Thursday, April26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Broad Creek, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:50PM Thursday April 26, 2018 5:04 AM EDT (09:04 UTC) Moonrise 3:33PMMoonset 3:39AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 309 Am Edt Thu Apr 26 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until noon edt today...
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late this morning and afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. Isolated showers and tstms in the evening, then showers likely with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Broad Creek, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260826
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
426 am edt Thu apr 26 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build in briefly today. Several weak
disturbances will affect the area from late tonight into the
weekend, followed by high pressure early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 315 am thurs... Clear skies and light westerly winds have
allowed temperatures to cool into the mid to upper 50s inland,
and the upper 50s to low 60s near the coast. Fog has developed
on and off in various spots across eastern nc, and should become
more consistent as we head towards morning. As an upper trough
pulls away this morning, a dry front will move through the
region, and allow winds to become northerly. Low temps will be
similar to current temps, ranging from the low 50s inland, to
the upper 50s near the coast.

High pressure will briefly build into the area later this
morning, and winds will shift to the east. This shift, combined
with the seas breeze will enable showers to break out along the
hwy 17 corridor from late morning into the afternoon. Have
chance and slight chance pops for these areas as a result. High
temperatures will be warm again, and climb into the mid to upper
70s away from the coast, and the upper 60s to low 70s near the
waters.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Friday
As of 320 am thurs... A dry evening is expected, as any showers
will dissipate after the afternoon hours. However, an
approaching shortwave trough and surface low moving up the spine
of the appalachians will bring showers into the region by early
tonight. Have chance pops initially tonight, which then
increase to likely overnight, as more widespread showers move
in. Scattered thunderstorms are also possible, as higher cape
air advects into the region when winds become southerly after
midnight. Low temperatures will again be mild with cloud cover
and showers, mostly in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 330 am Thursday... Models remain in decent agreement during
period with several disturbances moving through Friday into
Saturday, followed by upper low finally moving across to NE of
area late Sunday into early Monday. After brief cooling trend,
heights building surface and aloft will result in warming trend
tue-wed.

Friday into Saturday... Dampening short wave will be lifting n
of area early Friday with lingering scattered shower isolated
tstm threat over NE half of area in the morning. Approaching
elongated shortwave trough will produce isolated convective
threat over western and northern sections in afternoon and all
areas Fri night. Models have trended drier for Saturday with
shortwave moving off coast early and have dropped pops given
limited moisture and lift. Guidance has trended warmer for max
temps both days and raised highs to near 80 inland sections.

Saturday night through Wednesday... Dry cold front will move
through Sat night followed by initial surge of CAA late sat
night into Sunday. Then strong but dry upper trough associated
with upper low will move through Sunday evening, resulting in
secondary CAA surge late Sun night into Mon morning. Cooling
trend will be short-lived as heights will be building quickly
mon night into Tuesday with upper ridge extending over area from
s-sw. No precip expected through the period and main focus will
be temp forecast with readings 5-10 degs below normal for sat
night through Mon night, then moderating to above normal
midweek. It is noted that ECMWF mos is indicating min temps in
mid to upper 30s for Monday morning while GFS mos supports lower
40s.

Aviation 08z Thursday through Monday
Short term through 06z Friday ...

as of 325 am thurs...VFR conditions are expected through the
next couple hours, and then MVFR and brief periods of ifr
conditions are likely with fog developing. Skies are clear
tonight and winds are mostly calm across the airspace. This, and
abundant low level moisture will allow patchy fog to develop
later this morning. There have already been some brief periods
of fog at various local sites, but think the most widespread fog
conditions will develop the few hours before sunrise. Soon
after daybreakVFR conditions will return with partly cloudy
skies for Thursday. Scattered showers are expected to develop in
the afternoon and could briefly inhibit flying conditions.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am Thursday...VFR expected most of period. Brief sub-
vfr possible with scattered showers isolated tstms Friday into
Friday night.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 325 am thurs... Winds currently westerly 10-15 kts, will
shift to the north later this morning at 5-10 kts. Then, this
afternoon, as high pressure briefly builds in, winds shift to
the east 5-10 kts, but then become southerly 10-20 kts after
midnight as low pressure approaches. Seas are currently 5-7 ft
across the coastal waters, and will continue to dissipate today.

Seas will drop below small craft levels this afternoon, and be
mostly 3-5 ft through tonight. Early Friday morning, seas will
again build to 4-6 ft.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am Thursday... Low pressure moving across to NW will
will result in SW winds 15-20 kt Friday. A weak front will
result in a brief wind shift late Fri night into Saturday, then
a stronger front will move through Saturday night followed by a
northerly surge of 15-20 kt winds Sunday. Secondary front moving
through Sunday night will result in another period of NW 15-20
kt winds early Monday.

Seas will build again to near 6 ft outer southern and central
waters Friday with increasing SW winds. Seas then gradually
subsiding to 3-4 ft by late Saturday and persisting into Monday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until noon edt today for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for amz150.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jbm
aviation... Jbm sgk
marine... Jbm sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 13 mi53 min W 1.9 G 2.9 62°F 64°F1009.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 21 mi65 min W 6 G 7 1009.7 hPa (-0.0)
41159 35 mi35 min 66°F4 ft
41064 36 mi57 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 66°F 66°F1007.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW7
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G14
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G16
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G19
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G12
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SW6
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SE17
G21
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G27
E18
G26
SE21
G27
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G30
SE24
G31
SE2
G8
NE7
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G8
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NE6
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SE14
G17
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G23
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G23
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E7
G11
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G18
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G24
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E14
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SE16
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G21
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SE15
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SE15
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC7 mi68 minWNW 310.00 miFair54°F54°F100%1010.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC13 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair58°F55°F93%1009.6 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW8S9W9SW11SW10SW9SW14SW14SW13SW14
G18
SW12W14SW11W7NW10
G19
W5W5W3W4CalmW3CalmW3
1 day agoE14
G21
E16
G24
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G25
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G28
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G29
SE22
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E11SE10E6E9E7E5SE14
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SE14SE12SE9S9W9SW3CalmSW8SW8
2 days agoE10E8E10E11E13E12
G21
E13
G20
E12E13E14E13E11E15
G22
E14
G22
E14E14
G20
E16
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E12E13SE15E13
G22
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G19
SE14
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SE14
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:43 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:33 AM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:15 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:07 PM EDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.100.20.50.81.11.31.31.20.90.60.30-0.1-00.20.611.21.41.31.10.8

Tide / Current Tables for N.C. State Fisheries, North Carolina
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N.C. State Fisheries
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:31 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:18 AM EDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:03 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:52 PM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.30.91.51.92.22.11.81.40.80.3-0-0.100.51.11.72.12.221.71.10.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.