Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:05PM Friday September 22, 2017 12:55 PM EDT (16:55 UTC) Moonrise 8:09AMMoonset 7:49PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 926 Am Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 8 pm edt this evening through Tuesday evening...
Rest of today..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221321
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
921 am edt Fri sep 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend into the area through the weekend.

Hurricane maria is expected to track between the bahamas and
bermuda early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 920 am Friday... Weak high pressure continues to build
over the area today. Despite this the higher resolution models
indicate there could be isolated showers this afternoon as
residual moisture remains marginal. Confidence in this is low
plus coverage would be 10% or less so will leave out of the
forecast. Otherwise clear to partly cloudy skies are expected
with high temperatures again well into the 80s or about 5 to 7
degrees above normal. Not feeling much like the first day of
fall, which officially arrives at 402 pm this afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
As of 330 am Friday... Another clear sky and calm night expected
with patchy dense fog possible. Lows will drop back into the 60s
away from the coast.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
As of 3 am fri... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will extend down across the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of maria. Eastern nc residents and
interested parties should continue to monitor the latest
official forecasts from nhc.

Friday night through Sunday... Surface high pressure and upper
ridge will continue to build in from the north through the
weekend, as the remnants of jose meanders off the NE and mid-
atlantic coast. Pred dry weather expected. Low level thickness
values support above normal temps with highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s and overnight lows in the mid 60s coastal plain to low
70s outer banks.

Sunday night through Thursday... Hurricane maria is currently
forecast to slowly lift north off the SE coast through mid week.

Eventual track will be determined by several factors including
the strength of the upper ridge and circulation of jose. It is
still too soon to determine specific impacts for eastern nc,
which will be very dependent on the track how close to the coast
it gets. Regardless of the exact track, rough surf and
dangerous rip currents are likely this weekend into next week,
as large long period southeast swells build. Gusty N NW winds,
minor coastal flooding, and ocean overwash erosion will be also
possible. Slight chance low chance rain showers, mainly along
the coast, possible through wed. An approaching front will bring
a chance of showers Thursday. Temps through the period, near to
slightly above normal with highs in the 80s and lows in the mid
60s low 70s.

Aviation 13z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through 00z Saturday ...

as of 730 am Friday... Ifr vsbys at kpgv, with brief MVFR vsbys
elsewhere in fog through 13z, thenVFR today. Just a few clouds
around 5,000 through late today. With calm conditions again
tonight, fog possible again especially toward kpgv. Most
confident in at least MVFR vsbys but ifr can't be ruled out.

Long term Fri night through Tue ...

as of 3 am fri...VFR conditions will dominate most of the
period, though some early morning fg br and low stratus may
develop each night as a ridge of high pressure will be across
the region. Sub-vfr possible in isolated to scattered showers
mon and tue.

Marine
Short term through Fri ...

as of 920 am Friday... Still getting a few 6 foot waves off
oregon inlet and duck so the current small craft advisory is in
good shape north of ocracoke inlet. Later today maria swell will
slowly build through afternoon putting most of our coastal
waters above 6 feet north of ocracoke, otherwise, winds will be
less than 10 kts through tonight, starting out of the northwest
today and gradually backing toward the west to west- southwest
tonight.

Tonight, swell from maria will continue to increase tonight and
this should be enough that we will start to see some 6 foot
waves south of ocracoke to surf city. Issued a small craft
advisory tonight to account for this.

Long term Fri night through Tue ...

as of 3 am fri... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will build down into the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of hurricane maria late this weekend and
next week, though models continue to slow it down and keep it
slightly further eastward. Mariners and interested parties
should continue to monitor the latest official forecasts from
nhc.

N NE winds 5-15 kt sat, 10-20 kt Sun then likely increasing to
15-25 kt Mon and Tue as maria lifts northward. Long period
southeast swell will gradually build through the period, peaking
mid week. Small craft seas forecast through the entire period.

Have capped seas at 14 ft for the central waters mid next week.

Still too soon to determine specific impacts from maria, but
dangerous seas expected and gusty N NW winds will be possible.

Rough surf and dangerous rip currents are likely.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Tuesday for amz150-152-154.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 8 pm edt
Tuesday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Jme eh
near term... Jme eh
short term... Eh
long term... Hsa
aviation... Eh hsa
marine... Jme eh hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi38 min S 5.1 G 6 80°F 76°F1017.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi56 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 1017.5 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi62 minVar 310.00 miFair83°F69°F63%1018.1 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi62 minWNW 410.00 miFair84°F69°F61%1017.8 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4E9S4S3CalmSW3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3
1 day agoW10W8
G16
W6W7W5W5CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmS3CalmNW33CalmCalm
2 days agoNW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:01 AM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:34 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:17 PM EDT     2.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.81.20.60.20.10.30.71.422.52.72.52.11.610.50.20.20.511.62.12.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:56 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:46 AM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:25 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.310.70.30.10.10.20.50.91.21.51.51.41.20.80.50.20.10.10.30.711.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.