Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Red Springs, NC
May 3, 2024 5:45 PM EDT (21:45 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:23 AM Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 2:46 AM Moonset 2:10 PM |
AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 304 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Through 7 pm - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 11 seconds.
Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds and S 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds and S 1 ft at 4 seconds. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sun night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening.
Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers.
Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night - SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night - SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 304 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - Benign marine conditions continue this weekend into next week. A series of weak fronts will approach from the west and stall inland from the coast early next week, bringing a little better chance for showers and Thunderstorms.
Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 031959 AFDRAH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 359 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
Sub-tropical high pressure will extend across the South Atlantic states today, while a backdoor cold front will move through eastern VA and northeastern NC. The front will settle southwestward and into north-central NC tonight, where it will stall through Saturday night, then weaken and move northward into VA on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 355 PM Friday...
Convection has indeed developed along the differential heating zone described below, while a few isolated cells have otherwise developed in areas of towering cumulus within a lee surface trough over the Piedmont (in and around the Triad and more recently over swrn Wake Co.). Some merging of outflows and additional, pulse/multi-cell development will remain possible with the upstream/differential heating-forced convection into the srn and wrn NC Piedmont through this evening. TCLT has measured 30-40 kt velocity from downdrafts with these cells around SVH and AKH in the past hour. Similarly strong gusts will be possible with these and other more-isolated ones over the Piedmont, where SPC Meso-Analysis data indicates 1000- 1200 J/kg of DCAPE has developed this afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1145 AM EDT Fri May 03 2024/
A mid/upr-level ridge centered near the srn Middle Atlantic coast will remain so through tonight, while a mid-level trough and embedded, weak MCVs now over the ern OH and TN Valleys will be directed around the ridge and into the cntl Appalachians.
At the surface, a 1019-1020 mb sub-tropical high will remain situated off the coast of the Carolinas. Meanwhile, a backdoor cold front, now stretching from the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay nwwd to a 1014 mb frontal low over OH, will merge with a developing bay breeze and move swwd to the vicinity of the Roanoke River between 22Z-00Z. A separate, srn stream front extending from cntl TX enewd and across the lwr MS and TN Valleys, to a 1013 mb frontal low over Middle/wrn TN, then ewd across nrn GA and the Piedmont of the Carolinas, will move little through the period.
With no airmass change from Thu and continued influence of ridging aloft, today will be persistently, unseasonably warm, with temperatures continuing at 10-15F above average - mid 80s to around 90. Showers and isolated storm will focus today along both fronts noted above, including into the NC nrn Coastal Plain and far ne Piedmont early this evening and also with diurnal heating along a differential heating zone evident in late morning visible satellite and surface observational data along the srn stream front from AGS to HKY. The latter activity, should it indeed develop, would then be steered in weak wswly steering flow and into the srn and wrn NC Piedmont late this afternoon-evening.
Areas of persistence fog and low stratus will likely redevelop into the srn-cntl Coastal Plain and ern Sandhills tonight, while a separate area of post-frontal, very low stratus will develop behind the backdoor front across the ne Piedmont and nrn Coastal Plain.
Temperatures tonight will remain unseasonably mild and mostly persistent in the upr 50s to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 230 PM Friday...
Aloft, the sub-tropical ridge will stall along the eastern seaboard through Sat night. A southern stream disturbance will move into the Southeast US on Sat, then lift newd through the area as a sheared out northern stream s/w moves through the OH Valley/Great Lakes Sat night. The sub-tropical ridge will shift offshore and breakdown Sun/Sun night as the disturbances move through the mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. Another southern stream s/w will develop over the southern Plains on Sun, then move eastward into the lower/mid-MS Valley Sun night. At the surface, as high pressure sits over the New England coast, the backdoor cold front is expected to stall over nrn/nern NC through Sat and into Sat night then lift northward late Sat night/Sun. The high should move eastward over the Atlantic as a low moves through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast Sun/Sun night.
