Monday, December11, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Dardanelle, AR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:02PM Monday December 11, 2017 3:27 AM CST (09:27 UTC) Moonrise 12:54AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dardanelle, AR
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location: 35.25, -93.23     debug

Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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Fxus64 klzk 110833
area forecast discussion
national weather service little rock ar
233 am cst Mon dec 11 2017

Short term Today through Tuesday night
fire danger concerns will continue to be the primary forecast concern
in the short term period...

moisture levels remain low early this morning... With dewpts
remaining in the 20s to near 30. Winds remain light... But the sfc
pressure gradient will tighten later in the morning. Expect SW winds
to increase to 15 to near 20 kts across the ozarks and ms delta
region of the cwa... With 10 to 15 kts expected across central to sw
portions of the cwa. Winds will then switch to the west and NW as a
new front drops SE into the CWA this afternoon. Expect the wind
speeds to be similar at 15 to around 20 kts across NW and nrn
sections of the cwa. Expect gusts exceeding 25 kts in these same

These winds will combine with very dry air near the sfc... With dewpts
remaining in the 20s to near 30. However... Temps will warm above
normal... With highs this afternoon in the 60s to mid 70s. This will
result in min rh values dipping below 25 percent for most
areas... And as low as 15 percent for a few isolated areas across the
ouachitas and ozarks. Many areas will see red flag conditions
develop with these conditions coming together... With rh values
dropping at or below 25 percent... 20 ft winds of 14 mph or
greater... And 10 hr fuel moisture levels of less than 10 percent. In
fact... All of ar has 10 hr fuel moisture levels of less than 8
percent... With some areas down as low as 5 percent across the nw.

The only areas that may not seen all criteria met for a red flag
warning will be the SW quarter of the CWA due to winds at 20 ft
staying around 8-12 mph. However... Both rh and fuel moisture levels
are low enough... And these same areas are placed in an extreme
drought. For this reason... Will include all counties in the CWA in a
red flag warning for 16z-00z.

Fire weather concerns will persist into tue... But expect cooler
temps to result in higher rh values during the afternoon hours. Even
so... Very dry air will remain in place and no precip is expected.

Temps will be about 20 deg cooler... With highs back into the 40s and

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
the extended forecast will mainly remain dry, with temperatures
around normal to above normal values. The elevated wildfire danger
will also continue across ar.

Wednesday will start with a surface high pressure system to the
south of ar, while an upper low pressure trough was over the eastern
us. An upper level northwest flow will be into the region, while a
south wind flow into ar will help warm temperatures on Wednesday.

Late Wednesday night to Thursday, the upper northwest flow will
allow a system and cold front to move through the region. Limited
moisture is seen, and the forecat will remain dry and with only some
clouds. Behind the cold front, a northwest wind and cooler air will
filter in over the area, and with cooler temperatures. Into Friday,
the upper low pressure trough deepens, and allows the surface high
pressure to settle in over the region. Temperatures on Friday will
be a bit below normal.

Over the weekend, the surface high pressure is forecast to settle
south of ar, and a south wind sets up again, while the upper pattern
will become more zonal from the west. GFS model forms a surface
system on Sunday, with some possible chance of rain in the forecast
late Saturday night to Sunday, while mainly in the east on Sunday as
the system moves east. The euro is drier with little to no rain
forecast. Have taken a low end approach with a slight chance of rain
due to the uncertainty in model runs. Fine tuning will be needed as
we approach the weekend. Temperatures over the weekend will be
overall warmer than normal.

Preliminary point temps pops
Batesville ar 66 34 48 28 0 0 0 0
camden ar 72 39 55 30 0 0 0 0
harrison ar 65 30 44 27 0 0 0 0
hot springs ar 70 37 53 32 0 0 0 0
little rock ar 71 38 51 31 0 0 0 0
monticello ar 70 40 53 31 0 0 0 0
mount ida ar 71 36 52 29 0 0 0 0
mountain home ar 66 31 46 27 0 0 0 0
newport ar 66 36 47 28 0 0 0 0
pine bluff ar 70 39 52 30 0 0 0 0
russellville ar 69 35 50 30 0 0 0 0
searcy ar 69 36 49 28 0 0 0 0
stuttgart ar 69 39 50 30 0 0 0 0

Lzk watches warnings advisories
Red flag warning from 10 am this morning to 6 pm cst this
evening for arkansas-baxter-boone-bradley-calhoun-clark-cleburne-
hot spring-independence-izard-jackson-jefferson-johnson-lincoln-

Short term... 62 long term... 59

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Russelville Municipal Airport, AR7 mi35 minN 010.00 miFair30°F27°F88%1022.1 hPa

Wind History from RUE (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW3NW4NW7W8
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW10W10W13
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5Calm33W5--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Little Rock, AR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.