Thursday, April24, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
11/18/2013 - I just got an email from NOAA saying all their network problems have been fixed. Sorry for the inconvenience.
11/16/2013 - NOAA worked over the last month to fix the load speed for our daily forecast. Then went from 60% fast loads to 99.8% fast loads.
8/5/2013 - Point forecast now loads in parallel and does not block rest of page.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:50PM Thursday April 24, 2014 4:23 AM EDT (08:23 UTC) Moonrise 2:24AMMoonset 2:13PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 300 Am Edt Thu Apr 24 2014
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late this morning...then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt early this afternoon... Becoming E late. Seas 3 to 5 ft...except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop late this morning...then diminishing to light chop this afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the morning...then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy...diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop... Increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft... Subsiding to 1 to 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ100 300 Am Edt Thu Apr 24 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. High pressure will build into the area through today then move off the coast tonight. A weak cold front will move into the area Friday and cross the region early Saturday. A secondary stronger cold front will cross the area Saturday night stalling south of the region Sunday and Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 240716
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
316 am edt Thu apr 24 2014

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the area today then move off the
coast tonight. A weak cold front will move through from the west
Friday night. A secondary stronger cold front will cross the area
Saturday night stalling south of the region Sunday. Developing low
pressure in the plains will push a warm front north into the area
Tuesday... With a cold front approaching late Wednesday into
Wednesday night.

Near term /today/
As of 245 am Thursday... High pressure with very dry air will
continue to build over the region from the north today. Secondary
cold advection surge early this morning will produce gusty winds
especially along the coast then winds will rapidly diminish to
light and variable in the afternoon with a sea breeze developing
coastal sections. Skies will remain clear but northerly low level
flow will help to produce cooler high temperatures today with
readings ranging from around 60 outer banks to the lower 70s
southwest zones.

Short term /tonight/
As of 245 am Thursday... The high will move offshore late with
light southerly return flow developing. This will lead to
moistening of the dry atmosphere and with warm advection will
likely produce a low cloud deck after 06z. Lows will be in the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

Long term /Friday through Wednesday/
As of 315 am thur... Models continue in good agreement with the
timing of a cold front approaching and moving through the area
fri evening into Fri night. There will be an opportunity for some
tstms to develop as the system moves through around or shortly
after peak heating. Strongest aspect of the shortwave/vortmax
aloft will cross north of the area through southern va... With only
the southern edge of this feature clipping the mhx cwa. No change
to current high-chance pops with tstms... With the biggest threat
being damaging wind gusts and marginal hail.

For the remainder of the period followed close to wpc guidance with
a blend of the previous forecast and GFS thrown into the mix. We
should remain dry through Sun with just a very slight chance of a
shower on mon. A better chance of a showers/tstm will be tues into
wed as an area of low pressure passes to our north and trailing
cold front approaches the area. This will couple with a developing
trough and possible upper low over the eastern CONUS by wed.

Followed close to GFS mos and wpc guidance on temps. Temperatures
will run a bit above normal Friday through Saturday... Cooling down
slightly Sun and remaining near seasonal the remainder of the period.

Aviation /07z Thursday through Monday/
Short term /through Thursday night/...

as of 1235 am Wednesday... Very high confidence inVFR conditions
through the TAF period as high pressure with dry weather and light
winds prevail across eastern nc. Drying dewpoints and some mixing
will preclude fog formation early this morning.

Long term /Friday through Monday/...

as of 315 am wed... MainlyVFR conditions expected through much of
the week. A weak front will approach eastern nc on Fri and move
through early Fri night with isolated MVFR conditions possible in
heavier showers/tstms. High pressure will dominate Sat through mon
with predominantVFR conditions expected.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 245 am Thursday... No changes to previous forecast with
advisories continued in effect for the waters north of ocracoke.

Secondary northerly surge is developing over the northern and
central waters with gusts to 30 kt observed at chesapeake light and
duck pier. Expect sustained winds closer to 20 kt with frequent
gusts to 25 kt northern and central waters through about 15z then
winds will begin to rapidly diminish this afternoon as the high
crests over the waters. Seas will begin to rapidly subside as well
falling below 6 ft by 21z today. Winds will be light tonight/10 kt
or less/ with seas subsiding to 2 to 3 ft.

