Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ford City, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 7:15PM Sunday March 26, 2017 9:45 PM PDT (04:45 UTC) Moonrise 6:09AMMoonset 5:59PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 819 Pm Pdt Sun Mar 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday morning...
.gale watch in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 20 kt...becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt...becoming 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 7 seconds... Building to 6 to 8 ft dominant period 7 seconds in the afternoon.
Mon night..Western portion...nw winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Eastern portion...w winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt...becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 9 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming W 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 11 seconds.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 16 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 15 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft.
PZZ600 819 Pm Pdt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 03z...or 8 pm pst...a 1030 mb high was 800 nm W of point conception and a 995 mb low was located in the gulf of alaska. Winds will be elevated during much of this coming week. Widespread gales are likely Mon into Tue...and possibly again Thu and Fri. Short period seas will dominate the waters due to persistent northwest winds.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ford City, CA
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location: 35.16, -119.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 270255
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles/oxnard ca
755 pm pdt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front may bring a few light showers to san luis
obispo county and the north slopes, beginning overnight into
Monday. Strong gusty north winds will begin Monday afternoon and
persist into Tuesday morning. A weak ridge and offshore flow will
bring warm and dry conditions by the middle of next week.

Short term (sun-wed)
overall, it was a nice day across southern california. High temps
trended upwards 1-5 degrees with best warming inland. Much of the
coast remained similar to yesterday in respect to high temps.

Plenty of high clouds were also hanging around today ahead of
weakening frontal boundary approaching NW slo county later this
evening. There were some local gusty W winds occurring across the
western antelope valley with isolated gusts to 45 mph near poppy
park, and noticed sba south coast near refugio was starting to
see gusts around 35 mph. Not expecting these winds to become
widespread so will hold off on a wind advisory this evening.

As the front reaches our forecast area it will wash out for the
most part. A few areas should recieve some light showers across
nrn slo county. By Monday morning the main target for showers
will be across the northern slopes of the santa barbara, ventura,
and NW portion of the la county mtns. What showers that do occur
tonight into Monday will be less then a tenth of an inch. With
northerly flow expected to develop as this upper trough moves
through, clouds will linger across the northern slopes into early
Monday afternoon. The snow level will be around 6500 to 7000 ft as
this quick moving trough plunges through.

The main story for the next few days will be the wind developing
behind the exiting front. The combination of NW flow aloft and a
strong surface high (1030 mb) about 600 nm NW of pt. Conception
and a 1007 mb low across the lower colorado valley will cause a
strong NW to W surface gradient to develop. Initially, gusty nw
winds will pick up quickly across the central coast late Monday
morning with gusts to 35 mph expected. Then, northerly winds will
develop across the mountains and the sba south coast by the
afternoon. By Monday evening the potential for strong damaging
winds over 60 mph across the la/vtu/sba county mountains, santa
clarita valley and the sba south coast will be possible. There
will be good upper level support at 850 mb for the northerly winds
beginning Monday evening into Tuesday morning. A high wind watch
is in effect for the mountains and santa clarita valley are valid
starting Monday early evening through early Tue morning. The
western antelope valley might need to be added to the high wind
watch and will look closely at the 00z NAM model run to justify
adding a high wind watch there as well. Expect near advisory level
northerly winds to filter across the san fernando valley and into
west la to hollywood as well. By Tuesday morning the winds will
begin to shift out of the ne, a more typical santa ana wind
direction. There will continue to be decent upper lvl support
through the morning hours. More wind advisories will likely be
needed... Especially across the wind prone la/vtu county coast and
valleys.

***from previous discussion***
the offshore flow will bring a warming trend on Tuesday, with
the warmest valleys expected to climb into the lower 80s. The
warmest day of the week for many areas is expected to be Wednesday
when increased offshore flow at the surface and stronger upper
level ridging combine to bring temperatures approaching 90 degrees
in the warmest valleys.

Long term (thu-sun)
an inside slider will move down the nv/ca state line Thursday and
then into arizona on Friday. Still a bit questionalbe how much
cooling this system will bring to the region as GFS maintains
higher heights than ec during this period. GFS and ec models
coming into better agreement on bringing a resurgence of offshore
flow and warming temperatures next weekend, with inland areas
climbing well into the 80s.

Aviation 27/0130z...

at 01z, the marine inversion at klax was based at 5000 feet. The
top of the inversion was 7000 feet with a temperature of 8
degrees celsius.

Overall, moderate confidence in 00z TAF package. Overnight, will
bring in a MVFR cloud deck to all coastal/valley TAF sites, but
with low confidence as there is a 50% chance that conditions could
remainVFR.

Klax... Overall, moderate confidence in 00z taf. Low to moderate
confidence in development of MVFR CIGS (as there is a 50% chance
conditions will remainVFR).

Kbur... Overall, moderate confidence in 00z taf. For tonight, low
confidence in development of MVFR CIGS (as there is a 50% chance
conditions will remainVFR).

Marine 26/800 pm...

for the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast.

Northwest winds will be on the increase through Monday night
with gale force winds likely Monday afternoon and night.

Gale force gusts are likely through Tuesday morning... But will
diminish a bit Tuesday/Wednesday. However, winds will still
remain at SCA levels through this time. For Thursday and Friday,
there is a good chance that winds will increase to gale force
again.

For the inner waters, moderate to high confidence in current
forecast. For the waters north of point sal, high confidence in
winds reaching gale force Monday afternoon/evening with winds
hovering around SCA levels Tuesday through Friday. For the waters
south of point conception, moderate confidence in winds increasing
to gale force levels Monday afternoon and night (mainly across
western sections) with winds hovering around SCA levels Tuesday
through Friday.

Lox watches/warnings/advisories
Ca... Wind advisory in effect from noon to 9 pm pdt Monday for
zones 34-35-59. (see laxnpwlox).

Wind advisory in effect from noon to 6 pm pdt Monday for
zones 39-52>54-88. (see laxnpwlox).

High wind watch in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday
morning for zones 39-52>54-88. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Gale watch in effect from Monday morning through late Monday
night for zones 645-650-655. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 11 am pdt Monday for
zones 650-670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Gale watch in effect from Monday morning through Tuesday
morning for zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
another round of strong and gusty northwest to north winds will
be possible Thu night in the mountains and along the santa barbara
county south coast, with travel being affected by the winds.

Public... Kaplan/gomberg
aviation... Kaplan
marine... Rat/smith
synopsis... B
weather.Gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 54 mi70 min Calm G 1 58°F 1016.5 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 67 mi36 min W 18 G 21 1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA27 mi52 minN 510.00 miOvercast61°F46°F58%1017.7 hPa

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Last 24hrN3N3N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NE3W7W9
G17
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1 day agoNW6W7CalmSE7CalmE4NE5NE3CalmNE4SW3S3S83Calm3NW10NW12NW10NW11N9N10NW5N3
2 days agoE5E5E4E4E4CalmE5SE4SE5S4SE3SE5SE5CalmSW35NW3NW8N9N9N11N8NW6N5

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
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Mon -- 03:42 AM PDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:47 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:53 AM PDT     5.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:06 PM PDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:06 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:16 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:59 PM PDT     New Moon
Mon -- 10:23 PM PDT     4.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.52.41.40.70.611.93.14.14.95.14.73.82.61.30.3-0.10.112.13.44.44.94.8

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:41 AM PDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:51 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:49 AM PDT     5.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:04 PM PDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:05 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:59 PM PDT     New Moon
Mon -- 10:18 PM PDT     5.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.52.31.20.50.40.91.93.14.35.25.44.93.92.51.10.1-0.4-0.10.92.23.64.75.25.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.