Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Broad Creek, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:03PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 10:04 AM EST (15:04 UTC) Moonrise 12:27PMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 40% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 859 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.gale warning in effect from this evening through Thursday afternoon...
Rest of today..NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A chance of showers.
Tonight..NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt becoming e. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. Showers.
Thu..SE winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 11 ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough in the afternoon. Rain with a chance of tstms.
Thu night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. NEar shore, seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 4 to 5 ft after midnight. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A slight chance of rain in the evening.
Fri..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Broad Creek, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.72, -76.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 141415
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
915 am est Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis
An area of low pressure will move along the coast tonight and
move north of the area Thursday. High pressure will ridge
into the region later Friday through the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 915 am Wednesday... Little if any rain being reported over
nrn tier where rdr shows some weak returns. Mdls show drying
spreading S so lowered or dropped pops across NRN tier with
small chc S late... Very little QPF expected.

Prev disc... Based on radar coverage, made some adjustments to
the pops for this updates, indicating higher pops inland with
lesser coverage near the coast, which mirrors the latest run of
the hrrr. In fact, the hrrr and NAM wrf shows very little
precipitation actually reaching the coast today. What rainfall
is very light with vsby of 10 miles reported at most of the
observation sites. With low clouds locked in, today will be
rather chilly with highs only in the mid upper 40s inland and
mid 50s along the coast. Gusty NE winds will continue,
especially near the coast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 340 am Wednesday... As low pressure off the florida coast
early this morning moves up the coast tonight, rain should
become widespread overnight with pops increasing to categorical
southern zones and likely northern areas by midnight tonight.

The mhx CWA remains in the cold sector tonight with lows in the
upper 30s outer banks ranging to the lower 50s along the outer
banks. Some heavier QPF will start to approach the coast after
midnight and rain amounts of one-half to one inch will be
possible along the coastal zones. This rainfall, added to the
2-4 inches of rain that was observed over much of the region
Tuesday morning, will lead to some flooding of low-lying areas,
thus a flash flood watch has been issued for the entire CWA (see
more details in the long term discussion).

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 230 am wed... A strong storm system will travel inland up
the east coast Thursday into Friday, bringing strong winds,
heavy rain, and the threat for severe weather to eastern nc.

Cooler, drier high pressure will build in this weekend, and then
a week coastal trough develops Monday and could bring some rain
showers to the coast. High pressure will then build in again
through midweek.

Thursday... Low pressure will be over sc by Thursday morning and
will be strengthening as it travels up the east coast. Most of
eastern nc will be in the warm sector, with the exception of the
eastern coastal plain. Temperatures and dewpoints will rise
into the 60s and low 70s which will set the stage for the
possibility of severe weather. Strong low and mid level shear
will be present Thursday, which combined with CAPE values
500-1000 j kg, and high SRH values, will allow for the
development of organized convection and even supercells. Severe
weather threats include strong damaging wind gusts, and the
possibility of a tornado. Heavy rain will also fall across the
area as pwat values approach 2", with storm total rainfall of
1-2 inches expected over the coastal plain, and 2-4 inches east
of us 17. With many areas in eastern nc 200-300% above normal
rainfall over the past two weeks, have elected to include all
the area in a flash flood watch. Will have mostly categorical
pops through the day, and then have pops decreasing from west to
east Thursday night. Temperatures will tumble into the 40s and
50s overnight as the cold front behind the system pushes through
the area.

Friday through Sunday... High pressure will build in behind the
departing system, and it will be cooler as much of the us will
be under a longwave trough. A modest warming trend will be
present from Friday into the weekend, with highs Friday in the
mid to upper 50s, and then by Sunday high temps will reach the
upper 50s to low 60s across eastern nc. Low temps will reach the
upper 30s inland, and low to mid 40s near the coast (except obx
which will remain in upper 40s low 50s).

Monday and Tuesday... A weak coastal trough will develop on
Monday, which could bring some rain showers east of us 17. Will
introduce slight chance to chance pops along the coast. Then,
high pressure will build in again from the north on Tuesday,
with dry weather expected. High temps will range from the upper
50s to low 60s Monday, with slightly cooler conditions expected
Tuesday. Lows continue to be around average.

Aviation 14z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 12z Thursday ...

as of 645 am Wednesday... With the exception of kiso,VFR
conditions are currently being reported at the TAF sites as
light rainfall is occurring at locations reporting 10 miles
vsby. ExpectVFR conditions to continue for the balance of the
day as the precipitation remains very light. All numerical
guidance indicates lowering ceilings with widespread ifr
conditions likely tonight as precipitation increases with
approach of surface low from the south. Gusty NE winds today
should veer to SE by late tonight.

