Monday, March18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:18PM Monday March 18, 2019 10:16 PM EDT (02:16 UTC) Moonrise 3:39PMMoonset 4:44AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 925 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
.gale warning in effect from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night...
Overnight..N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to choppy.
Tue..N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough.
Tue night..NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 190144
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
944 pm edt Mon mar 18 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will cross the area late this afternoon and
early this evening. High pressure will build in from the
northwest Tuesday and Wednesday while an area of low pressure
moves near the coast late Wednesday and Wednesday night,
followed by a cold front late Thursday. High pressure will build
into the area late week and into the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
As of 940 pm Monday...

the last area of precipitation that has been mainly aloft
(virga) continues to move out of our area. We had a few reports
of sprinkles north of the albemarle sound but none in our area.

Will maintain the low end chance pops for a few more hours with
the forecast in good shape.

Otherwise, skies quickly clear out as the shortwave and surface
front push offshore with winds veering NW and then N at around
5-10 knots inland, 10-20 knots along the sounds and outer banks.

Thus, no longer expecting any real threat for fog overnight.

Given the expected winds overnight nudged lows a degree or two
higher, but still forecasting widespread mid to upper 30s, low
to mid 40s outer banks.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through 6 pm Tuesday
As of 300 pm mon... High pressure builds back in behind the
departing front, which is forecast to stall offshore Tuesday.

With a tightening pressure gradient, forecasting winds to
increase out of the NE at 10-15 knots and 15-20 knots along the
sounds and outer banks with some higher gusts possible. Mostly
sunny NW to partly cloudy SE with front lingering offshore, but
otherwise a dry Tuesday in store.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 300 pm Monday... Broad upper troughing will reside over the
eastern united states through the work week. Bulk of mdls now
show low pressure tracking closer to the coast Wed night into
thu with better cvrg of rain. High pressure will build over the
area this weekend bringing dry wx and a warming trend.

Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal mid week,
warming to near or a bit above normal late week and over the
weekend.

Tuesday night through Wednesday... A broad upper trough will
continue across the eastern CONUS this period with wnw flow
aloft across the carolinas and high pressure centered across the
mid-atlantic states into the south. A front will be stalled
well offshore while an area of low pressure lifts ene along the
front. Moisture will remain offshore thru mid day Wed then begin
to spread onshore late with small chc of shra cst. Gradients
will remain pinched between the high to the north and the low
tracking along the stalled front offshore bringing windy
conditions along the coast Tue night, then gradients begin to
relax Wed as the surface high migrates over the area ahead of a
shortwave trough and surface front. Temps will be a few degrees
below normal with highs upper 50s to lower 60s wed. Areas of
frost possible well inland Tue night with lows in the mid 30s.

Lows will be around 40 along the coast.

Wednesday night through Thursday night... A robust upper trough
and attendant cold front will approach the area Wed night and thu
and move across the area Thu night. An area of low pressure
will develop along the stalled boundary offshore as upper level
dynamics improves with the left exit region of the upper jet
moving over the area. Trend in 12z mdls is for a closer track of
the low to cst resulting in better chcs of rain. Have increased
pops to lower chc inland to high chc likely cst later Wed night
into first part of thu. The low moves away from the area thu
afternoon but a chance showers continues into the afternoon ne
sections with the approach of the upper trough. Temps continue
to gradually moderate and are expected to be near normal thu
with highs in the low mid 60s inland to around 60 along the
coast. Breeze and clouds will result in lows ranging from upr
30s inland to low mid 40s beaches Wed night. Temps similar to
slightly warmer Thu night with lows in the low to mid 40s.

Friday through Monday... The upper trough pushes offshore fri
with height rises through the weekend with an upper ridge and
surface high pressure becoming centered over the area Sun that
will drift offshore mon. Dry conditions continue with a gradual
warming trend. Highs expected in the low to mid 60s inland to
mid 50s coast Fri and Saturday, with a few upper 60s possible
southern sections sat. Temps expected to warm into the upper 60s
to lower 70s inland to low to mid 60s coast Sunday. Some mid 70s
poss Mon inland with SW flow on backside of high.

Aviation 02z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 18z Tuesday ...

as of 715 pm mon... ExpectVFR conditions to prevail through the
taf period. A weak cold front will move through the terminals
this evening, with winds becoming northerly behind the front.

