Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Florence, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 8:09PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 5:20 AM CDT (10:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:36AMMoonset 11:13PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Florence, AL
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location: 34.83, -87.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Huntsville, AL
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Fxus64 khun 270803
afdhun
area forecast discussion
national weather service huntsville al
303 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017

Near term (today)
issued at 303 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
a broad trough remains across the eastern half of the us with a
shortwave rounding the base of this trough. The shortwave is now
moving through missouri and a band of showers and storms have
developed just ahead of the trough along an axis of enhanced mid-
level convergence. The past few scans of radar show some weakening of
the activity as it moves into western tn. Based on mesoanalysis these
might be riding and moving along a mid-level theta-e ridge, which
could put them into northern ms NW al by 5am. Goes-16 WV imagery is
showing an axis of dry air advecting eastward just ahead of these
showers and might help to weaken them further. Hires guidance hasn't
been much help this morning as the timing in intensity of the
activity varies from run to run. Even though the thinking is that
these should weaken a bit more before arriving into the area, the
current radar depiction is hard to ignore. So, have adjusted pops
upward for the immediate near term and taken some of these higher
values through morning hours. All activity should end by mid to late
morning as the shortwave driving the showers moves off to the east.

Any rainfall amounts will be light as there is still drier air
in the lower levels which shows up in 00z soundings.

For today, the cloud cover from this activity will linger through
the morning hours but begin to push off to the east as we approach
the noon hour. By early afternoon, the western half should be mostly
sunny and starting to warm up. We could see a slight gradient in temps
this afternoon between the east west due to the departing cloud cover.

The west should warm up into the mid 80s again today, while the
eastern half of the area may not make it much above the 80 degree
mark.

Surface high pressure builds in behind the departing trough this
afternoon and evening, pushing a weak front across the area. The
only change we may see would be in dewpoints as they fall into
the 50s.

Short term (tonight through Thursday night)
issued at 303 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
with dewpoints in the 50s and a surface high just to our north, we
can expect our last cool night for awhile. The northern half of the
area should see temps dip into the mid to upper 50s while the
southern half remains just above the 60 degree mark.

The surface high moves quickly off to the east during the day
Wednesday turning winds to the S SE and a return of gulf moisture.

Sunny skies and WAA will result in highs Wednesday climbing back
towards normal for this time of year with values in the mid to upper
80s. Overnight lows Wednesday night into Thursday are going to be
about 10 degrees warmer compared to Tuesday nights values due to the
influx of better moisture.

Models have been in good consistency in showing some energy that has
been trapped along the gulf coast lifting back to the north on
Thursday. This energy coupled with the better surface moisture
should result in scattered showers and thunderstorms developing
Thursday afternoon. The highest chances will be in NE al closer to
where the energy is forecast to be located. With little shear and
cape between 1,000-1,500 j kg storms should generally remain below
severe limits and be pulse in nature. All activity will quickly end
as we lose daytime heating leaving mostly clear conditions Thursday
night with lows around 70 degrees.

Long term (Friday through Monday)
issued at 303 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
an upper-ridge situated across the southeastern united states will
slide east off the atlantic coast late this week. This will put the
southern tennessee valley and southern appalachians in position for
a good moisture return from the gulf of mexico by Friday as
southwesterly winds advect 70s dewpoints back into the area. Thus a
return to a humid, subtropical air mass will result in very warm and
muggy days with good chances for scattered diurnal convection --
thanks to the abundant moisture, instability, and a weaker cap. With
virtually no shear to work with on Friday, this activity will be
quite pulse-like and short-lived (likely favoring the terrain of
northeast alabama).

However, by Saturday, coverage is expected to become more widespread
as a shortwave trough rotates around a broader low pressure system
moving into the great lakes ohio valley. This feature should help to
kick off more widespread convection Saturday afternoon and evening
(some of which may linger into the night). Given good model
continuity on this the past couple of days, have felt confident
enough to go with likely pops for Saturday across the entire area
(and for part of the area Saturday night). A notable jump in pwats
close to 2 inches has also been noticed, increasing the threat for
localized flooding from the slower moving cells. Instability
parameters also continue to look good, with ml CAPE values progged
to be around 1800 j kg (sb mu CAPE close to 3000 j kg). Shear lapse
rates are not very impressive, but given the higher CAPE values,
scattered pulse multi-cell clusters are expected, with a localized
downburst threat and heavy rainfall being the primary threats.

Instability parameters for Sunday and Monday look even better, with
ml CAPE values a at over 2000 j kg and very high sb mu capes over
4000 j kg, per the gfs. Coverage will be similar to Saturday and
will generally be tied to heating and any lingering outflow
boundaries in place. Will maintain wording for strong to severe
thunderstorms in the hwo for this weekend and into the holiday week
ahead. One other note will be high temperatures which should be
upper 80s to around 90 degrees in most spots, with heat index values
in the mid 90 to potentially upper 90s by Sunday Monday. Those with
outdoor plans should monitor the potential for thunderstorms and be
prepared for the heat and humidity expected.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night)
issued at 1213 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
vfr conditions are forecast through the period. A band of showers
continues to develop over southern missouri northern arkansas and
will drop E SE towards the area tonight. Not expecting any impact to
either terminal except for increased mid-level cloud cover and
possibly some light rain. Winds will favor a northerly direction with
speeds at or below 10 kts.

Hun watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Tn... None.

Near term... Stumpf
short term... Stumpf
long term... Amp.24
aviation... Stumpf
for more information please visit our website
at weather.Gov huntsville.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Muscle Shoals, North West Alabama Regional Airport, AL6 mi27 minN 010.00 miOvercast66°F63°F90%1018.3 hPa

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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3CalmNW4NW5N4N5N4NW4NW43NW3E3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago35NE5NE5NE7NE7N7N6N9NE7N9N7N7N3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3
2 days agoN4N4N5N3N4N6N7N5N4N8N7N6N5N5N3N5N3N4NW3N35NE6N6NE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Huntsville, AL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Alabama
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.