Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 1:26 AM   Moonset 11:36 AM

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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 300 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less. Isolated showers and tstms early this evening. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 nm or less. Thu - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 nm or less. Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sat - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sat night - SE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sun - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. Sun night - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. Mon - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 300 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure then builds in for a couple of days before yet another cold front impacts the area over the weekend.

FXUS62 KMHX 011900 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure then builds in for a couple of days before yet another cold front impacts the area over the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 3 PM Wed...Iso/sct showes/storms forming this afternoon as expected. Best covg is north of hwy 70 and east of hwy 17, where earlier weak low level disturbance is now located. A few storms could become better organized as effective shear is expected to inc to aroun 25 kt by early evening.

Thunderstorm activity should be mainly diurnally- driven, with a downward trend in coverage and intensity after 8pm this evening. In the wake of the thunderstorms, winds will be very light, or even calm, and skies will attempt to clear out. This plus whatever rain falls today should support an increased fog potential tonight. There is some uncertainty with how much clearing will occur, but the pattern, plus model guidance, supports a risk of dense fog.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/
As of 3 PM Wed...Much quieter day on tap. After morning low clouds/fog scour out, a warm day under mo sunny skies is expected. A sea-breeze will develop by afternoon, though limited moisture will preclude any shower activity along it, so we remain pop-free tomorrow afternoon. Highs should be quite warm, in the mid 80s interior, to mid 70s coast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 4 AM Wednesday...

KEY MESSAGES

- Quiet until this weekend when conditions become more unsettled through early next week

- Best rain chances on Sunday

FORECAST DETAILS

Friday...A passing shortwave embedded within the ridge will cause a slight bump in winds and an increase in cloud cover. Additionally, a dry cold front to our north will dip south into our northern counties. Temps will reach their warmest marks of the week before the cold front moves through with the coastal plain topping out in the upper 80s and the beaches in the mid 70s.

Saturday-Tuesday...The mid-level ridge remains over the eastern US Saturday but weakens as a complex series of shortwave troughs and surface lows move toward the area, resulting in unsettled conditions that will persist into the beginning of next week. Chances for showers and storms start to increase Saturday morning and peak Sunday (30-50%). Shower and storm chances hang around through the period due to the lingering nature the front, but they will be decreasing as we progress into next week (25-30% Monday, 15-20% Tuesday). Saturday's high temps will be a few degrees cooler than Friday due to the dry cold front that will dip south (low 80s coastal plain, low 70s beaches). Temps remain around the same Sunday before rebounding next week with highs expected to reach back into the mid to upper 80s across the coastal plain Tuesday.

AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 2 PM Wed...Occasional low CIGs /VIS will accompany any sct SHRA and TSRA, with sub-VFR conditions expected at times. Once the showers end this evening, clearing skies and light winds are expected to lead to an increased risk of BR/FG. The potential is there for IFR/LIFR conditions to occur, esp late tonight into early Thu. Mo sunny skies expected after 13z, with light onshore (s to se) breezes expected.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 4 AM Wednesday...Pred VFR expected through Friday.
Conditions become more unsettled this weekend through early next week due to a series of disturbances moving across the area.
There will be multiple chances for showers and storms with Sunday having the greatest threat (30-60%). Periods of lower CIGs and VIS as well as gusty winds if near any storms can be expected.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Wed/...
As of 3 PM Wed...Winds will remain light (5-15kt) for the rest of the day and into the evening. In fact, winds become mostly calm to below 5 kt late, and therefore there will be a potential for fog across most area waters, sounds, and rivers. Seas of 2-4 ft are forecast to slowly lay down through tonight, with 1-3 ft through the day Thu.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will diminish tonight with loss of heating, and be followed with an increased risk of fog.
The potential exists for a period of sub 1SM visibilities during this time, and we'll monitor this in later forecasts in case a Marine Dense Fog Advisory is needed.

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Sunday/...
As of 4 AM Wednesday...

KEY MESSAGES

- Sub-SCA conditions with multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms

FORECAST DETAILS

Sub-SCA conditions are expected through the period but multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms could create hazardous boating conditions. Sunday presents the best opportunity for showers and storms (30-40%). Winds will be 5-10 kt out of the NE on Thursday but will veer to the southwest by early Friday. A dry cold front will sag south into northern counties on Friday.
North of Cape Hatteras, 5-10 kt winds will be out of the E by the afternoon. South of Cape Hatteras, winds will be 5-10 kt out of the ESE. Winds and seas pick up Saturday-Sunday as a front approaches. Winds will be ESE around 10-15 kt Saturday and then southerly by Sunday. Seas remain around 2 ft until Saturday when they will increase to 2-4 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Ocracoke Inlet
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Wed -- 01:36 AM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:14 PM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

Ocracoke
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:41 AM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 08:20 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:09 PM EDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:54 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina, Tide feet

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