Cedar Point, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cedar Point, NC

May 12, 2024 12:30 PM EDT (16:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 8:48 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 943 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024

Rest of today - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 1 ft at 2 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.

Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers after midnight.

Tue - S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds, becoming S 7 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon. Showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Tue night - SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft, except 6 to 8 ft near shore. Wave detail: S 9 ft at 8 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers.

Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Wed night - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Thu night - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 943 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure builds across area waters today behind a departing cold front, remaining in control into Monday despite a weak backdoor front crossing the waters tonight. Then, a low pressure system will bring unsettled weather across the area Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure builds in on Thursday before another low pressure system impacts us late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 121327 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 927 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds across eastern NC today behind a departing cold front, remaining in control into Monday despite a weak backdoor front crossing the region tonight. Then, a low pressure system will bring unsettled weather across the area Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure builds in on Thursday before another low pressure system impacts us late in the week.

NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/
As of 925 AM Sun... Clear skies, light winds, and steadily warming temps have made for a rather pleasant day so far this Sunday. Overall not too much change from the previous thinking, though have lowered dewpoints and thus RH's slightly given the latest morning sounding which shows the potential for mixing heights to reach 6000-7000 ft this afternoon. This will allow the entire area to be well mixed. Not only will this promote gusty westerly winds around 20-25 mph this will also mix out the dewpoints rather efficiently as well and have now lowered dewpoints this afternoon by another degree or two into the upper 30s to low 40s inland which puts dewpoints in the 20-30% range for the Coastal Plain. While both gusty winds and low RH's would generally put the area in some elevated fire conditions, given the recent rains and saturated soils fire conditions will remain marginal.

Prev Disc...Latest analysis this morning depicts barotropic upper level trough situated over southeastern Canada as a shortwave trough shifts further into the mid-Atlantic, with predominantly westerly flow across the Carolinas. To the west, ridging is amplifying over the southern plains as another upper level low digs into the Four Corners region. At the surface, cold front associated with the Great Lakes low is now into the Piedmont while the pre-frontal trough, responsible for the cloudiness overnight, is now departing offshore.

Cold front will quickly push across the area later this morning as shortwave traverses the mid-Atlantic, allowing high pressure to build in its wake. Breezy downslope WSW flow, combined with increasing low-level heights in the wake of the upper trough, favor temperatures rebounding into the mid to upper 70s on a mainly sunny and dry Sunday. Across the northern Outer Banks, temperatures will not be able to climb quite as high as a weak backdoor cold front, associated with a very weak wave of low pressure dropping southeast out of the Delmarva Peninsula, pushes across the area.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 230 AM Sun...Deep ridging will continue to expand over much of the southeastern CONUS tonight into Monday morning as mid- Atlantic trough pushes further offshore and Four Corners low digs further into the southern Plains states. High pressure will settle overhead as the backdoor front traverses the area and eventually washes out, promoting calm winds and clear skies.
This pattern strongly favors a low temperature forecast below guidance given excellent radiational cooling, and would not be surprised to see a multitude of readings in the upper 40s across the coastal plain early Mon morning. Patchy radiation fog is possible to start the morning work commute, but widespread visibility issues are not anticipated.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 330 AM Sunday...Dry and seasonably cool weather will continue Monday as high pressure builds across the area.
Unsettled weather will impact ENC on Tue/Wed as a deepening low pressure tracks across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. High pressure builds in Thursday night into Friday but another low pressure system will impact the area late in the week.

Monday and Monday night...High pressure will become centered off the Mid-Atlantic will migrate offshore on Monday while ridging builds aloft. Dry conditions will continue but clouds will be increasing through the day as the next system approaches from the west. Temps will be seasonable with highs in the upper 70s/lower 80s. Dew points will be much below normal however in the low to mid 50s making for very comfortable conditions.

Tuesday through Wednesday night...Vertically stacked low pressure will track across the Ohio River Valley on Tuesday and then push across the Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday before pushing off the coast Wednesday night. Precip chances increase through the day Tuesday and peak Tuesday night as upper level diffluence and southern stream moisture increases across the area with PWATs peaking around 1.75". Additional showers will push across the area Wednesday as the upper level trough and attendant sfc cold front pushes across the area. Could see a few elevated thunderstorms Tuesday into Tuesday night but clouds and precip will limit instability and any severe potential appears minimal.
However, Wednesday will have a better chance for stronger storms with better upper level support, colder temps aloft, and greater instability coupled with around 30-40 kt of bulk shear.
Most of the area will likely see a soaking rain with precip amounts around 1-1.5" through the period with coastal sections potentially approaching 2". Temps will continue to be seasonable with highs in the mid 70s to around 80 Tuesday and low to mid 80s on Wednesday.

