Saturday, May30, 2015 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:18PM Saturday May 30, 2015 2:08 AM EDT (06:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:27PMMoonset 3:03AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 147 Am Edt Sat May 30 2015
Rest of tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft...except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds around 5 kt...increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat...increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...diminishing to flat. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 300200
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1000 pm edt Fri may 29 2015

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the region from the northeast
through the weekend. A cold front will approach from the northwest
on Monday and gradually push south through the area by the
middle of next week. High pressure then builds into the area for
the remainder of the week.

Near term /until 6 am Saturday morning/
As of 10 pm Friday... The surface ridge will continue to be
centered well northeast of the carolinas with an upper ridge along
the southeastern conus. Winds remain east to southeasterly with
decoupling of winds expected inland overnight. Min temperatures
will range from the lwr and mid 60s inland to around 70 on the
coast.

Short term /6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday/
As of 215 pm Friday... High pressure both at the surface and aloft
influence the weather on Saturday. However... There should be
enough moisture and instability well inland with the seabreeze
front providing the focus for isolated diurnal convection. Warm
temps expected with highs in the mid 80s inland to around 80 on
the immediate coast.

Long term /Saturday night through Friday/
As of 300 pm Friday... Models remain in general agreement and
fairly consistent with previous fcst. Sfc and upr level ridges
will remain in place Sat night into Sun night but will being
squeezed by upr lvl troffing to W and weakening upr low from e-se.

Ridges will break down Mon with upr trof moving in from w
accompanied by slow-moving cold front. Front will move into area
Tuesday and then gradually S and E of area wed. Some model
differences for thu-fri period with GFS indicating upr low over
ms/al while ECMWF has it over NRN fla... But both solutions
indicate front stalling just S of area with continued threat of
threat of showers/tstms coastal and SRN sections Wed night and
thu.

Sat night-sun night... Models indicate little if any convective
pcpn threat and kept previous dry fcst for period. Temps around
5 degs above normal with lows in 60s to around 70 and highs from
around 80 obx to upr 80s inland.

Mon-wed... Increasing pops for Mon into Tue as sfc front moves into
moist and unstable air mass with upr troffing and shrt WV energy
aloft. Kept highest pops at 50% for Tue aftn/eve with 40% for tue
night. Lower pops for Wed with front expected to push just S and e
of area. Still warm again Mon with highs approaching 90
inland... Then temps moderating to near normal with frontal
instrusion.

Thu-fri... Lower confidence fcst this period given model
differences. Went with model blend combined with wpc... Indicating
slight chc pops most areas during period. Temps near normal except
highs below normal on box with NE winds.

Aviation /02z Saturday through Wednesday/
Short term /through 18z Saturday/...

as of 10 pm Friday... Surface high pressure and ridging aloft will
continue to dominate the region. Have kept rain out of the taf
forecast as it will be very isolated. Light SE winds this evening
and expect winds to decouple late tonight. Numerical guidance and
forecast soundings indicating some MVFR fog possible in the late
night/early morning hours so will continue to mention in area
terminal forecasts.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 300 pm Friday...VFR expected to prevail through Mon morning
with sfc ridge extending over area from e-ne. Front will approach
on Mon and move through area tue-wed resulting in some periods of
sub-vfr with showers and tstms. Best coverage expected Tue aftn
into Tue night.

Marine
Short term /tonight and Saturday/...

as of 10 pm Friday... High pressure continues to extend over the
waters from offshore through the period. Nwps and wavewatch in
good agreement indicating seas mostly 2-3 ft with some 5 ft seas
along the outer fringes of the central waters through Sunday as
swell energy increases around low pressure well east of the
region. Winds will become southeasterly overnight into early
Saturday and remain 10 knots or less.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 300 pm Friday... Little change to previous fcst this period.

Se winds will become more s-sw Sun into Mon but speeds remaining
around 10 kt until Mon night... With increase up to 15 kt as front
appoaches from nw. Winds will shift to NE behind frontal passage
tue and Tue night with surge to around 15 kt wed. Seas mainly
2-4 ft through period... Although some increase to 5 ft NRN waters
late wed.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Dag
near term... Hsa/jac
short term... Jac
long term... Jbm
aviation... Hsa/bm/jbm
marine... Hsa/jac/jbm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi39 min SE 9.9 G 12 76°F 80°F1021.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 33 mi50 min 78°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi121 min SSE 12 G 16 77°F 78°F1022.7 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi84 min SSE 5.1 74°F 1022 hPa69°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi39 min SE 6 G 8.9 74°F 77°F1021.5 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi69 min SE 5.8 G 9.7 76°F
WLON7 39 mi39 min 74°F 80°F1021.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi69 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 75°F 1022.3 hPa (-0.8)68°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi13 minSSE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F66°F87%1022.2 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNE4E44E6SE9SE10SE11E9SE13SE8SE9SE6SE6SE7SE6SE3SE3S3
1 day agoS3CalmS3CalmS3CalmS63E4E7SE10SE8S8S9S7S10S9S5S5CalmSE3S3S3Calm
2 days agoS3CalmS5S3S6S8S6S7S7SE12S9S13S12
G20
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S12S11S7S4S3S3S4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Sat -- 12:07 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:52 AM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:54 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:26 PM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.50.91.522.42.52.31.91.30.60.20.10.30.81.52.32.93.23.22.92.21.50.8

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:36 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:13 PM EDT     4.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.91.52.33.13.53.63.22.51.60.70.20.20.61.42.53.64.34.74.53.92.91.80.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.