Monday, April24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 7:49PM Monday April 24, 2017 9:15 AM EDT (13:15 UTC) Moonrise 4:23AMMoonset 4:52PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 646 Am Edt Mon Apr 24 2017
.gale warning in effect from 5 pm edt this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt this afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tonight..E winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming se 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except around 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Beach, NC
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location: 34.7, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 241105
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
705 am edt Mon apr 24 2017

Synopsis
A complex low pressure system will impact eastern north carolina
today into Tuesday. High pressure in the central atlantic will
build in Wednesday through Friday.

Near term /today/
As of 7 am mon... Latest analysis shows upper low over al/ga
this morning, with 1014mb sfc low over savannah, ga and
associated warm front inching towards the nc coast, now just
off the outer banks. Closed upper low will pivot into southern
ga and sc today as strengthening surface low re-develops off the
sc coast late today and tonight. Latest radar imagery shows
widespread showers with isolated embedded tstms this morning.

Will continue to monitor convection along the coast this morning
for potential spin ups moving onshore as instability
increases... Though threat appears low at this time. Showers
on/off today, becoming more widespread this afternoon and
evening with deep moisture feed from the e/se, combined with
increasing lift and moisture transport. SPC has most of the area
outlooked in marginal risk for severe storms. An isolated
strong thunderstorm will be possible with the potential for
damaging wind gusts, hail and/or a tornado. The flash flood
watch continues late today and tonight, includes all but the far
northern counties and outer banks. Low level thickness values
and widespread clouds/precip support highs in the upper 60s/mid
70s today, coolest inland where ne/e winds will persist through
the day.

Short term /tonight/
As of 330 am mon... Stacked low will continue to lift along the
carolina coast tonight, with widespread showers and isolated
thunderstorms. SPC keeps most of the area in a marginal risk for
severe wx, with modest instability, 0-6km shear increasing to
30-40kt, and good low level helicity. An isolated strong
thunderstorm will be possible with the potential for damaging
wind gusts, hail and/or a tornado. Nssl WRF shows area of
organized convection developing over coastal sc/se nc early
evening, then pushing NE through enc late evening and overnight.

Flash flood watch continues, with periods of heavy rainfall
likely. Latest guidance suite does keep the heavier rainfall
s/sw of the area tonight, but could still see storm total 2-4"
with locally higher amounts 5", especially across the w/sw zones
where the watch remains in place as pwat values climb to above
1.5". Expect precip to taper off early Tuesday morning, from sw
to ne. Strong winds will develop tonight along the coast as low
lifts northward. Issued wind advisory for the outer banks, with
gusts up to 50 mph.

Long term /Tuesday through Sunday/
As of 245 am mon... Stacked low pressure will lift NE across the
region tue. Main precip band will shift offshore during the
morning with some dry slotting aloft spreading in. Cool temps
aloft will lead to rapid CU development if get any Sun with sct
shra and few tsra expected rest of the day. Given cool temps
aloft some hail could develop with stronger storms. High will
be in the 75 to 80 dgr range most areas. Will cont to have some
wraparound shra Tue night espcly cst as the low drifts offshore.

Drier air will spread in Wed as the low departs with no precip
expected and highs reaching upr 70s/lower 80d inland to mid/upr
70s cst.

Warm and mainly dry weather expected rest of the period as
ridging aloft develops over the area with low lvl SW flow
around offshore high press. Cant rule out isold late day tsra
along sea breeze inland but overall not expecting much precip.

With good deal of Sun shld see highs 85 to 90 inland to upper
70s low 80s coast Thu through mon. Lows will be mainly in the
60s with some coastal sites holding in the lower 70s at times.

Aviation /12z Monday through Friday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 7 am mon... Widespread ifr/lifr ceilings remain locked in
this morning... With sub-vfr conditions expected through the bulk
of the period. Forecast soundings and high res narre guidance
show ceilings lifting later this morning and early afternoon,
esp for oaj/ewn as warm front lifts through the terminals. Low
confidence on when exactly ifr ceilings lift to MVFR or possibly
vfr... At this time think between 15-18z for the inland sites.

Guidance hangs onto ifr most of the day, though forecast
sounding and high res guidance show ceilings lifting. Though, pgv/iso
could remain locked in with ifr ceilings through most of today.

Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms today and
tonight, with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. Isolated
thunderstorms could become strong to severe. Wind gusts 20-25
mph today and tonight.

