Tuesday, September18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

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Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:10PM Tuesday September 18, 2018 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:28PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 343 Pm Edt Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop late this evening and overnight. Showers likely this evening. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Thu..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..SE winds around 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming e. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 182000
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
400 pm edt Tue sep 18 2018

Synopsis
The remnants of post-tropical cyclone florence will push through
the area this evening and exit the coast late tonight. Dry
weather conditions finally return to the region for Wednesday
through Saturday. Major to moderate river flooding will also
continue for the neuse, trent and new rivers through the end of
the work week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 330 pm Tuesday... The remnants of post-tropical cyclone
florence will push through the area this evening and exit the
coast late tonight. The presence of nearshore showers this
morning and a persistent scattered to broken cloud deck has
helped to stabilize the atmosphere today... Effectively squashing
inland shower potential thus far. This will change in the next
few hours as scattered showers and thunderstorms develop along a
weak cold front (associated with the remnants of florence)
pushes through the region this evening. Heaviest rainfall
appears to be confined to va at this time. However, cannot rule
out brief and very localized moderate to heavy rainfall for
areas generally north of the pamlico river. The front and
precipitation exits the coast late tonight. Expect lows around
70f tonight.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Friday night
As of 330 pm Tuesday... As the exiting front continues to push
out to sea on Wednesday, mid-upper level high pressure will
slide over the southeast states and into the mid atlantic region
with dry weather prevailing through the period. Conditions will
improve from west to east on Wednesday. Dewpoints drop to around
70f with highs of 81-85f, which will give a slight reprieve to
the moist tropical conditions experience of late. A weak surface
trough develops over the ohio valley late in the day Wednesday,
slides over the mountains Wednesday night, and is expected to
reach the coast by Thursday. This feature will bring another
slight cool down to the area with dewpoints in the upper 60s and
highs in the lower 80s. A deepening surface low pressure system
tracks out of the intermountain west and across the upper
midwest Thu Thursday night. As the low continues to track
northeast into canada on Friday, the mid-upper level ridge axis
shifts east of the coast and allows warmer temperatures and
additional moisture to gradually pump back up into the region.

The surface front from the canadian system is expected to cross
the area Friday night. At this time, it appears that the front
will be moisture-starved with precipitation not anticipated with
its arrival or passage. Highs wed-fri generally 80-85f. Lows
wed-fri nights generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
As of 330 pm Tuesday... A cold front stalls along the carolinas
Saturday before washing out on Sunday. Surface high pressure
tracking across the NE CONUS Sunday into early next week will
keep a steady influx of gulf moisture streaming into the area
with periods of showers and thunderstorms anticipated (no
higher than 30-40% pop). Highs around 85f sat-tue. Lows in the
upper 60s to lower 70s.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
As of 345 pm Tuesday... The remnants of post-tropical cyclone
florence will push through the area this evening and exit the
coast late tonight. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms
to develop along a weak cold front through this evening. Expect
brief and very localized moderate to heavy rainfall with MVFR
cigs and possibly MVFR vis in stronger showers storms. The front
and all associated showers exit the coast late tonight with
conditions improving toVFR. Given the saturated soils leftover
from post-tropical cyclone florence, fog may develop at all taf
sites around sunrise.

Long term Wednesday through Friday ...

as of 345 pm Tuesday... Any early morning fog that develops
should lift by 19 1400-1500z. Otherwise, dry weather andVFR
conditions prevail at all TAF sites through Friday.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 330 pm Tuesday... A cold front will approach the waters
this evening and drop through the area overnight. S-sw winds of
10-15kt winds will slowly veer around to the west then
northwest, increasing to 15-20kt. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt
are possible, but decided to hold off on any small craft
advisories due to it being quite marginal. Seas offshore will be
around 3-5 feet with waves in the sounds around 2 feet.

Long term Tue through Fri ...

as of 330 pm Tuesday... NW winds are forecast at 10-15 kt over
the sounds Wed with 15-20 kt over coastal waters where seas will
be 3-5 ft. Winds of similar magnitude then shift to the N then
ne Wed night and thu. Lighter onshore winds for fri.

Hydrology
As of 1230 pm Tuesday... Areal flood warnings for carteret,
pamlico, and portions of beaufort and jones counties have been
cancelled. Flood waters have receded across most of the area and
no longer pose a threat to life and property. For safety
purposes, please continue to heed any road closures. Turn around
don't drown.

Areal and river flood warnings continue farther inland and
south. Warnings here will persist through at least mid week as
water upstream continues to flow through rivers across eastern
nc. The neuse, trent and CAPE fear rivers will likely take the
longest to fully recede... With forecasts remaining well above
flood stage through the remainder of the week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through Wednesday evening for ncz095-
098-103-104.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Akq
near term... Akq
short term... Akq
long term... Akq
aviation... Akq
marine... Akq
hydrology... Mhx akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi47 min SSW 9.9 G 14 84°F 80°F1010.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi59 min SSW 14 G 19 1010.3 hPa (-2.1)
41159 32 mi29 min 82°F5 ft
41064 33 mi51 min SSW 16 G 21 82°F 82°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi41 min S 19 G 24 82°F 83°F1010.3 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi29 min 81°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi51 min N 16 G 21 80°F 81°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi51 min SW 18 G 27 77°F 81°F1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC19 mi63 minW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F72°F54%1009.6 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E10NE7E10NE10NE7NE11NE11
G15
E8NE7NE9NE6NE9N9NE9
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1 day agoSW3CalmNE4SE6SE8SE8SE6SE6SE7SE5SE4SE5SE6NE3NE4N3NE3NE3N4NE5NE3NE5NE5NE7
2 days ago----------------------------------------------Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.