Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:27PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 6:52 PM EDT (22:52 UTC) Moonrise 9:54AMMoonset 11:07PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 640 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop late.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 282234
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
634 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure over the region tonight will shift offshore
Thursday. Bermuda high pressure will then remain offshore
through early next week with a piedmont trough producing
chances for thunderstorms each day.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 630 pm wed... No changes planned with clr skies and
seasonably cool temps.

Prev disc... High pressure will remain over the region tonight
with clear skies and light winds expected. Good radiational
cooling will lead to another night of comfortable temperatures
with lows inland in the upper 50s to lower 60s and and mid to
upper 60s beaches.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through 6 pm Thursday
As of 145 pm wed... The surface high will shift offshore with a
a light southerly return flow developing. This will lead to an
increase in dewpoints into the lower to mid 60s which is a
higher than today but not stifling. Highs will be in the mid to
perhaps upper 80s inland lower 80s beaches with patchy high
based afternoon cumulus clouds.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
As of 305 pm Wednesday... High pressure will shift off the coast
through the long term period with typical summer pattern
developing. Scattered afternoon and evening storms are possible
beginning Friday lasting through early next week.

Friday Friday night... A weak short wave will move into the area
from the southwest during the day. Latest 28 12z model suite
continues to indicate showers with some embedded thunder
possible for mainly the southern and western areas of the fa.

Will maintain the low chance pops until further model runs can
handle timing and strength of this shortwave, as precip chances
may have to be raised for some areas with subsequent forecasts.

Shower thunderstorm activity will shift to the coast and coastal
waters Friday night and maintained chance pops along the coast
for this. High temps will reach the upper 80s inland with mid
80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Monday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
possible each afternoon through this period. Forecasted pops
based on climo (20-40 percent), with interior areas seeing best
chances for scattered storms each afternoon and early evening,
then best chances along the coast and offshore during the
overnight periods. A weak front may aid shower and thunderstorm
development Sunday or Monday, though this feature too weak and
subtle to indicate higher than chance at this time. High temps
will range from the low 90s inland to mid 80s near the coast,
with lows 72 to 78, coolest well inland and warmest on the
beaches.

Tuesday through Wednesday... A bit more uncertainty this period,
as ecm is indicating building hts thicknesses which would limit
convection, while GFS cmc are indicating a weakness in the
building ridge which may keep scattered showers storms in the
fcst. Will maintain the 20 pops for the fa ATTM which is in
line with ecm ensemble MOS probs.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 630 pm wed... High confidence forVFR conditions most of
this period. High pressure will continue across the region
tonight then slide offshore thu. With clr skies and light to
calm winds tonight temps will likely reach close to dewpts and
some patchy mainly light fog poss late. Any fog development will
erode away quickly after sunrise... Leading to mostly clear pc
skies Thu with some CU developing in the aftn as low lvl flow
becomes sse.

Long term Thursday night through Monday ...

as of 305 pm Wednesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
each day starting Friday as some scattered mainly afternoon and
evening storms pop up, and could see some periods of MVFR- ifr
fog low stratus early morning beginning on Friday.

Marine
Short term tonight and Thursday ...

as of 630 pm wed... No changes with good boating cont as high
pres remains in control.

Prev disc... High pressure over the waters tonight will
shift east well out into the atlantic Thursday were it will
continue to influence the weather through early next week. This
will cause current NE winds to veer to the E overnight and SE to
s on Thursday. Speeds of 10 to 15 kt through early this evening
will diminish to 10 kt or less late tonight and Thursday
morning then increase slightly to 10 to 15 kt Thursday
afternoon. Seas will be 2 to 3 ft through Thursday.

Long term Thursday night through Monday ...

as of 305 pm Wednesday... Fair boating conditions expected
through the long term as bermuda high pressure offshore will
prevail through the period. This will produce SW winds of 5-15
kt through the weekend into early next week with seas mainly 2-3
ft, though some ocnl 4 ft seas for the outer central southern
waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Rf jme
short term... Jme
long term... Tl
aviation... Rf tl
marine... Rf jme tl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi52 min E 11 G 15 80°F 80°F1020.8 hPa (+0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi52 min E 12 G 13 78°F 1021.2 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi58 minSSE 710.00 miFair82°F60°F47%1021.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi58 minNE 510.00 miFair83°F57°F41%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3W3CalmCalmN3N6CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN6N5N5NE7NE74
G15
NE7NE5NE4S7
1 day agoSE4SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5W5W4SW4SW5CalmE3W5NW5NW5
2 days agoNW3S3S3S3CalmS3CalmCalmNW4CalmN4N6N54N5N8N7NE9E74E43SE7SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:42 AM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:21 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:15 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.42.21.71.10.50.1-0.2-0.10.20.81.41.92.22.11.81.30.80.30-00.20.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:29 AM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:23 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:04 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:26 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.61.61.41.10.70.3-0-0.2-0.10.10.50.81.11.21.210.70.40.1-0-00.20.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.