Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:00PM Monday September 25, 2017 6:17 PM EDT (22:17 UTC) Moonrise 10:56AMMoonset 9:39PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 538 Pm Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions possible. NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 10 ft, building to 10 to 15 ft. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough after midnight. A chance of showers.
Tue..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 to 16 ft, except around 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, increasing to extremely rough in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Tue night..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 15 ft, except 7 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers extremely rough. A chance of showers.
Wed..Tropical storm conditions possible. NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 13 ft, subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas around 7 ft, subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Beach, NC
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location: 34.7, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 252141
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
541 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
As of 545 pm mon... Maria will continue to advance nnw overnight
and will be around 150 miles east of CAPE hatteras by 12z tue.

Rain chances will increase from east to west overnight, with 50%
outer banks to 20% coastal plain. Overnight lows will range from
mid 70s outer banks to around 70 coastal plain.

.Short term Tuesday
as of 545 pm mon... Maria will begin to turn to the northeast
during the day as it begins to be influenced by an upper level
trof moving in from the west. Rain chances will range from 60%
outer banks to 30% coastal plain. Removed mention of thunder as
forecast soundings show very marginal instability and SPC does
not have area in any thunder. Highs will be in the upper 70s to
lower 80s. Very windy conditions along the coast and outer
banks with nne winds 30-40 mph. Gusts as high as 50-55 mph
possible across the outer banks and downeast carteret county.

Winds not as high further inland, averaging 15-25 mph.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 315 pm Monday... The primary forecast concern through
early Thursday will be impacts associated with hurricane maria.

Maria will move slowly off the nc coast Tuesday through
Wednesday night before an approaching upper level trough and
attendant cold front finally push maria to the east sometime
Thursday. Models are coming into better agreement keeping the
center of maria about 100-150 miles offshore but a large
tropical storm wind field that currently extends 230 miles from
the center and very large seas will still bring moderate to high
impacts across portions of eastern nc, especially the outer
banks.

The slow moving nature of this system will prolong and possibly
enhance the impacts that eastern nc does receive. At this time,
the greatest impacts are expected to be associated with the
large surf impacting the coast and significant beach erosion is
likely with ocean overwash probable in typically prone areas
around times of high tide beginning Tuesday and peaking
at the high tide Wednesday and likely persisting into Thursday.

Highway 12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and
may become impassable at times, especially along pea island.

Coastal flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also
possible but the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how
close maria gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for
amount of inundation from storm surge will be the duration and
magnitude of the northerly winds across the region. The
soundside of the outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and
possibly downeast carteret county, look to be the most
vulnerable locations for sound side flooding at this time.

In addition, tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts are
expected across the eastern third of the region with strongest
winds expected across the outer banks. At this time, rainfall
amounts look to be around 1-2 inches across the eastern half of
the CWA to less than an inch across the coastal plain. We are
not expecting significant impacts from rainfall flooding at this
time but it could be compounded across the outer banks by the
impacts associated with storm surge.

Maria is expected to quickly move away from the area Friday
with an upper level trough approaching from the west. Models do
indicate a very low risk for showers, mainly east portion but
not expecting much in the way of coverage and amounts. Much
cooler weather is in store with highs Friday in the upper 70s-
lower 80s cooling down into the mid 70s Saturday and Sunday.

Aviation 22z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 18z Tuesday ...

as of 1045 am Monday... Scu expected to persist through the taf
period with CIGS remaining mainly MVFR, with some ifr possible
overnight. Scattered showers forecast to spread inland from the
coast tonight with vcsh mentioned at all 4 terminals during the
day tue. N to NE winds around 10 knots overnight, then 15-25
knots Tuesday.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 315 pm Monday... Hurricane maria will move slowly N NE off
the nc coast through early Thursday. Most of the associated
rain is expected to occur east of the TAF sites with only widely
scattered to scattered showers expected Tuesday night and
Wednesday. Main concern is gusty northerly winds 20 to 30 mph
and the potential for a prolonged period of ifr to MVFR ceilings
through Thursday morning. Aviation conditions improve late
Thursday into Friday as hurricane maria finally moves well away
from the coast and drier air spreads into the region.

Marine
Short term through Tuesday ...

as of 545 pm Monday... Building seas and increasing winds will
remain the story for the nc waters. Maria will move nnw
overnight, and is forecast to be around 150 miles east of cape
hatteras at 12z tue. It will begin to move NE during the day tue
as an upper level trof moves in from the west. Winds will
steadily increase overnight into Tuesday, with tropical storm
force winds across much of the marine area Tuesday. Seas
presently 8-14 feet will build to as high as 16-21 feet in the
central waters Tuesday, with lower values to the north and
south.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 315 pm Monday... Hurricane maria will slowly lift north
off the coast Tuesday night through Wednesday night before
accelerating eastward Thursday and Friday. Models continue in
agreement keeping the center of maria about 100-150 miles
offshore but with a large tropical storm wind field and large,
dangerous seas will that will result in rough and hazardous
conditions across the waters with MAX seas around 20 ft and
boating during this period is not recommended through Thursday.

Conditions are expected to begin to improve late Thursday as
maria finally moves away from the waters and winds subside to 15
to 25 kt late. Further improvement is forecast Friday and
Saturday with N NE winds diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas are
forecast to subside below 10 ft late Thursday, and 6 ft late
Friday. Seas Saturday should be 2 to 4 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Tropical storm warning for ncz046-047-081-093>095-103-104.

Beach hazards statement through Tuesday evening for ncz098.

High surf advisory until 2 pm edt Wednesday for ncz098.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 pm Tuesday to 2 pm edt Wednesday
for amz136.

Tropical storm warning for amz130-131-135-137-150-152-154-156-
158.

Synopsis... Jme hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Jme sk
aviation... Hsa jme
marine... Hsa jme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 11 mi48 min NNE 14 G 20 77°F 75°F1009.6 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi78 min N 21 G 25 77°F 1009.5 hPa (-0.8)
41064 34 mi70 min NNE 21 G 29 78°F 1008.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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NE7
G11
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC9 mi21 minNNE 10 G 1810.00 miOvercast78°F72°F82%1010.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC11 mi24 minNNE 1610.00 miOvercast78°F72°F82%1010.6 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC12 mi80 minNNE 17 G 2310.00 miOvercast77°F73°F90%1009.9 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE5NE5N6NE7NE6NE6NE6N8N7N7N6N9N8N9
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N12N11
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1 day agoSE4E7NE4NE5NE4NE5NE4N4N3N6N5N5N5N6N8NE10NE12
G21
NE16
G25
NE12NE14
G21
NE11
G17
NE8NE8NE8
2 days agoSW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4NW4CalmCalmNW5N5N7N7N9N6Calm--NE7NE6E4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:29 AM EDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:53 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:55 PM EDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:44 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.21.21.10.90.70.50.30.30.40.60.91.11.31.41.31.210.70.50.40.40.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:58 AM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:23 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:22 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.71.61.41.10.80.50.40.40.611.41.71.91.91.71.41.10.80.60.50.50.71.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.