Monday, May2, 2016 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 7:57PM Monday May 2, 2016 5:19 PM EDT (21:19 UTC) Moonrise 2:31AMMoonset 2:22PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 313 Pm Edt Mon May 2 2016
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am edt Tuesday through late Tuesday night...
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft...building to 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop... Increasing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms until early morning...then a chance of showers and tstms late.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers and tstms likely.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft...except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy...diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers and tstms likely.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the morning...then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning...then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 021833
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
233 pm edt Mon may 2 2016

Synopsis
A front will remain north of the region through tonight as high
pressure continues offshore. The front will gradually drop
southeast into the area late Tuesday into Tuesday night then
slowly slide offshore Wednesday. Low pressure will develop on the
front Wednesday night then drift slowly northeast into Friday. The
low will move northeast away from the region over the weekend as
high pressure builds south of the area.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 230 pm mon... Convection slow to fire over region this
afternoon despite surface based CAPE values 2000 to 3000 inland.

Sea breeze is starting to move inland and with some storms beginning
to develop to the W eventually think will see a bit better cvrg
of storms later this aftn and evening inland. Along the coast
lowered pops to slight chc as sea brz moving inland shld limit
threat these areas. Given the good instab a few storms that do
develop have potential to become svr with gusty winds and hail.

Overnight think will see limited coverage thru evening once
activity that does develop weakens. Late tonight most all models
show area of lift and moisture pushing into region from the west
ahead of short wave and surface front. Although have limited
confidence given poor model performance in QPF past few days will
cont with likely pops inland to chc late. Will remain mild with
ssw winds ahead of front... Lows mainly mid/upr 60s.

Short term /Tuesday/
As of 230 pm mon... With cold front grad approaching from the w
and shortwaves crossing in SW flow aloft expect good cvrg of shra
and tsra. If get some breaks in clouds and moderate instab to
develop could again see threat for a few strong/svr storms as
shear will be a bit stronger over the area. Wl maintain likely
pops all day with highs around 80 inland to mid 70s beaches.

Long term /Tuesday night through Monday/
As of 330 am Monday... An active weather pattern expected through
most of the extended period... But medium range models in better
agreement this cycle in placement of upper level low later in the
week.

Tuesday night through Wednesday... Slow-moving cold front will
work its way slowly across the region Tuesday night. In deep
moist flow ahead of front Tuesday evening. Have continued pops in
the likely category into Tuesday evening. A strong mid- level
shortwave will then rotate over the region on Wednesday. Pops will
be lower... But scattered showers and a possible strong
thunderstorm are possible... Especially northern sections.

Temperatures will be cooler still... With highs low/mid 70s.

Wednesday night through Sunday... Better agreement between the
ecmwf/gfs/canadian for the latter half of the week into the
weekend. Upper low closes off over the ohio valley and drives
south across the carolinas Thursday into Friday. Steep lapse rates
will lead to instability showers across the region. The models do
not typically handle this type of scenario well with regards to
timing and placement of precipitation and have continued with low
chance pops into Saturday. Temperatures will be a bit below normal
for the period... Particularly Friday which will feature high
temperatures in the mid/upper 60s over alot of the region. The
atmosphere finally dries out Saturday night and Sunday as the
trough axis finally moves offshore and temperatures will slowly
return to normal Sunday.

Aviation /18z Monday through Saturday/
Short term /through tue/...

as of 1220 pm mon... CIGS cont to grad rise and expect lingering
MVFR conditions to becomeVFR next hour or so. Expect predominate
vfr thru the evening with some subVFR poss in sct convection.

What storms do form this aftn/evening will have potential for
gusty winds. Late tonight and into Tue mdls show better forcing
and precip cvrg and think will see ocnl MVFR conditions develop
with brief ifr poss. Ssw wind will gusts 15-20kt this afternoon
and again Tue aftn ahead of cold front.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/...

as of 330 am Monday... With an active pattern through late
week... Expect periods of subpar flying conditions. Widespread
showers and embedded thunderstorms into Tuesday night will lead
to lengthy periods of MVFR/ifr ceilings and vsbys. Conditions
improve Wednesday... But despite less precipitation coverage... Some
strong thunderstorms will still be possible. By Thursday into
Friday... We transition into a more showery pattern with less
convection as an upper low drops south from the ohio valley across
the carolinas. GenerallyVFR conditions with brief periods of MVFR
are possible Thursday and Friday. As is typical this time of
year... Areas the receive precipitation may see enhanced stratus
and fog in the early morning hours.

Marine
Short term /through tue/...

as of 230 pm mon... Ssw winds will increase to 15 to 25 kts
tonight into Tue ahead of slowly approaching cold front. As winds
increase tonight seas over cntrl and SRN wtrs will build to
around 6 feet outer portions and cont in that range thru the day
tue. Wl cont SCA S of oregon inlet late tonight thru late tue
night. Seas over NRN wtrs will be mainly in the 3 to 5 foot
range.

Long term /Tuesday night through sat/...

as of 335 am Monday... Gusty SW winds ahead of a slow-moving cold
front will lead to rough seas and a small craft advisory will run
into Tuesday night for most of the coastal waters south of oregon
inlet... As some 6 to 7 foot seas will be possible. Once the front
moves offshore... Westerly winds are expected from Thursday into
Friday. Speeds will generally be at 15 knots or less with seas 3-5
feet.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 1 am Tuesday to 2 am edt Wednesday
for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 3 am Tuesday to 2 am edt Wednesday
for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf/ctc
marine... Rf/ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41159 31 mi54 min 70°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi43 min S 18 G 21 72°F 70°F1013.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi73 min 70°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi71 min SSW 14 G 18 73°F 70°F1015.5 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi94 min SW 8 79°F 1015 hPa70°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi43 min SSW 13 G 17 73°F 68°F1014.1 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi71 min SSW 9.7 G 12 74°F 72°F1016 hPa
WLON7 39 mi43 min 83°F 72°F1013.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi79 min SSW 15 G 18 75°F 1015.2 hPa (-1.9)69°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, New River, Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi23 minS 1010.00 miThunderstorm77°F66°F71%1014.3 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi22 minSSW 14 G 2110.00 miFair75°F69°F82%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S6S6S4S7S3--S6--S3--SW4--S4S6SW7W11W11SW6SW10SW9S7S10S13
1 day agoNE7NE9E9--E11E11E9E9E10E7E8E4N6--E5E6NE4--6S10
G19
S10SW11SW5S4
2 days agoN9N7N6NE7NE7E7E8SE5SW4--N6N5NE6NE8NE9E11NE10E7E7E6E6E8NE9E9

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:58 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:22 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:37 PM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:49 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.72.433.132.51.70.90.3-000.41.11.92.633.12.82.21.40.60.10

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:45 AM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:04 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:24 PM EDT     4.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:31 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.72.73.74.34.54.13.32.21.10.3-0.10.20.81.933.94.44.33.82.81.70.70.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.