Used the nwps wave model which was about 2 ft higher than
wavewatch but capped seas at 8 ft as the swan was forecasting seas
to 9 ft over the northern waters this morning. All the wave models
indicate rapidly subsiding seas this afternoon and slight seas
tonight in the light flow.

Long term /Friday through Monday/...

as of 315 pm wed... Winds shift southerly into Fri morning ahead
of an approaching upper level shortwave and associated weak cold
front. The front will cross the eastern nc waters Fri night. Winds
and seas should remain below SCA criteria with this frontal
passage. A stronger backdoor cold front will move through the
waters from north to south Sat night with winds veering n/ne
behind the front by 12z sun. Winds and seas again look to remain
just below SCA criteria... Though cannot rule out some rough seas
4-6 ft near diamond shoals with moderate surface winds opposing
the gulf stream current. Winds diminish by Sun night and slowly
switch around to southerly as weak high pressure slides off the
coast by Monday. Light winds/seas will persist through Mon with
winds picking up more tues as the next low and cold front approaches
the area. Local swan/nwps continued in close agreement with 00z
wavewatch... And predominantly followed it followed by ww3 guidance
towards the end of the period.

Fire weather
As of 245 am Thursday... Increased fire danger conditions again
today due to low relative humidities of 20 to 25 percent but not
as critical as Wednesday as winds will be lighter especially
during peak heating when they will be light and variable.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt this afternoon for amz150-
152-154.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Jme
short term... Jme
long term... Dag
aviation... Jme/dag
marine... Jme/dag
fire weather... Jme


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41109 5 mi42 min 60°F2 ft
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi34 min NNE 14 G 18 64°F 69°F2 ft1015.2 hPa (+0.4)54°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi36 min N 11 G 14 57°F 62°F1014.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi44 min 62°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi84 min N 12 G 14 63°F 62°F1014.6 hPa (+0.5)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi84 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 66°F 1014.3 hPa (+0.5)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi36 min NE 4.1 G 6 53°F 62°F1015.1 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi99 min WNW 2.9 52°F 1014 hPa47°F
WLON7 39 mi36 min 56°F 62°F1015.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi84 min NE 12 G 13 61°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.5)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last
24hr
W7
G11
W9
G12
W10
G13
NW10
G16
NW10
G14
NW11
G14
NW11
G18
NW10
G14
W13
G16
W10
G16
NW13
G17
NW9
G15
NW9
G14
N8
G11
N11
G17
N7
G10
N7
N6
N3
N2
N4
N3
N9
G12
N12
G16
1 day
ago
SW1
SW4
SW6
SW5
SW8
SW7
G10
S10
S14
S17
S18
S20
S17
G21
S18
S17
S10
G13
S12
SW11
SW10
W6
G10
W5
W6
W6
G9
W7
G10
W7
2 days
ago
N12
G18
N12
G20
N15
G22
N15
G19
N15
G20
N13
G19
N14
G20
N14
G18
N15
N15
N11
G14
E7
G10
E4
SE7
S2
SW2
SW3
SW3
SW5
W5
SW3
SW2
SW3
SW3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi28 minN 4 miFair50°F42°F74%1016.3 hPa
BOGUE FIELD MCAL, NC19 mi27 minNNE 610.00 miFair51°F45°F80%1016.4 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last 24hrW7W6W9NW9NW12N16
G23
N9NW14NW13
G19
NW11
G25
NW14
G23
NW14
G20
NW17NW13N12NW8N5CalmCalmCalmCalmN7N7N4
1 day agoCalmS3CalmCalmS4SW9SW8W8W4SW6SE12
G18
S9
G15
S11
G18
S9S8SW8SW8SW7W6W5W7W8W8W9
2 days agoN12N11N13N13N12
G20
N15N15N11N13
G19
N11N11N11NW10N8N6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:53 AM EDT     3.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:17 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:33 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:45 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.82.63.13.232.41.60.80.2-0.100.51.222.733.12.72.11.30.60.10

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:40 AM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:59 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:20 PM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:27 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.82.93.94.54.64.13.220.90.1-0.10.10.923.144.44.33.72.71.50.60.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.