Thursday, October18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vandemere, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 6:30PM Thursday October 18, 2018 12:58 AM EDT (04:58 UTC) Moonrise 2:29PMMoonset 12:18AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 930 Pm Edt Wed Oct 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Overnight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 25 kt. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Thu..N winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves choppy.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely in the evening.
Sun..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vandemere, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.17, -76.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 180125
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
925 pm edt Wed oct 17 2018

Synopsis
A stronger but dry cold front will push across the area tonight
with high pressure building in from the northwest late in the
week. Another cold front is expected to move through the area
this weekend, followed by dry and cool conditions early next
week.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 925 pm Wednesday... High pressure will continue to build
over the area from the north tonight. The lower cloud deck has
eroded but considerable high cloudiness continues to stream into
the area early this evening. Model t-sections indicate that
these clouds should diminish after midnight followed by clear
skies overnight. Initial airmass following the front was dry but
still mild with temps still in the 60s and 70s. Overnight the
flow will turn north, sending much colder air into the region
with lows inland dropping into the mid to upper 40s and mid to
upper 50s coast. Winds have temporarily decoupled inland this
evening, but low level cold advection will result in good mixing
after midnight with no fog expected.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through 6 pm Thursday
As of 250 pm Wednesday... A 1032 mb high over the ohio valley in
the morning will drift southeast and remain in full control of
our weather Thursday. A decent pressure gradient the first half
of the day will still produce breezy conditions but as the high
slides closer, winds should relax during the afternoon. With
850 temps only around 7c 8c, it will be chilly with highs only
around 60 inland, to mid 60s by the coast.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
As of 300 am Wednesday... H5 heights will build locally Thursday
through Friday as broad troughing slides off the northeast
coast. At the surface, robust high pressure over the missouri
valley Thursday morning will slide across the mid-appalachians
and over the mid- atlantic by early Friday. This cool, dry
airmass will work in conjunction with deep layer subsidence to
ensure dry conditions to finish out the workweek. Friday morning
will bring the coolest temps of the fall so far, with lows
reaching into the 30s for most areas away from the immediate
coast as the cool continental airmass, sourced from the northern
plains southern canada fills in, and clear skies and calm
conditions allow for very efficient radiational cooling. Though
current forecast lows are a few degrees warmer than where frost
formation would be expected, the overall trend has been cooler
for Friday morning, and frost will be a concern if the trend
continues.

Late Friday into Sunday morning, an h5 trough digging across the
north plains will absorb a southern stream jet streak over the
midwest, and progress over the eastern us. At the surface, warm air
advection ahead of an approaching cold front will begin late Friday
night. The primary band of pre-frontal moisture looks to bring the
greatest storm chances as it crosses the area Saturday. The overall
positive orientation of the upper trough and the unimpressive mid
level lapse rates suggest that severe weather is not of great
concern, but a few strong storms cannot be ruled out.

The cold front will move over the coastal waters by early Sunday
morning, and continental high pressure building in will bring below
normal temperatures and dry weather Sunday through early next
week.

Aviation 01z Thursday through Monday
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 635 pm wed...VFR conditions will prevail over the taf
sites through Thu as high pressure builds over the area from the
north. Northerly winds will gust at times to 20 kt Thu morning
into early afternoon.

Long term Thursday night through Monday ...

as of 330 am Wednesday... Dry high pressure will keepVFR
conditions in place Friday. Unsettled weather associated with
the passage of a cold front may bring periods of ceiling or
visibility restrictions Saturday.VFR conditions return Sunday,
though northeast winds will be gusty at times.

Marine
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 925 pm wed... Small craft advisories have been issued for
all the waters for the expected northerly surge developing late
this evening. High pressure will build over the waters from the
north through Thu with a surge of cooler air moving over the
waters producing gusty north winds over all of the coastal
waters. Generally winds will be 15 to 25 kts, but some gusts to
near 30 kts will be likely over most of the open waters outside
of the immediate rivers. Seas will build to 2 to 5 feet tonight,
but some 6 footers will be possible toward daybreak especially
the central and northern waters.

North winds will remain strong through late morning Thursday,
before gradually diminishing. Ending the small craft advisories
in the afternoon still looks on target except the northern
waters where elevated seas will remain around 6 feet into
Thursday evening.

Long term Thursday night through Monday ...

as of 330 am Wednesday... Conditions will improve Thursday
evening as cold air advection weakens, but conditions hazardous
to small craft inexperienced mariners will continue into
Thursday night for the coastal waters north of ocracoke inlet.

Benign conditions will prevail Friday and Friday night before a
tightening gradient ahead of an approaching cold front brings
southwest winds to 15 to 20 kt, with higher gusts Saturday morning.

Winds will shift to northeast and unsettled weather will prevail as
a cold front crosses the water late Saturday. Cool high pressure
will then build in behind the cold front beginning Saturday night,
likely bringing winds back to small craft advisory levels Sunday.

Conditions will gradually improve early next week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Thursday for amz136-137.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Thursday for amz130-131-
135-156-158.

Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Thursday for amz150-152-
154.

Synopsis... Jme eh bm cb
near term... Jme eh
short term... Eh
long term... Cb
aviation... Jme eh cb
marine... Jme eh bm cb


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 31 mi41 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 66°F 77°F1023 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 38 mi59 min N 6 G 7 1022.8 hPa (+1.4)
41063 46 mi59 min N 9.7 G 16
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 50 mi41 min NNW 14 G 16 69°F 74°F1021.7 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last
24hr
E2
SE1
SE4
SW6
G10
W8
G18
W4
G10
NW5
G8
NW4
N11
N9
G12
N9
NW7
G11
N8
G12
N6
G10
N11
N8
G11
NW5
G9
NW5
G8
NW3
NW4
N5
G8
NW3
N5
N3
1 day
ago
SW2
G6
SW3
G6
SW3
G7
SW4
G7
SW4
G8
SW5
G8
SW5
G8
W2
G7
NW3
W6
W5
G11
NW6
G10
NW3
G8
NW4
G7
N5
N5
E8
G13
E8
G11
E5
NE5
E4
N4
--
N3
2 days
ago
S8
G12
S11
S9
S9
G12
S7
S4
SW7
SW5
G8
S14
SW6
G9
S8
SW7
G10
SW7
G11
S7
S6
S8
G11
SW8
G12
S7
G10
S7
G10
S5

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC22 mi65 minN 04.00 miFog/Mist57°F57°F100%1022.8 hPa

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
Last 24hrNW5NW6N7NW6N6E3E6E3E4E7E7NE7NE7NE7NE6E4NE6N7NE9NE9NE11NE11NE10NE9
1 day agoN4N5NW3NW53NE4NE5E5E4SE5SE6NW5NW3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW4SW4W6NW6NW4
2 days agoN16
G21
N12
G19
N12N10NE10N8NE7N5E3E3CalmN5N6N3N3N4N5N6N4N5N3N5N6N4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:34 AM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:51 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:57 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:43 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.81.11.41.71.91.91.81.61.310.80.70.81.11.51.82.12.22.11.91.51.20.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:13 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:33 AM EDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:13 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:56 PM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.50.60.81.11.51.61.71.51.31.10.90.70.60.60.91.21.51.81.91.81.61.41.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.