Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 12:49 PM   Moonset 1:36 AM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 731 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Today - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Tonight - W winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Fri - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 2 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers after midnight. Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. Showers likely. Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Mon - N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 731 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Another round of poor boating conditions is possible early next week in the wake of weekend low pressure.

FXUS62 KMHX 161128 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 728 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
high pressure builds Thursday keeping us dry. Another low pressure system impacts us this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 700 AM Thursday...Showers have moved offshore, and 2-4SM vis fog has started setting up west of 17. Fog should quickly dissipate in the next hour with the help of daytime heating. Lows this morning are observed to be in the low to mid 60s. A nice day is in store today as we settle into the post- frontal air mass and upper ridging builds in. Sea breeze develops in the afternoon, but doesn't progress too far inland due to the NW flow. Moisture profile seems to be too shallow for rain concerns along the sea breeze so kept the forecast dry for today. Temps near 80 along the coastal plain and low to mid 70s along the OBX.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/
As of 500 AM Thursday..Low offshore to our east strengthens a tad, and winds pick up as a result for OBX Thursday night, preventing any decoupling. Over mainland ENC however, we should decouple, allowing us to radiationally cool a bit as ridging keeps us mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s inland, low 60s for beaches. If we end up clearing completely overnight, lows might be even lower to the low to mid 50s, but seems unlikely at the moment.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 430 AM Thursday...High pressure will be across the area Friday but another low pressure system will impact the area this weekend. High pressure builds back in toward the middle of next week.

Friday...Ridging crest over the area Friday but shortwave energy will be approaching that could aid in initiating a few showers during the afternoon, generally along the sea breeze as it migrates inland. Instability will be meager with MUCAPE less than 1000 J/kg keeping tstm chances below mentionable.

Friday night through Sunday night...A complex low pressure system will impact the region through the weekend. A southern stream wave will transport ample gulf moisture into the region Friday night into Saturday with sfc low pressure moving across the region late Saturday or early Sunday. The system then transitions into a vertically stack low as it slowly pushes across the Mid-Atlantic and off the coast through the latter half of the weekend. As with most cut-off systems, there are differences among the models with the evolution, timing and track with this system but unsettled weather will impact the region through much of the period. Beneficial rainfall is expected with much of the area forecast to receive around 1.5-2" with locally higher amounts possible.

Monday through Wednesday...The upper low slowly slides southward early next week with high pressure building across the Mid- Atlantic. There could be a few lingering showers into Monday but expect dry conditions into Wednesday. A mid level shortwave and attendant cold front approaches the area late Wednesday but moisture looks limited at this time with deep layer westerly flow providing subsidence to the lee of the Appalachians.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Thursday night/...
As of 700 AM Thursday...MVFR/IFR conditions are observed for the coastal plain and for NOBX, with VFR elsewhere. Conditions will rapidly improve over the next couple of hours, with fog dissipating with the help of daytime heating and ceilings lifting to 4-5kft and cloud cover decreasing a bit as we get into mid- morning. VFR expected for the rest of Thursday. There is a low chance of fog development where grounds are already saturated from recent rains Thursday night into early Friday morning.

LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
As of 4 AM Thursday...Pred VFR expected through Friday but could see isolated showers during the afternoon bringing brief periods of sub-VFR. A low pressure system will impact the area through the weekend bringing periods of sub-VFR conditions Friday night through Sunday.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 500AM Thursday...SCA for coastal waters between Cape Lookout and Surf City has expired, leaving us with better boating conditions through Thursday. Seas 3-5ft and NE winds near 10kts right now become 2-4ft and NW winds near 10kts this afternoon.

LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
As of 415 AM Thursday...High pressure will be over the waters Friday with winds generally less than 15 kt and seas around 2-4 ft, but could be locally higher near the Gulf Stream. A complex low pressure system will impact the region Friday night through Sunday bringing unsettled weather through the period. Guidance for the most part keeping conditions below SCA criteria through Saturday night as low pressure transits the Southeast. The best opportunity for SCA conditions will develop sometime Sunday and continue into early next week with N to NE winds as low pressure deepens as it pulls offshore. There are differences among the models the timing and track of this system, so be sure to follow updates as details come into focus.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Spooner Creek
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Thu -- 02:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:01 AM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:41 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:34 PM EDT     1.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Spooner Creek, North Carolina, Tide feet

Morehead City
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Thu -- 02:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:07 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:40 PM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Morehead City, North Carolina (2), Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,