Thursday, March21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 7:21PM Thursday March 21, 2019 7:46 AM EDT (11:46 UTC) Moonrise 7:13PMMoonset 6:48AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 651 Am Edt Thu Mar 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday morning...
Today..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 15 to 25 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy late this morning and afternoon. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms early this morning.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough after midnight. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except around 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Fri night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.71, -76.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 211059
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
659 am edt Thu mar 21 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will lift north across the area this morning and
push a cold front through this afternoon. Another, mainly dry
cold front will push across the area late Friday. High pressure
will build into the area this weekend. A storm system is
expected to impact the region early to mid next week.

Near term today
As of 7 am thu... Latest sfc analysis shows surface low moving
north through the coastal plain. The low will continue to
quickly lift north through the area this morning and pushing
northward into southern va by early afternoon, and pushing a
cold front through the area. A few meso-lows have formed over
the waters this morning, east of the main low center. Latest
radar imagery shows an organized area of showers and isolated
embedded tstms moving just east of CAPE lookout this morning.

High res guidance is in pretty good agreement showing this band
of showers pushing nne across the area through 16z. Best precip
chances for the next few hours will be across the east northeast
portions of the area. Bulk of instability remains offshore but
could be enough to support isolated storms east of the low along
the coast. Locally heavy rain will be possible for a few hours
this morning, which could lead to minor flooding in low lying
areas. The rain could end a bit sooner than currently depicted
in the forecast as the mid level dry slot surges east. Most if
not all of the afternoon should be mostly dry as the flow shifts
to the SW and W behind the low and cold front. High temps in
the upper 50s to low 60s.

Short term tonight
As of 3 am thu... Surface low will continue to move quickly
northward along the mid-atlantic NE coast tonight, while axis of
strong upper trough pushes through the carolinas. The strong
dynamics and lingering low moisture should be enough to support
isolated to widely scattered light showers this evening and
tonight. Will keep sc low chance pops, best chances across the
southern half of the area. Any precip chances will be ending
quickly by sunrise Friday morning, with skies clearing from west
to east. Overnight lows dropping into the low mid 40s inland
and upper 40s to low 50s along the coast.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 3 am thu... Rising heights aloft and developing mid to
upper level downsloping flow will keep deep subsidence and a dry
forecast in place Friday through Friday night. At the surface,
a moisture-starved reinforcing cold front will approach from
the northwest during the day, crossing the area through the
evening. Breezy conditions will ensue behind the front,
especially for coastal areas, as winds shift from westerly to
northwesterly. Highs will reach the lower to mid 60s away from
the immediate coast under mostly sunny skies, before dipping
into the mid to upper 30s Friday night as low level CAA fills in
behind the cold front. Winds are expected to remain elevated
enough overnight to preclude any significant frost threat.

Saturday and Sunday... Deep layer subsidence prevails Saturday
through Sunday - keeping sunny clear conditions in place. Cool
high pressure builds in from the west Saturday, bringing
decreasing winds and below normal temps, before passing
overhead and offshore Sunday. Many locations away from the
immediate coast will see freezing temperatures, or at least
frost, Sunday morning given the cool airmass in place and light
winds clear skies efficient radiation expected. Frost freeze
headlines are likely given that the growing season has begun.

Monday through mid-week... Unsettled weather is expected early
next week, with global guidance gradually coming into better
agreement. In general, an upper trough is expected to dig across
the eastern us Monday into Tuesday, developing low pressure
across the midwest and lifting it across new england. Locally,
the cold front associated with this system is the dominate
feature for bringing precip, with the greatest shower chances
arriving in the warm sector ahead of the front Monday night
into Tuesday. The front should move through the area during the
day Tuesday, with high pressure building in behind it. However,
there are indications that low pressure could develop along the
front to our south and ride up the coast or offshore midweek,
justifying chance pops persisting for the immediate coast
through Wednesday. Temps will be above normal ahead of the cold
front, and below normal behind the cold front.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am thu... High confidence in pred sub-vfr conditions
through early this afternoon. A mix of MVFR and ifr currently
across the sites. An area of low pressure will lift north
through the area early this morning. Ceilings will slowly lift
to MVFR later this morn then rapidly improve toVFR this
afternoon as low clouds sct out. Bulk of the rain is now east of
the sites, though could see some scattered showers through 14z.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 3 am thu...VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday. A
cold front will approach from the west early next week, and
increasing moisture ahead of the front will bring the potential
for at least periods of flight restrictions beginning Monday
morning.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am thu... Latest obs show SW SE winds 10-20 kt north of
hatteras, and 15-25 kt south of hatteras, with seas 7-11 ft.

