Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Minnesott Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:28PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 7:04 PM EDT (23:04 UTC) Moonrise 7:10AMMoonset 8:22PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 632 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Thursday...
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft...subsiding to 3 to 5 ft late. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop late.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt early. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming se after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds...decreasing to 4 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft...except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers, tstms...mainly in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft...subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy...diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers and tstms in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop... Increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft...building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop...increasing to choppy. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers...then showers likely. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minnesott Beach, NC
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location: 34.98, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 291846
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
246 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure extending down the east coast from southeast
canada will move east Thursday. A warm front will move through
from the southwest Friday, followed by a cold front early
Saturday. Another warm front will lift north through the area
Monday night, followed by a cold front late Tuesday, or Tuesday
night.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 230 pm wed... First batch of clouds moved through this
morning, mainly east of highway 17. Second batch now moving in
from the north. Back edge of these clouds over central virginia,
and will move south of the forecast area this evening. Expecting
mostly clear skies overnight with high pressure ridging down
east coast from southeast canada. Lows in the mid/upper 40s
throughout.

Short term /Thursday/
As of 230 pm wed... High pressure along the coast will move east
in the afternoon. Moisture will increase during the day ahead
of the warm front advancing this way from the southwest. Light
northeast wind in the morning will veer to east in the
afternoon. Highs will vary widely, from the mid 50s northern
outer banks to upper 60s southwest.

Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/
As of 230 pm wed... Shra and tsra expected Fri and Fri evening
then again Mon night into tue... Otherwise mainly dry with
pleasant temps
thu night through Fri night... Moisture will increase quickly
thu night as high pres slides offshore and next system
approaches from the w. Expect sct shra late... Mainly inland with
mild lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Numerous shra and tsra
expected Fri as strong short waves lifts NW of region producing
good lift over the area. Good srly low lvl flow will lead to
precip water values reaching around 1.5 inches and expect
widespread rainfall totals of 1/2 to 1 inch with locally higher
amounts. Forcing and shear favorable for severe weather however
degree of instab in question with clouds precip developing
early... If do get pockets of better instab will certainly have
a severe threat. Shra and a few tsra will grad end from with to
e Fri night as cold front crosses.

Sat and Sunday... Dry with pleasant temps over the weekend with
broad ridge aloft and sfc high building in from the nw. Highs
sat 60s beaches to 70 to 75 inland... Bit cooler Sunday with
highs mid/upr 50s obx to upr 60s/lower 70s inland.

Mon thru wed... Moisture will be returning Mon with high pres
moving offshore and next SRN stream system approaching. Expect
increasing clouds with sct shra and tsra mainly in the aftn.

Numerous shra and at least sct tsra expected Mon night into
first part of Tue as the potent SRN stream short wave lifts nw
of region. Much like Fri forcing and shear look favorable for
severe potential but still some uncertainty on instab. Will be
mild early next week with highs Mon and Tue in the 70s inland
to 60s beaches.

Cold front will be offshore by early Wed with dry weather
expected. Very little cold air expected behind front with highs
wed again reaching the 70s inland to 60s beaches.

Aviation /18z Wednesday through Monday/
Short term /through thu/...

as of 230 pm wed...VFR/dry in the short term. Scattered to
broken stratocu deck along the coastal plain and moving in from
the north at present should move south of the area this evening
with mainly clear skies overnight. Winds will be light
northeast. Moisture will be on the increase Thursday ahead of a
warm front approaching from the southwest. Forecasting scattered
cu in the afternoon. Light northeast winds in the morning will
veer to east around 10 knots in the afternoon.

Long term /thu night through mon/...

as of 230 pm wed... MainlyVFR Thu evening then as moisture
increases late could see some subVFR develop in sct shra prior
to day break fri. Numerous shra and tsra Fri into Fri evening
ahead of a cold front with ocnl subVFR likely... A strong storm
or two also possible. Shld dry out later Fri night withVFR
expected over the weekend as high pres builds in from the nw.

Moisture will be returning Mon in advance of the next system
with sct shra/tsra and poss some subVFR.

Marine
Short term /through thu/...

as of 230 pm wed... Winds from the northerly surge will continue
to diminish into this evening, but seas will remain elevated
into tonight. Latest run of nwps is very similar to previous,
and ending times of current small craft advisories still looks
good, so made no changes. Northeast winds 5-15 knots tonight
into Thursday morning will veer to east in the afternoon.

Long term /thu night through mon/...

as of 230 pm wed... Se to S winds will be grad increasing on
backside of high pres and ahead of next system Thu night.

Speeds will reach 15 to 20 kts late with seas building to 4 to
6 feet. Ssw winds will increase to 20 to 25 kts most waters fri
into Fri evening as low/cold front approaches from the w. These
winds will lead to seas reaching 6 to 9 feet later Fri into fri
evening. Cold front will push offshore by early Sat with wnw
winds 10 to 20 kts in its wake and seas grad subsiding to 3 to 5
ft sat. Winds mainly nne 10 to 15 kts Sat night into Sun with
high pres building in from the nw. Looks like will see bit of a
swell NRN half of region with seas building back to 6 feet or so
outer central and NRN wtrs late Sat night thru Sun evening.

High pres will slide offshore Mon with light E winds early
becoming sse 10 to 20 kts late and seas mainly 3 to 5 ft.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 1 am edt Thursday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for amz150.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Hsa/rf
marine... Hsa/rf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi53 min ENE 7 G 9.9 64°F 64°F1017.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 31 mi65 min NE 16 G 17 60°F 1018.1 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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SW5
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC8 mi2.2 hrsENE 117.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F51°F61%1017.9 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC12 mi71 minE 410.00 miOvercast64°F54°F70%1018.3 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi67 minNE 610.00 miFair66°F53°F63%1018.2 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC22 mi68 minENE 910.00 miFair68°F53°F59%1018.3 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC22 mi69 minE 1110.00 miFair0°F0°F%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE5S3SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N8NE9NE13NE11NE12NE10NE6----NE11NE9NE5
1 day agoS6S7S4S5S5S53S6CalmSW3SW3S5--SW8SW14W17
G23
W14SW6SE5S10S9S12CalmS3
2 days ago--SE5SE5SE7SE533Calm--3CalmCalmCalmCalm66SW11
G14
SW86S15S12S11S12S8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:44 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:34 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:57 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:55 PM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.11.50.80.2-0.2-0.300.61.322.42.42.11.60.90.3-0.1-0.3-0.10.51.222.52.6

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:27 AM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:18 AM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:40 PM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:39 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.91.90.90.1-0.4-0.40.21.22.33.23.63.532.11.10.2-0.3-0.40.112.23.23.83.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.