Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Davis, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:26PM Monday June 26, 2017 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC) Moonrise 7:43AMMoonset 9:44PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1241 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
This afternoon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Davis, NC
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location: 34.79, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 261703
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
103 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
A frontal system will meander just off the coast through Tuesday night.

High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through late
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1 pm Monday... Latest sfc analysis is showing the frontal
boundary off the carolina coast has pushed farther more to the
se since this morning. Most of the precipitation is along the
boundary... Therefore have removed the mention of pops out of the
forecast for the rest of today. Today will be a comfortable day
as dewpoints will be lowering which will lead to more sunshine
and rain-free across eastern nc. Expect highs in the low mid 80s
across the area.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
As of 3 am Monday... Surface ridge will slowly start to build in
from the west tonight pushing frontal boundary further
offshore as axis of mid-level trough approaches. This will serve
to push any precipitation even further offshore and will
forecast dry weather overnight. Pleasant temperatures for late
june expected tonight with lower 60s inland ranging to the lower
70s outer banks as dewpoints drop into the upper 50s to lower
60s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 245 am mon... Scattered showers expected Tuesday. Then,
cooler and much drier air will spread into eastern nc Wednesday
through late week. Typical summertime pattern redevelops late
week into next weekend with temps a few degrees above normal and
scattered diurnal driven convection.

Tuesday through Tuesday night... A strong mid-level shortwave
will move through virginia and the carolinas Tuesday into
Tuesday night, supporting scattered showers and possibly a
thunderstorm. Forecast soundings indicate marginal instability
but strong shear and much cooler temps aloft, 500mb temps drop
to -12 -14c, could see some small hail especially a few hours
in the afternoon early evening. Will continue chance pops with
slight chance thunder, but think it will be isolated. Low level
thickness values and predominant N E flow support highs in the
low mid 80s Tuesday, with dewpoints in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Much cooler Tue night with lows dropping into the upper 50s
inland and mid 60s along the coast.

Wednesday through Sunday... Strong high pressure will move overhead
Wednesday, and off the coast late week into the weekend. While
overhead, this high will provide a somewhat refreshing airmass
with lower humidities and cooler temps. Temperatures quickly
warm back up however, as southwest winds return on Thursday and
highs creep back to the mid 80s 90 degrees late week and the
weekend. Low temps in the 60s mid week, then warming back into
the 70s this weekend. Typical summertime pattern redevelops late
week into next weekend, with troughing inland and high pressure
offshore. Dry wx will cont through late week, with scattered
diurnal convective chances by the weekend. Will continue chance
pops inland sc along the coast Sat and sun, with isolated precip
overnight.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Tuesday ...

as of 1 pm Monday... High confidence ofVFR conditions will
dominate most of the TAF period. Clear to scattered high
clouds will skirt through the area due to the offshore frontal
boundary. Skies will clear tonight briefly, then mid to high
clouds will increase as the trough axis approaches closer to
eastern nc. Winds will likely decouple tonight which could lead
to patchy fog to develop. Expect MVFR vsbys from 08-12z
Tuesday.VFR conditions will return back in the morning under
light winds.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 245 am mon...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Scattered showers and storms may produce
brief period of sub-VFR conditions Tuesday. As usual, patchy
fog stratus will be possible most mornings.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 1 pm Monday... No change to forecast. Latest buoy
observations are showing N NE 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 ft. Made
minor tweaks to the wind forecast to reflect observations. Winds
will continue to veer from the NE E by later this morning then
to S SW by tonight ahead of next cold front, but speeds should
remain at 10 knots or less. Seas will remain at 3 feet or less
through the period.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 245 am mon... Generally benign and pleasant boating
conditions expected through late week. A weak cold front will
move through early Tuesday, N NW winds 5-10 kt early, becoming
ne E with seas around 2 ft. Surface high pressure will build
over the area Tuesday night from the northwest, crest over the
waters Wednesday, and move offshore Thursday. Winds will shift
to north northeast 5-15 kts Wednesday, then become southeast to
south 5-15 kts on Thursday. Gradient will tighten Fri with high
pressure offshore and troughing inland, S SW winds increase to
10-15 kt. Seas will be generally 2-3 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc bm
short term... Ctc
long term... Dag cqd
aviation... Cqd bm
marine... Ctc cqd bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 10 mi39 min ESE 7 G 8.9 80°F 78°F1017.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi57 min ENE 8 G 8.9 78°F 1018.2 hPa (-0.6)
41063 30 mi57 min NE 5.8 G 9.7 78°F 1018.4 hPa (-0.7)
41159 46 mi44 min 80°F2 ft
41064 47 mi49 min ESE 5.8 G 9.7 78°F 80°F1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW7
G10
SW5
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SW3
G8
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SW6
G11
SW2
G5
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SW14
G22
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G19
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W6
G16
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G10
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G12
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SW13
G18
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G23
SW9
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G18
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G17
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G18
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G15
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G18
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G20
SW11
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC9 mi59 minENE 510.00 miFair82°F66°F58%1018.4 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC16 mi61 minENE 910.00 miFair0°F0°F%1019.2 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC20 mi63 minNE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F64°F55%1018.5 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW9SW8SW7SW6W4SW6SW5SW4SW6W5NW7N4N6N5N5N5N5N6N6N8NE8E7E5
1 day agoSW23
G29
SW20
G27
SW19
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SW18
G25
SW19SW15
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SW16
G25
SW9W11W8SW10SW12SW12SW10SW7SW8W8W6W6W8SW8W8SW8SW8
2 days agoSW18
G24
SW17
G28
SW20
G27
SW21
G27
SW18SW19
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SW16SW18
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SW22SW22
G31
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Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:02 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:26 PM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:08 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.21.81.30.70.2-0.2-0.3-0.10.411.61.91.91.71.20.80.3-0.1-0.2-0.10.411.6

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
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Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:25 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:09 PM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:31 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.81.40.90.4-0-0.3-0.20.10.61.11.51.71.61.30.90.40-0.2-0.20.10.61.11.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.