Tuesday, September16, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

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6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:15PM Tuesday September 16, 2014 7:29 PM EDT (23:29 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 707 Pm Edt Tue Sep 16 2014
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt...becoming E late this evening...then becoming ne around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft...except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft...near shore seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft...except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thu night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Fri through Fri night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming E 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming sw 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ100 707 Pm Edt Tue Sep 16 2014
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. A cold front will move through the waters this afternoon and tonight. High pressure will build over the area from the north Wednesday through Saturday. The high will move off the coast Sunday ahead of the next cold front...which is expected to move through the region Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 162248
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
646 pm edt Tue sep 16 2014

Synopsis
A cold front will move through the area late today and tonight.

High pressure will build over the area from the north Wednesday
through Saturday. The high will move off the coast Sunday ahead of
the next cold front... Which is expected to move through the
region Monday.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 645 pm tue... Mostly clear skies across eastern north carolina
this late afternoon. Surface boundary draped across the area. A few
showers/ thunderstorms are possible with the boundary and upper
level energy that will move over the area tonight. Models going with
scattered precipitation... But they have been too wet latesly so will
keep chances low. Northeasterly flow will bring some lower clouds
and isolated fog to the area in the pre-dawn hours.

Short term /Wednesday/
As of 250 pm tue... The front will continue to move south of the area
wed as a weak wave of low pressure develops along it. Sfc high
pressure will build into the area from the north as upper trough
deepens along the eastern seaboard. Models continue to show sct
showers/tstms developing as weak shortwave moves through flow
aloft. Will continue low chance/sc pops through the day... With
best chances across the southern half of forecast area. Low level
thickness values... Ne/e flow... And 850mb temps 12-14c support
highs 75-80 degrees.

Long term /Wednesday night through Tuesday/
As of 230 pm tue... There will be a moist onshore flow early this
forecast period with some short wave energy as a broad trof over the
eastern states gradually sharpens. Moisture should be limited with
only light showers and sprinkles expected. Will forecast slight
chance precip for Wed night and thu. Lots of low cloud cover
expected Wed night and Thu which will hold high temps in the mid to
upper 70s thu. Lows Wed night low to mid 60s across inland areas and
upr 60s to low 70s coast.

The upper ridge gradually builds over the area late in the week and
during the weekend and will continue a mostly dry forecast Friday
thru Sunday. The only chc albeit slgt for precip appears to be along
the immediate coastal sections Fri night and Sat associated with a
weak coastal trof. Temps slowly moderate back to near normal levels
into the low 80s by the end of the weekend.

Aviation /00z Wednesday through Sunday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 627 pm tue... Mainly clear skies across area tafs this late
afternoon... But with some isolated to scattered mid level clouds.

Surface boundary is draped from the central outer banks to around
kinston... And will continue to drop south through the area. Some
showers have formed along the boundary over the waters. Any showers
that do form tonight will be isolated in nature... So have not
included them in the tafs. However subvfr conditions likely in any
showers. Models not agreeing on timing of boundary... However it
should be south of the tafs by the early morning hours.

Northeasterly flow behind the front will be light with loose surface
gradient. Areas of MVFR fog possible in the predawn hours... And may
have MVFR CIGS in the afternoon in the moist northeasterly flow.

Weak upper level energy will move over eastern north carolina
Wednesday afternoon for a chance of some showers/thunderstorms. Have
not included them as probability is low.

Long term /Wednesday night through Sunday/...

as of 230 pm tue... MainlyVFR conds expected thru Thu except for
patchy late night fog/and stratus. MainlyVFR conds expected fri
thru Sunday as a stronger high builds in from the N with less precip
chcs and better low lvl mixing reducing fog/st threat. Could be a
few showers along coastal areas Fri night into Sat but should be
limited in coverage.

Marine
Short term /through Wednesday/...

as of 639 pm tue... Northeasterly flow in the northern waters with
southwesterly flow continuing in the southern waters this late
afternoon. Speeds 10 knots or less with seas 2 feet. Surface frontal
boundary has dropped into the central waters... And will continue to
sag southward through the waters during the nighttime hours with
wind becoming generally northeasterly by sunrise. Models disagree on
strength of surge behind the front... Ranging from 10 to 20 knots.

Will go on the lower range.

Long period swell... 13-16 seconds... From distant TC edouard showing
up in the buoy observations. However seas remain at 2 feet.

Wavewatch and local nwps continue to run 1-2ft higher than hurricane
wavewatch. Will again back up the timing of the small craft advisory
til sunrise Wednesday based on current observations and model
guidance.

Will continue seas 4-6ft Wed mainly in long period sely swell. Wind
will be northeasterly around 10 knots with high pressure building
over the waters.

Long term /Wednesday night through Sunday/...

as of 230 pm tue... Wave models are consistent showing long period
swell from distant TC edouard at 5-7 ft thru Wed night. Swell will
diminish Thu and shud be a period of sub SCA seas... However NE winds
will begin to increase Thu to 15 to 25 kts late and cont thru fri
with seas again building to 5 to 7 ft into the early part of next
weekend sply acrs the cntrl waters.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 8 am Wednesday to 9 am edt
Sunday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm Wednesday to 5 am edt Thursday
for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 11 am Wednesday to 5 am edt Thursday
for amz150.

Synopsis... Cqd
near term... Cgg
short term... Cqd
long term... Jac
aviation... Cgg/jac
marine... Cgg/cqd/jac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41036 - Onslow Bay Outer, NC 31 mi39 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 79°F 82°F2 ft1014.5 hPa (-0.5)70°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi41 min SSE 7 G 8 79°F 83°F1013.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi49 min 82°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi89 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 76°F 82°F
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi104 min SSE 2.9 81°F 1014 hPa73°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi41 min SSW 5.1 G 7 78°F 80°F1013.7 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi89 min ESE 3.9 G 5.8 76°F 82°F1014.3 hPa (-0.6)
WLON7 39 mi41 min 79°F 80°F1014.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi89 min S 6 G 8 78°F 1014.2 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi33 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F72°F82%1014.2 hPa
BOGUE FIELD MCAL, NC19 mi32 minSSW 510.00 miFair0°F0°F%1014.7 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmNW544Calm3S6S6S5
1 day agoE7NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE7NE7N4NE7NE6N4NE6N7NE6NE7NE9E6CalmCalmSE3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNW3N6N7N8N12NE10N8N8N7N8NE11NE10NE10NE9NE7N7N8N8N9N7N5

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:56 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:00 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:38 PM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:09 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.22.62.72.52.11.610.60.50.61.11.72.42.93.33.332.51.81.30.80.70.81.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:43 AM EDT     3.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:42 AM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:25 PM EDT     4.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM EDT     1.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.33.83.83.52.92.11.30.90.81.11.82.73.64.34.74.74.23.42.51.71.21.11.31.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.