Precipitation/Convection: Still fairly high confidence/chances for showers and possible storms Sat and Sun. Best threat for storms will be across the Piedmont, mainly along and south of the surface boundary, where surface-based CAPE will be maximized. Bulk shear still appears weak, and PWATs are expected to range from 1.4 to 1.8 inches. Do not expect the entire day to be a wash-out by any means, and Sat could start dry for most, but there will be a chance for showers across all of central NC, with greatest coverage from Sat eve through Sun aft. Highest chances NW, lowest SE. Given the high PWATs and scattered, somewhat disorganized mode of convection, isolated locations could receive locally heavy rainfall, with any potential for minor flooding issues largely limited to urban areas.
Temperatures: A bit tricky on Sat, as there is some bust potential north of the front. Widespread overcast skies should somewhat limit heating as well. For now expect highs to range from the mid 70s along the NC/VA border to mid 80s SE. Sat night temps should be continued mild, mainly in the low to mid 60s. On Sun, with the retreat of the front northward, areas across the north may be a few degrees higher than Sat, but given the expected showers/storms through the day, temps may otherwise be limited. Highs in the upper 70s north to low 80s south.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
As of 329 PM Friday...
The extended forecast upper pattern will largely include mid-level ridging over the eastern US. A stronger short-wave will move over the area Monday into Tuesday increasing rain chances. After relatively zonal flow Tuesday, mid-level ridging will then re- amplify over central NC through the end of the extended. Another potentially stronger trough may approach late in the period.
Monday/Tuesday: A potent mid-level short-wave and associated vorticity max is forecast to move across the southern Appalachians Monday afternoon. Mid-level height falls will maximize over us later Monday afternoon/early evening coinciding with peak heating/instability. At the sfc, a piedmont trough will develop Monday afternoon which, in combination with forcing aloft, should help to focus showers and storms across our area. Bulk layer shear will be much too weak to support severe storms, but given the presence of anomalous PWAT (150 to 200 % of normal) any storm that develops could produce brief heavy downpours and gusty winds. POPs should decrease late Monday night/early Tuesday morning as flow aloft turns a bit more nwly and the atmosphere stabilizes. In absence of upper forcing aloft, rain chances Tuesday afternoon will largely rely on diurnal shower/storm development which should remain mostly scattered.
Temperatures Monday will peak in the mid to upper 80s, increasing into the upper 80s by Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday/Thursday: The mid-level ridge will re-establish itself Wednesday and Thursday as temperatures soar into the lower to mid 90s. The NBM is particularly stoked about 90 temps for highs these days with >80% of it's members reaching this threshold for much of this area. The LREF (GEFS, GEPS, EPS) is a little less enthused on Wednesday, but does suggest decently high probabilities on Thursday (generally 40 to 60 % across the area).
Otherwise, anomalous moisture will remain in place Wednesday/Thursday which should promote a continuation of low-chance POPs each afternoon.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 235 PM Friday...
Isolated to widely scattered showers and storms will focus this afternoon-evening along a differential heating zone and surface trough over the Foothills and wrn Piedmont of NC (including at INT/GSO) and also along a backdoor cold front that will reach the Roanoke River vicinity (including near and just north of RWI) around sunset. Areas of very low overcast and fog will likely redevelop through sern NC, including to around FAY between 10-12Z, in a persistence regime of humid, sly flow there. Meanwhile, a separate area of post-frontal, low stratus in enely flow, will develop behind the backdoor front and reach RWI and all Piedmont sites around the same time (between 10-12Z). Ceilings in both regimes should then lift through MVFR through midday Sat, during which time showers/ storms are apt to redevelop with diurnal heating. The greatest concentration of that convection should be along the front, which will likely become quasi-stationary between I-85 and US-64 on Sat.
Outlook: IFR-MVFR ceilings are likely to redevelop each night- morning through Monday, as are scattered to locally numerous showers/storms each afternoon-evening.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
May 3: KGSO: 92/1959 KRDU: 93/1959 KFAY: 95/1913
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
May 4: KGSO: 65/2022 KRDU: 68/1938 KFAY: 68/1942
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 359 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
Sub-tropical high pressure will extend across the South Atlantic states today, while a backdoor cold front will move through eastern VA and northeastern NC. The front will settle southwestward and into north-central NC tonight, where it will stall through Saturday night, then weaken and move northward into VA on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 355 PM Friday...
