Tuesday, May30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 8:26PM Tuesday May 30, 2017 5:13 AM EDT (09:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:13AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 23% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 427 Am Edt Tue May 30 2017
Today..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Scattered showers and tstms this morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..W winds 10 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..W winds 10 kt...becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft... Building to 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 427 Am Edt Tue May 30 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front will approach from the north Tuesday night and then stall through much of the week...maintaining the threat for showers and Thunderstorms each day. SW winds will prevail through much of the week as high pressure off the se u.s. Coast continues its foothold across the area waters.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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Fxus62 krah 300722
afdrah
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
321 am edt Tue may 30 2017

Synopsis
A surface trough will linger over eastern nc today as a series of
upper level disturbances track east across the region. Finally, a
cold front will move southeast across va and nc late Wednesday and
Wednesday night.

Near term through tonight
As of 321 am Tuesday...

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging wind and large hail
possible, mainly from the triangle and fayetteville east to the
coast this afternoon and evening.

Several upper level disturbances will track ene in the fast flow
aloft over the state through this evening. The boundary layer has
stabilized early this morning. However, a nearly stationary front
extended SW to NE through the piedmont. There continued to be
several areas of showers and isolated thunderstorms (much weaker
than the ones of late evening that affected areas across cumberland
and sampson counties east to the coast). We will maintain a rather
high pop early this morning for this shower activity which should
continue to wane through the morning hours.

The amount of clearing today is in question; however, there should
be enough breaks in the overcast to allow significant destabilization
along and ahead of the stationary front late morning into the
afternoon. While the flow aloft is forecast to weaken somewhat, the
shear should continue to help to develop and organize convection,
especially along and ahead of the boundary - and where the
destabilization due to heating is best. Forecast surface dew points
in the mid to upper 60s along with highs in the mid to upper 80s
suggests mlcapes on the order of 1500 to 2000 j kg in the eastern
zones. This combined with the aforementioned wind shear should
support a few severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging wind
again today. The area highlighted will be areas along and east of a
line from fayetteville to the triangle, including the coastal plain.

We will carry low end chance pop in the NW and near likely pop in
the east for this afternoon. The chance of showers storms will
decrease with loss of heating this evening. Lows tonight should be
in the 60s with some upper 50s over the northern piedmont.

Short term Wednesday and Wednesday night
As of 321 am Tuesday...

shortwave energy rotating around the base of the great lakes trough
will push the main cold front into the region Wednesday afternoon
and evening. A few strong storms are possible, but the mid level
shear is expected to be weaker (30-35kt), and the low level moisture
is forecast to be less (dew points in the lower 60s), than in
previous days. Therefore, a few strong wind gusts to 40-45 mph are
likely with any of the storms that get going along the front during
peak heating, as highs reach the mid to upper 80s (90 around fay).

Skies will become mostly clear Wednesday night with lows in the 50s
nw to lower 60s se.

Long term Thursday through Monday
As of 321 am edt Tuesday...

weak high pressure will bring drier conditions Thursday as the
moisture gets suppressed to our south. A bit cooler air will also
reduce highs into the lower to mid 80s, with some upper 70s in the
nw. With dew points in the upper 40s and 50s, it will feel much
cooler. Expect mostly sunny skies.

Moisture will return Friday into the weekend as a new trough is
forecast to develop from the upper midwest into the tennessee valley
and appalachians. This will bring an increase in shower and
thunderstorm chances, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours
Friday through Sunday. Lows warm back to between 65-70, with highs
in the mid to upper 80s.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
As of 145 am edt Tuesday...

MVFR CIGS and vsbys with additional showers and isolated storms
will linger overnight. A period of ifr CIGS are likely, especially
due to the increase in low level moisture from kfay to krdu to krwi
between 09z and 13z today.

Otherwise, generallyVFR conditions will return later this morning.

Vfr conditions are forecast this afternoon, with only a low chance
of a shower or storm in the kfay area this afternoon evening.

Outlook: generallyVFR conditions are expected Wed through fri.

Rah watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Badgett
near term... Badgett
short term... Badgett
long term... Badgett bsd
aviation... Badgett


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi43 min 1016.3 hPa
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi43 min SE 1.9 G 2.9 69°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi21 minN 04.00 miFog/Mist66°F66°F100%1016.4 hPa
Lumberton Municipal Airport, NC17 mi19 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F68°F96%1016 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi77 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy66°F65°F98%1017.8 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi20 minSW 310.00 miFair70°F68°F93%1015.4 hPa

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3W3CalmNW4W4W75NW9NW6SW8W6NW8NW6NW3CalmS3--N9SE5SE3W3S6CalmCalm
1 day agoS7SW4W4W10W9W16
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W10NW8W9W5SW6SW6SW6SW4W4W3SW4W4
2 days agoCalmCalmSW5SW5SW6W8W7W8W10W13
G18
W10W10W12W8W6W6W7SW4SW3CalmCalmSW3CalmS4

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:20 AM EDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:09 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     1.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.3-0.300.511.31.51.61.41.10.70.2-0.1-0.2-0.20.20.60.91.21.31.31.10.7

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:24 AM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:32 AM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:13 PM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.1-0.3-0.200.40.81.11.21.21.10.90.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.40.70.9110.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.