcst thinking.

Strong shortwave across great lakes region will dive southeast and
separate from the northern stream closing off a low pres system
across the mid atlantic region. Both deterministic 20/12z gfs/ecm
in agreement on this synoptic scenario with minor differences on
sfc low placement offshore of the mid atlantic. Ecm advertises a
slightly stronger low deepening closer to the coast... While GFS is
a bit further offshore. In either case... Cooler pattern will move
in for the mid to late week time period. Have retained low chance
pops across the far northeast where cyclonic curvature around
parent low brings a bit deeper moisture/lift to this area and may
be some showers around late Tue night into early Wed evening. High
temps Wed and thur will be below climo with MAX t's generally in
the mid 60s. Lows will generally be in the mid 40s... With low/mid
50s on the beaches.

Broad NW flow expected for the weekend with very pleasant dry and
seasonably mild conditions with near climo temps and sunny skies
expected. Building upr ridge expected for the beginning of next
week and temps may climb above climo.

Aviation /20z Monday through Saturday/
Short term /through 18z tue/...

as of 130pm Monday... Pleasant flying conditions over the taf
period. High pressure will shift offshore today and a weak coastal
low will develop. Feel showers will be confined to the coast... So
have vcsh overnight at ewn/oaj. Otherwise... Expect some clouds
moving into the region this afternoon through the overnight under
southerly flow. Should stay aboveVFR criteria. Fog overnight
seems limited given cloud cover and light flow along weak sfc front.

Long term /tue night through Sunday/...

as of 4 pm mon... Pleasant flying conditions expected for the long
term withVFR conditions through the weekend. There will be some
gusty NW winds on Wed behind a frontal passage... Otherwise winds
will be fairly light N to NW for the extended period.

Marine
Short term /through Tuesday/...

as of 155 pm mon... Southerly flow on the back side of a surface
ridge that has moved east of the north carolina coastal waters will
start the forecast period tonight. Weak coastal trough will mess
with the winds tonight with predominantly southerly flow becoming
northwesterly in areas after midnight. Confidence is low in this
wind shift as not all models picking up on it. However all models do
indicate precipitation in the marine areas. With weak gradient
speeds will be light tonight with seas generally 2 to 3 feet.

As trough dissipates or moves away from the waters Tuesday... Wind
will become southwesterly ahead of approaching system from the west.

Again... Gradient will be loose for wind around 10 knots and seas 2
to 4 feet. Southwest flow will pick up a bit through the afternoon
as the gradient tightens with the system getting closer... But will
be 10 to 15 knots by sunset.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/...

as of 4 pm mon... Cold front moves through Tue night with winds
becoming westerly. Low pres develops and deepens across the mid
atlantic coast Wed into Wed night. This will bring strong NW 20-30
kt winds to the waters... Especially northern areas late Wed into
early thur. Winds look to peak Wed night. Have bumped up seas into
the 5 to 8 ft range... As wave watch 4 seems underdone as is
typically the case with near gale force winds north of the area
producing long northerly fetch over the northern/central waters.

Did not fcst quite as high as the nwps output at this
time... Though used a heavily weighted blend towards nwsp vs ww4.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Cgg
near term... Cgg
short term... Cgg
long term... Tl
aviation... Tl/lep
marine... Cgg/tl


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi57 min SSE 9.7 G 12 71°F 77°F2 ft1016 hPa (-2.0)57°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi29 min S 7 G 9.9 71°F 76°F1015.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi37 min 74°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi47 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 68°F 74°F
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi62 min SSE 2.9 71°F 1016 hPa59°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi29 min S 6 G 8 69°F 70°F1015.7 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi47 min SSE 12 G 14 69°F 76°F1015.8 hPa (-1.8)
WLON7 39 mi29 min 70°F 73°F1016.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi47 min SSE 9.9 G 11 70°F 1016.4 hPa (-1.7)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last
24hr
N5
N5
G8
N7
N7
G10
N5
N7
N7
N6
N7
N6
N8
NW5
G10
NW6
NW6
NW5
NW4
S3
G6
S3
G6
SE5
SE7
SE9
S9
S8
S9
1 day
ago
SW7
SW4
N11
G15
N12
G16
N10
N11
G14
N6
N7
NW8
NW10
G13
NW9
G13
NW7
G10
NW7
G11
NW9
G13
NW13
G18
N14
G18
N15
G19
NW14
G17
NW9
G13
N11
G14
N10
G13
NW5
G11
NW6
G9
N8
2 days
ago
SW12
SW12
SW8
SW7
SW5
SW7
SW7
G10
SW9
G12
SW9
SW9
G13
SW10
G14
SW13
G16
W7
G12
W8
G12
W10
G14
W10
G14
W7
G11
NW2
G5
S9
S13
S12
W8
G12
W8
G13
SW6

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi51 minSSE 810.00 miFair68°F55°F65%1016.2 hPa
BOGUE FIELD MCAL, NC19 mi50 minS 510.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F55°F63%1017 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last 24hrN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5CalmE4S6S9
G18
S9S9SE9S8
1 day agoW4N13N9N10N9N8N7NW7NW9NW10NW9NW8NW8NW9NW11N12N13N14NW10NW12
G19
NW12NW6NW8
G15
NW8
2 days agoS4SW4SW5SW5SW5SW5SW4SW5SW6SW9SW8SW5W6W7W8W76NW4NW3W4W8W7W8W4

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:52 AM EDT     3.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:09 PM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.81.322.63.13.232.51.81.10.70.50.61.11.82.42.93.132.61.91.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     4.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.79 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:56 PM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.42.23.244.44.54.13.32.31.50.90.81.11.92.83.74.34.54.23.52.51.60.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.