Convection has indeed developed along the differential heating zone described below, while a few isolated cells have otherwise developed in areas of towering cumulus within a lee surface trough over the Piedmont (in and around the Triad and more recently over swrn Wake Co.). Some merging of outflows and additional, pulse/multi-cell development will remain possible with the upstream/differential heating-forced convection into the srn and wrn NC Piedmont through this evening. TCLT has measured 30-40 kt velocity from downdrafts with these cells around SVH and AKH in the past hour. Similarly strong gusts will be possible with these and other more-isolated ones over the Piedmont, where SPC Meso-Analysis data indicates 1000- 1200 J/kg of DCAPE has developed this afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1145 AM EDT Fri May 03 2024/
A mid/upr-level ridge centered near the srn Middle Atlantic coast will remain so through tonight, while a mid-level trough and embedded, weak MCVs now over the ern OH and TN Valleys will be directed around the ridge and into the cntl Appalachians.
At the surface, a 1019-1020 mb sub-tropical high will remain situated off the coast of the Carolinas. Meanwhile, a backdoor cold front, now stretching from the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay nwwd to a 1014 mb frontal low over OH, will merge with a developing bay breeze and move swwd to the vicinity of the Roanoke River between 22Z-00Z. A separate, srn stream front extending from cntl TX enewd and across the lwr MS and TN Valleys, to a 1013 mb frontal low over Middle/wrn TN, then ewd across nrn GA and the Piedmont of the Carolinas, will move little through the period.
With no airmass change from Thu and continued influence of ridging aloft, today will be persistently, unseasonably warm, with temperatures continuing at 10-15F above average - mid 80s to around 90. Showers and isolated storm will focus today along both fronts noted above, including into the NC nrn Coastal Plain and far ne Piedmont early this evening and also with diurnal heating along a differential heating zone evident in late morning visible satellite and surface observational data along the srn stream front from AGS to HKY. The latter activity, should it indeed develop, would then be steered in weak wswly steering flow and into the srn and wrn NC Piedmont late this afternoon-evening.
Areas of persistence fog and low stratus will likely redevelop into the srn-cntl Coastal Plain and ern Sandhills tonight, while a separate area of post-frontal, very low stratus will develop behind the backdoor front across the ne Piedmont and nrn Coastal Plain.
Temperatures tonight will remain unseasonably mild and mostly persistent in the upr 50s to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 230 PM Friday...
Aloft, the sub-tropical ridge will stall along the eastern seaboard through Sat night. A southern stream disturbance will move into the Southeast US on Sat, then lift newd through the area as a sheared out northern stream s/w moves through the OH Valley/Great Lakes Sat night. The sub-tropical ridge will shift offshore and breakdown Sun/Sun night as the disturbances move through the mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. Another southern stream s/w will develop over the southern Plains on Sun, then move eastward into the lower/mid-MS Valley Sun night. At the surface, as high pressure sits over the New England coast, the backdoor cold front is expected to stall over nrn/nern NC through Sat and into Sat night then lift northward late Sat night/Sun. The high should move eastward over the Atlantic as a low moves through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast Sun/Sun night.
Precipitation/Convection: Still fairly high confidence/chances for showers and possible storms Sat and Sun. Best threat for storms will be across the Piedmont, mainly along and south of the surface boundary, where surface-based CAPE will be maximized. Bulk shear still appears weak, and PWATs are expected to range from 1.4 to 1.8 inches. Do not expect the entire day to be a wash-out by any means, and Sat could start dry for most, but there will be a chance for showers across all of central NC, with greatest coverage from Sat eve through Sun aft. Highest chances NW, lowest SE. Given the high PWATs and scattered, somewhat disorganized mode of convection, isolated locations could receive locally heavy rainfall, with any potential for minor flooding issues largely limited to urban areas.
Temperatures: A bit tricky on Sat, as there is some bust potential north of the front. Widespread overcast skies should somewhat limit heating as well. For now expect highs to range from the mid 70s along the NC/VA border to mid 80s SE. Sat night temps should be continued mild, mainly in the low to mid 60s. On Sun, with the retreat of the front northward, areas across the north may be a few degrees higher than Sat, but given the expected showers/storms through the day, temps may otherwise be limited. Highs in the upper 70s north to low 80s south.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
As of 329 PM Friday...