Scas continue for the waters and pamlico sound. An area of low
pressure will move north and inland across eastern nc this
morning then push a cold front across the waters as the low
moves well north of the area this afternoon. Gusty SE winds
15-25 kt will continue this morning, then veer behind the low
becoming SW 15-25 kt by this afternoon. Gusty westerly winds
15-25 kt will develop tonight. Dangerous seas 7-12 ft this
morning will subside to 6-9 ft this afternoon and 5-8 ft
tonight.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 3 am thu... A dry cold front will cross the waters later
in the day on Friday, bringing a surge of northwesterly winds
Friday night into Saturday. The SCA for the coastal waters
remains in effect into Saturday to cover this, and additionally
scas for the sounds and possibly rivers may be needed as well.

Given that the winds are offshore, seas will continue to
gradually subside nearshore despite continued breezy conditions,
while beyond 10 nm offshore seas will remain around 5 to 8 ft
into the day Saturday.

Later Saturday, high pressure crossing the region will bring
improving marine conditions, as winds and seas subside through
Sunday morning. Then, late Sunday, the high will move offshore
and southerly winds will develop, steady increasing through
early week ahead of a strong cold front approaching from the
west.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 7 am thu... Gusty SE flow will lead to higher than normal
water levels along the south facing beaches through late this
morning. High surf advisory continues through 10 am for rough
surf and minor beach erosion for the beaches from oregon inlet
to north topsail beach.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... High surf advisory until 10 am edt this morning for ncz095-098-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Saturday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Saturday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Hsa cb
aviation... Cqd cb
marine... Cqd cb
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 3 mi35 min SW 4.1 G 8.9 56°F 55°F1011.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi47 min WSW 9.9 G 14 58°F 1011 hPa (-1.2)55°F
41159 36 mi17 min 61°F10 ft
41064 37 mi39 min W 16 G 25 57°F 61°F1010.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last
24hr
N16
G23
N13
G19
NE16
G22
NE11
G17
NE11
G18
N11
G15
NE11
G14
N10
G13
NE10
G16
N10
G14
NE6
G11
N6
G9
NE13
G20
NE7
G10
SE14
G19
SE18
E15
G21
E14
G21
E13
G20
SE14
G17
SE16
G21
SE15
G20
S20
G25
SW7
G11
1 day
ago
N15
G20
N14
G20
NE18
G27
NE15
G22
N18
G22
N20
N20
N16
G24
N15
G21
N15
G19
N16
G24
NE12
G19
N15
G23
NE12
G20
N14
G19
N14
G20
N16
G22
N15
G23
N14
G21
N18
G23
N17
G21
N15
G25
N12
G24
N12
G21
2 days
ago
N4
NE5
NE6
G11
NE6
G11
E8
G12
SE9
SE10
SE10
S7
G11
SE8
SE7
G10
SE3
NE4
N15
G24
N15
G23
N13
G17
N9
G15
N13
G19
N12
G18
N11
N11
G17
N12
G18
N14
G19
N13
G19

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC4 mi1.8 hrsSSE 1310.00 miLight Rain62°F54°F75%1011.3 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi53 minSW 119.00 miLight Rain58°F57°F97%1010.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC16 mi50 minSW 1210.00 miOvercast56°F53°F90%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last 24hrN12
G21
N17
G23
NE13
G21
NE11NE9
G18
NE9
G15
NE9NE9N14N12NE9N8NE7NE9
G20
SE11SE12
G17
E13
G21
E10
G21
E12
G19
SE11
G19
SE13
G20
SE12
G20
S13SW7
1 day agoN16N14
G21
NE19
G27
NE17
G28
NE17
G25
N18
G27
N18
G26
NE14
G23
NE16
G23
N15
G25
N17
G26
NE16
G24
NE16
G22
N17
G21
NE14
G22
NE13
G23
N16
G21
NE17
G28
N14
G27
N16
G22
N18
G23
N15
G23
NE15
G24
N16
G21
2 days agoNE3NE5E8NE8E9E9SE9SE7SE7E5SE7E3NE4NE20
G30
N17
G22
N13N13
G20
N13N11N11N14N13
G21
N15
G20
N13

Tide / Current Tables for Atlantic Beach Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Atlantic Beach Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:15 AM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:18 AM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:39 PM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:40 PM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.20.4-0.3-0.6-0.50.10.91.82.62.92.82.41.60.80-0.4-0.5-0.10.71.62.42.932.7

Tide / Current Tables for Lenoxville Point, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Lenoxville Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:25 AM EDT     -0.56 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:44 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:49 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:06 PM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.40.6-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.10.61.42.12.62.72.41.70.90.2-0.3-0.5-0.20.41.21.92.52.72.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.