Monday, May20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hobucken, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:08PM Monday May 20, 2019 2:37 AM EDT (06:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:04PMMoonset 6:25AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 107 Am Edt Mon May 20 2019
Rest of tonight..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming e. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobucken CDP, NC
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location: 35.19, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200504
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
104 am edt Mon may 20 2019

Synopsis
High pressure at the surface and aloft will remain along the
southeast coast through the day today. A weak cold front will
move into the region Tuesday becoming stationary over eastern
nc, before moving back north on Thursday. Strong high pressure
returns to the area Friday and into the weekend.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 100 am mon... Very quiet weather across the region tonight,
with almost completely clear skies, thanks to high pressure
offshore. Temperatures are currently very mild, with readings still
in the low to mid 70s, but are expected to drop into the upper
60s inland and the low 70s along the coast. A light breeze
overnight will help discourage any fog development.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
As of 230 pm sun... Bermuda high pressure continues to dominate
Monday as mid to upper level ridging keeps a mainly dry forecast
in place. Low level thickness values are a bit lower that the
past several days, so highs are only expected to reach into the
lower 90s with southwest synoptic flow becoming south behind a
seabreeze that will progress inland through the afternoon. Winds
will become breezy later in the day, especially for coastal
areas, as the gradient tightens ahead of a cold front
approaching from the northwest.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
As of 245 pm sun... The summery pattern will continue through
most of the week, as high temperatures are expected to be well
above normal. Though Tuesday and Wednesday will be more pleasant,
as a backdoor cold front cools the area down more towards
normal. It will also be very dry through the next 7 days, with
only some isolated chances of showers and thunderstorms.

Monday night through Wednesday... A weak cold front will move
across eastern nc Tuesday, and may spark a few showers and
tstms ahead of it Monday night into early Tuesday. Moisture
still looks limited with this feature, as the GFS continues to
be the wettest guidance while most others show very isolated
activity. Low level north to easterly flow behind the front
will bring a quick reprieve from the heat, with more pleasant
and seasonable temps and dewpoints for Tue and wed. Low level
thickness values and onshore flow support highs in the mid upper
80s inland and mid upper 70s along the coast Tuesday, then mid
80s inland and low upper 70s along the coast Wednesday.

Thursday through Sunday... A strengthening upper level ridge
will move out of the gulf of mexico and park itself over the
deep south Thursday into the weekend. Surface high pressure will
again set up over the western atlantic, bringing a return to
deep SW flow to the region. Early signs are showing that this
combination could bring close to record heat to the southeast
us. However, the latest model runs continue to show the ridge a
bit further west, placing eastern nc on the peripheral of the
heat, though it looks as though we will eventually get into the
very hot conditions by next weekend. Guidance does try to show a
front pushing through the area Friday, with the GFS breaking
down the ridge a bit faster this weekend. Continued to trend
towards previous forecast, wpc and the ecmwf. Highs Thursday
in the upper 80s to low 90s inland, and the low to mid 80s near
the coast. Then, temps increase Friday through Sunday climbing
into the low to mid 90s inland, and the mid to upper 80s closer
to the coast.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Short term through Tuesday morning ...

as of 100 am mon...VFR conditions are present across the
airspace early this morning, and will continue through the taf
period. Mostly clear skies are expected tonight and most of
tomorrow, and a light breeze should discourage any fog
formation this morning. A few wind gusts to 20 kts will be
possible across the TAF sites this afternoon.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 245 pm sun... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period. Though cannot rule out patchy shallow fog and or
stratus each morning at the terminals.

Marine
Short term through Monday ...

as of 230 pm sun... Moderate ssw winds will prevail this
afternoon through tonight as bermuda high pressure remains in
control. The gradient will begin to tighten Monday as a front
approaches from the northwest, with gusts in the upper teens to
lower 20 kt range becoming more prevalent through the afternoon.

Winds are expected to remain below SCA levels, though
occasional gusts to around 25 kt are possible mainly across the
coastal waters and sounds later in the day Monday.

Seas will remain 2 to 3 ft through tonight, with areas of 4 ft
seas for coastal waters beyond 10 nm offshore entering the
forecast later in the day on Monday.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 245 pm sun... Gusty SW winds will continue Monday evening
ahead of the approaching front. A few gusts to 25 kt will be
possible for a few hours across the pamlico sound and waters
north of hatteras. A front will push through the waters Tuesday.

Main change to previous forecast was to increase winds a bit
with the nne surge behind the front. Could see a brief period of
sca conditions develop behind the front for Tuesday, with winds
15-25 kt. N to E winds diminish to 10-15 kt Tuesday night and
wed. S SW winds 5-15 kt return for thu. Guidance is trying to
show a front pushing through the waters Friday. Gusty westerly
winds early Friday, shifting through the day behind the front.

Seas generally 2-4 ft through the period. Though could see seas
build up to 5 ft with the surge behind the front Tuesday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Sgk
short term... Cb
long term... Cqd sgk
aviation... Cqd sgk
marine... Cqd cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 35 mi37 min SW 1.9 G 7 74°F 77°F1018.8 hPa (-0.4)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 39 mi37 min SW 6 G 8 72°F 75°F1018.2 hPa (-0.5)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 40 mi37 min WSW 5.1 G 8 73°F 1018.4 hPa (-0.5)70°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi1.7 hrsSW 610.00 miFair72°F69°F91%1018.7 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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SW12S15S9SW11S8S7SW7S7SW6S5
1 day agoSW8SW7SW6SW4SW7W8W9W63W7N9N8N9S9S11S8S9S5S5SE3SE4S4S3S5
2 days agoSW5SW5SW7SW5SW9SW11SW11SW10SW12S13SW13S15
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Tide / Current Tables for Sea Level, Core Sound, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina
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Ocracoke Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:29 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:28 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:23 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:47 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.70.2-0.1-0.10.20.61.21.61.91.91.61.20.60.2-0-00.30.81.41.92.22.32.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.