Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Frisco, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:26PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 1:36 PM EDT (17:36 UTC) Moonrise 8:44AMMoonset 10:24PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ154 S Of Cape Hatteras To Ocracoke Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm Including The Monitor National Marine Sanctuary- 115 Pm Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
This afternoon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening.
Wed..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Frisco, NC
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location: 35.22, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 271411
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1011 am edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance will cross the region later today.

High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through late week
then move offshore for the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1005 am Tuesday... Main question today is the potential
for convection as a mid level shortwave moves through the area.

This feature will be moving through during peak heating with
weak dpva noted aft 18z and with lifted index values of -3 to
-5. However, moisture return will be limited by north to
northwest flow in the low levels and this will tend to inhibit
convective potential today. Another limiting factor will be the
lack of significant low level convergence with only weak
convergence noted along the sea breeze. Most of the models are
forecasting low QPF amounts and the high resolution models do
indicate widely scattered convection so will continue current
20-30% pops which are nearly double the model MOS values.

Timing will be after 18z and ending 00z-02z early this evening.

Consensus of all the mos MAX temps guidance is indicating
highs mainly in the mid 80s with upper 80s noted in the
normally warmer inland locations and thus have raised temps a
few degrees from the previous forecast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 315 am Tuesday... Any leftover precipitation should impact
the east and northeast portions of the CWA through about
midnight or so followed by rapid drying as strong high pressure
builds east from the western virginias. A very comfortable
airmass will follow with lows in the upper 50s inland, low to
mid 60s south coast and mid upper 60s outer banks as light
northerly flow kicks in.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 245 am tues... High pressure will settle overhead Wednesday
and provide fair and seasonably cool conditions. High shifts off
the coast Thursday, and southerly flow develops, and will bring
an increase of moisture. Unsettled weather returns Friday
through Monday as scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop each day.

Wednesday and Thursday... Dry weather is expected both Wednesday
and Thursday as high pressure overhead will provide mostly
sunny skies. Winds come around to the SE Thursday, and humidity
begins to increase as high pressure slides off the coast. High
temps on Wednesday and Thursday will be mainly in the mid upper
80s inland and the low mid 80s along the coast.

Friday... A weak upper level disturbance will move into the
region Friday morning originating from the gulf of mexico. Both
the latest GFS and euro show fairly widespread showers for the
southern half of the CWA on Friday. So, have slight chance pops
Friday morning, and then chance pops for late morning through
the evening south of the pamlico sound river. Shower thunderstorm
activity will shift to the coast and coastal waters overnight
Friday and have chance pops along the coast for this. High temps
will reach the upper 80s to near 90 inland, and the low to mid
80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Monday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
expected to develop each afternoon from Saturday to Monday and
move towards the coast overnight. Have broad chance pops for
this period with the highest pops over inland areas during the
day, and along the coast at night. A weak front may aid shower
and thunderstorm development Sunday. High temps look to be in
the upper 80s inland and mid 80s near the coast.

Low temps though the period will be in the upper 50s to low 60s
inland, with upper 60s along the coast, Wednesday and Thursday
mornings. Then as southerly flow develops low temps will be
milder Friday, for the rest of the long term with low 70s
expected inland and mid 70s along the coast.

Aviation 14z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Wednesday ...

as of 705 am Tuesday... Mid to high clouds dominate the area this
morning.VFR conditions should prevail through the day into
tonight. A few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two will
occur this afternoon and evening ahead of a strong mid-level
shortwave, but coverage will be quite limited and should have
minimal impact at the TAF sites. Did include a period of MVFR at
the koaj TAF site late tonight as numerical guidance continues
to show this area receiving some early morning radiational fog.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
Friday and Saturday as scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 1005 am Tuesday... Light mainly northerly flow 10 kt or
less continues over the waters and sounds this morning. The flow
is forecast to become light onshore later this afternoon as
local sea breeze circulations become dominant. Later tonight,
the flow is forecast to become north 10 kt or less. Per latest
local nwps swan model, seas should continue at around 2 feet
today and tonight as great marine conditions continue.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues... Fair boating conditions expected in the
long term. Winds initially out of the N on Wednesday around 10
kts, will turn to the SE Wednesday night and remain weak. Se
flow 10-15 kts is expected for the rest of the period, however
winds 15-20 kts are possible Saturday evening. Seas will be
mostly 2-3 ft, with some 4 foot seas possible Saturday over the
central waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme ctc
near term... Jme ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Jme ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 3 mi48 min NW 4.1 G 4.1 81°F 78°F1016.7 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 19 mi46 min N 5.8 G 7.8 79°F 81°F2 ft1016.7 hPa (+0.3)73°F
41063 34 mi96 min NNW 5.8 G 5.8 78°F 1017 hPa (+0.5)
44095 40 mi48 min 76°F1 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 40 mi48 min E 6 G 8
41062 48 mi96 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 78°F 77°F1017.4 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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G8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN66NE4--------------------E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW53W5SW5W6SW66W5SW6SW7SW6SW7SW6SW7SW7W5SW4NW5N6N65554
2 days agoSW16
G24
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G18
W7W7SW8W5

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:47 AM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:44 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:43 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:10 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.42.41.30.3-0.3-0.4-0.10.61.52.42.932.721.20.3-0.2-0.30.10.81.82.83.53.9

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:48 AM EDT     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:44 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:47 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:44 PM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.42.41.30.3-0.3-0.5-0.20.61.52.42.932.72.11.20.3-0.2-0.300.81.82.83.53.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.