Tuesday, March19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Swansboro, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 7:21PM Tuesday March 19, 2019 3:38 AM EDT (07:38 UTC) Moonrise 4:54PMMoonset 5:32AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1241 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2019
.gale warning in effect from 10 am edt this morning through late tonight...
Rest of tonight..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Tue..NE winds 20 to 30 kt with frequent gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Tue night..NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N around 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Swansboro, NC
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location: 34.59, -77.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 190653
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
253 am edt Tue mar 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the northwest today and
Wednesday while an area of low pressure moves near the coast
late Wednesday and Wednesday night, followed by a cold front
late Thursday. High pressure will build into the area late week
and into the weekend.

Near term through today
As of 255 am tue... Latest sfc analysis shows sprawling 1030mb
high pressure centered over illinois and indiana this morning,
with frontal boundary now off the nc coast. Shortwave energy
will continue to push off the coast early this morning. Latest
satellite imagery shows high clouds still streaming into the
area. Did increase sky cover through the day based on trends but
may need to increase further. Breezy today, ESP along the
coast, as gradient tightens between the high to the west and
front off the coast. NE wind gusts 20-25 mph inland and 25-35
mph along the coast. Low level thickness values, 850mb temps and
ne flow support highs 50-60 degrees... Coolest across the NE and
warmest across the SW zones.

Short term tonight
As of 255 am tue... Strong high pressure will continue to build
over the area tonight with zonal flow aloft. Stalled frontal
boundary offshore will drift towards the coast tonight with
scattered coastal showers, as low pressure begins to strengthen
along the boundary. Increased pops a bit from previous forecast.

Gusty winds will continue along the coast tonight. Low dropping
into the mid 30s inland and upper 30s to mid 40s along the
coast. Could see temps along the coast rise a bit towards
sunrise with increasing WAA and cloud cover.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 300 pm Monday... Broad upper troughing will reside over the
eastern united states through the work week. Bulk of mdls now
show low pressure tracking closer to the coast Wed night into
thu with better cvrg of rain. High pressure will build over the
area this weekend bringing dry wx and a warming trend.

Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal mid week,
warming to near or a bit above normal late week and over the
weekend.

Wednesday... A broad upper trough will continue across the
eastern CONUS this period with wnw flow aloft across the
carolinas and high pressure centered across the mid-atlantic
states into the south. A front will be stalled well offshore
while an area of low pressure lifts ene along the front.

Moisture will remain offshore thru mid day Wed then begin to
spread onshore late with small chc of shra cst. Gradients will
remain pinched between the high to the north and the low
tracking along the stalled front offshore bringing windy
conditions along the coast Tue night, then gradients begin to
relax Wed as the surface high migrates over the area ahead of a
shortwave trough and surface front. Temps will be a few degrees
below normal with highs upper 50s to lower 60s wed. Areas of
frost possible well inland Tue night with lows in the mid 30s.

Lows will be around 40 along the coast.

Wednesday night through Thursday night... A robust upper trough
and attendant cold front will approach the area Wed night and thu
and move across the area Thu night. An area of low pressure
will develop along the stalled boundary offshore as upper level
dynamics improves with the left exit region of the upper jet
moving over the area. Trend in 12z mdls is for a closer track of
the low to cst resulting in better chcs of rain. Have increased
pops to lower chc inland to high chc likely cst later Wed night
into first part of thu. The low moves away from the area thu
afternoon but a chance showers continues into the afternoon ne
sections with the approach of the upper trough. Temps continue
to gradually moderate and are expected to be near normal thu
with highs in the low mid 60s inland to around 60 along the
coast. Breeze and clouds will result in lows ranging from upr
30s inland to low mid 40s beaches Wed night. Temps similar to
slightly warmer Thu night with lows in the low to mid 40s.

