Thursday, July19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bakersfield, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:10PM Thursday July 19, 2018 10:35 AM PDT (17:35 UTC) Moonrise 1:11PMMoonset 12:20AM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 906 Am Pdt Thu Jul 19 2018
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Fri night..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 906 Am Pdt Thu Jul 19 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt, a 1034 mb surface high was located about 1200 nm nw of point conception. A 1006 mb thermal low was centered near las vegas, with a trough of low pressure extending nw through central ca. This pattern will change little through Thu night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bakersfield, CA
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location: 35.32, -119.02     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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Fxus66 khnx 190854
afdhnx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
154 am pdt Thu jul 19 2018

Synopsis High pressure over the region will gradually
weaken over the couple of days allowing for some moderation in
temperatures. The high will strengthen next week for hotter
weather. Southeast to south monsoon flow will however continue
the threat of main mountain and desert thunderstorms in the
afternoon and evening hours.

Discussion The core of strong high pressure was over the
central california interior on Wednesday and some rather hot
temperatures were reported in areas with total sunshine. Other
areas had enough cloud cover to inhibit century mark highs, albeit
in just a few locations. For today the flow remains from the east
to southeast and forecast models continue a moist and rather
unstable regime.

Forecast soundings over the kern county desert this afternoon
show precipitable water values around 1.50" along with CAPE values
in the 1500-2000 joules kg and lifted indices to around -3 in the
edwards afb area. With southeast flow progged to remain in place
through 2 pm before southwesterlies kick in could see a few strong
and heavy rain producing thunderstorms over the kern desert and
mountain areas.

Meanwhile over the sierra, should see some additional coverage of
storms by late morning in the unstable airmass. Heights today do
lower at the 500 mb level and this will help reduce the affects of
the capping inversion that has been in place the past few
afternoon inhibiting convection. As for temperatures, with about
a 40 meter decrease in heights at 500 mb projected, temperatures
will moderate somewhat but still be hot.

On Friday, models shift the center of high pressure farther to the
east and lower heights over the forecast area another 20 meters or
so. This may allow some locations to not reach 100 degrees for the
first time in awhile and streaks may come to an end. The flow
remains from the south into the area and although a bit drier,
enough moisture will remain for a continued threat of sierra
thunder both Friday and Saturday.

Models then rebuild and recenter a strong area of high pressure
over nevada and california next week for even hotter temperatures
and either a continuation of 100+ degree strings, or the beginning
of new ones... Either way hot to continue.

Aviation Areas of MVFR visibility in smoke will continue in the vicinity of
the ferguson fire in mariposa county for at least the next 24 hours.

Isolated thunderstorms are expected over the sierra nevada, as well
as the kern county mountains and desert between 19z today and 04z
Friday. Otherwise,VFR conditions will prevail over the central
california interior during the next 24 hours.

Air quality issues
Please see sfoaqahnx for an air quality alert
on Thursday july 19 2018... Unhealthy for sensitive groups in
fresno... Kern and tulare counties and sequoia national park and
forest.

Further information is available at valleyair.Org

Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.

Certainty levels include low... Medium... And high. Please visit


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 73 mi59 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 65°F 1015.5 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 83 mi44 min 66°F2 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA8 mi41 minNW 510.00 miFair93°F48°F22%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW8CalmNW6W5NW7NW7N6NW7W7N3N5N4CalmNE6NE5CalmCalmNE3N6N6NW4NW6NW5
1 day agoCalmW7W6NW7W9
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2 days agoNW4NW8NW12W9NW9NW10NW10NW10NW8N6N4N6N6W5N4NW3NW6CalmCalmCalmSE4Calm3NW3

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
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Thu -- 12:22 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:15 AM PDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:32 AM PDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM PDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:12 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:31 PM PDT     5.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:08 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:12 PM PDT     1.65 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.73.33.743.93.52.82.11.51.11.11.42.133.84.54.954.63.93.22.41.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:23 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:23 AM PDT     3.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:00 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:38 AM PDT     1.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM PDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:13 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:41 PM PDT     5.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:28 PM PDT     1.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.73.23.73.93.93.632.31.61.21.21.52.12.93.84.5554.74.13.42.62.11.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.