Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tupman, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:44AMSunset 8:02PM Friday May 24, 2019 10:49 AM PDT (17:49 UTC) Moonrise 12:30AMMoonset 10:51AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 906 Am Pdt Fri May 24 2019
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 10 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 906 Am Pdt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 16z, or 9 am pdt, a 1034 mb high was located 600 nm west of portland. A 1013 mb low was centered near yuma.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tupman, CA
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location: 35.32, -119.29     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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Fxus66 khnx 241114
afdhnx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
414 am pdt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
Slight warming trend across through Saturday before cooler
temperatures and precipitation once again spreads across the
district by Sunday. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible on
Saturday and Sunday, along with sierra snow. Temperatures will
start to slowly rise beginning on Monday into next week.

Discussion
A quick ridge will transition the CWA today ahead of our next
system on Saturday. Resulting temperatures will be a bit warmer
compared to our readings today but still below average for this
time of year. Conditions will remain dry for the valley but
orographical lift combined with afternoon heating will allow for
afternoon convection in the sierra, with snow showers possible on
the highest peaks above 10000 feet.

On Saturday, once again there will be a return of wet weather
and convection across the central california interior. Model
consensus showing a sharp negatively tilted upper level trough
moving through the CWA through by late afternoon. Ahead of the
trough, 500mb temperatures fall by 5 deg c increasing mid-level
lapse rates to 7.5c km. Strong afternoon heating will quickly
destabilize the district which is reflected in high-resolution
models showing mean sbcapes of 400-800j kg. Models show general
weak upper level support, but a cold front pushing southward
through the afternoon could serve a focus for thunderstorms
development across the valley, as well as sierra and kern county
mountains. Afternoon temperatures will be the warmest we have seen
across the area for the last week!! However, highs will still be
generally around 5 to 10 degrees below average.

For Sunday, our synoptic weather pattern will once again resemble
february instead of late may. Medium range models all showing a
strong 545mb cold core upper level low dropping southward along
the ca coast. First concern for this system will be another late
season snowfall for the sierra. Moist onshore flow combined with
strong synoptic scale ascent will lead to widespread snowfall in
the sierra. Given the late season nature of this snowfall, winter
weather products may need to be considered next few days. Another
issue on Sunday will be once again afternoon convection across
the central california interior. At this point, models are showing
very impressive upper dynamics as the GFS ecm have us in the left
exit region of a cyclonically curved 250 mb jet streak. But because
Sunday is looking to be another cool may day with high
temperature only into the low to mid 60s,surface instability is
weak at the moment.

For Monday into next Thursday, there is some growing confidence
in slow warm up across the area with temperatures possibly
approaching near average by the middle of next week. However,the
longer range models and ensembles are still showing slightly below
average 500mb heights across the western us.

Aviation
Areas of ifr ceilings and mountain obscurations expected in
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms over the mountains and
foothills between 18z Friday and 03z Saturday. Otherwise,VFR
conditions will prevail over the central california interior during
the next 24 hours.

Air quality issues
None.

Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is low.

Certainty levels include low... Medium... And high. Please visit


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 67 mi74 min SSW 8.9 G 8.9 55°F 1015.9 hPa
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA 78 mi32 min WSW 4.1 G 8 64°F 56°F1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA15 mi56 minno data10.00 miFair67°F51°F57%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE43CalmNW74NW10NW9N8SE9E5N7N6N5NE4NE5NE4N7N8N5N6N7N6NW5--
1 day agoN4E5SE5W5CalmCalmSW4N63SE9E5E4SE5E5E5E6E4SE5SE5SE4E6E6E8E8
2 days agoW10NW11NW12NW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California (2)
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Santa Barbara
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Fri -- 12:29 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:11 AM PDT     4.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:50 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:09 AM PDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:55 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:56 PM PDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:47 PM PDT     3.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.34.44.443.32.51.70.90.40.20.30.71.322.63.13.33.43.33.23.133.13.3

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:29 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:14 AM PDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:50 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:11 AM PDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:55 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:58 PM PDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:55 PM PDT     3.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.34.54.443.42.61.70.90.30.10.20.61.222.63.13.43.53.53.33.23.13.23.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.