Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Knoll Shores, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:11PM Friday May 24, 2019 1:46 PM EDT (17:46 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:57AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 105 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
This afternoon..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Knoll Shores, NC
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location: 34.69, -76.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 241726
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
126 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will pass to the north of the region today, with a
trailing cold front moving through the area this evening.

Another backdoor front will move through on Monday, but then
will quickly retreat north Tuesday, with very hot temperatures
expected across the region through at least the middle of next
week.

Near term through this evening
As of 120 pm fri... Very hot day is unfolding across the region
with temps already into the low to mid 90s in most locations, as
a strong upper level ridge remains situated over the SE us.

There will be little relief even near the coast today as
downslope westerly flow will pin the sea breeze to within a few
miles of the beaches. However, a backdoor cold front is expected
to move into NE nc later this morning and slowly move south
through the afternoon. This will limit high temps to the low to
mid 80s along the nobx and eastern albemarle-pamlico peninsula
as onshore flow develops. Elsewhere, mid to upper 90s are
expected, with upper 80s to around 90 likely on the beaches
south of hatteras. Have added a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms across the northern coastal plain, and further
east towards the albemarle sound, as high res models are showing
the possibility of a shower or two later this afternoon.

Short term tonight as of 230 am fri... The front will
continue moving south of the area with high pressure regaining
control. Except for a little bit of cirrus passing overhead,
skies will be mostly clear. Light east to northeast wind will
make for slightly cooler temps across the area, in the mid to
upper 60s.

Long term Saturday through Thursday as of 320 am
Friday... An anomalous upper ridge will linger across the
southeastern quarter of the united states for the next several
days. This will produce record high temperatures through the
weekend into the middle of next week with high temperatures with
highs well into the 80s along the immediate coast and well into
the 90s inland with a few spots reaching 100-degrees by
Wednesday of next week. Heat index values Sunday through Tuesday
will be around 95-100 degrees, and 100-105 degrees Tuesday
through Thursday. Please see climate section below for record
temp details.

While differential heating boundaries in the afternoon and
evening could produce an isolated shower or storm most any day,
the coverage of any precipitation is very low and have left out
of the forecast through the 7-day period. The upper ridge does
show some signs of breaking down just a bit around late Thursday
into Friday next week and dewpoints are likely to be a little
lower late in the week, however rain chances will remain slim.

Aviation 17z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Saturday afternoon ...

as of 120 pm fri...VFR conditions are present across the
airspace, and will continue for the TAF period. Some scattered
cumulus clouds are expected to develop later this afternoon, and
then a backdoor front will turn winds from W to NE beginning
late this afternoon. Winds will gust 15-20 mph behind the front,
but should calm down overnight. Mostly sunny skies expected
again tomorrow.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 325 am Friday...VFR conditions are likely throughout the
extended period. Cannot rule out patchy shallow fog or stratus
early in the morning each day, but the extent should be short
and limited.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 7 am fri... No changes. Obs continue to show winds gusting
in the mid to upper 20s in the middle of the pamlico sound,
with gusts in the mid 20s north of CAPE hatteras. Guidance
continues to show a front pushing through the waters today with
w winds 15-20 kt and gusty early early diminishing and becoming
n NE 10-15 kt this afternoon and evening. Current SCA headlines
look good, and will make no changes.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 330 am Friday... A large ridge of high pressure will
continue along the southern us coast through the next several
days as upper level high pressure remains parked over the
region. E NE flow around 10 kt is expected sat. Sunday sw
winds 10-15 kt will increase to 15 to 20 kt with some sca
conditions possible as seas build to 4-6 feet. Mon W winds
around 15 kt will become NE 10-15 kt as a weak boundary moves
through the waters. Mostly southerly winds are expected Tuesday
at 10-15 knots.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected late this week into
early next week.

Record high temps for 5 24 (Friday)
location temp year
new bern 96 2011 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1992 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1925 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 87 1992 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94 1994 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 2011 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 28 (Tuesday)
location temp year
new bern 93 2014 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 97 1916 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 2004 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 1967 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 29 (Wednesday)
location temp year
new bern 95 1982 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 91 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 95 1918 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 92 1991 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 1991 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 1967 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf sgk
marine... Rf sgk
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 7 mi28 min SW 5.1 G 11 82°F 77°F1017.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 15 mi46 min SW 13 G 18 79°F 1017.2 hPa (-1.2)71°F
41064 34 mi38 min W 14 G 18 77°F 76°F1017.9 hPa
41159 34 mi46 min 76°F4 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC8 mi1.8 hrsWSW 1110.00 miFair83°F71°F67%1017.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC12 mi52 minWNW 1010.00 miFair95°F66°F39%1016.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC13 mi49 minWNW 11 G 1610.00 mi94°F68°F43%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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1 day ago--------------------E6E4E4CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmNE4S6S8S6SW8S10
2 days agoS6E10
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Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:37 AM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:07 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:31 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.61.61.51.310.70.40.20.20.40.71.11.31.41.41.210.70.50.30.30.50.8

Tide / Current Tables for Morehead City, North Carolina (2)
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Morehead City
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:16 AM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:43 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:46 PM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:44 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.23.12.82.21.50.90.50.40.71.21.82.32.72.82.62.11.510.60.60.81.31.92.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.