Thursday, March23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Davis, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:23PM Thursday March 23, 2017 12:15 PM EDT (16:15 UTC) Moonrise 3:10AMMoonset 1:56PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1017 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm edt this evening...
Rest of today..NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...increasing to a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Davis, NC
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location: 34.79, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231030
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
630 am edt Thu mar 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the northwest today then slide
offshore Friday. The high will remain offshore through the
weekend with the next frontal system approaching the middle of
next week.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
As of 630 am thu... Cold high pres will build in from the nw
with mainly clear skies. High temps will be well below normal
ranging from mid 40s NE cst to mid 50s s.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Friday/
As of 230 am thu... The strong high will remain centered near
the area leading to good radiational cooling with light winds
and mainly clr skies. Lows will range from around 30 cooler
inland spots to mid/upr 30s beaches.

Long term /Friday through Wednesday/
As of 230 am thu... Used an even blend of the latest GFS and
ecmwf. High pressure off the mid-atlantic coast will move east
as a cold front approaches from the west. A light south wind
Friday will push afternoon highs into the mid/upper 60s with
cooler upper 50s/lower 60s on the outer banks. Deeper southwest
flow forecast Saturday with even warmer highs reaching the
lower/mid 70s with mid 60s outer banks. The cold front
approaches from the west Sunday but deeper moisture lifts out to
the north of the area during the day so will only carry slight
chance pops. Deeper moisture in place Monday ahead of the front
so bumped up pops to 30% all areas. Afternoon highs even warmer
especially along the coastal plain with highs approaching 80.

Cooler along the south coast in the lower/mid 70s and outer
banks in the mid 60s. The front finally pushes through Tuesday
and off the coast Tuesday night. Dynamics not very impressive so
kept pops capped at 30%. Dry weather returns Wednesday with
surface ridge extending into the region from the great lakes.

Aviation /10z Thursday through Monday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 630 am thu... High confidence in mainlyVFR conditions
through the TAF cycle. Mainly clr skies thru period with just
some thin high clouds from time to time. Dew pts will be slowly
increasing later tonight and could see some patchy fog late but
confidence is low so no mention in fcst.

Long term /fri through Monday/...

as of 230 am thu...

vfr through Saturday night, then sub-vfr in isolated
showers/tstms Sunday and in scattered showers/tstms Monday.

Surface winds will be from the ssw 5-10 knots Friday, SW 10-15
knots Saturday, S 10-15 knots Sunday and SW 10-15 knots Monday.

Marine
Short term... /through tonight/...

as of 630 am thu... Updated earlier to issue SCA for pamlico
sound thru the morn as winds have been steadily increasing past
cpl hrs and 06z mdls slightly stronger with winds. As high pres
builds closer these winds shld diminish by around noon.

Otherwise no changes with elevated seas cont today cstl waters.

Prev disc... Ne winds 15 to 25 kts currently will slowly
diminish 10 to 15 kts by this evening... Then become light ese
overnight with the high centered just to the nw. Seas of 6 to 10
ft currently will subside to 4 to 6 feet late today and reach 2
to 4 feet tonight. SCA will end later today or early evening
coastal waters.

Long term /fri through Monday/...

as of 230 am thu... A south southwest flow is forecast through
the long term, with high pressure in the western atlantic and a
cold front approaching from the west early next week. Speeds
will average 5-15 knots. Seas will average 2-4 feet through
Saturday night. Seas will build a bit early next week as the
front gets closer, averaging 3-5 feet north of oregon inlet and
south of CAPE lookout, with 4-7 feet from oregon inlet to
ocracoke.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Freeze warning until 9 am edt this morning for ncz095-098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until noon edt today for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for amz150-
156-158.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Hsa
aviation... Rf/hsa
marine... Rf/hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 10 mi46 min NE 13 G 17 45°F 52°F1035 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi76 min NNE 20 G 23 44°F 1035.7 hPa (+2.6)
41159 46 mi33 min 64°F7 ft
41064 47 mi68 min NE 21 G 27 48°F 1035 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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N17
G26
NE11
G20
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G19
NE10
G22
NE15
G19
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G14
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G17
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G20
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G16
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SW8
G14
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G11
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G13
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G11
W2
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N16
NE9
G15
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NE6
NE11
G18
N7
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G12
N11
N17
G22
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N8
G11
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G12
SW5
G8
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G8
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G8
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G6
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G7
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G7
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G10
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G6
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S4
SW10
SW7
G13
SW6
G15
SW6
G11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC9 mi78 minNE 12 G 2210.00 miFair47°F27°F46%1036.1 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC16 mi4.3 hrsNE 14 miFair0°F0°F%1034.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC20 mi91 minE 157.00 miClear47°F27°F46%1036.2 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN16
G28
NE15
G26
NE14
G22
NE13
G22
NE12
G19
NE14
G21
NE12
G22
NE12
G23
NE10
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NE8NE7NE3N7NE4CalmN6NE6NE66NE11
G19
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G22
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G21
1 day agoSW14
G22
SW15SW13SW13SW12W8SW4CalmCalmE3E5E6E6SE7CalmN14NE10N9E8NE12
G23
N6N8N10NE15
G23
2 days ago--NW10S10SW9S8SW9SW7SW5SW5SW5SW5SW5SW7SW6SW5SW8SW11W5SW4S7SW12SW11SW12
G20
SW14

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:56 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:48 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:06 PM EDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.40.71.11.51.71.71.61.41.10.80.50.30.30.50.81.21.51.61.61.41.10.8

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
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Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:19 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:24 AM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:11 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.50.81.11.41.51.51.41.20.90.60.40.30.40.60.91.21.41.41.31.10.80.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.