The extended forecast upper pattern will largely include mid-level ridging over the eastern US. A stronger short-wave will move over the area Monday into Tuesday increasing rain chances. After relatively zonal flow Tuesday, mid-level ridging will then re- amplify over central NC through the end of the extended. Another potentially stronger trough may approach late in the period.
Monday/Tuesday: A potent mid-level short-wave and associated vorticity max is forecast to move across the southern Appalachians Monday afternoon. Mid-level height falls will maximize over us later Monday afternoon/early evening coinciding with peak heating/instability. At the sfc, a piedmont trough will develop Monday afternoon which, in combination with forcing aloft, should help to focus showers and storms across our area. Bulk layer shear will be much too weak to support severe storms, but given the presence of anomalous PWAT (150 to 200 % of normal) any storm that develops could produce brief heavy downpours and gusty winds. POPs should decrease late Monday night/early Tuesday morning as flow aloft turns a bit more nwly and the atmosphere stabilizes. In absence of upper forcing aloft, rain chances Tuesday afternoon will largely rely on diurnal shower/storm development which should remain mostly scattered.
Temperatures Monday will peak in the mid to upper 80s, increasing into the upper 80s by Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday/Thursday: The mid-level ridge will re-establish itself Wednesday and Thursday as temperatures soar into the lower to mid 90s. The NBM is particularly stoked about 90 temps for highs these days with >80% of it's members reaching this threshold for much of this area. The LREF (GEFS, GEPS, EPS) is a little less enthused on Wednesday, but does suggest decently high probabilities on Thursday (generally 40 to 60 % across the area).
Otherwise, anomalous moisture will remain in place Wednesday/Thursday which should promote a continuation of low-chance POPs each afternoon.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 235 PM Friday...
Isolated to widely scattered showers and storms will focus this afternoon-evening along a differential heating zone and surface trough over the Foothills and wrn Piedmont of NC (including at INT/GSO) and also along a backdoor cold front that will reach the Roanoke River vicinity (including near and just north of RWI) around sunset. Areas of very low overcast and fog will likely redevelop through sern NC, including to around FAY between 10-12Z, in a persistence regime of humid, sly flow there. Meanwhile, a separate area of post-frontal, low stratus in enely flow, will develop behind the backdoor front and reach RWI and all Piedmont sites around the same time (between 10-12Z). Ceilings in both regimes should then lift through MVFR through midday Sat, during which time showers/ storms are apt to redevelop with diurnal heating. The greatest concentration of that convection should be along the front, which will likely become quasi-stationary between I-85 and US-64 on Sat.
Outlook: IFR-MVFR ceilings are likely to redevelop each night- morning through Monday, as are scattered to locally numerous showers/storms each afternoon-evening.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:
May 3: KGSO: 92/1959 KRDU: 93/1959 KFAY: 95/1913
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
May 4: KGSO: 65/2022 KRDU: 68/1938 KFAY: 68/1942
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC | 83 mi | 46 min | SSE 12G | 75°F | 75°F | 30.03 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMEB LAURINBURGMAXTON,NC | 9 sm | 53 min | SSW 08 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 86°F | 61°F | 43% | 29.99 | |
| KLBT LUMBERTON RGNL,NC | 17 sm | 49 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 61°F | 40% | 29.98 | |
| KFAY FAYETTEVILLE RGNL/GRANNIS FIELD,NC | 21 sm | 52 min | SE 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 57°F | 36% | 29.98 | |
| KHFF MACKALL AAF,NC | 21 sm | 50 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 57°F | 36% | 29.96 |
Tide / Current for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show) Help
Conway
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 05:29 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 11:38 AM EDT 1.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:08 PM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 05:29 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 11:38 AM EDT 1.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:08 PM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 1.1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Grahamville
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:36 PM EDT 1.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:12 PM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:36 PM EDT 1.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:10 PM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:12 PM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.4 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Raleigh/Durham, NC,
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