Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:26PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 9:56 PM EDT (01:56 UTC) Moonrise 12:20AMMoonset 12:22PM Illumination 39% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 943 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds, increasing to 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu..E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Thu night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260155
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
955 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019

Synopsis
A reinforcing dry cold front will push through tonight with high
pressure building in behind and dominating the area through
late week. A front will approach the area late this weekend into
early next week.

Near term overnight
As of 955 pm tue... No significant changes needed to previous
forecast for update. Sfc analysis shows weak cold front right
along the coast, which will until the secondary dry cold front
pushes through tonight. This will allow for drier and slightly
cooler airmass to filter into the region. Overnight lows in in
the mid to upper 60s inland and low to mid 70s along the coast.

Short term Wednesday
As of 230 pm tues... Sfc high pressure will build in from the
west with drier air aloft mixing down and slightly lower
dewpoints. High-res models are suggesting possible isolated
shower thunderstorm along the southern coast due to lingering
moisture and sea-breeze convergence zone... Therefore have a 20%
pop, even through think it will be mostly dry. Overall, expect
mostly sunny to partly sunny skies with highs in around 90 to 92
degrees inland and 80s along the coast.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 210 pm tue... Models are trending drier through most of
the extended period. Eastern north carolina will be in the midst
of a summertime pattern with daily highs in the 90s and lows in
the lower to mid 70s. A cold front will approach late Sunday
into Monday, bringing us our best chance of rain.

Wed night through Sat night... Little day to day change through
this period with a 1025 mb high throughout the southeast united
states, in full control of our weather. The result will be
mainly sunny days with highs 90-95, and mainly clear nights with
lows in the lower to mid 70s. With large scale subsidence and
no forcing, daily precip chances will be low. An isolated
afternoon is possible each day, mainly seabreeze-driven, but
chance is so low it does not warrant including a pop in the
forecast.

By late Sunday into Monday a cold front will approach from the
north and wash out over our area. The support doesn't look great
for widespread, welcome rains. However with the surface
convergence along the front and slight uptick in moisture, low
chance (30%) pops forecast for Sunday. Left in slight chance
pops for Monday and Tuesday with remnants of front in the area.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 955 pm tue... PredominantVFR conditions expected through
the period. With light and variable winds overnight some very
shallow fog is possible early Wednesday morning, but given the
drier air seems unlikely at this time.

Long term Wed night through Sun ...

as of 210 pm tue... WidespreadVFR expected with dry weather
forecast through the period.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 955 pm tue... Latest buoy obs show NE E winds 5-10 kt
north of lookout, and W SW winds 5-15 kt south with seas 1-3 ft.

The weak cold front will stall along the coast this evening,
until another reinforcing dry cold front pushes through late
tonight. Expect winds to become W 5-10 knots tonight, and then
become N by Wednesday morning. Winds will gradually veer to ne
5-10 knots Wednesday afternoon. Seas will generally be 2-3 ft.

Long term Wed night through Sun ...

as of 210 pm... Excellent conditions over the waters still
expected through much of the long range part of the forecast.

We are mainly talking a wind direction change type of forecast,
with little in the way of winds or wave action through Friday
night. Winds will average only 5-10 knots and seas 2-3 feet.

Winds and seas will increase Saturday into Sunday mainly south
of oregon inlet as a cold front approaches from the north and
the pressure gradient increases. Winds will increase to 15-20
knots with seas 3-5 feet.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd bm
short term... Bm
long term... Hsa
aviation... Cqd hsa
marine... Cqd hsa bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi63 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 81°F 84°F1014.6 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi57 min WSW 8 G 11 80°F 1014 hPa (+1.5)76°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi61 minNW 610.00 miFair83°F68°F61%1014.1 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi63 minNNW 510.00 miFair85°F63°F48%1014 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair79°F69°F72%1014.3 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi2 hrsWSW 810.00 miFair83°F75°F77%1013.6 hPa

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6SW4S3S7S6S5S7S5SW6SW7W10W11W12W12W9W11
G16
W8W9W10NW11W10NW8NW7NW6
1 day agoCalmSE3SE6SE5S5SE4S3S3S4NW3CalmNE6NW7N5NE7E8E8E8SE10SE13SE8S9S8S7
2 days agoNE7CalmNE5NE6N9N4CalmE6E7E6E7E8E7E7E8E7E6NE8E8E8E8E8E5E6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:55 AM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:34 PM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:09 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.51.81.91.81.51.20.80.50.40.40.60.91.31.71.91.91.81.51.20.90.60.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:55 AM EDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:53 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:33 PM EDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:31 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.91.21.51.61.51.31.10.80.50.30.30.40.71.11.41.61.71.51.310.80.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.