Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Minnesott Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:00PM Monday November 20, 2017 4:22 AM EST (09:22 UTC) Moonrise 8:28AMMoonset 6:54PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 244 Am Est Mon Nov 20 2017
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. NEar shore, seas around 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft. Dominant period 3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop.
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 3 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tue night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers likely.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minnesott Beach, NC
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location: 34.98, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200739
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
239 am est Mon nov 20 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will pass through the area from the west today and
tonight, moving off the coast Tuesday. A cold front will move
through late Tuesday night and off the coast Wednesday. Areas of
low pressure will move northeast across the offshore waters
Thursday through Saturday. A dry cold front will move through
Sunday, bringing a shot of much colder air.

Near term through today
As of 230 am mon... High pressure will continue to build in from
the west, making for an overall pleasant day, though temps will
remain below normal. Low level thickness values and sunny skies
support highs in the lower to mid 50s for the outer banks, and
mid 50s to upper 50s inland.

Short term tonight
As of 230 am mon... With the surface ridge overhead, clear skies
and calm winds are forecast throughout. There will be the
potential for frost for those coastal counties that have not yet
ended the growing season (mainland hyde, pamlico and
carteret)... With temps dropping into the mid to upper 30s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 230 am mon... High pres will slide offshore Tue with
increasing clouds and warmer temps as low lvl flow becomes se
to s. Highs will be well into the 60s across much of the area.

An area of low pres will lift NE just off the coast Tue night
and depart to the NE wed. Expect decent coverage of showers to
spread across the region Tue night and cont likely pops most
areas with good chc deep inland. The showers will end from W to
e Wed morn as the low departs with decreasing clouds and
increasing N winds. Temps will be mild Tue night with lows
mostly in the 50s. Shld reach upr 50s to mid 60s Wed before
better CAA kicks in. Dry and cool Wed night as high pres builds
in with lows mid upr 30s inland to mostly 40s beaches.

Low confidence for the Thu thru Sat period. Models agree
that a couple areas of low pres will lift NE off the coast
however track and timing differ. Leaned a little closer to ecmwf
with mainly dry conditions Thu and Fri with just slight pop
cst. For the late Fri night and Sat time period added a small
pop cst per ECMWF showing good moisture and QPF spreading across
with another low lifting NE ahead of approaching cold front.

Cool temps cont Thu and Fri with N NE winds highs mostly in the
50s. On Sat will warm a bit ahead of approaching cold front with
lower 60s expected.

Strong cold front will cross Sat night with cold high pres
building in from the W Sun and mon. Highs Sun will be in the 50s
and looks like mainly 40s to around 50 for mon. Lows will
likely approach or reach freezing most inland areas Sun night.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
Short term through tonight
as of 1 am Monday...VFR conditions will continue through this
taf cycle as strong high pressure builds across the region.

Skies will be clear with light and variable winds.

Long term Tue through Fri ...

as of 230 am mon...VFR expected Tue as high pres slides off the
coast. Showers expected to develop Tue night and early Wed as
low pres lifts NE off the coast. These showers will likely lead
to a few periods of subVFR espcly closer to cst.VFR should
return later Wed as high pres builds in and the low departs.

MainlyVFR expected Thu and Fri with deeper moisture and shower
threat expected mainly E of TAF sites.

Marine
Short term through tonight
as of 230 am mon... Improving boating conditions forecast in the
short term as high pressure builds across the area from the
west. Northwest winds 10-20 knots this morning become 5-10 knots
this afternoon. Marginal SCA criteria at present on the coastal
waters from oregon inlet to ocracoke. No changes to current
headlines.

Long term Tue through Fri ...

as of 230 am mon... Se to S winds 10 to 15 kts expected most of
tue and Tue night as high pres slides offshore. Winds become n
and increase Wed as the low departs and high pres builds in.

Speeds will reach 15 to 25 kts Wed aftn and cont in that range
wed night. NE winds 10 to 20 kts expected Thu and Fri as low
pres tracks well offshore and high pres cont to the w.

Seas of 1 to 3 feet early Tue will build to 2 to 4 feet late
tue and reach 3 to 5 feet by early wed. As N winds increase wed
seas will build to 5 to 8 feet by evening. Seas will slowly
subside to 4 to 6 feet Thu and cont in that range into fri.

Confidence in wind speeds and seas heights is low Thu and fri
as models differ significantly.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am est early this morning for
amz135-152-154.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Hsa rf
marine... Hsa rf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi53 min NW 7 G 11 42°F 59°F1020 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 31 mi83 min NNW 16 G 21 1019.5 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW14
G19
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G20
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G17
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1 day
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N4
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S13
G16
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SW9
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G14
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G14
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G16
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G23
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N10
G13
N11
G17
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N11
G14
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G19
N15
G20
N12
G16
N7
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N7
G11
N5
G8
N6
G9
NE3
NE3
NE2
E4
NE3
NE3
NW2
N2
N2
N4
NE4
NE3

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC8 mi88 minNW 67.00 miClear39°F30°F70%1019.9 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC12 mi29 minNW 310.00 miFair35°F28°F78%1020.9 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi85 minNNW 1010.00 miFair43°F30°F60%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW22
G34
SW23
G38
SW15SW11NW13
G23
NW15
G23
--NW14
G24
NW16W16
G21
NW14
G23
NW11NW11NW10NW7NW7NW12--NW8NW11NW9NW6NW6NW6
1 day ago--Calm--SE4SE3S6S10S11S12S14
G21
SW11
G22
S9--S9S11
G19
SW13
G20
--SW11
G20
--SW16--------
2 days ago--N10N7------NE9N11N8N6NE8NE6E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----Calm--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:35 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:41 AM EST     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:25 PM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:53 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:59 PM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.80.40.20.10.40.91.522.42.42.21.81.30.80.40.20.20.511.51.921.9

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:18 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:25 AM EST     3.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:08 PM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:53 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:43 PM EST     2.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.10.50.20.30.81.62.53.23.63.63.22.61.81.10.50.30.411.72.42.932.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.