Thursday, November23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 4:59PM Thursday November 23, 2017 9:42 AM EST (14:42 UTC) Moonrise 10:51AMMoonset 9:22PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 716 Am Est Thu Nov 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until noon est today...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt early, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, then 1 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231226
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
726 am est Thu nov 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the region through Friday. Low
pressure will move south and east of the area Friday into early
Saturday, followed by a dry cold front Saturday night. High
pressure will build in from the west Sunday and Monday and will
extend over the area Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 715 am Thursday... Minimal changes for the morning update.

Mid level troughing continues across the east coast with sfc
high pressure building into the region from the nw. A cool dry
airmass will be in place but will see abundant high clouds,
associated with a low pressure area pushing across the fl
peninsula, lift across the region bringing filtered sunshine.

High expected in the low to mid 50s.

Short term tonight
As of 715 am Thursday... High pressure will continue to ridge
into the region tonight with the aforementioned low pressure
area moving off the southeast coast. A few showers could move
into the southern or central coastal waters but most land areas
will remain dry with mainly high clouds prevailing. The
exception may be downeast carteret county as the GFS and ecmwf
indicting a few showers may push ashore here, however the high
res models keep the showers offshore and limit pops to slight
chance. Lows expected in the low mid 30s inland to upper
30s lower 40s coast.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 2 am thu... High pressure wl build in from the NW fri.

Models cont trend of keeping better moisture offshore so only
have small pop over waters. Highs Fri in the 50s to near 60 and
lows Fri night upper 30s lower 40s inland and mid 40s to around
50 beaches.

Weak low will lift NE offshore of the coast Sat as a cold front
approaches from the w. Again bulk of models mainly dry with
just small chc of shra over central and SRN coastal waters.

Temps will moderate a bit Sat with highs mainly 60 to 65. The
cold front will cross Sat night... Looks dry with very little
moisture assoc with fropa. Best CAA holds off til Sun with lows
ranging from around 40 inland to around 50 beaches.

High pres will build in from the W Sun and Mon then move offshore
tue and Wed with dry weather. Wl be cool early with strong
warming by midweek. Highs Sun and Mon will be in the 50s. Lows
will be chilly Sun night and Mon night lower mid 30s inland and
mostly 40s beaches. As the high slides offshore Tue and Wed waa
will develop with highs Tue in the the low mid 60s... Warming to
mid upr 60s wed.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am Thursday... PredVFR conditions expected through the
short term. High pressure building into the region will keep dry
conditions in lower levels but a mid level shortwave
approaching will bring sct-bkn high clouds across rtes. N ne
winds will generally be 10 kt or less. Guidance keepsVFR
conditions tonight but with light winds and cold temps cannot
rule out patchy steam fog along the rivers, primarily affecting
pgv and possibly ewn.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 2 am thu... MainlyVFR expected through the period. High
pres with limited clouds fri. Weak low moving NE offshore and
approaching cold front Sat will lead to more clouds but not
expecting much if any precip at TAF sites. Dry cold front will
cross Sat night with high pres building in Sun and Mon leading
to mclr skies.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am Thursday... Winds and seas have peaked and are
beginning to slowly diminish this morning. High pressure
building in from the NW with N NE with around 10-20 kt with
seas around 5-7 ft across the waters. N NE winds generally 15
kt or less this afternoon through around midnight, then could
see some slight strengthening to 10-20 kt as gradients tighten
with an area of low pressure pushing off the southeast coast,
strongest across the southern waters. Seas will gradually
subside this morning and expect to drop below 6 ft northern and
southern waters by noon and the central waters by late this
afternoon. Seas expected around 3-5 ft tonight.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 2 am thu... High pres will build in from the W Fri with ne
winds around 15 kts and 3 to 5 foot seas. Weak low pres will
lift NE offshore early Sat with a cold front approaching from
the W late. N to NW winds 5 to 15 kts early Sat will become more
w later in the day with seas 2 to 4 feet. The cold front will
cross Sat night with nnw winds increasing to 15 to 25 kts sun
and seas building to 4 to 6 feet... Highest outer central nrn
waters. As the high builds closer Mon N winds will diminish to
mainly less than 10 kts with seas subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in
the aftn.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est this evening for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until noon est today for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 10 am est this morning for amz150.

Synopsis... Sk
near term... Sk
short term... Sk
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf sk
marine... Rf sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi42 min N 9.9 G 13 48°F 59°F1020.1 hPa (+0.8)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi42 min N 14 G 16 1020.2 hPa (+0.7)
41159 33 mi42 min 67°F6 ft
41064 33 mi34 min ENE 14 G 19 54°F 66°F1019.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi42 min NNE 12 G 15 45°F 62°F1020.3 hPa (+1.0)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi43 min 63°F5 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi34 min NE 14 G 19 50°F 63°F1019.7 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi34 min ENE 18 G 25 56°F 70°F1019 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi1.8 hrsN 1010.00 miFair43°F36°F76%1020.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi48 minNNE 910.00 miFair44°F37°F79%1020.4 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi46 minNNE 910.00 miFair44°F36°F73%1021.2 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi1.7 hrsNNE 610.00 miFair46°F41°F83%1020.2 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--N9
G19
NW8N8
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N8N4N5N4N4N5--NE4NE7N8N8N8N6N6N6N6N10NE9
1 day agoN5N4NE5NE5E8E8NE5NE5NE5NE4NE6NE5------------------------
2 days agoN8N7NW743NW4NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmN3NE3CalmN4

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:50 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:19 AM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:55 PM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:45 PM EST     1.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.20.80.50.40.60.91.31.82.22.42.42.11.71.30.80.50.40.50.81.21.51.71.8

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:52 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST     3.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:57 PM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:48 PM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.510.60.40.61.11.72.42.93.23.22.92.31.610.60.40.611.522.32.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.