Long term Thursday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am wed... Ifr conditions are likely as low pressure
impacts the area through Thursday night.VFR conditions return
Friday through the weekend.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 915 am Wednesday... Added pamlico sound to gale warning
tonight into Thu as looks like at least pd of gusts AOA 35 kts
likely. Also put up SCA for pamlico river zone where shld see
gusts reach 25 kts tonight and thu.

Prev disc... No major changes needed to the marine forecast as
gusty NE winds and rough seas continue. Based on model trends,
have upgraded the gale watch to a gale warning on the coastal
waters and kept the SCA elsewhere. As low pressure, which is
taking shape off the florida east coast this morning, moves
northeast along the carolina coast, winds will increase with
25-35 knot winds and gusts up to 40 knots on the coastal waters.

The winds veer from NE tonight to SE by early Thursday as a
warm front moves north along the coast. Seas should build to as
high as 10-12 feet later this evening and tonight, creating very
rough sea conditions through the period.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 300 am wed... Deepening low pressure move north through nc
on Thursday. Strong onshore winds of 25 to 35 kt will develop
with the low approaching through mid day, and then begin to
diminish late Thursday as low lifts to the north. Gale warning
has been issued for the coastal waters, and will last through
Thursday evening. Small craft advisories are up for the inland
rivers and sounds as well. Conditions should begin to improve
Friday, but seas look to remain elevated through Friday night.

High pres will build in from the W over the weekend with winds
mainly 10-15 kt and seas subsiding to 2-4 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Flash flood watch from this evening through Thursday evening
for ncz029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 1 pm est
Thursday for amz136.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Thursday for amz137.

Gale warning from 11 pm this evening to 1 pm est Thursday for
amz135.

Small craft advisory until 3 pm est Thursday for amz130-131.

Gale warning from 10 pm this evening to 5 pm est Thursday for
amz150-152-154-156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk cb
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Rf ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 13 mi167 min NNE 13 G 17 52°F 65°F1026.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 21 mi65 min N 21 G 26 1027.5 hPa (+2.8)
41159 35 mi185 min 75°F7 ft
41064 36 mi177 min ENE 21 G 31 59°F 75°F1023.3 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
W2
G5
SW3
SW4
G9
SW4
G8
W5
G8
SW4
G9
W3
G6
SW1
NW2
NW5
N9
G12
N9
G13
N13
G16
N8
G14
N13
G16
N15
G19
N16
G20
N13
N11
G19
N11
G16
N13
G20
N15
G20
N14
G22
N14
G24
1 day
ago
NE12
G17
NE9
G14
NE9
G16
NE7
G11
NE7
G11
E4
SE10
SE10
G13
SE12
SE14
G19
SE13
G19
SE12
G15
SE15
G20
SE11
G16
S11
G16
SE14
G18
S10
S21
G26
S15
G20
W6
G24
S18
G28
W2
G6
S3
SW3
2 days
ago
NE11
G18
NE14
G18
NE14
G18
N12
G17
N9
G15
N9
G14
N11
G15
N8
G11
N8
NE4
NE4
G7
N9
NE6
G9
N6
N5
N8
G11
NE7
G10
N6
G10
N4
G8
NE4
G7
N7
N8
G11
NE7
G10
NE10
G16

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC7 mi68 minNE 1110.00 miOvercast51°F45°F80%1028.1 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi71 minNE 1610.00 miOvercast51°F46°F86%1027.5 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC13 mi67 minN 15 G 2310.00 miOvercast52°F46°F80%1027.7 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last 24hrW7SW9SW8SW7SW6SW6NW6NW4NW5N8N10N7N7NE9N5NE8
G17
N10NE11NE8N8NE10
G19
N8NE9
G18
NE11
1 day agoNE9NE12NE12E12E9NE9NE7NE10SE14SE16
G22
SE16
G21
SE14SE12
G19
SE14
G23
SE14S13
G22
S14
G20
S17
G30
S18
G26
W10
G20
NW5W4SW4W4
2 days agoN10
G17
NE13N12
G17
N10NE8N6NE9N6N4N3N5N6N4N3N6NE65NE5N5NE4N4NE6NE9NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:51 AM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:08 AM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:09 PM EST     1.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:04 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.91.11.11.10.90.70.50.40.30.40.50.811.21.31.31.10.90.70.50.40.30.40.5

Tide / Current Tables for N.C. State Fisheries, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
N.C. State Fisheries
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:36 AM EST     1.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:54 PM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:54 PM EST     0.50 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:04 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.71.81.61.41.10.80.60.50.60.91.31.71.921.91.71.41.10.80.60.50.60.91.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.