Marine Weather and Tides
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.
|Sunrise 6:57AM||Sunset 6:59PM||Wednesday September 26, 2018 6:37 AM EDT (10:37 UTC)||Moonrise 7:14PM||Moonset 7:14AM||Illumination 97%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NCHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus62 kmhx 260942|
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
542 am edt Wed sep 26 2018
An area of low pressure will move northeast of the area today.
A cold front will move into the area Thursday, stall and then
slowly push through Friday night into Saturday night. High
pressure will build in from the north behind the front late this
weekend into early next week.
Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 520 am wed... GOES east night fog product seems to have a
solid grasp on the area of low stratus and fog this morning,
indicating that the stratus fog coverage has expanded to
include much of the area. Most observations away from the
immediate coast have reported visibility around 1 4 to 1 2
statute miles for the past several hours, and with no
indications that conditions will improve, but rather may
deteriorate further, a dense fog advisory has been issued for
much of the area through 9 am. Visibility should begin to
improve shortly after sunrise as solar insulation encourages
Today... Modest ridging will fill in locally as low pressure
departs the area toward the northeast and a cold front crosses
the appalachians. This will work to keep mainly dry conditions
and well above normal temps in place. Ample morning sunshine and
a warm continental airmass in place will allow temps to climb
into the upper 80s for most, with some inland areas challenging
90, aided by prefrontal compressional heating in the afternoon.
By late afternoon, showers and thunderstorms associated with
the main area of moisture convergence working across the
piedmont may begin to work into the area from the west.
Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 330 am wed... A cold front will approach the area from the
west, steadily slowing as it works across the piedmont in
response to the parent low quickly lifting across eastern canada
and low-to-mid level flow turning more zonal. Overall, an
active night is in store as the primary band of prefrontal
moisture convergence moves over the area, bringing scattered
showers, with a few rumbles of thunder possible, across the area
through the night. The severe threat is low due to lack of
significant instability, but localized flooding issues cannot be
ruled out given the already saturated soils. However, storms
should be progressive enough to preclude any significant
flooding threat. Temps will remain well above normal as most of
the area remains south of the front and overcast skies limit
Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 320 am wed... Challenging forecast Thursday through early
in the weekend as a cold front is forecast to impact the area.
The front will likely push into the northern portions of the
area Thursday, then lift back north Thursday night, before then
slowly pushing back southward and through the rest of the area
fri night into Sat night. The GFS continues to trend much faster
with the frontal passage than the ecmwf, which does not push
through front through the southern areas until Sat night.
Continued to trend with the previous forecast and wpc favoring
the slower frontal passage.
Scattered to numerous showers and storms expected Thursday
through Saturday, with best chances during peak heating Thu and
fri. Modest instability, 0-6km shear 25-35 kt, and steep low level
lapse rates support TSTM development, with the best chance for
strong storms Thu and Fri during peak heating. SPC has included
most of eastern nc in a marginal risk for severe storms
Thursday, with the potential for some stronger storms with
damaging wind gusts to develop. Pwats increase to around 2
inches thu, so could see periods of moderate to heavy rain as
well. Low level thicknesses support highs Thursday in the
low mid 80s, cooler across the northern areas closer to the
front. Could see temps warm a few degrees for Friday with front
north of the area and low level SW wsw flow allowing temps to
warm into the low to upper 80s. Overnight lows in the upper 60s
to mid 70s.
A drier and more stable airmass moves in behind the front|
Sunday into early next week as high pressure builds in from the
north. Temps will be cooler with highs mainly in the upper 70s
to lower 80s with dewpoints dropping into the 60s. Overnight
lows in the 60s.
Aviation 10z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday evening ...
as of 130 am wed... Lifr conditions are being observed currently
at all terminals, and are expected to persist through the night
as low pressure passes over eastern north carolina. Ceiling and
visibility should improve as modest mixing begins around
sunrise, but a few hours of MVFR conditions are possible right
after sunrise beforeVFR conditions ensue for the rest of the
day. Visibility and ceiling restrictions are possible once again
early Thursday morning.
Long term Thursday through Sunday ...
as of 320 am wed... PredVFR conditions expected much of the
period though patchy late night early morning fog possible each
morning. Scattered showers and storms expected through Saturday,
with best chances during peak heating each day. A slow moving
front will cross the area Fri night into Sat night, with airmass
drying out late weekend into early next week.
Short term through wed
as of 215 am wed... Weak low pressure will track across the
coastal waters through Wednesday morning. Generally light winds
will shift in response to the track of this low. Small craft
advisories will begin to come down Wednesday afternoon evening
as the medium period east- southeasterly swell gradually recedes
through the period.
Long term Thursday through Sunday ...
as of 320 am wed... Tough forecast Thursday through the weekend
as a cold front moves into the area. The front will likely push
into the northern waters Thursday, and could stall near the
albemarle sound and northern waters, then lift back north
Thursday night, before then slowly pushing back southward and
through the waters Fri night into Sat night. The GFS continues
to trend much faster with the frontal passage than the ecmwf,
which does not push through front through the southern waters
until Sat night. Main change with this package was to increase
the winds and seas behind the front, with guidance showing a
stronger NE surge 15-20 kt with seas building to 4-6 ft. Still
some uncertainty regarding the timing, which will depend on when
the front eventually pushes through. A period of SCA conditions
will be possible this weekend into early next week. Strong high
pressure will build in behind the front Sunday and Monday,
keeping a moderate NE ene flow across the waters.
As of 3 am wed... Rivers levels will continue to gradually drop
over the next several days. Major flooding is still occurring at
the neuse river in kinston with moderate to minor flooding at
other locations along contentnea creek as well as the neuse and
se CAPE fear rivers in the mhx forecast area. Heed all local law
enforcement instructions and do not drive into flooded
Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
Dense fog advisory until 9 am edt this morning for ncz029-044-
Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Thursday for amz150-152-
Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for amz156.
Small craft advisory until 3 pm edt this afternoon for amz158.
near term... Cb
short term... Cb
long term... Cqd
aviation... Cqd cb
marine... Cqd cb
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC||22 mi||38 min||WNW 2.9 G 5.1||74°F||82°F||1017.6 hPa (-0.0)|
|CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC||30 mi||38 min||W 8 G 9.9||1017.3 hPa (-0.0)|
|41063||44 mi||38 min||NW 12 G 16|
Wind History for Beaufort, NC(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off)  Help
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC||15 mi||44 min||WNW 5||2.00 mi||Overcast||74°F||73°F||100%||1017.1 hPa|
|New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC||19 mi||44 min||NW 6||3.00 mi||Fog/Mist||72°F||72°F||100%||1017.5 hPa|
Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||N||N||NW||NW||NE||NE||E||E||SE||SE||NW||NW||Calm||Calm||Calm||W||Calm||Calm||SW||SW||W||NW||NW|
|2 days ago||N|
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Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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