Long term /tue through fri/...

as of 245 am mon... Expect pds of subVFR Tue into Tue night as
shra and a few tsra cross assoc with stacked low pres. Drier air
will start spread in Wed and shld seeVFR.VFR will cont thu
and Fri as summer time pattern develops with offshore high pres
leading to warm SW flow over the region. An isold aftn/evening
tsra poss along sea breeze but majority of time will be dry.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 7 am mon... Latest obs show ne/s winds 10-20kt with seas
5-7 feet. A complex low pressure system will impact the waters
through the period, with dangerous boating conditions developing
this afternoon and tonight. The warm front looks like it is now
just east of the outer banks, as associated low pressure area
tracks through the se. The low is forecast to move along the nc
coast tonight into Tuesday. Gale warnings continue for the
coastal waters, sounds, and alligator river. SCA continues for
the inland rivers. Conditions will deteriorate quickly this
afternoon and evening, with se/e winds increasing to 20-30kt,
with gusts 40-50 kt, strongest across the outer central waters,
peaking tonight. Nwps shows seas building to 8-15 feet. Issued
high surf advisory north of CAPE lookout, for rough surf and
minor beach erosion.

Long term /tue through fri/...

as of 245 am mon... Stronger winds will be NE of region by tue
morn with flow become s/sw 10 to 15 kts as low press lift ne
just inland. Winds become more W Tue night into Wed morn as low
lifts NE of region. Pred SW flow 10 to 15 kts then expected
later Wed into Fri as high pres offshore becomes dominant
feature.

Despite diminishing winds seas will remain elevated thru mid
week. Seas Tue morn 6 to 10 ft will grad diminish to 5 to 7
feet by later wed. Thu thru Fri expect 3 to 5 foot seas with sw
winds chop and lingering swell.

Hydrology
As of 330 am mon... Flash flood watch continues for w/sw sections
of the CWA as this area has best chance of seeing storm total 2-3
inches of rain with locally higher amounts up to 5 inches.

Latest guidance suite does show the area of heaviest rain
remaining s/sw of the area late today and tonight, though will
keep watch in place. Heaviest rain is expected late today and
overnight, as low strengthens and moves along the carolina
coast.

Tides/coastal flooding
As of 7 am mon... High surf advisory continues for beaches north
of CAPE lookout, with rough surf developing late today and
tonight. Could see minor water level rises for soundside areas
adjacent to the pamlico sound, vulnerable to e/se winds
(mainland dare/hyde, beaufort, pamlico) late today and
tonight... But at this time think levels should remain less than
2 ft above normal given the short duration of strongest winds.

High threat of rip currents at all beaches today.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Flash flood watch from 2 pm edt this afternoon through Tuesday
morning for ncz044-079-080-090>095-098.

Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
103-104.

High surf advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 8 am edt
Tuesday for ncz095-103-104.

Wind advisory from 7 pm this evening to 6 am edt Tuesday for
ncz103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 5 am edt
Tuesday for amz136-137.

Gale warning from 5 pm this afternoon to 7 am edt Tuesday for
amz135-152-154.

Gale warning from 11 pm this evening to 7 am edt Tuesday for
amz130-131-150.

Gale warning from 5 pm this afternoon to 2 am edt Tuesday for
amz156-158.

Synopsis... Cqd
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Rf/sgk
aviation... Rf/cqd
marine... Rf/cqd
hydrology... Mhx
tides/coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 11 mi45 min ENE 5.1 G 6 68°F 65°F1009.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi75 min SE 13 G 14 72°F 1010 hPa (+0.4)
41159 34 mi32 min 71°F7 ft
41064 34 mi67 min SSE 14 G 21 73°F 1009.5 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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NE10
G13
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G14
NE9
G14
NE9
G16
NE9
G18
NE10
G14
NE11
G15
NE12
G16
NE12
G20
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G16
NE12
G17
NE10
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G14
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N4
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SW4
G12
SW7
G11
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G14
SW10
G15
SW13
G20
SW9
G16
SW12
G17
SW13
G17
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G18
SW15
G22
SW15
SW12
G17
SW10
G14
SW5
G10
SW5
G10
W4
G8
NE8
G14
NE7
G11
N8
G12
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G15
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G14
NE12
G15
NE5
G11
2 days
ago
SW6
G13
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G10
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G10
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G15
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G14
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G17
SW13
G18
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G19
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SW9
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G14
SW6
G11
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G9
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G12
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G8
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G12
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G9
SW7
G12
SW5
G11
SW5
G10
SW4
G10
SW5
G10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC9 mi18 minNNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy67°F66°F97%1010.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC11 mi81 minNE 47.00 miOvercast66°F64°F93%1010.7 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC12 mi77 minENE 510.00 miOvercast68°F68°F100%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9NE11
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NE10NE10NE10NE9NE9NE9
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NE5NE8NE6NE7NE8NE7NE7NE5
1 day ago--------SW14
G20
SW11
G21
SW13
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SW13SW12
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SW11SW10SW10
G17
SW9CalmN7N7N4N6NE8N9
G18
NE7NE7NE7
2 days agoSW9SW8SW11SW9
G16
SW10
G17
SW8
G17
SW10
G21
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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
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Mon -- 02:47 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:30 AM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:03 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:58 PM EDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2-0-0.10.10.40.81.11.31.31.20.90.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.20.61.11.41.51.41.2

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:21 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:05 AM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:37 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2000.30.81.31.71.81.71.51.10.60.20-00.20.71.21.7221.81.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.