Thursday, September21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Swansboro, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:08PM Thursday September 21, 2017 5:14 PM EDT (21:14 UTC) Moonrise 7:11AMMoonset 7:16PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 252 Pm Edt Thu Sep 21 2017
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. Chance of showers and tstms early this evening.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Swansboro, NC
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location: 34.59, -77.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211851
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
251 pm edt Thu sep 21 2017

Synopsis
A trough of low pressure will dissipate over the southern
sections tonight. High pressure will extend into the area from
the northwest Friday through the weekend. Hurricane maria is
expected to track between the bahamas and bermuda early next
week.

Near term through tonight
As of 225 pm Thursday... Scattered showers and storms have fired
from greenville to newport and are expected to drift S or se
into the evening. Will have high chc likely pops SW tier thru
aftn then diminish to slight chc this evening as activity
diminishes and pushes to the se. Shld remain dry over nw
sections. Overnight clouds shld diminish and with light to calm
winds expect patchy fog to develop inland. Lows will range from
mid 60s inland to upr 60s around 70 beaches.

Short term Friday
As of 225 pm Thursday... High pressure and drier air will build
into the region with mostly sunny skies across the region. A
few of the models show some spotty shra near cst but think these
shld be very isolated and mainly to the SW so will keep fcst
dry. Shld have highs around 85 inland to lower 80s cst.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 250 pm thu... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will extend down across the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of maria. Eastern nc residents and
interested parties should continue to monitor the latest
official forecasts from nhc.

Friday night through Saturday night... Surface high pressure and
upper ridge will continue to build in from the north through
the weekend, as jose gradually weakens and meanders off the ne
and mid-atlantic coast. Pred dry weather expected. Low level
thickness values support above normal temps with highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s and overnight lows in the mid 60s to low
70s.

Sunday through Wednesday... Hurricane maria is currently
forecast to slowly lift north off the SE coast through mid week.

Eventual track will be determined by several factors including
the strength of the upper ridge and circulation of jose. Latest
guidance has again slowed down and shifted maria slightly
eastward, which should limit impacts felt along the coast. It
is still too soon to determine specific impacts for eastern nc,
which will be very dependent on the track how close to the coast
it gets. Regardless of the exact track, rough surf and
dangerous rip currents are likely this weekend into next week,
as large long period southeast swells build. Gusty N NW winds,
minor coastal flooding, and ocean overwash erosion will be also
possible. Slight chance low chance rain showers, mainly along
the coast, possible through wed. Temps through the period, near
to slightly above normal with highs in the 80s and lows in the
mid 60s low 70s.

Eastern nc residents and interested parties should continue to
monitor the latest official forecasts from NHC on hurricane
maria.

Aviation 18z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday ...

as of 120 pm Thursday... High confidence inVFR conditions will
persist through the TAF period. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected for this afternoon btw 18z-22z. There
can be a brief subVFR conditions with heavier rain. Forecast
sounding and guidance are indicating fog developing after 8z,
especially in areas where it rained. Will continue the mention
of MVFR visibility for late tonight. Expect the fog to lift by
13z Friday... Leading toVFR conditions. Light and variable winds
will dominate, except for tonight as winds are expected to
become calm.

Long term Fri night through Tue ...

as of 250 pm thu...VFR conditions will dominate most of the
period, though some early morning fg br and low stratus may
develop each night as a ridge of high pressure will be across
the region.

Marine
Short term through Fri ...

as of 225 pm Thursday... Winds will remain light thru the period
as weak trf dissipates to the south and high pres builds in
from the nw. Dir will be pred from the N to NE but variable at
times espcly SRN tier. Will cont to have swells over the waters
highest central and n. Wave guidance shows some 6 ft seas
building back across NRN wtrs later tonight so will add them to
sca. Over SRN wtrs seas will be 2 to 4 ft tonight and 3 to 5 ft
fri.

Long term Fri night through Tue ...

as of 250 pm thu... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will build down into the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of hurricane maria late this weekend and
next week, though models continue to slow it down and keep it
slightly further eastward. Mariners and interested parties
should continue to monitor the latest official forecasts from
nhc.

N NE winds 5-15 kt sat, 10-20 kt Sun then likely increasing to
15-25 kt Mon and Tue as maria lifts northward. Long period
southeast swell will gradually build through the period, peaking
mid week. Small craft seas likely to redevelop Fri night for
the southern waters. Have capped seas at 15 ft for the central
waters mid next week. Still too soon to determine specific
impacts from maria, but dangerous seas expected and gusty N nw
winds will be possible. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents
are likely.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Tuesday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 2 am Friday to 8 pm edt Tuesday for
amz150.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Cqd
aviation... Cqd bm
marine... Rf cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 30 mi67 min SE 3.9 G 5.8 81°F 1015.4 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 30 mi45 min W 1.9 G 6 79°F 77°F1015 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 37 mi75 min SE 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 1015.2 hPa (-1.1)
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 40 mi45 min SSE 11 G 12 80°F 82°F1013.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 41 mi46 min 80°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi67 min S 12 G 16 80°F 80°F1015.2 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 42 mi67 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 81°F 81°F1015.3 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 45 mi90 min WSW 5.1 80°F 1016 hPa75°F
WLON7 46 mi45 min 79°F1014.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N14
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC12 mi78 minW 610.00 miThunderstorm69°F68°F96%1016.5 hPa
MCAS New River, NC14 mi79 minENE 17 G 235.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain Fog/Mist71°F68°F90%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW7SW6SW7SW5W4W5W4CalmW3CalmCalmN3NW3CalmCalm4CalmSE5S6S5N6
G16
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1 day agoNW4NW3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmNW4W3W3W4W4W3NW4W3W4NW6NW5W7W75W6SW7SW6
2 days agoN8N3NW3N4NW4N6NW5NW6N4NW5N7NW5NW6NW66NW106N11N8
G16
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G20
NW86

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:50 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:00 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:13 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:21 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.60.70.200.3122.93.53.73.52.9210.300.20.71.52.53.23.53.53

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:48 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:57 AM EDT     2.77 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:11 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:18 PM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.50.100.30.81.52.22.62.82.62.11.40.80.200.10.51.21.92.42.62.62.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.