Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:25PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 1:49 PM EDT (17:49 UTC) Moonrise 9:28PMMoonset 6:48AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 118 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 8 pm edt this evening through Friday afternoon...
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.88, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 191733
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
133 pm edt Wed jun 19 2019

Synopsis
A weak trough will push across the area today. High pressure
offshore will then dominate ahead of a weak front that will
cross the region early Friday. Settled weather will return later
Friday into the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 125 pm wed... Just a few scattered showers and
thunderstorms at this hour across eastern nc. Dense cloud deck
this morning appears to have disrupted the timing of convective
initiation. Expect storms to begin firing shortly however, as
the area has become partly clear for the past couple hours.

Mucapes have jumped up to 3000 j kg according to the SPC meso
page, and with shear sitting at around 20-25 kts, a few robust
updrafts are possible, and some strong to severe wind gusts are
possible this afternoon and evening. Temps have climbed into
the mid to upper 80s under filtered sunshine, and humidity
remains oppressive with readings in the mid to upper 70s common
across the area.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 245 am Wednesday... Shortwave energy and the surface
trough move well away from the area tonight and expect shower
and thunderstorm activity to diminish through the evening with
loss of surface heating with mainly dry conditions after
midnight. Temps will remain mild with lows in the low to mid
70s.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 315 am Wednesday... Unsettled weather is expected Thursday
ahead of a weak cold front before a somewhat more benign
pattern develops Friday into Saturday. Periodic chances for
isolated showers and thunderstorms return to start next week.

Thursday... A strong mid-level shortwave forecast to approach the
mid-atlantic u.S, combined with deep moisture as indicated by
forecast pwats of around 2 inches, point to the best chance for
showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening, and
have moved pops up to likely mainly west of hwy 17. 0-6 km bulk
shear of around 20-25 knots supports the idea of a few more
organized stronger storms capable mainly of some gusty winds.

Some localized heavy rainfall is also possible especially with
any storms that manage to train. SPC has our western tier of
counties in a marginal risk during this period. A weak surface
trough inland sharpens ahead of the front during the day,
leading to a tightening gradient and gusty SW winds during the
day.

Forecast 850 mb temps around +19 c point to surface highs in
the low to potentially mid 90s. Combined with dew points in the
low 70s, heat indices are expected to reach 100+ degrees
Thursday afternoon.

Friday and Saturday... The front and mid-level energy quickly
progress offshore with weak ridging building in their wake Friday
morning with a marginally drier airmass advecting from the
northwest. It will still be quite warm however, with highs
approaching or at 90 both days.

Sunday through Tuesday... Southerly to southwesterly flow will
help aid renewed moisture advection into the region to start the
next week with chances for a few showers and thunderstorms to
fire mainly along the seabreeze. There are a couple mid-level
weaknesses in the ridge that could help aid in somewhat more
scattered coverage, but model spread in the timing of these
features precludes anything higher than low-chance pops.

Currently the best chance appears to be Tuesday with a mid-
level shortwave forecast to lift into the great lakes which
would dampen the ridge, but confidence in the timing of this
feature is low. Monday and Tuesday will be the warmest days with
highs approaching the mid 90s, and heat indices approaching 100
each day.

Aviation 17z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through tomorrow afternoon ...

