Tuesday, March19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Dustin Acres, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 7:08PM Tuesday March 19, 2019 3:55 PM PDT (22:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:51PMMoonset 6:25AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 207 Pm Pdt Tue Mar 19 2019
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 18 seconds, building to 4 to 6 ft at 17 seconds after midnight. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 6 to 8 ft at 15 seconds. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 7 to 9 ft at 14 seconds. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 6 to 7 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 6 to 7 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 7 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft. Slight chance of showers.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 5 to 7 ft.
PZZ600 207 Pm Pdt Tue Mar 19 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z...or 1 pm pdt...a 1007 mb low was located around 200 nm W of san francisco. The low will approach the west coast tonight through Wed and its associated frontal system will move across the waters Wed.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dustin Acres, CA
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location: 35.22, -119.27     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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Fxus66 khnx 192156
afdhnx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
256 pm pdt Tue mar 19 2019

Synopsis
A pacific storm system will move into and across the region
tonight through Thursday. Brief high pressure will build over the
area Friday before another weaker storm system moves across the
region Saturday.

Discussion
The next storm is at the door step of california as the initial
higher cloud cover invaded the region. While the storm’s
surface frontal band and associated precipitation were still well
off-shore this afternoon, current timing has the onset of
precipitation overspreading the region later this evening. In the
meanwhile, satellite based precipitation hourly rates were
estimated at widespread a tenth of an inch with isolated quarter
of an inch. Vandenberg doppler radar is starting to pick up on the
leading edge where hourly rain rates were still below a tenth of
an inch. Therefore, support is high that precipitation will
overspread central california overnight for a possible wetting
rain and additional snow for the higher terrain above 7000 feet.

In addition, enough sunshine penetrated the cloud cover to warm
the region as temperatures reached well into the 70s this
afternoon. Furthermore, the cold air advancing on central
california will interact with the warm surface to generate strong
gusty winds tonight. Will maintain the wind advisory to windy
condition tonight. Additionally, the unsettled conditions in the
next 24 hour may also produce afternoon thunderstorms for central
california.

Models continue to show high confidence in the passage of the
negatively tilted trough during the overnight and Wednesday time
frame. While having the potential of drawing in significant
moisture, the tilted trough will pick up what it can before making
landfall. Satellite precip-water imagery is showing a plume of
three-quarter to almost one inch values extending toward
california. Hopefully, the frontal band will tap into the moisture
plume for a good wetting of the ground across central california.

In addition to the precipitation, the negatively tilted trough
will help the increase instability across central california on
Wednesday. Models show the best instability over central
california during the Wednesday afternoon time-frame. While
thunder cannot be ruled out during the morning, CAPE values reach
their MAX values during the late afternoon when deep moisture has
overtaken the district. Therefore, the best chances of convective
activity will be confined to the afternoon hours.

Thursday may remain unsettled as the associated upper low from
Wednesday’s disturbance drops into the desert southwest. At
worst, lingering showers over the mountains will diminish by
Thursday night as weak ridge enters the region. Afterward, models
have some confidence in introducing yet another storm on Saturday
before drying occurs early next week. The district will not be out
of the woods as longer range models show another disturbance for
the middle of next week.

Aviation
Wind gusts exceeding 35kt possible near the tehachapi mountain
passes and along the west side of the san joaquin valley thru 07z
wed. Increasing areas of mountain obscuring ifr in the southern
sierra nevada after 03z Wed and in the tehachapi mountains after 09z
wed. Local MVFR conditions in low clouds and showers in the san
joaquin valley and southern sierra foothills after 18z wed. Isolated
thunderstorms possible after 18z wed. OtherwiseVFR conditions will
prevail elsewhere across the central ca interior the next 24 hours.

Air quality issues
None.

Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low... Medium... And high. Please visit


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 61 mi79 min ESE 8.9 G 11 55°F 1013.4 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 73 mi34 min 54°F2 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA19 mi61 minNNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F45°F32%1009.2 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N9N7N5NW5NE6CalmE4E5CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmNE4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmN34SE3NW6
1 day agoN4N10N7N5N5NE3E4E5E5E5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW33NW5N8
2 days agoN4N6NE4NE4N6N4CalmE5E6CalmE5NE3E5E3E8E3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW6W5NW5N7

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California (2)
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:00 AM PDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:06 AM PDT     6.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:45 PM PDT     -1.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:52 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:02 PM PDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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31.91.10.81.123.34.65.665.74.73.21.50-0.9-1.1-0.60.62.13.54.654.6

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:51 AM PDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:56 AM PDT     6.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:41 PM PDT     -1.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:52 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:00 PM PDT     4.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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321.31.11.52.43.64.85.76.15.64.63.11.4-0-0.9-1-0.40.82.23.64.64.94.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.