Friday, October24, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

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What's New / NOTES
6/17/2014 - I reported slow load times to NOAA and they quickly resolved the problem. Sorry for any inconvience. NOAA had some stuck processes on two servers. This was a problem on 5 to 10% of the requests.
6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:25PM Friday October 24, 2014 7:17 AM EDT (11:17 UTC) Moonrise 6:58AMMoonset 6:05PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 649 Am Edt Fri Oct 24 2014
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming nw 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. NEar shore...seas around 2 ft this morning...then 1 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...diminishing to flat.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
AMZ100 649 Am Edt Fri Oct 24 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. High pressure will build in from the west through tonight. A dry cold front will move across the area Saturday night. High pressure builds over the area Sunday and will extend over the area through Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 240903
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
447 am edt Fri oct 24 2014

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the west through tonight. A dry
cold front will move across the area Saturday night. High pressure
builds over the area Sunday and will extend over the area through
Tuesday.

Near term /today/
As of 400 am Friday... High pressure and dry low and mid levels will
continue to build over area from W today... While high clouds spread
across area with clipper-type shrt WV from w-nw. After a cool
start... Low lvl thicknesses support MAX temps from upr 60s obx to
low 70s inland even with slightly filtered sunshine.

Short term /tonight/
As of 400 am Friday... High clouds with shrt WV will continue over
area this evening... Then clear overnight as it moves e. Dry airmass
and calm winds will allow for slightly cooler min temps
inland... Near 40 for kdpl and koaj areas.

Long term /Saturday through Thursday/
As of 345 am fri... A shortwave will quickly move through eastern
nc Saturday followed by a weak backdoor cold front Saturday night.

High pressure at the surface and aloft will build over the region
Sunday and persist through Monday before becoming shunted off the
east coast Tuesday... Leading to dry conditions with a slight
warming trend through the extended. A low pressure system will
develop over the great lakes and move into southern canada Tuesday
night dragging a cold front through eastern nc late Wednesday
night into Thursday. As is typical with day 6-7 systems... Models
diverge on timing of frontal system so will hold pops to slight
chance... And will maintain thunder Thursday as forecast soundings
indicate weak instability and shear. Highs in the mid 70s Saturday
through Monday then warning into the mid to upper 70s Tuesday into
Wednesday. Lows mostly in the 50s except 60s near the water.

Aviation /08z Friday through Tuesday/
Short term /through 06z Saturday/...

as of 1240 am Friday... High confidence inVFR thru the period. Sfc
high pres with dry airmass will build in from the w... While ci will
spread in with shrt wv. Light NW winds today and near calm tonight.

Long term /Friday night through Monday/...

as of 350 am fri... PredominantVFR conditions expected through the
long term as high pressure builds in from the west. Overall the
airmass remains dry so do not expect any reductions in vsby or
ceilings... Although cannot completely rule out brief radiation fog
in low spots and river valleys in the early mornings due to large
water/land temp contrasts.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 400 am Friday... Gusty NW winds continue across NRN and central
waters with tight pres gradient between low well to NE and high to
w. Winds will continue to gradually diminish today and tonight as
low moves awa from area.

Local nwps initialized too high with seas... And kept previous fcst
which is slightl higher than ww3. Heghts to around 6 ft will persist
over outer portions of NRN and central waters into this
aftn... Subsiding to 2-4 ft tonight.

Long term /Saturday through Thursday/...

as of 355 am fri... High pressure will build over the waters Saturday
though a weak backdoor cold front will shift winds northwesterly
late Saturday night into Sunday. Winds and seas will increase late
sat through Sunday behind the next dry cold front... Then diminish
again Monday. Excellent boating conditions expected Monday and
Tuesday as surface flow becomes light and seas subside to 1-2 ft
across most eastern nc waters. Another front will approach the
region from the west Wednesday and cross the waters Thursday.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 3 pm edt this afternoon for amz150-
152-154.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Dag
aviation... Jbm/dag
marine... Jbm/dag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi28 min N 12 G 14 65°F 75°F3 ft1014.6 hPa (+0.5)51°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi30 min NNW 7 G 9.9 52°F 72°F1015.7 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi38 min 72°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi18 min N 12 G 14 55°F 71°F
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi93 min SSE 1 50°F 1015 hPa48°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi30 min N 6 G 8.9 56°F 67°F1014.6 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi78 min NNE 9.7 G 12 61°F 74°F1014.9 hPa (-0.0)
WLON7 39 mi30 min 48°F 69°F1016.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi78 min NNW 12 G 14 57°F 1015 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi82 minWNW 49.00 miFair45°F44°F97%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW11NW106NW8NW10W11W14
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NW13NW9W6W4W5SW4W3W6W6W3NW4W3W3SW3W4W4
1 day agoNW10NW11NW9NW13NW12
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NW10N6SW3W6W8W8W5W5W7NW7W4W7NW6NW8NW5
2 days agoCalmNW3W5W7W6W7SW7W9SW3S8S5S4SW4SW7SW4W6NW14NW12NW9NW13NW9NW6NW9NW10

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Fri -- 02:01 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:45 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:39 PM EDT     3.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.40.20.40.91.82.73.43.83.73.32.51.60.80.30.20.51.11.92.63.13.12.82.2

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:43 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:09 AM EDT     5.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:27 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:26 PM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.40.30.71.62.94.15.15.45.24.53.320.90.40.40.91.933.94.44.43.92.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.