Friday, March22, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Atkins, AR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:26PM Friday March 22, 2019 12:52 AM CDT (05:52 UTC) Moonrise 8:30PMMoonset 7:31AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atkins, AR
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location: 35.25, -93     debug

Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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Fxus64 klzk 220532 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service little rock ar
1232 am cdt Fri mar 22 2019

Updated to include 06z aviation discussion below.

Vfr conditions expected through the period. Winds will be 6kts or
less and could be variable at times. Some 20-25k ft clouds will
periodically move in from the west.

Prev discussion (issued 617 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019)

skc conditions will continue during this period. A northwesterly
surface wind of <= 6kts will prevail after 01z.

prev discussion... (issued 303 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019)
short term... Tonight through Saturday night
not a lot of value added changes are forthcoming this afternoon
as all short term models are in generally good agreement. That
being said, a blend of forecast solutions will be used.

Mainly clear skies are in place across the area at this time as
high pressure is building over the area in the wake of Wednesdays
cold front. Temperatures at this hour ranged from the upper 50s
across the north to the lower 70s over the south. Winds are a bit
gusty at times but overall it was splendid first full day of

The aforementioned high will dominate on Friday with another dry
and generally sunny day expected. After a chilly start, temperatures
are expected to climb into the mid 60s to mid 70s across the
state. Meanwhile, the next storm system will be moving through the
four corners northern rockies on Friday before moving into the
central plains by early Saturday.

As the high slides to the east Saturday, return flow will get
reestablished and moisture will be on the increase. The central
plains system will move off to the northeast and drag a cold front
slowly across the region. Rain chances will increase accordingly
from west to east on Saturday and continue through the end of the
period. While widespread heavy rain is not expected, the slow
moving nature of this storm system will keep precipitation chances
in the forecast into the long term period. &&
long term... Sunday through Wednesday night
on Sunday, a compact surface and mid-level low is expected to
move across the northern plains. Some upper level energy
associated with this low should swing across ar providing periods
of enhanced ascent through midday Monday. Low level southwesterly
winds will increase through the morning allowing for moisture rich
air to stream into the region. Pw values should increase from
roughly 1 inch to around 1.5 inches by late Sunday evening. An
increasing moisture profile across the CWA and passing upper level
embedded impulses will combine with a weak frontal boundary to
help trigger showers and isolated thunderstorms through midday

Despite return flow, dew points will struggle to reach 60
degrees across central portions of the state with lower values
found further north. Even across the south, only lower 60 dew
points are expected resulting in very low amounts of available
instability. Lapse rates are also not that impressive further
limiting instability potential, thus not expecting much in the way
of severe weather across the state. General rainfall amounts of 1
inch or less is expected through Monday however, isolated higher
amounts can not be ruled out.

The frontal boundary is expected to sweep across the state on
Monday, providing drier air and slightly cooler temperatures in its
wake. Upper level ridging and a surface high pressure will move
across the area through late Wednesday providing at least a couple
days of quiet weather across the region. By mid week, upper level
southwesterly flow returns as a new low develops over the rockies.

Rain chances begin to return to the forecast late Wednesday into
early Thursday, mainly across the northwestern half of the state.

Temperatures will be mild for the most of the long term, with highs
ranging from the 60s to mid 70s, and lows ranging from the 40s to
50s. However, Tuesday and Wednesday will be cooler with lows dipping
into the mid 30s across the north to mid 40s across the south. The
coolest day of the period should be on Wednesday with highs topping
out in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Thursday begins another warming
trend to round out the period.

Fire weather...

humidity is expected to drop into the upper 20th to the mid 30th
percentile Friday afternoon as high pressure moves over the area.

However, winds will be be light and overall dispersion is
expected to be generally poor. Moisture will begin to increase
over the area Saturday in advance of the next weather system. 10
hour fuels are expected to be around 10% for most of the state
with slightly higher moisture contents in the areas that saw
wetting rain on Wednesday.

Lzk watches warnings advisories None.

Aviation... 67

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Russelville Municipal Airport, AR5 mi59 minN 010.00 miFair41°F34°F76%1020.6 hPa

Wind History from RUE (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4W5NW7W6W8W9
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE6SE3CalmCalmCalm33W5W11W6W74SW4S5W11W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E5E5SE755E85S6E76E5SE6E5E5SE4E3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Little Rock, AR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.