Friday through Monday... The upper trough pushes offshore fri
with height rises through the weekend with an upper ridge and
surface high pressure becoming centered over the area Sun that
will drift offshore mon. Dry conditions continue with a gradual
warming trend. Highs expected in the low to mid 60s inland to
mid 50s coast Fri and Saturday, with a few upper 60s possible
southern sections sat. Temps expected to warm into the upper 60s
to lower 70s inland to low to mid 60s coast Sunday. Some mid 70s
poss Mon inland with SW flow on backside of high.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 255 am tue... ExpectVFR conditions to prevail through the
taf period. Scattered high clouds expected through the day,
lowering late this afternoon and evening. NE wind gusts 15-20 kt
late this morning and this afternoon.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... PredVFR conditions expected through wed
as high pres extends SW across the area keeping deeper moisture
offshore. As low pres lifts NE near or just off the cst expect
shra to spread onshore Wed night into thu... For now better rain
chc look to be near cst, however some lower CIGS and vsbys could
occur inland at times. Dry weather returns Thu night into the
weekend withVFR dominating.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 255 am tue... Strong winds and elevated seas continue
today. Latest obs show N NE winds 15-25 kt with seas 5-8 ft. The
front has pushed through the waters and earlier surge is
diminishing a bit. High pressure will continue to build in from
the NW today and tonight as frontal boundary stalls off the
coast. Gradient will become pinched across the waters south of
oregon inlet today into tonight, with high building in and low
strengthening along the stalled front. NE winds increase to
20-30 kt today, strongest south of oregon inlet. Gale warnings
continue for the waters south of oregon inlet with frequent
gusts to 35 kt, and scas for the northern waters,
pamlico albemarle sounds and alligator rvr. Later shifts may
need to extend SCA for the albemarle and alligator rvr into
tonight for frequent gusts, but looks marginal at this time.

Seas 5-8 ft this morning, build to 6-11 ft this afternoon and
tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... Gradients across the waters remain tight
into early Wed with high pressure centered to the N and E and
low pres developing on front offshore. Winds diminish to 10 to
20 kt later Wed as high pres weakens and moves e. Very low
confidence on wind dir speed Wed night and Thu as mdls differ on
track and intensity of low lifting NE near cst. For now have
sub SCA winds with dir more onshore Wed night becoming wnw thu.

Nw winds increase 15 to 25 kts Thu night into Fri on backside of
departing low. Wnw winds diminish Sat as high pres builds in
from the nw.

Seas slowly subside to 5 to 8 ft wed. As mentioned above
confidence low for seas Thu with uncertainty on low track... For
now have seas in the 4 to 6 foot range. Seas cont 4 to 6 ft fri
with gusty NW winds and residual swell. As winds diminish sat
seas will grad drop to 2 to 4 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am edt Wednesday for amz135-150.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for amz130-
131.

Gale warning from 10 am this morning to 11 pm edt this evening
for amz152-154.

Gale warning from 10 am this morning to 6 am edt Wednesday for
amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Rf sk
aviation... Cqd rf
marine... Cqd rf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 30 mi30 min NE 21 G 31 50°F 60°F1023.2 hPa
41159 30 mi38 min 60°F7 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 30 mi44 min NNE 8.9 G 13 45°F 59°F1026 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 37 mi38 min NNE 17 G 21 47°F 1025.4 hPa (+0.0)39°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 40 mi44 min N 11 G 17 44°F 57°F1025.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 41 mi38 min 56°F5 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 42 mi30 min NE 23 G 29 51°F 58°F1024.1 hPa
WLON7 46 mi44 min 45°F 56°F1025.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC12 mi41 minNNE 910.00 miFair43°F37°F82%1026.1 hPa
MCAS New River, NC14 mi42 minN 1110.00 miFair41°F35°F79%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4N5N3N3CalmNE6--E5SE7SE8S7S8S7S5S6CalmCalmNE14
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1 day agoCalmN3N3CalmN7N7NE8NE8N10NE9N8N7N6CalmN3N4----------N4CalmNE3
2 days agoW5NW11NW8N13
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N7N6N10NW6NW65N6N5N3CalmNW3NW3NW3NW3N3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:40 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:04 AM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:19 PM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:28 PM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.400.81.72.73.33.63.42.81.90.90.1-0.3-0.20.31.22.12.93.43.42.921

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:01 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:17 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:25 PM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.3-00.61.322.52.72.521.30.6-0-0.3-0.20.20.91.62.22.52.52.11.40.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.