Monday, May4, 2015 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:58PM Monday May 4, 2015 5:07 PM EDT (21:07 UTC) Moonrise 7:35PMMoonset 5:44AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 326 Pm Edt Mon May 4 2015
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds...decreasing to 4 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft...except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop... Increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Wed night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft... Subsiding to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sat..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 041111
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
711 am edt Mon may 4 2015

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
Tuesday. Low pressure will form near the bahamas Wednesday and
linger off the southeast coast through the weekend.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
As of 700 am Monday... Updated to add some cloudiness over coastal
plains next few hours and adjusted hourly temps for latest obs.

Rest of fcst on track.

/previous discussion/
as of 330 am Monday... Weak shrt WV will move in from W today but
only effect will be slight enhancement of cu/scu over inland
sections this aftn as atmos too dry to support any deep
convection. Sea breeze expected to keep coastal sections mostly
sunny. With temps starting out a few degs warmer this morning than
24 hours ago... Can expect MAX temps a couple of degs warmer this
aftn given similar low lvl thicknesses... Thus previuos fcst on
track and in line with MOS blend of lower 80s inland to mid-upr
70s coast.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday/
As of 330 am Monday... High and dry conditions will persist
tonight. Pres grad will be tightened a bit between offshore high
and weak lee troffing... Resulting in limited decoupling and warmer
min temps... Low-mid 50s inland to around 60 coast.

Long term /Tuesday through Sunday/
As of 4 am mon... Long term period will feature warm and dry
conditions to start... Then potential for developing low pressure
over the SW atlantic to affect the area after mid week.

Tuesday and Wednesday... High pres remains static over the western
atlantic and continues ridging into the SE CONUS with highs again
generally in the low/mid 80s inland to 70s beaches. Low dewpoint
temps will continue and will allow for large diurnal temperature
variation. Lows will drop into the low/mid 50s inland to near 60
beaches. Relative humidities each afternoon will drop into the
30-35 percentile range though winds should be light enough to
prohibit fire weather concerns.

Thursday and Friday... Med and long range model suite in good
agreement on low pres development near the bahamas... With a
general drift towards the north through the end of the work week.

The prevailing westerlies will remain well to the north across the
upper great lakes and canada through the week... And this will
prevent much movement of the low pres area through the weekend.

04/00z NCEP spaghetti's all developing low pres though begin to
diverge with placement of the low by Thursday... With operational
gfs bringing the low center ashore in sc... Though many of ensemble
solns keep the low offshore of the carolinas. Cmc brings the low
ashore in SE nc... With the ECMWF keeping the system offshore
through the period. Have maintained a cmc/gfs/ecm blend for winds
which would prevail from the east and south through the period
generally 10-20 kts along the coast due to gradient between
western atlantic high pres and approaching low. Have inc pops a
bit along the coast with 40-50 pops thur night and Friday. A
faster nam/cmc soln would bring precip into the area a bit
earlier... As early as thur morning. At least indirect coastal
impacts could be expected by the end of the week (high
surf/coastal flooding/surf zone hazards). A track of the low
coming onshore or near the coast would exacerbate these impacts.

Saturday and Sunday... Maintained low chance pops due to the low
pres area possibly still in the vcnty. With increased humidity
vals and still high low level thicknesses... It will begin to feel
summery with highs in the 80s and lows well into the 60s.

Aviation /12z Monday through Friday/
Short term /through 12z Tuesday/... As of 700 am Monday...VFR
expected to prevail through the TAF period with high pres
extending over area from offshore. Wsw wind to around 10 kt this
morning will become more ssw this aftn. Some sct high based cu/scu
likely inland with heating today and may persist over NW sections
this evening. Gdnc supports minimal fog threat again tonight.

Long term /Tuesday through fri/
as of 4 am mon...VFR conditions as dry high pres will be in
control Tue and wed. Approaching low pres from the south may
produce lowered CIGS and rain showers thur and fri.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/
as of 700 am Monday... No changes with update.

/previous discussion/
as of 330 am Monday... Weak high pres over area this morning will
gradually move E through tonight with pres grad tightening a bit
with lee troffing inland. This will result in light w-sw winds
this morning becoming s-sw this aftn with speeds increasing to
10-15 kt N of oregon inlet late aftn through this evening.

Ww3 and local nwps generally in line with previuos fcst seas of
2-4 ft.

Long term /tue through fri/
as of 4 am mon... Good boating conditions to start the period with
high pres in control on Tuesday. Winds will be around 10 kt with
seas 1 to 3 feet.

The forecast mid to late week will depend on the
location/track/intensity of low pressure forecast to develop off
of the southeast coast. Due to considerable spread in the models
regarding this system, this period of the forecast has below
normal confidence. Will rely on consistency with previous
forecasts and model blends to forecast winds and seas Wed through
Friday. A majority of the models bring the low pres system ashore
in sc or SE nc... Though some of them keep the system east of the
nc waters. Will continue to fcst easterly to southeasterly winds
10-20 kt Wed into thur... Becoming south on Friday. An offshore
track would keep east to northeast winds however. Nwps and
wavewatch iv have seas building to 4 to 7 feet thur into Fri with
the tightened gradient between western atlantic high pres and
approaching low.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Tl
aviation... Jbm/tl
marine... Jbm/tl


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi38 min S 8 G 8.9 71°F 71°F1026.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi49 min 69°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi60 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 71°F 69°F1026.8 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi83 min SSE 6 75°F 1027 hPa63°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi38 min S 8 G 8.9 73°F 67°F1026 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi68 min S 1.9 G 3.9 71°F 73°F
WLON7 39 mi38 min 74°F 68°F1026 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi68 min SSE 7 G 8 71°F 1026.8 hPa (-0.8)56°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last
24hr
S11
S9
S11
S10
S9
S8
S7
S1
NW3
W5
Calm
N2
NE3
NE3
E5
SE6
SE6
SE10
SE9
SE11
S10
1 day
ago
S8
S10
S9
SW7
SW4
W4
W3
W5
W5
W6
W5
W5
NW5
NW3
E4
SE6
SE6
S8
S9
S10
2 days
ago
N19
G28
N16
G23
N14
G21
N9
N9
G13
NW9
G13
NW7
NW6
G9
NW8
NW6
G9
NW8
NW7
G10
W6
G9
NW6
G10
NW9
G12
N8
G11
N7
G12
N8
NW12
G16
S10
S10

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi72 minS 10 G 1810.00 miFair77°F55°F47%1026.6 hPa
Swansboro, Bogue Field, Marine Corps Auxiliary Landing Field, NC19 mi71 minS 910.00 miFair75°F55°F52%1027.5 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrS8S9S8S4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W35SE8SE7SE8S12S10
G18
1 day agoCalmN9N7NW5CalmE8S5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5W563E7E7E6S10
2 days agoN13N17
G23
N14
G21
N18
G25
N9NW7NW9W6NW5W9W8W6NW6W6W5N6N7N7NW6NW12NW10N9N13NW10

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:40 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:30 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:25 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:51 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.50.100.30.91.72.32.72.72.31.710.4-000.41.122.93.43.63.32.7

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:22 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:17 AM EDT     3.89 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:07 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:38 PM EDT     5.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.50.10.10.71.62.63.53.93.83.22.21.20.3-0.10.10.81.93.24.355.14.63.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.