Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Neuse Forest, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 7:24PM Friday March 24, 2017 9:56 PM EDT (01:56 UTC) Moonrise 3:55AMMoonset 2:56PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 252 Pm Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Neuse Forest, NC
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location: 34.99, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 242343
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
743 pm edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
early next week. A cold front will move through Wednesday
followed by high pressure to the north Thursday.

Near term /until 6 am Saturday morning/
As of 730 pm Friday... Surface high pressure extending over area
from offshore along with ridging aloft will result in mild warm
sector conditions for eastern nc tonight. Expect mostly clear
skies overnight with just some cirrus spreading in from west
overnight. Adjusted hourly temperature grids slightly based on
temperatures running a bit warmer than forecast. Also slightly
adjusted low temperature up just a tad. Lows will up to 15-20
degrees warmer than last night, ranging from around 50 inland
to lower 50s coast.

Short term /6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday/
As of 300 pm Friday... Dry warm sector conditions will prevail
with some increase in high cloudiness ahead of upper low moving
into ohio valley-gulf coast region. Some cu/scu likely as well
with heating. Guidance in good agreement for MAX temps mid to
upper 70s inland and around 70 coast.

Long term /Saturday night through Friday/
As of 215 pm fri... Above normal temperatures expected through
the period... With scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
early next week. Precip chances increase again late next week.

Saturday night through Tuesday... High pressure will remain
anchored off the southeast coast, as frontal boundary slowly
approaches from the west. Warm moist s/sw flow expected across
the region, and low level thickness values support highs 65-70
degrees along the outer banks, and upper 60s to upper 70s
inland. Overnight lows generally in the 50s. Weak shortwave
moves through the carolinas Sunday, and could support an
isolated showers/tstm across the coastal plain, but will
continue dry forecast, with best forcing west of the area.

Similar set up for Mon with isolated convection possible inland.

Better precip chances Tue as main front and trough move into
the mid-atlantic and SE us. Will continue high chance pops tue.

Tuesday night through Friday... Latest guidance shows front
pushing through late Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High
pressure will build in from the north Wed and thu, as another
frontal system approaches late week. Models in fairly good
agreement late week into next weekend, showing stacked low
moving through the mid-west Thu and fri, pushing a warm front
through enc Friday, with associated cold front Sat as low
pressure moves through the mid-atlantic. Continue slight
chance/low chance pops Tuesday night, and dry for Wed and thu.

Increased pops to chance fri. At this time does not seem like a
significant airmass change behind the front, with temps still
near to above normal in the mid 60s to mid 70s wed... And a few
degrees cooler Thu and fri.

Aviation /00z Saturday through Wednesday/
Short term /through Saturday/...

as of 730 pm Friday...VFR conditions expected for most of the
short term. Winds are mostly southerly and still gusty up to 20
kt in some spots like ewn. Expect gusts to drop off and winds to
decrease a bit within a few hours. Expect mostly clear skies
overnight with winds dropping off to 5 kt or less towards
morning. With influx of moisture and good radiational cooling
conditions, some patchy MVFR fog is likely across the coastal
plain, including iso and pgv. Also added some at oaj with this
forecast. Fog will quickly dissipate after sunrise and skies
will remain mostly clear on Saturday with just some scattered to
broken cumulus possible in the afternoon.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 215 pm fri... PredVFR through the period, with periods of
sub-vfr possible Monday and Tuesday in scattered showers and
isolated tstms. Patchy fog possible across the coastal plain
Sunday morning.

Marine
Short term /through Saturday/...

as of 730 pm Friday... No significant changes with this update. High
pressure extending over area from offshore will produce sw
winds 5-15 kt through period with seas mainly 2-3 feet.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 215 pm fri... High pressure will remain anchored off the
coast through Tuesday, as a slow moving cold front approaches
the waters. The front will move through the waters early
Wednesday. S/sw winds generally 5-15 kt expected into early next
week. Seas 2-4 feet Sat night through Sunday night. Models
continue to show waves building to 3-5 feet Monday afternoon.

Could see some 6 ft seas develop Monday night and Tue south of
oregon inlet in combo of SW winds and increasing swell energy.

N/ne winds 10-15kt developing behind the front Wed and wed
night.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Rsb/jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Cqd
aviation... Rsb/cqd/sgk
marine... Rsb/jbm/cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi39 min SSW 9.9 G 12 61°F 52°F1028.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 32 mi57 min S 11 G 14 64°F 1029.1 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Last
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N3
G6
NE5
G8
N5
G8
N6
N6
N7
N6
NE7
N8
N9
N6
NE4
NE2
S5
G8
S7
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G11
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NE10
G14
NE7
G12
NE8
G11
NE5
N7
G10
E5
NE4
NE7
NE5
G8
NE7
G12
NE9
NE12
G17
NE14
G18
NE14
G20
NE11
G16
NE11
G16
NE10
G16
N11
G16
NE10
G15
NE7
G14
NE7
G11
N8
G11
NE2
G6
NE4
2 days
ago
SE5
E4
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S1
N16
NE9
G15
N10
NE6
NE11
G18
N7
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G12
N11
N17
G22
N17
G26
NE11
G20
NE12
G19
NE15
G21
NE10
G18
NE10
G19
NE10
G22
NE15
G19
NE11
G18

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC9 mi2 hrsS 57.00 miFair61°F50°F67%1029 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC11 mi63 minS 810.00 miFair60°F51°F72%1028.9 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC22 mi2 hrsSSW 1010.00 miFair62°F52°F70%1029.4 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC22 mi60 minSSW 910.00 miFair62°F53°F73%1029.6 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC23 mi61 minS 610.00 miFair0°F0°F%1029.7 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4E5E4E32NE3NE5NE4NE3N3N3E3Calm4SW13
G17
SW10
G18
S10
G20
SW10
G20
SW9
G22
S15
G21
S9
G18
S6S5S6
1 day agoNE8E12NE11
G20
NE11NE8NE7NE7NE8NE10NE9NE15NE15NE12
G24
E15E14E12E14E12
G16
NE15NE11NE9E9E6E3
2 days agoSE3E4E4SE6E5NE10N12NE9E6N12N8N8N9N12W11NE18
G25
NE16NE16NE15
G24
E16
G21
--NE14NE14
G21
E16
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:32 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:37 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:16 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:00 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.50.91.41.82.12.11.91.61.20.80.40.30.30.61.11.51.921.91.61.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:29 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:33 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:20 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:56 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.10.10.30.50.81.11.21.21.10.90.60.40.20.10.10.30.50.811.110.90.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.