Wednesday, March20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 7:20PM Wednesday March 20, 2019 1:00 AM EDT (05:00 UTC) Moonrise 6:03PMMoonset 6:10AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1017 Pm Edt Tue Mar 19 2019
.gale warning in effect until 8 am edt Wednesday...
Overnight..NE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming E 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers. Isolated tstms after midnight.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds in the morning. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Showers with isolated tstms in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri night..W winds around 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200227
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1027 pm edt Tue mar 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the northwest tonight. Low
pressure will develop to the south Wednesday and lift north
across the area Wednesday night. The low will lift north of the
region later Thursday pushing a cold front offshore Thursday
night. High pressure will build into the area late week and
into the weekend. Low pressure is expected to impact the region
early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 1015 pm Tuesday... Area of sprinkles or light showers now
stretches from the western albemarle sound south and southeast
to CAPE lookout, with latest hrrr suggesting light sprinkles or
showers could persist over this area for much of tonight. Have
added slight chance pops for the eastern half of the CWA for
this light precipitation. Weak convection continues adjacent to
the gulf stream, 20-40 nmi from shore.

High pressure will continue to build south over the area tonight.

Meanwhile, low pressure is forecast to develop along a front
stalled to the southeast off the coast. As the low develops it
will push a trough of low pressure toward the nc coast late
tonight. Sky cover will continue to increase overnight and
especially for coastal sections. Heavier showers will remain
offshore tonight, then could move onshore late tonight as the
through gets closer to the coast and have continued chance slight
chance coastal pops late. Temps will be 35-40 inland and 40-45
coast. Continued breezy to windy tonight, ESP along the coast,
as gradient tightens between the high to the west and the
through off the coast.

Short term Wednesday
As of 325 pm tue... The trough of low pressure will move slowly
and should be along the coast late wed. Showers will become more
numerous and penetrate further inland, especially in the
afternoon. Pops will increase to likely most areas in the
afternoon. Precipitation amounts will be quite variable, but
could be as high as .50-1" in frequent showers which are most
likely to occur vicinity of the coast. Highs will be in the mid
to upper 50s. Continued breezy to windy in the morning, esp
along the coast, then winds should slowly diminish in the
afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 300 pm Tuesday... An area of low pressure will lift across
the area Wed night into Thu bringing a period of unsettled
weather and breezy conditions. High pressure will build over the
area this weekend bringing dry wx and a warming trend.

Temperatures will be near to slightly below through the week,
then warm to slightly above normal early next week. The next
system look to impact the area Mon night and tue.

Wednesday night through Thursday night... A robust upper trough
will approach the area Wed night and this will lift surface low
pres N across the region Wed night with it lifting N of the
region later thu. Most all mdls show decent amount of moisture
and rain spreading across the region with the sfc low Wed night
and early thu. Have increased pops to likely inland and
categorical coast Wed night. Given low track just inland added
some thunder to imd cst cstl wtrs Wed night. As the low lifts
to the N later Thu precip shld taper off and end from SW to ne
in the aftn. Much drier are will spread in Thu night as cold
front trailing low pushes offshore. Lows Wed night will be mild
with 40s inland to 50s beaches. As precip tapers of Thu and
skies brighten some in aftn temps expected to reach low mid 60s.

Lows Thu night will range from lower 40s inland to mid upr 40s
cst.

Friday through Monday... The upper trough pushes offshore fri
with height rises through the weekend with an upper ridge and
surface high pressure becoming centered over the area sun. The
high will drift offshore Mon with a complex system approaching
from the west. Dry conditions continue over the weekend with a
gradual warming trend early next week. Some guidance is showing
light showers developing across the area Mon and cont slight
chance pops. Highs expected to continue in the low to mid 60s
inland to mid 50s coast Fri and sat. Temps expected to warm into
the upper 60s to lower 70s inland to low to mid 60s coast sun.

Some mid 70s poss Mon inland with SW flow on backside of high.

