Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tupman, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 4:50PM Friday November 16, 2018 3:02 PM PST (23:02 UTC) Moonrise 2:32PMMoonset 12:54AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 123 Pm Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Tonight..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds. Patchy dense fog with vsby 1 nm or less after midnight.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming sw. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy dense fog with vsby 1 nm or less in the morning.
Sat night..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 13 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sun night..SW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft. Slight chance of rain.
PZZ600 123 Pm Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z...or 1 pm pst, a 1042 mb high was centered over british columbia, which will weaken some and move into eastern colorado over the weekend. A 1010 mb low currently 1000 nm west of point conception will slowly move toward california through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tupman, CA
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location: 35.32, -119.29     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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Fxus66 khnx 162200
afdhnx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
200 pm pst Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Dry weather and near normal temperatures will continue through
the beginning of next week. Winds will remain light except for
breezy to gusty conditions near and through pass areas. Areas of
smoke and haze will continue for the san joaquin valley through
the weekend.

Discussion
Few high clouds continue drift across the area as a ridge of high
pressure continues to dominate over the west coast. This ridge
has kept conditions dry and has also kept smoke confined to the
valley for numerous days now. The ridge axis remains offshore
over the eastern pacific and has been providing the district with
northerly winds aloft. These winds have pushed the smoke from area
fires all the way into the valley portion of kern county.

Therefore, air quality across the great california valley will
continue to be affected. The air quality ALERT will remain in
effect for much of the district's valley and foothill locations
through at least the first part of next week. While poor air
quality may continue into next week, a change in the current
weather pattern may be possible later next week.

Model confidence continues to grow as to the possible solution of
finally breaking down the blocking high pressure ridge that has
existed over the west coast. At this point, both deterministic and
probabilistic models are leaning toward the development of a cut-
off low over the eastern pacific that could take a trajectory
toward southern california early next week. Confidence in that
solution has grown as more models converge on developing a cut-
off low that moves toward the socal region. While the cut-off low
may not favor the district in the production of precipitation, it
will open the door for another disturbance to push toward the
west coast by around the middle part of next week.

Once the door is open the change in the weather pattern may allow
for the introduction of precipitation into parts of california on
around the holiday period. While some uncertainty still exist on
when the disturbance will make landfall, current timing has the
first event making its way into the central california interior
after daybreak on Wednesday. Models are still not showing abundant
moisture, but, some moisture does surge into the disturbance and
provide parts of california with much needed rain and higher
elevation snow. For now, due to the higher uncertainty levels,
will keep the mention of precipitation at chance values. After a
possible break in the weather on thanksgiving day, more
precipitation could reach parts of california by Friday and into
the weekend. While model uncertainty grows toward day seven, the
door is open for the continuation of disturbances that can reach
california into the first parts of the following week.

Aviation
Smoke and haze will continue to create areas of MVFR visibilities in
the san joaquin valley and adjacent foothills through at least the
next 24 hours. During the overnight hours, expect occasional patches
of ifr visibilities occurring from fresno county northward and in
the vicinity of the wildfires.VFR conditions will otherwise prevail
across the central california interior through at least the next 24
hours.

Air quality issues
Air quality ALERT in effect until at least 1200 pst Tuesday
november 20, 2018 for most of the central california interior
excluding the kern county mountains and desert areas.

On Friday november 16 2018... Unhealthy in fresno and merced
counties and sequoia national park and forest. Unhealthy for
sensitive groups in kern, kings, madera and tulare counties.

Fireplace wood stove burning status is: no burning unless
registered in fresno, kern, madera and tulare counties. No
burning for all in kings, merced and sequoia national park and
forest counties. Further information is available at valleyair.Org

Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low... Medium... And high. Please visit


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 67 mi86 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 66°F 1015.2 hPa
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA 78 mi32 min NNW 5.1 G 8 69°F 62°F1015.3 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA15 mi68 minN 04.00 miFair with Haze66°F30°F27%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW8W7CalmCalmNE3NE4E5E4SE6E3CalmNW4NW6CalmSE4S3SE3CalmCalmSW4S33CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmSE6SE3CalmNE3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE6S3CalmCalmNW4W7W8NW7
2 days agoNW7N7NW6N8NE9NE5S3S4CalmN6E4CalmNE5E3N3NE5E5E5SE3CalmCalmSW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California (2)
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:51 AM PST     4.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:34 AM PST     2.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:32 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:39 PM PST     3.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:53 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:21 PM PST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.72.43.13.74.14.243.73.22.92.62.62.83.13.53.73.83.53.12.41.81.20.9

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:41 AM PST     4.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:24 AM PST     2.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:32 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:30 PM PST     3.84 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:53 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:11 PM PST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.82.53.33.84.24.243.63.22.82.62.72.93.23.63.83.83.532.31.61.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.