Saturday, July22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ford City, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:09PM Saturday July 22, 2017 3:55 AM PDT (10:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:14AMMoonset 7:39PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 318 Am Pdt Sat Jul 22 2017
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Mon night..SW winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 318 Am Pdt Sat Jul 22 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 09z...or 2 am pdt...1026 mb surface high pressure was centered 550 nm miles northwest of point conception and a 1004 mb thermal low was located over southern nevada.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ford City, CA
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location: 35.16, -119.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 221033
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
333 am pdt Sat jul 22 2017

Synopsis
For the next few days a typical summer weather pattern will bring
night through morning low clouds and fog to the coasts and some of
the valleys. Temperatures will be near normal. There is a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoons and evenings for the
deserts and mountains on Monday and Tuesday.

Short term (tdy-mon)
the marine layer is 1400 feet deep and there is a 3 mb push to the
east and a 1 mb push to the north. Marine layer stratus is
currently at klax and is slowly advancing up the coast to the nw.

Stratus covers most of western sba county and is slowly moving
into slo county. By dawn the low clouds will be into the vta
coastal plain and the sgv. There is about a 50 50 chance that the
low clouds will make it into the sba south coast this morning. The
low clouds will burn off by mid morning or shortly there after
and the entire area will see sunny skies in the afternoon. Max
temps will be right around normal.

A very weak trof will move towards the coast later tonight and the
onshore gradients will strengthen by a mb or two. This will deepen
the marine layer and will bring the low clouds in earlier. The
deeper marine layer and stronger push will also allow a little
better stratus coverage in the vlys. Burn off (dissipation to be
rigorously accurate with the wording) will occur an hour or two
later than today but the afternoon will still be sunny. The deeper
marine layer... Stronger onshore flow... And lower hgts will allow
for a couple of degrees of cooling across the area.

Monday's forecast really depends on what mdl is right. The GFS has
quite the bullish monsoon forecast. It pushes pwat values as high
as 1.4 inches vta and sba counties. Li's lower to -1 or -2. The
only question with the GFS forecast is how much mid and high level
clouds will arrive with the moisture... There is a chance that the
day could be mostly cloudy which would inhibit the convection.

Still if the GFS is perfect... There will be a great deal of
convection in the afternoon and evening across the mtns and the av
as will as the santa clarita and san gabriel vlys.

But... The ec keeps all the moisture to the S and E of the area.

The GFS has been over forecasting the monsoon front fairly
relentlessly over the past three weeks and tend to favor the drier
ec at this time. Still cannot ignore the GFS (hey its gotta be
right sometime) and have slight chc pops in the fcst for now. Will
have to monitor this and see which mdl trends to the other.

More low clouds and fog can be expected for the coast and some
adjacent vlys Sun night into Mon morning, otherwise partly cloudy
skies can be expected across the region for the most part during
the period.

Hgts continue to lower and there will be more clouds so Monday's
temps will continue to cool and will be 2 to 5 degrees blo
normal.

Long term (tue-fri)
southwest flow returns on Tuesday. The GFS has just enough
residual moisture to warrant a slight chc of tstms in the
afternoon but mostly likely it will be dry. Hgts will be the
lowest of the week and Tuesday should be the coolest day of the
week. There will probably be enough mid level clouds as well as
possible low level mixing to eliminate the low clouds for the
morning.

The upper high to the east of the area then grows and reasserts
itself into the area. The inversion will strengthen and the night
through morning low cloud patter will resume but only for the
coasts. MAX temps will trend higher each day and it looks like
next weekend could be a warm one.

Aviation 22 06z
at 0448z at klax... The inversion was around 1000 feet. The top
of the inversion was around 3300 feet with a temperature of about
30 degrees celsius.

Overall... Moderate confidence in the current coastal and coastal
adjacent tafs and high confidence elsewhere. Lifr ifr conditions
will move over coastal locations through 11z with the exception
of ksba and kcma where these conditions will develop closer to
daybreak. Conditions will clear toVFR between 15z-17z with a
thirty percent chance of reduced conditions lingering until 19z
along los angeles county. Similar conditions and timing will
return to klax tomorrow morning. There is a twenty percent chance
of MVFR conditions at kbur 11z-17z. Otherwise and elsewhereVFR
conditions will prevail.

Klax... Moderate confidence in the current taf. Lifr ifr conditions
will impact the terminal 09z-17z with a thirty percent chance of
conditions lingering through 19z. Similar conditions will return
after 23 04z. OtherwiseVFR conditions will prevail. East winds
greater than 7 knots are not expected.

Kbur... Moderate to high confidence in the current taf. There is
a twenty percent chance of MVFR conditions 11z-17z. OtherwiseVFR
conditions will prevail.

Marine 22 230 am...

small craft advisory (sca) level winds across the outer waters will
continue through this evening. Otherwise and elsewhere winds and
seas will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Beach hazards statement in effect through Sunday evening for
zones 40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening
for zones 670-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Sunday for zone
673. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (mon-fri)
a monsoonal flow pattern Monday will bring a slight chance of
thunderstorm to the mountains and deserts on Monday and Tuesday.

There is a possibility that shower activity could spill over into
the valley areas.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Kj
marine... Kj
synopsis... Stu
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 54 mi80 min ENE 4.1 G 6 63°F 1012.3 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 67 mi26 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 63°F 66°F1012.6 hPa62°F

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA27 mi62 minN 010.00 miFair78°F45°F31%1011.1 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3E3SE3SE533NW7W7NW6--NW9NW8W10W10NW9NW4N5N4NE6E3CalmNE3Calm
1 day agoCalmN3CalmE3SE5CalmSW4W7W12NW12
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2 days agoN3CalmSE5SE6SE6SE7SW4W44W8NW8NW8NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
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Sat -- 03:48 AM PDT     -1.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:16 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:02 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:24 AM PDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM PDT     1.99 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:38 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:26 PM PDT     6.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.41.60.1-0.9-1.1-0.60.41.62.83.74.14.13.62.92.322.2345.36.36.96.86.1

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:45 AM PDT     -1.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:15 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:13 AM PDT     4.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:09 PM PDT     1.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:06 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:25 PM PDT     7.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.21.3-0.2-1.2-1.4-0.80.31.62.93.94.34.23.62.82.11.71.92.73.95.26.36.96.96

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.