Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Davis, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:16 PM EDT (19:16 UTC) Moonrise 9:53AMMoonset 11:05PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds, increasing to 9 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Davis, NC
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location: 34.79, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 281739
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
139 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the west today, and then shift
offshore Thursday. High pressure remains offshore through the
weekend with troughing inland through early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 125 pm wed... Current forecast in good shape; no update
needed.

Prev dis... Temperatures have quickly warmed into the mid-60's
inland, and into the low-70's near the coast. Temperatures will
continue to quickly rise, with abundant sunshine throughout the
area. Afternoon highs are expected to reach the mid upper 80s
inland, and the low 80s along the coast. Dry and mostly sunny
weather is expected today, with high pressure overhead and light
winds initially N NE then shifting NE E as the high pressure
begins to move off of the coast this afternoon into the evening.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 645 am wed... Another clear night is expected with high
pressure in control. Low temps Wednesday night will not drop as
low as this morning, as winds become sse and low level moisture
subtly returns to the region. Still, lows to around 60 are
expected inland, with upper 60s to low 70s likely along the
coast.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 4 am Wednesday... High pressure will shift off the coast
Thursday with return southerly flow developing. Unsettled
weather returns Friday afternoon through Tuesday as scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day.

Thursday... Dry weather is expected through Thursday as high
pressure slowly shifts off the mid-atlantic coast. Winds become
more southeasterly on Thursday, allowing dew points to build
back into the mid 60s by late afternoon. Low level thicknesses
will range 1390-1400 meters Thursday, yielding MAX temps in the
mid to upper 80s across eastern nc, with low 80s along the
coast.

Friday... A weak upper level disturbance will move into the
region Friday morning originating from the gulf of mexico.

Latest guidance indicates showers possible for the southern
half of the CWA on Friday. Will maintain trend of slight chance
pops increasing from the south starting late Thursday night into
early Friday morning. Pops increase to 20 to 40 percent Friday,
highest across southern areas. Shower thunderstorm activity
will shift to the coast and coastal waters Friday night and have
chance pops along the coast for this. High temps will reach the
upper 80s inland with mid 80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Tuesday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
possible each afternoon from Saturday to Tuesday and move
towards the coast overnight. Have broad chance pops for this
period with the highest pops over inland areas during the day,
and along the coast at night. A weak front may aid shower and
thunderstorm development Sunday. High temps will range from the
low 90s inland to mid 80s near the coast, with lows in the
lower to mid 70s.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Short term through 12z Thursday ...

as of 125 pm wed... High confidence forVFR conditions will
mostly dominate the TAF period. High pressure will continue
across the region with a few daytime clouds developing this
afternoon. Skies will clear tonight and winds become
calm... Leading to the increase chance of shallow fog to develop.

Think the best areas will be kpgv and kewn as they are located
next to the river. Any fog development will erode
away during the morning... Leading to mostly clear skies and
light SE flow.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 4 pm Wednesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
Friday afternoon through Sunday as scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible, and could see some periods of
MVFR-ifr fog low stratus early mornings beginning on Friday.

Marine
Short term Wednesday and Wednesday night ...

as of 125 pm wed... Current forecast in good shape; no update
needed.

Pre dis... Winds for the rest of Wednesday and into
Wednesday night will generally be out of the N NE at 10-15 kts,
with gusts to 20 kts, turning to the E later Wednesday evening.

Seas will mostly be 2-3 ft through the period.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday ...

as of 4 am Wednesday... Fair boating conditions expected through
the long term, especially Thursday. Winds will shift SE Thursday
and remain light. SE flow around 10 kt gradually becomes more
southerly by Thursday night into Friday. By Saturday winds
become more southwest and increase to 10-15 kts. This will
continue into Sunday. Could see periods of 15 to 20 kt in the
outer waters Saturday and Sunday. Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft,
with some 4 ft seas possible beginning Saturday across the outer
fringes of the central and southern waters. Nwps and wavewatch
appeared in good agreement through the medium range, with
wavewatch reasonable for the extended period.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme sgk
near term... Jme bm cjl
short term... Sgk
long term... Rsb sgk
aviation... Rsb bm
marine... Rsb jme sgk cjl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 10 mi46 min NNE 6 G 9.9 81°F 78°F1020.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi76 min ENE 12 G 13 78°F 1021.6 hPa (+0.4)
41063 30 mi76 min NNE 7.8 G 12 78°F 1021.9 hPa (+0.5)
41159 46 mi33 min 81°F2 ft
41064 47 mi68 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 78°F 81°F1022 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC9 mi78 minNE 810.00 miFair84°F54°F36%1021.8 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC16 mi20 minNNE 510.00 miFair0°F0°F%1021.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC20 mi22 minVar 610.00 miFair83°F55°F38%1021.4 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7S8S8S6SW8SW5SW5W5NW7NW8N10N7N6N6NE5NE5N6N8N8NE86N7--NE8
1 day agoE6E4NE54E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmN3NW5NW4NW7NW6NW5NW4S8S8
2 days agoSW11SW9SW8SW7SW6W4SW6SW5SW4SW6W5NW7N4N6N5N5N5N5N6N6N8NE8E7E5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:41 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:43 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:14 PM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.6221.91.51.10.60.1-0.1-0.20.10.61.21.61.91.81.61.20.80.40.1-00.10.5

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
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Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:24 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:06 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:57 PM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.81.81.61.20.70.3-0-0.2-0.10.30.71.21.51.71.61.30.90.50.2-000.30.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.