Monday, January21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hobucken, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 5:26PM Monday January 21, 2019 12:51 PM EST (17:51 UTC) Moonrise 6:08PMMoonset 7:33AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1010 Am Est Mon Jan 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday morning...
Rest of today..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Wed night..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobucken CDP, NC
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location: 35.19, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211524
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1024 am est Mon jan 21 2019

Synopsis
Arctic high pressure will build in from the northwest through
Tuesday. Another cold front will approach from the west
Wednesday into Thursday, then move offshore Thursday night. High
pressure builds over the region from the west by late week into
the weekend.

Near term rest of today
As of 1015 am Monday... Small adjustments for the near term
forecast mainly to capture trends in hourly temps and dew points.

High pressure will continue to expand south from the upper great
lakes today with a cold and dry airmass in place across eastern
nc and continued gusty NW winds. Winds should subside by evening
per the latest high-resolution guidance. With strong caa
continuing, temperatures are not likely to rise much today,
despite sunshine, with highs remaining in the lower 30s, with a
few spots over the far northwestern zones (martin) struggling to
reach 30 degrees. Wind gusts to 20-30 mph will be possible
through late afternoon across the outer banks. Wind chills
remain in the teens this morning, and will remain in the teens
to lower 20s today.

Short term tonight
As of 340 am Monday... Winds should gradually subside, but it is
questionable if it completely decouples and GOES calm over
inland counties tonight. Coastal areas should keep 3-7 knots of
wind overnight. Despite this, low temperatures are still likely
to drop to the lowest levels so far this winter season, with
readings in the 16-20 degree range inland with mid 20s outer
banks.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 220 am mon... High pressure will remain over the region
Tuesday before a slow moving cold front affects the area
Wednesday and Thursday, with a return to warmer and wetter
conditions. Then, drier and colder air return for Friday and the
weekend. A coastal storm may impact eastern nc Sunday night and
into early next week.

Tuesday... Heights will build on Tuesday, as the upper trough
pushes away from the region. However, well below average highs
are again expected, with temps only reaching the upper 30s to
low 40s.

Wednesday and Thursday... Warm southerly flow will develop
Wednesday as high pressure moves offshore and a large storm
system approaches from the west. Most of Wednesday should remain
dry, with only some scattered showers possible along the coast,
and later in the afternoon along the coastal plain. Temps will
climb drastically from lows Wednesday morning around freezing to
the low to mid 60s by Wednesday afternoon. Rainfall associated
with the slow moving cold front will move into the region
Wednesday night, and have pops ramping up from chance to likely.

Have categorical pops for the period of heaviest rain Thursday
morning, and as the front pushes offshore later in the day have
showers tapering off from west to east. Highs on Thursday are
again expected to be in the low to mid 60s.

Friday and Saturday... Behind this storm system a deep longwave
trough will anchor itself over the most of the CONUS centered
over the midwest and deep south. A secondary arctic cold front
will move into the region late Friday, bringing another blast
of frigid weather for the weekend. High temps on Friday will
reach the mid to upper 40s, and then expect highs only in the
low to mid 40s on Saturday. Lows will range from the low to mid
20s inland to the mid 30s along the coast.

Sunday... Though there are still considerable differences in
forecast guidance, it's appearing more probable that a coastal
storm will develop and strengthen along or off the east coast
Sunday night and into Monday. Will introduce chance pops across
the area for the day Sunday. Have high temps ranging from the
mid 40s to low 50s, but this is subject to change depending on
the placement and strength of the low pressure system.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
Short term through 12z Tuesday ...

as of 655 am Monday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the TAF cycle. Gusty NW winds of 20-25 knots will
continue before subsiding later this evening. These gusty nw
could result in some crosswind impacts for runways at ewn and
oaj.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 240 am mon... .Vfr conditions are expected Tuesday and most
of Wednesday, before a cold front brings sub-vfr ceilings and
rain showers Wednesday night and Thursday.VFR conditions are
expected to return by Thursday evening and last through Friday.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 1020 am Monday... Latest surface and buoy data indicate nw
winds mostly 15-25 kt across the waters, with gusts to gale
force implied for the outer portions of the central and
northern waters. We remain without diamond shoals buoy since it
lost mooring in december, with offshore buoys 44014 and 41064
gusting 33 and 31 kts, respectively. Lowers the gale warning for
the southern waters to small craft advisories and continued the
gales for the central and northern waters. Seas remain elevated
at 6-10 ft in wind-wave dominant conditions.

High pressure will continue to build over the waters from the
northwest today. Gusty NW nnw winds will continue throughout
the afternoon before subsiding this evening. Seas will remain
elevated north of ocracoke overnight and into Tuesday morning
per latest local nwps swan model.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 240 am mon... Small craft conditions are likely to linger
through Tuesday morning, with some 6 ft seas still present
across the coastal waters.

Expect winds Tuesday morning to be N 15-20 kts, before
weakening to 10-15 kts by late afternoon. Winds will turn to the
se early Wednesday morning ahead of the next storm system, and
will strengthen to S 20-25 kts by late afternoon. Gale force
conditions are likely as winds peak Thursday morning at ssw
25-35 kts. Behind the cold front Thursday evening, winds turn to
the W at 15-25 kts. Then, winds Friday become NW 15-20 kts.

Seas Tuesday will become 3-5 ft by the afternoon. Seas will
build Wednesday afternoon to 4-7 ft, and then by Thursday
morning waves are expected to peak around 9-15 ft. Seas slowly
subside Thursday night, and become 4-6 ft on Friday.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 10 am mon... Persistent strong northwest winds will
continue today, resulting in elevated water levels along the
sound side of hatteras and ocracoke islands. Inundation is
generally expected to be a foot or less for very low lying
areas.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am est Tuesday for amz130-131-135.

Gale warning until 8 pm est this evening for amz150-152-154.

Small craft advisory until 4 am est Tuesday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Dag ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Dag ctc sgk
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 35 mi34 min NNW 15 G 20 1028.2 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 39 mi40 min NW 25 G 28 28°F 47°F1026.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 40 mi52 min NNW 18 G 23 1027.6 hPa (+1.7)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi1.9 hrsWNW 16 G 2210.00 miFair28°F5°F37%1027.9 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE7NE6NE6E5NE3E5SE3SE5SE9SE6SE5--------------S13
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SW11W11--W15W20
G25
2 days agoW12--CalmNE4CalmCalm--CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE5CalmE4E4E4E3E6E5E10E9

Tide / Current Tables for Sea Level, Core Sound, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina
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Ocracoke Inlet
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Mon -- 12:17 AM EST     Full Moon
Mon -- 12:54 AM EST     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:23 AM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:30 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:48 PM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:21 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:47 PM EST     1.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.5-0.30.20.81.52.12.42.321.40.70.1-0.3-0.4-0.20.30.91.41.81.91.71.20.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.