Mid clouds will stream through the area this evening with cigs
remaining between 4kft and 7kt. After midnight our sky clears
with mainly high clouds expected through Tuesday. Winds stay
n NE at 5-10 knots at all sites into tomorrow morning increasing
to 10-15 knots with some higher gusts possible, particularly at
iso and pgv.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... PredVFR conditions expected through wed
as high pres extends SW across the area keeping deeper moisture
offshore. Winds will be a bit gusty closer to the coast tue
night. As low pres lifts NE near or just off the cst expect shra
to spread onshore Wed night into thu... For now better rain chc
look to be near cst, however some lower CIGS and vsbys could
occur inland at times. Dry weather returns Thu night into the
weekend withVFR dominating.

Marine
Short term through Tue ...

as of 940 pm mon... Surge of stronger winds is now over the
central waters, with both duck and the alligator bridge now in
the mid 20 kt range for sustained winds, with gusts to around 30
kts. Farther south we continue to see sustained winds in the
lower 30 kt range, which earlier produced some brief gusts to or
above 35 kts over the albemarle sound and off the coast from
duck. Longevity continues to be less than 3 hours and not worth
upgrading to a brief gale warning. Instead we continue to add to
both the small craft advisory and gridded forecast that a few
brief gusts to 35 kts are possible the next hour or two over
areas that are currently under a sca. As this surge moves south
winds may briefly drop under SCA conditions, but a secondary
albeit weaker surge is expected near daybreak. Due to these we
extended the SCA for albemarle and alligator river into early
Tuesday afternoon. Again this will be for borderline SCA gusts,
nothing close to the surge we just saw.

Waves increase to 4-6 feet for all waters with waves reaching
6-8 feet for outer NRN and cntrl waters. Waves 2-3 feet in
sounds. Winds increase 25 to 35 Tue as gradient tightens between
high to the N and low developing to the s. Seas will build 6 to
10 ft highest outer central and SRN wtrs. Have raised a gale
warning for central and SRN wtrs beginning Tue morn.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... Gradients across the waters remain tight
tue night into early Wed with high pressure centered to the n
and E and low pres developing on front offshore. Marginal gales
expected to cont central and SRN wtrs Tue night with winds
lighter for NRN wtrs and sounds. Wind diminish to 10 to 20 kt
later Wed as high pres weakens and moves e. Very low confidence
on wind dir speed Wed night and Thu as mdls differ on track and
intensity of low lifting NE near cst. For now have sub SCA winds
with dir more onshore Wed night becoming wnw thu. NW winds
increase 15 to 25 kts Thu night into Fri on backside of
departing low. Wnw winds diminish Sat as high pres builds in
from the nw.

Seas reach 8 to 11 ft outer central and SRN wtrs Tue night. Seas
slowly subside to 5 to 8 ft wed. As mentioned above confidence
low for seas Thu with uncertainty on low track... For now have
seas in the 4 to 6 foot range. Seas cont 4 to 6 ft Fri with
gusty NW winds and residual swell. As winds diminish Sat seas
will grad drop to 2 to 4 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am edt Wednesday for amz135-150.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Tuesday for amz130-131.

Gale warning from 10 am to 11 pm edt Tuesday for amz152-154.

Gale warning from 10 am Tuesday to 6 am edt Wednesday for
amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Eh
short term... Ms
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf eh
marine... Rf eh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi76 min N 22 G 27 52°F 1022.9 hPa (+2.8)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi28 min NNE 15 G 23 49°F 60°F1024.7 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 41 mi34 min N 25 G 37 50°F 60°F1023.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi20 minNNE 19 G 2610.00 miFair and Breezy48°F39°F71%1025 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi78 minNNE 20 G 3010.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy51°F42°F71%1023.2 hPa

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Last 24hrNE10NE8NE7NE8NE8NE8NE8NE9NE8NE8E9E8NE9NE8E7NE9NE8NE8E8--------N19
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1 day agoSW5W4N6N6N4N3N4NE5NE6NE17
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2 days ago------------------NW15N20
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N17N12N10NW10NW8N7NE8E6N4CalmCalmSW5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
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Mon -- 02:30 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:17 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:19 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.1-0.1-0.10.20.71.31.8221.81.40.90.40.1-0.1-00.30.91.41.81.91.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
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Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:53 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:00 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:42 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.1-0.100.40.91.41.71.81.71.410.60.2-0.1-0.10.10.511.41.61.61.41

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.