Sunday, September23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ford City, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 6:52PM Sunday September 23, 2018 7:14 PM PDT (02:14 UTC) Moonrise 6:33PMMoonset 5:18AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 231 Pm Pdt Sun Sep 23 2018
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 7 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 5 seconds.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 6 seconds.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
PZZ600 231 Pm Pdt Sun Sep 23 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z...or 2 pm pdt, a 1032 mb high pressure center was located about 800 nm west of portland, oregon, and a 1006 mb thermal low was over the california-arizona border. Patchy fog...locally dense...will develop overnight.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ford City, CA
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location: 35.16, -119.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 240018 aaa
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
518 pm pdt Sun sep 23 2018
updated synopsis and aviation sections

Synopsis 23 255 pm.

Afternoon temperatures will cool a bit early in the week, warm
through the end of the week, then cool again during the weekend.

Overnight and morning low clouds and fog will develop along the
coast and at times will push into the adjacent valleys.

Short term (sun-wed) 23 1214 pm.

Current forecast is on track with anticipated cooling as onshore
pressure gradients increase and the marine layer deepens in
response to an approaching trof that will cross the northern
portion of the state between now and Monday. Lower heights along
with the aforementioned changes in the pressure gradients and
marine layer depth will insure cooler temperatures, especially
inland where the effects will have greater impact. The marine
layer depth this morning was around 1500 feet and should deepen
further by Monday morning.

Additional cooling can be expected on Monday as the trof continues
to traverse the northern portion of the state on its way to the
great basin. The marine layer will likely get into the valleys
Monday morning. One change for the afternoon package will be to
increase the winds in the antelope valley for Monday afternoon and
evening as the onshore gradient from lax-dag looks just as strong
Monday as it is today. Also, removed any hint of low clouds and
fog for the salinas valley tonight into Monday morning as the low
level moisture does not support any fog development.

For Monday night into Tuesday, there will not be too much change
in the low clouds and fog coverage as the even the la valleys will
again see some patchy low clouds and fog. However, the heights
start to rise and the onshore pressure gradients will weaken
enough to allow some warming across the forecast area, especially
in the mountains and deserts.

By Tuesday night into Wednesday, a rex block forms in the eastern
pacific, with a high latitude upper high and a cutoff low just to
its south. The cutoff low will be well off to the west and its
only effect will be to amplify a downstream ridge over southwest
california. Temperatures will rise across the entire district due
to higher heights and weaker onshore flow. At this point, the
marine clouds should become shallow enough to be restricted to
only the coastal sections.

Long term (thu-sun) 23 126 pm.

The warming trend will continue into Thursday, which should be the
warmest day of the next 7 days. High temperatures on Thursday will
soar close to triple digit territory in the warmest locations,
like the interior valleys and the deserts. Patchy low clouds and
fog should remain along the immediate coastal sections.

On Friday, the upper high off the pac NW coast breaks down and
allows trof energy to approach the washington and oregon coasts,
which in turn, will kick the cutoff low eastward and toward
northern california. Accordingly, heights will drop, the onshore
flow will again increase, and the temperatures will drop across
the region.

For next weekend, the extended models are in decent agreement that the
cutoff low will push into far northern california on Saturday.

Little change is expected for Sunday, before another deeper trof
pushes into northern california early next week.

Aviation 24 0017z.

At 21z, the marine layer depth was around 1400 feet deep at klax.

The top of the marine inversion was around 1950 feet with a
temperature near 21 degrees celsius. There was another inversion
up to around 2400 feet.

Moderate confidence in the current forecast. Timing of could be
up to one hour earlier than forecast or up to two to hours later.

North of point conception, lifr to ifr conditions will spread
into coastal and coastal valley terminals through 08z. Conditions
should become predominantly lifr between 05z and 08z. There is a
chance of vlifr conditions between 08z and 14z.VFR conditions
should redevelop between 16z and 17z.

South of point conception, ifr to MVFR conditions will spread
into coastal terminals through 10z. Higher confidence in MVFR
conditions south of koxr. There is a chance of ifr to MVFR
conditions for valley terminals between 10z and 16z.VFR
conditions should redevelop between 16z and 18z.

Klax... MVFR conditions will spread into klax as early as 03z or
as late as 09z.VFR conditions should develop between 16z and
17z, but there is a 30 percent chance that MVFR conditions delay
until as late as 20z. Any east winds that could develop between
11z and 15z should remain less than 5 knots.

Kbur... There is a 40 percent chance of ifr to MVFR conditions
between 10z and 16z. No wind impacts are expected at this time.

Marine 23 202 pm.

For the outer waters... Winds across the northern and central
outer waters will strengthen to small craft advisory (sca) level
by this evening and the conditions will continue through early
Monday morning. Otherwise and elsewhere conditions will remain
below SCA levels through Thursday.

For the inner waters... Conditions will remain below SCA levels
through Thursday.

Patchy dense fog with visibility one mile or less will form
across the coastal waters tonight through Monday morning. The
dense fog will be most prevalent north of point conception and in
the santa barbara channel.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Monday for
zones 670-673. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Sweet
aviation... Hall
marine... Kj
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 54 mi99 min WSW 8.9 G 12 63°F 1010.3 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 67 mi35 min W 9.7 G 12 60°F 1010.2 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA27 mi21 minNNW 510.00 miFair88°F43°F21%1006.9 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE5W4NE3NW4NW4SW4SE3CalmSE6E4SE3CalmW4SW344W6NW9NW11NW10NW7N5
1 day agoNW4E3NE5N3NE6CalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE4SE3SE43CalmW4W55W8W10W8NW8NW8NW6
2 days agoN3NE3E5SE6CalmCalmNE3E3CalmCalmCalmNW4----SW33W7W6NW8NW13NW11NW10NW12N7

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.