Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fence Lake, NM

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 6:02PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 10:34 AM MST (17:34 UTC) Moonrise 7:35PMMoonset 7:53AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fence Lake, NM
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location: 34.73, -109.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Flagstaff, AZ
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Fxus65 kfgz 201110
afdfgz
area forecast discussion
national weather service flagstaff az
410 am mst Wed feb 20 2019

Synopsis A major winter storm will bring widespread heavy snow
and dangerous travel conditions to northern arizona from late
tonight through Friday afternoon. Quieter weather returns for the
weekend with continued below normal temperatures.

Discussion A very cold morning across northern arizona under
clear skies and light winds. The coldest reading as of 4am is the
grand canyon airport sitting at -9 degrees. The daytime hours
will be mainly quiet weather-wise aside from breezy southwest
winds developing through the day. Afternoon high temperatures will
remain well below normal with the higher terrain remaining below
freezing.

Our attention then turns to a major winter storm which will begin
late tonight and continue through Friday afternoon. The winter
storm watch has been upgraded to a winter storm warning across all
of northern arizona. The system is seen on satellite this morning
beginning to take shape across the pacific northwest. The cold
upper level low will dive south into nevada and southern
california by late tonight before slowly moving east across
arizona later Thursday into Friday. The slow movement of the
system will put northern arizona in large-scale ascent for an
extended period of time. Snow will develop across northwest
coconino county by early this evening, progressing south and east
through the remainder of the night. Widespread moderate to heavy
precipitation is expected from early Thursday morning throughout
the day. Latest model guidance remains consistent with the
heaviest precipitation falling along the mogollon rim from
flagstaff southeast to the white mountains. Some of the guidance
has reduced amounts slightly across western coconino county and
this has been reflected in this mornings forecast. However,
several inches of snow are still expected in this area. General
snowfall amounts of 1-2 feet across the higher terrain of the
mogollon rim, white mountains, and higher mountains of yavapai
county still are on track, with locally higher amounts of around 3
feet along the crest of the eastern mogollon rim near forest
lakes. A cold airmass will also allow areas between 3,000-5,000
feet to receive significant accumulations with this system. Travel
will be extremely hazardous during this timeframe and is not
recommended. This is expected to go down as the most impactful
winter storm we have seen so far this season.

The trough will cross the region on Friday with snow showers
diminishing from west to east through the afternoon hours. Snow
will linger into Friday evening across the white mountains.

Generally fair weather returns for the weekend and early next
week. Daytime temperatures over the weekend will remain below
normal, with cold nighttime lows due to the fresh snow cover and
light winds. A gradual warming trend is expected early next week.

Aviation For the 12z package... ExpectVFR conditions with breezy
southerly winds through midday today. By this afternoon, snow
showers will begin in northwest arizona, before spreading to the
southeast during the evening and overnight hours. Expect
deteriorating conditions, with MVFR ifr ceilings and visibilities
likely across the majority of northern arizona. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather For today, expect dry weather and breezy southerly
winds through this afternoon. Then, a strong winter storm system
will bring widespread, heavy snow from tonight into Friday. In
addition, southwest winds from 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 45 mph
are possible Thursday afternoon.

Friday through Sunday... Widespread heavy snow will continue Friday
morning before gradually tapering off to showers in the afternoon.

Dry and cold weather is forecast on Saturday and Sunday.

Fgz watches warnings advisories Winter storm warning from 11
pm this evening to 5 pm mst Friday for azz005-009>016-018-038>040.

Winter storm warning from 5 am Thursday to 8 pm mst Friday for
azz017.

Winter storm warning from 8 pm this evening to 11 am mst Friday
for azz004-006>008-037.

Public... Tps
aviation... Rr
fire weather... Rr
for northern arizona weather information visit
weather.Gov flagstaff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Johns, St. Johns Industrial Airpark, AZ24 mi40 minNE 810.00 miFair29°F15°F56%1012.3 hPa

Wind History from SJN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW15NW16NW17
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W9NW5CalmCalmS3CalmE5NE8
1 day agoW13
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W12W11W13W6CalmNW7W3SW5W5SW5W3W5W6SW8W5W43W3
2 days agoW19SW20
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SW11SW7CalmNE3SE7SE6SW8S7S9S9SW9SW14
G20

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Flagstaff, AZ (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albuquerque, NM
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.