as of 130 pm wed...VFR conditions are expected for the taf
period. Currently, partly to mostly cloudy skies are present,
and showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. This could lead to some brief moments of sub-vfr
conditions. Then tonight, things dry out, and it will be mostly
clear. A decent breeze should limit fog potential, however low
level stratus at MVFR or ifr levels is not out of the question,
however confidence on that hinges on how much rain the area gets
later today. So, will include a scattered low level deck for
now.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 400 am Wednesday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are expected Thursday ahead of an approaching front with periods
of sub-VFR conditions. A few storms could potentially be
strong with gusty winds and lowered visibility due to heavy
rainfall. Gusty SW winds are expected Thursday and Thursday
night, becoming W on Friday. PredominantVFR conditions expected
Friday into Sunday as dry air filters in behind cold front.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 315 am Wednesday... A weak coastal trough will push across
the waters today bringing S to SW winds around 10-20 kt,
strongest across the southern and central coastal waters, with
seas around 2-4 ft northern waters and 3-5 ft central and
southern waters. The trough moves well offshore tonight with
gradients tightening and expect SW winds to increase to 15 to
25 kt with seas building to 2-5 ft northern waters and 4-6 ft
central and southern waters. Continue the SCA for the coastal
waters south of oregon inlet and pamlico sound but adjusted the
start time by a few hours as 00z guidance is a bit slower in
bringing winds seas up.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 400 am Wednesday... The pressure gradient is expected to
tighten Thursday between retreating high pressure and a
sharpening surface trough inland. SW winds of 15-25 knots are
expected especially Thursday afternoon into the overnight hours,
with gusts up to 30 knots possible especially for the outer
cntrl waters. SCA conditions are likely with seas building to
6-9 feet. Winds veer westerly Friday and diminish to around 15
knots, before veering north and becoming light with weak high
pressure to the north. These conditions are expected until
Saturday night as the high once again shifts offshore. S ssw
winds Sunday expected to increase to around 10-15 knots Sunday
with a tightening thermal gradient.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 6 am edt
Thursday for amz135-231.

Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 2 pm edt
Friday for amz154.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 2 pm edt Friday
for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to noon edt
Friday for amz152.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Sgk
short term... Sk
long term... Ms
aviation... Sgk ms
marine... Sk ms


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi50 min SW 8.9 G 11 81°F 1011 hPa (-0.6)77°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi50 min SW 8.9 G 12 82°F 82°F1011.6 hPa (-0.9)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 41 mi50 min SSW 5.1 G 8 81°F 77°F1011.1 hPa (-0.5)
41025 - Diamond Shoals 43 mi30 min SW 9.7 G 12 80°F 82°F1010.8 hPa75°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
S14
G18
SW14
G17
S14
S12
S11
G15
S10
G14
S10
G13
S12
S12
S17
S10
G15
S14
S9
G12
S9
SW7
SW5
NW5
G8
SW2
G6
SW2
SW3
G7
SW5
G8
SW5
G13
SW6
G9
SW9
G12
1 day
ago
S13
G18
S14
G18
SW12
G17
S14
G17
S13
G18
SW10
G15
SW10
G13
SW12
G15
SW8
G12
SW9
SW5
G9
SW8
G11
SW8
G11
SW4
G9
SW6
G9
SW4
G10
SW4
G8
SW4
G9
SW5
G10
SW5
G9
SW5
G9
SW7
G13
S10
G14
S14
G17
2 days
ago
S12
G16
SW6
G13
S11
G14
S14
G17
S12
G17
S13
G16
SW11
G15
SW8
G12
SW8
S10
G15
SW11
G15
SW6
G11
SW3
G8
SW3
G9
SW3
G7
SW3
G7
SW3
G8
SW4
G8
SW6
SW6
G9
SW5
G11
SW7
G10
SW8
G13
SW13
G17

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi54 minW 710.00 miA Few Clouds86°F75°F70%1011 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi1.9 hrsSW 1210.00 miA Few Clouds83°F75°F79%1011.7 hPa

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrSW14
G20
SW18
G23
SW17
G24
S16
G23
S15S14
G20
S9S8S7S7S3S4SW6CalmW4CalmW5S6CalmSW8W7W12W9W7
1 day agoSW13SW11
G18
SW13S13S16
G21
S14
G19
S11
G19
SW13SW10SW7SW9SW8SW8SW7SW7SW6SW5SW7SW9W11SW10SW8SW11
G18
SW12
G19
2 days agoSW18
G22
S17
G23
S17
G22
SW15
G23
SW16
G22
SW16
G21
S11S10S9S10S9S11SW6SW6SW5SW5S5SW4SW10SW10SW10W9
G15
4W5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
North River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:47 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:04 PM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:39 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
21.91.61.10.70.30-00.20.61.11.51.71.61.310.60.30.10.10.30.81.31.7

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:47 AM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:02 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.81.61.20.80.40.1-00.10.30.71.11.41.51.31.10.70.40.20.10.20.50.91.31.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.