Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bayview, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:29PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 10:40 PM EDT (02:40 UTC) Moonrise 7:09AMMoonset 8:22PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 950 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Overnight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu..E winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers, tstms... Mainly in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves choppy...diminishing to light chop after midnight. Showers and tstms in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming e. Waves light chop... Diminishing to flat.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop...increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers...then showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayview, NC
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location: 35.38, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 292245
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
645 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure extending down the east coast from southeast canada
will move east Thursday. A warm front will move through from
the southwest Friday, followed by a cold front early Saturday.

Another warm front will lift north through the area Monday
night, followed by a cold front late Tuesday, or Tuesday night.

Near term /tonight/
As of 645 pm wed... Latest sfc analysis shows 1031mb high
pressure centered over southern ontario and the great lakes
region, extending into the mid-atlantic and southeast us.

While latest satellite imagery shows area of scu along hwy 17
beginning to erode early this evening. Expect skies to become
mostly clear later this evening, with increasing clouds early
thu morning. Think increasing clouds late and winds staying up
will inhibit fog development overnight. Cooler overnight with
lows dropping into the mid to upper 40s.

Short term /Thursday/
As of 230 pm wed... High pressure along the coast will move east
in the afternoon. Moisture will increase during the day ahead
of the warm front advancing this way from the southwest. Light
northeast wind in the morning will veer to east in the
afternoon. Highs will vary widely, from the mid/upper 50s
northern outer banks to upper 60s/70 degrees southwest.

Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/
As of 230 pm wed... Shra and tsra expected Fri and Fri evening
then again Mon night into tue... Otherwise mainly dry with
pleasant temps
thu night through Fri night... Moisture will increase quickly
thu night as high pres slides offshore and next system
approaches from the w. Expect sct shra late... Mainly inland with
mild lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Numerous shra and tsra
expected Fri as strong short waves lifts NW of region producing
good lift over the area. Good srly low lvl flow will lead to
precip water values reaching around 1.5 inches and expect
widespread rainfall totals of 1/2 to 1 inch with locally higher
amounts. Forcing and shear favorable for severe weather however
degree of instab in question with clouds precip developing
early... If do get pockets of better instab will certainly have
a severe threat. Shra and a few tsra will grad end from with to
e Fri night as cold front crosses.

Sat and Sunday... Dry with pleasant temps over the weekend with
broad ridge aloft and sfc high building in from the nw. Highs
sat 60s beaches to 70 to 75 inland... Bit cooler Sunday with
highs mid/upr 50s obx to upr 60s/lower 70s inland.

Mon thru wed... Moisture will be returning Mon with high pres
moving offshore and next SRN stream system approaching. Expect
increasing clouds with sct shra and tsra mainly in the aftn.

Numerous shra and at least sct tsra expected Mon night into
first part of Tue as the potent SRN stream short wave lifts nw
of region. Much like Fri forcing and shear look favorable for
severe potential but still some uncertainty on instab. Will be
mild early next week with highs Mon and Tue in the 70s inland
to 60s beaches.

Cold front will be offshore by early Wed with dry weather
expected. Very little cold air expected behind front with highs
wed again reaching the 70s inland to 60s beaches.

Aviation /22z Wednesday through Monday/
Short term /through Thursday/...

as of 645 pm wed...VFR conditions currently, as area of stratocu
along highway 17 continues to slowly erode this evening. Expect
skies to become mostly clear, with increasing clouds early
Thursday morning. Confidence is low at this time, but think
increasing cloud cover late and light winds will inhibit fog
development overnight... Though a brief period of MVFR conditions
will be possible early Thursday morning. PredVFR conditions
expected Thu with cloud bases gradually lowering with increasing
moisture ahead of the next frontal system.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/...

as of 230 pm wed... MainlyVFR Thu evening then as moisture
increases late could see some subVFR develop in sct shra prior
to day break fri. Numerous shra and tsra Fri into Fri evening
ahead of a cold front with ocnl subVFR likely... A strong storm
or two also possible. Shld dry out later Fri night withVFR
expected over the weekend as high pres builds in from the nw.

Moisture will be returning Mon in advance of the next system
with sct shra/tsra and poss some subVFR.

Marine
Short term /through Thursday/...

as of 645 pm wed... Latest obs show ne/e winds 10-20kt, strongest
south of hatteras... With seas 3-5 feet north of oregon inlet and
4-6 feet south. Increased winds for the next few hours south of
hatteras based on obs and high res guidance. Dropped SCA for
northern waters with buoys reporting 5ft or less for the last
few hours. SCA continues south of oregon inlet through late
tonight and early Thursday morning. NE winds 10-15 kt with gusts
to 20 kt early Thu becoming E in the afternoon... With seas 3-5
feet.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/...

as of 230 pm wed... Se to S winds will be grad increasing on
backside of high pres and ahead of next system Thu night.

Speeds will reach 15 to 20 kts late with seas building to 4 to
6 feet. Ssw winds will increase to 20 to 25 kts most waters fri
into Fri evening as low/cold front approaches from the w. These
winds will lead to seas reaching 6 to 9 feet later Fri into fri
evening. Cold front will push offshore by early Sat with wnw
winds 10 to 20 kts in its wake and seas grad subsiding to 3 to 5
ft sat. Winds mainly nne 10 to 15 kts Sat night into Sun with
high pres building in from the nw. Looks like will see bit of a
swell NRN half of region with seas building back to 6 feet or so
outer central and NRN wtrs late Sat night thru Sun evening.

High pres will slide offshore Mon with light E winds early
becoming sse 10 to 20 kts late and seas mainly 3 to 5 ft.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Thursday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Cqd/hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf/cqd
marine... Rf/cqd/hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi40 min NNE 2.9 G 6 56°F 63°F1019.8 hPa (+2.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 53 mi40 min NE 8 G 12 53°F 62°F1020.6 hPa (+1.4)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 53 mi100 min NE 18 G 20 60°F 1020 hPa (+1.9)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC24 mi60 minE 610.00 miFair54°F49°F85%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5NE6NE8NE9
G16
NE7E4N4N5NE4N4E3E5E6E6E6E4
1 day agoS3SW4S3S4CalmCalmS3S3S4S5SW8SW8
G14
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S5S5SW5SE4SW7SW8SW3SW6SE3CalmCalm
2 days agoSE5S3SE3SE4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW4W12W6SW7SW8S7SW10SW9S5S6S6S6S6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:44 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:34 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:57 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:55 PM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.11.50.80.2-0.2-0.300.61.322.42.42.11.60.90.3-0.1-0.3-0.10.51.222.52.6

Tide / Current Tables for Sea Level, Core Sound, North Carolina
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Sea Level
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:59 AM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:50 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT     0.67 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:21 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.80.70.60.40.30.20.10.10.10.30.50.60.70.60.50.40.20.10.10.10.20.30.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.