Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Avon, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:19PM Friday January 19, 2018 6:21 PM EST (23:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:43AMMoonset 7:48PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 249 Pm Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Tonight..W winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sun night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon, NC
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location: 35.39, -75.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191921
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
221 pm est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will move east through the southeast states this
weekend. A cold front will pass through Tuesday. High pressure
will build in behind the front Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term through tonight
As of 215 pm fri... High pres will continue to the S tonight with
very dry airmass keeping skies clr. Appears will have enuf of a
gradient to keep winds from completely decoupling. Will cont
with lows 25 to 30 inland with 30s beaches.

Short term Saturday
As of 215 pm fri... Surface ridge continues to the S with light
to moderate wsw flow over region. Very dry air conts over the
area keeping skies mainly sunny. Increasing thicknesses will
lead to highs 60 to 65 SW to mid to upr 50s NE where any
lingering snow will likely melt.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 3 am Friday... A stretch of quiet and milder weather is
expected for the next several days. Other than a frontal system
bringing some rainfall Monday night and Tuesday, no
precipitation is anticipated for the extended period at this
time.

Saturday night through Sunday... Weak surface high pressure and
rising mid-level heights will lead to some milder temperatures
for the weekend as low-level flow will be SW w. Model guidance
showing high temperatures into the lower 60s for Sunday. Still
chilly for Saturday night with lows in the low to mid 30s.

Monday through Tuesday... Good agreement among the medium range
models as closed upper low moves across the great lakes pushing
a cold front across the region late Monday night and Tuesday
morning. Most of Monday should remain dry, but precipitable
waters jumps to nearly 1.5 inches Monday night into early
Tuesday. Have continued the high chance pops Monday night into
Tuesday, but current QPF totals are expected to be low, less
than one-tenth of an inch in most areas with perhaps a quarter-
inch on the outer banks. Milder overnight lows expected Monday
night with lows upper 40s to lower 50s, followed by highs around
60 on Tuesday.

Monday through Tuesday... A cold front will approach mon
bringing a threat of showers to area by evening. More widespread
showers are expected Monday night as the front moves into the
area. Increased pops to high chance Mon night. Mild
temperatures will continue ahead of the front with highs in the
lower to middle 60s expected mon. The front is now forecast to
cross the area Tuesday morning so will include low chance pops.

Temps will continue mild with highs in the low 60s.

Wednesday and Thursday... Behind the cold front, a return to dry
and seasonable temperatures as strong high pressure builds east
from the desert southwest. Anticipate high temperatures in the
50s and lows in the 30s for mid to late week.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through Sat ...

as of 1215 pm fri... High confidence inVFR thru the period.

High pres will cont to the SW S thru the period with very dry
airmass over the area. Expect clr skies to cont. Good temp dewpt
spread and light wsw low lvl flow shld preclude any fog from
developing tonight.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 3 am Friday...VFR conditions are expected for Sunday and
most of the day Monday. Increasing moisture ahead of a cold
front will lead to scattered showers, especially late Monday
night through about midday Tuesday. Some periods of sub-vfr
conditions are possible.

Marine
Short term through Sat ...

as of 215 pm fri... High pres to the S will lead to light to ocnl
moderate wsw flow thru the period. Lingering 5 ft seas outer
central wtrs expected to reach 4 ft this evening and seas shld
cont in the 2 to 4 foot range thru Sat morn... Then may see some
5 foot seas develop late Sat central wtrs. Winds will be mainly
10 to 20 kts with the higher speeds outer central and SRN wtrs.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 3 am Friday... A decent gradient on Saturday night over
the central waters will lead to SW W winds of 15-20 knots with
seas 3-5 feet. Elsewhere, expect SW winds of 10-15 knots with
seas 2-4 feet. Relatively quiet marine conditions are expected
Sunday into Monday with S SW winds 5-15 knots with seas 2-4
feet. Small craft advisory conditions are expected to develop in
advance of the cold front Tuesday over the central waters with
gusty SW winds and building seas.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc
marine... Rf ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 17 mi52 min SW 8 G 11 49°F 45°F1020.2 hPa
44095 26 mi64 min 41°F4 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 27 mi42 min WSW 16 G 19 57°F 1020.7 hPa40°F
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 28 mi52 min SSW 11 G 12 41°F 38°F1019.7 hPa
41062 34 mi82 min 14 G 19 47°F1020.6 hPa (-0.8)
41063 48 mi142 min WSW 16 G 21 56°F 69°F1020.9 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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W15
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W13
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W8
W7
W7
W10
W9
G13
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W11
G14
W9
G12
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SW6
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1 day
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N23
G28
N27
N28
N26
G33
N30
N29
G35
N31
G39
N30
NW24
G29
N26
N25
NW24
NW28
NW24
G30
NW23
NW23
NW24
G29
NW26
NW19
G26
NW19
G23
NW18
G22
W17
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W18
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ago
NE5
G9
NE6
G9
N7
G10
NE4
NE2
SE3
N2
NE2
NE1
N4
N7
N5
G8
N8
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G10
NE4
G7
NE6
NE7
G10
NE10
N13
NE17
G22
NE15
G21
N21
G26
N21
N23

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC14 mi31 minWSW 810.00 miFair49°F39°F71%1020.4 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10
G20
W10
G15
W8W6W9
G17
W6W7W6W5W5W4W3W5W5W6W65W75W7SW6SW8SW7SW8
1 day agoN10
G23
N13
G26
N12
G24
N12
G25
N16
G31
N13
G30
N9
G23
N10
G22
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G23
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G22
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G23
NW14
G27
NW14
G26
NW12
G22
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G23
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G21
NW12
G22
NW10
G21
NW11
G17
NW13
G18
NW8
G17
W9
G17
W8
G17
W10
G16
2 days agoNE4N54CalmCalmCalmN3NW4N44N3N44NE34NE66N7N7NE10
G17
NE8
G18
NE11
G20
N10
G19
N8
G24

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:58 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:28 AM EST     3.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:02 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:53 PM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.30.10.30.81.52.22.93.23.22.82.21.40.70.2-00.10.61.21.72.12.32.11.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:12 AM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:38 AM EST     3.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:03 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:56 PM EST     2.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.1-0.1-00.41.122.73.13.22.92.21.40.60.1-0.100.51.21.82.32.52.31.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.