Thursday through Friday...Disparity continues among the models with how the mid week system transitions as it moves offshore late Wednesday with some solutions opening the upper low into a wave with the system progressively moving east into the western Atlantic allowing for upper ridging to build aloft bringing a dry forecast. However, the 00z operational ECMWF and to some extent the CMC now maintain a closed low with a slower track across the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday keeping cyclonic flow over the area which will bring greater cloud cover with a few showers persisting across the area. Have now introduced slight chance PoPs and the CMC is trending toward the ECMWF. Models are in better agreement with another southern stream system quickly moving into the area late in the week but once again guidance differs with how the system evolves as it pushes across the Southeast and off the coast. But despite the differences, most guidance brings another round of descent rainfall amounts across much of the area.

AVIATION /13Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 12z Monday/...
As of 715 AM Sun...The probability of sub-VFR flight conditions over the next 24 hours is less than 10%.

VFR conditions prevail over TAF terminals this morning despite some nuisance MIFG at OAJ. Mainly clear skies prevail today, although some modest cu field development is possible in the afternoon. Breezy WNW winds expected this afternoon with gusts up to 25 kt possible across the coastal plain. Across the northern Outer Banks, a secondary front will cross the area late this afternoon as a weak area of low pressure passes offshore bringing further veering of winds to the north and eventually northeasterly into the overnight hours.

After sunset, winds will rapidly decouple under clear skies as high pressure moves overhead. Some patchy radiational fog is possible at the most vulnerable sites, but odds of anything impactful to operations are very low - less than 10%.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Sunday...Pred VFR conditions expected through Monday as high pressure builds across the region. A low pressure system will impact the area Tuesday through Wednesday with deteriorating conditions expected Tuesday with periods of sub- VFR continuing into Wednesday. Sub-VFR conditions possible Wednesday night with plenty of low level moisture in place. Pred VFR returns Thursday but could see isolated showers bringing brief sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 315 AM Sun...Improving marine conditions expected through the short term, although multiple frontal passages will bring quick wind regime changes over the waters through tomorrow morning.

Regional observations show south to southwesterly winds of 5-10 kt with seas 3-5 feet (except 2-3 feet across Onslow Bay) as a pre-frontal trough and cold front approach the waters from the west. The primary cold front is expected to cross the waters by sunrise, accompanied by a west-northwesterly surge of around 15 kt with a few gusts exceeding 20 kt this morning. By this afternoon, a weak wave of low pressure moving off the Delmarva Peninsula will drag a subtle backdoor cold front across the waters, veering winds northerly and then easterly through tonight. Winds are expected to weaken behind this boundary to around 10 kt or less.

Currently observed seas will change little into the afternoon as winds pick back up out of the west, but once the backdoor front pushes through lighter winds will allow seas to subside, falling to around 2-3 feet areawide by Mon morning. No SCA headlines are needed this morning although a few spotty gusts to 25 kt are possible (10-20% chance) across portions of the sounds this morning.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 415 AM Sunday...High pressure builds moves offshore Monday while a low pressure system will impact the waters Tuesday into Wednesday. Low pressure may linger near the coast into Thursday.

Easterly winds around 15 kt or less continues into Monday with seas around 2-4 ft. Winds veer to southerly Monday night and increase Tuesday ahead of the low pressure system and expect a period of Small Craft Advisory conditions to develop and continue into Wednesday. We may see a brief period of Gale Force winds across portions of the waters Tuesday evening. Seas will build Tuesday and peak around 7-10 ft Tuesday night, then will gradually subside Wednesday and Wednesday night. A cold front will push across the waters with winds becoming NW to N around 10-15 kt and seas around 3 to 5 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi42 min NW 8G13 75°F 71°F29.88
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi30 min WSW 12G15 71°F 29.91
41159 32 mi34 min 71°F3 ft
41064 33 mi82 min NW 9.7G14 68°F 71°F29.9362°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi82 min NW 9.7G14 69°F 71°F29.9561°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi82 min NW 3.9G5.8 70°F 68°F29.9457°F
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi34 min 70°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi42 min W 11G15 75°F 68°F29.91


Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KNJM BOGUE FIELD MCALF,NC 3 sm33 minW 11G198 smClear75°F41°F29%29.90
KNCA NEW RIVER MCAS /H/ /MCCUTCHEON FLD/,NC 19 sm34 minWNW 1210 smClear75°F46°F36%29.90
KNKT CHERRY POINT MCAS /CUNNINGHAM FIELD/,NC 19 sm34 minWNW 18G2510 smA Few Clouds Lt Rain 75°F45°F34%29.90
KMRH MICHAEL J SMITH FIELD,NC 23 sm32 minWNW 1010 smClear79°F45°F30%29.89
Link to 5 minute data for KNKT


Wind History from NKT
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
   
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Bogue Inlet
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Sun -- 12:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:43 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:40 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bogue Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
2.1
2
am
1.6
3
am
1.1
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.7
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.9
12
pm
2
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.2


Tide / Current for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Sun -- 12:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:46 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
3.3
1
am
2.9
2
am
2.2
3
am
1.5
4
am
0.8
5
am
0.3
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.9
9
am
1.6
10
am
2.2
11
am
2.6
12
pm
2.7
1
pm
2.5
2
pm
1.9
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
1.7
10
pm
2.4
11
pm
2.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,




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