Mon night and tue... Next short wave and low pres system will
impact the area this period. Long range mdls look quite wet and
windy with this system but given timing and track uncertainty
this far out will keep pops in chc range.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 725 pm Tuesday... ExpectingVFR conditions through wed
morning as high pressure prevails across the area. Some mid
level broken clouds currently for TAF sites, though should
remainVFR overnight. By Wed afternoon a trough of low pressure
will form along the coast resulting in scattered to numerous
showers with brief sub-vfr conditions possible. Late wed
ceilings are forecast to become subVFR and showers will become
numerous.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... Good cvrg of rain expected Wed night as
low pres lift N across area... Bouts of subVFR a good bet.

Precip will taper off from S to N Thu as low lifts N of region
and shld grad seeVFR return.VFR expected Fri through Sun as
high pres builds across with dry air over region.

Marine
Short term through Wed ...

as of 1025 pm tue... Latest surface and buoy data indicate ne
winds 20-30 kt with seas 5-8 ft across the waters. Strong winds
and elevated seas will continue Wednesday. N NE winds 20-30 kt
with gusts 35-40 kt south of oregon inlet where gale warnings
are in effect. These winds will continue through early Wed in
response to the gradient between high pressure to the north and
low pressure to the south. Seas will build to 7-10 ft tonight.

The winds are forecast to become E SE Wed and decrease to 15-25
kt as a trough of low pressure moves along the coast. Seas
however, will remain 7-10 ft as the flow becomes SE and begins
to increase again late.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... Low pres will lift N inland from cst wed
night then cont to move N of region later thu. Expect gusty E to
se winds ahead of low Wed night that will grad shift to wnw and
remain gusty later thu. Cold advection and decent grdnt will
keep NW winds gusty Thu night into fri. NW winds increase a bit
later Fri night and early Sat as secondary surge of cold air
crosses. Winds diminish and become light Sat night into Sun as
high pres builds in.

Seas will be in the 6 to 10 ft range Wed night and slowly
subside to 5 to 8 feet thu. Seas will be mainly in the 4 to 6
foot range Fri into Sat with gusty offshore flow. Seas will
subside to 2 to 3 feet later Sat night and Sunday.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 3 pm tue... Persistent gusty NE flow combined with high
astronomical tides could lead to minor water level rises for
areas adjacent to the southern pamlico sound through
tonight... From downeast carteret county over to areas along the
neuse river and adj. Creeks. Rises not expected to exceed 0.5 ft
above ground or 1 ft above normal at this time.

Gusty SE flow Wed night will lead to higher than normal water
levels along the south facing beaches and may also need high
surf advisory as waves in surf zone approach 8 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Wednesday for amz130-131-
135.

Gale warning until 8 am edt Wednesday for amz152-154-156-158.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Friday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Dag jme
short term... Jme
long term... Rf sk
aviation... Dag rf jme
marine... Dag rf jme
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi30 min NNE 16 G 23 47°F 57°F1025.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi60 min NNE 23 G 26 48°F 1025.7 hPa (-1.0)30°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi64 minNNE 17 G 2210.00 miOvercast48°F30°F50%1026.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi66 minNNE 12 G 2310.00 miOvercast48°F30°F50%1026.6 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi66 minNE 1710.00 miOvercast46°F28°F51%1027.3 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi62 minNNE 16 G 2110.00 miOvercast48°F28°F48%1025.8 hPa

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE7NE8NE8NE8NE8NE9NE8NE8E9E8NE9NE8E7NE9NE8NE8E8--------N19
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2 days agoN6N6N4N3N4NE5NE6NE17
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Wed -- 03:06 AM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:36 PM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:29 PM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.2-0.2-0.4-0.30.211.72.32.52.421.30.60-0.3-0.4-00.71.42.12.52.52.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:28 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:06 AM EDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:58 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Wed -- 10:28 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.90.3-0.1-0.3-0.30.10.71.41.92.22.11.71.20.70.2-0.2-0.3-0.10.41.11.72.12.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.