Thursday, November23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Richlands, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 5:01PM Thursday November 23, 2017 10:55 PM EST (03:55 UTC) Moonrise 10:53AMMoonset 9:24PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 925 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am est Friday through Friday afternoon...
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy late. A slight chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt early, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, then 1 to 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richlands, NC
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location: 34.87, -77.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 240222
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
922 pm est Thu nov 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area through Friday night
with low pressure moving across to the south and southeast.

A dry cold front will move through from the northwest Saturday
night. High pressure will build in from the west Sunday and
Monday and will extend over the area Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term tonight
As of 920 pm Thursday... Latest sfc analysis shows 1019mb high
centered over nc and the mid-atlantic region this evening, with
weak low off the SE coast. No sig changes needed to previous
forecast for update. Latest satellite imagery shows broken to
overcast high mid and high clouds persisting across eastern nc
this evening, courtesy of shortwave energy moving through trough
over SE us. Deeper moisture is attempting to spread over area
from s-sw as well but is being held off by deep dry air below
700 mb. Shortwave will continue to move NE overnight with mean
trough moving east, and models in general agreement that main
rain shield will remain just off the coast. Based on the latest
radar imagery the past several hours that still seems to be the
case. Kept 20% pop from CAPE lookout to CAPE hatteras areas
overnight with GFS and ECMWF both indicating some light precip
possible there. Cloud cover will limit temps from falling
quickly this evening but some clearing late will allow lows to
drop to lower 30s inland to mid 40s coast.

Short term Friday
As of 245 pm Thursday... Shortwave will continue to gradually
move east of area leading to mostly sunny skies west to partly
sunny east and precip removing offshore. Increased insolation
and rising thicknesses will allow MAX temps to warm to near 60
most areas.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 2 am thu... High pressure wl build in from the NW Fri night.

Models cont trend of keeping better moisture offshore so only
have small pop over waters. Lows Fri night upper 30s lower 40s
inland and mid 40s to around 50 beaches.

Weak low will lift NE offshore of the coast Sat as a cold front
approaches from the w. Again bulk of models mainly dry with
just small chc of shra over central and SRN coastal waters.

Temps will moderate a bit Sat with highs mainly 60 to 65. The
cold front will cross Sat night... Looks dry with very little
moisture assoc with fropa. Best CAA holds off til Sun with lows
ranging from around 40 inland to around 50 beaches.

High pres will build in from the W Sun and Mon then move offshore
tue and Wed with dry weather. Wl be cool early with strong
warming by midweek. Highs Sun and Mon will be in the 50s. Lows
will be chilly Sun night and Mon night lower mid 30s inland and
mostly 40s beaches. As the high slides offshore Tue and Wed waa
will develop with highs Tue in the the low mid 60s... Warming to
mid upr 60s wed.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday ...

as of 920 pm Thursday... PredVFR conditions expected through
the period. Broken to overcast mid and high clouds this evening,
will gradually begin to clear from west to east late tonight
and early fri. Guidance keepsVFR conditions tonight but with
light winds and cold temps cannot rule out patchy steam fog
along the rivers, primarily affecting pgv and possibly ewn.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday ...

as of 2 am thu... MainlyVFR expected through the period. High
pres with limited clouds fri. Weak low moving NE offshore and
approaching cold front Sat will lead to more clouds but not
expecting much if any precip at TAF sites. Dry cold front will
cross Sat night with high pres building in Sun and Mon leading
to mclr skies.

Marine
Short term through Friday ...

as of 920 pm Thursday... Latest obs show N NE winds 5-10 kt
north of hatteras, and 10-20 kt south of hatteras with seas 3-5
ft. Latest guidance is indicating tightening pressure gradient
with low developing to south overnight, producing NE winds near
20 kt southern half of waters and seas building back to 6 ft
outer portions. Thus new SCA posted for south of oregon inlet
from 4 am to 3 pm Friday. Winds expected to diminish during the
day but elevated seas will linger into afternoon.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday ...

as of 2 am thu... High pres will build in from the W Fri night with
ne winds around 15 kts and 3 to 5 foot seas. Weak low pres will
lift NE offshore early Sat with a cold front approaching from
the W late. N to NW winds 5 to 15 kts early Sat will become more
w later in the day with seas 2 to 4 feet. The cold front will
cross Sat night with nnw winds increasing to 15 to 25 kts sun
and seas building to 4 to 6 feet... Highest outer central nrn
waters. As the high builds closer Mon N winds will diminish to
mainly less than 10 kts with seas subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in
the aftn.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 3 pm est Friday for amz152-
154-156-158.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm cqd
short term... Jbm
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf jbm cqd
marine... Rf jbm cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi37 min NNE 8 G 11 48°F 59°F1017.3 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 48 mi37 min NNE 12 G 13 48°F 62°F1017.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC6 mi59 minN 510.00 miFair44°F39°F83%1018.6 hPa
MCAS New River, NC12 mi2 hrsNNE 610.00 miFair46°F41°F83%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from OAJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NE8N6N6N7N6N55N5NE6N7N9N6N7N7N7N7N5N4N3NE3N5NE5N5
1 day agoNE3NE3N3CalmCalmCalmSW34Calm5NW4W7N8N9N9N5NW86CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N5NE4E4E9E6E4E5NE5E5NE4NE6NE5NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:05 AM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:05 AM EST     1.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:52 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:58 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:22 PM EST     1.38 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:25 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.10.20.611.21.21.210.80.50.30.20.10.20.611.31.41.41.31.10.80.5

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:52 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST     3.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:57 PM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:48 PM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.510.60.40.61.11.72.42.93.23.22.92.31.610.60.40.611.522.32.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.