Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Avon, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 4:57PM Friday November 16, 2018 6:06 PM EST (23:06 UTC) Moonrise 1:33PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 524 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm est this evening...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun night..E winds around 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon, NC
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location: 35.39, -75.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 161942
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
242 pm est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will ridge into the region through the weekend. A
trough of low pressure will move along the coast Monday. High
pressure will build over the area Tuesday through Thursday.

Near term through tonight
As of 240 pm fri... High pressure will build over the area
tonight, with excellent radiational cooling developing due to
mostly clear skies and light winds. A light freeze could be
possible for inland sheltered locations, but based on guidance
(mos) temp dewpoint forecasts which are in excellent agreement,
think most lows will be in the mid 30s (33-36) so patchy frost
more likely. Along the coast, mixing will produce warmer mins in
the low to mid 40s.

Short term Saturday
As of 240 pm fri... High pressure will remain over the area sat
with sunny skies, diminishing winds and temps moderating into
upper 50s to lower 60s.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 230 am fri... High pressure over the southern appalachians
slowly weaken and dissipate by Saturday night. A weak coastal
trof will develop Sunday night then move off to the east Monday.

Have the best chances of rain after midnight Sunday through
Monday. Dry weather expected for the remainder of the period as
a surface ridge builds into the region from the northwest.

Low temps Sat night will dip to the mid upper 30s inland, and
low to mid 40s along the coast (except obx which will remain in
upper 40s). Highs Sunday will be in the low to mid 60s. High
temperatures Monday through Thursday will dip down to a bit
below climo, with readings in the mid upper 50s, and lows in the
30s interior to 40s coast.

Aviation 19z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through 18z Saturday ...

as of 1219 pm fri... No change to the previous forecast. Pred
vfr expected through the period with mainly clear skies. W nw
winds around 10 kt today becoming light and variable after
nightfall.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 240 pm fri...VFR conditions are expected through the long
term as high pressure builds into the region.

Marine
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 240 pm fri... High pressure will continue to build over
the waters through sat. Westerly winds have diminished to 10-15
kt this afternoon but are forecast to increase over the northern
and central waters to 15-20 kt early this evening. Winds will
become N 10-15 kt late tonight, then diminish Sat afternoon to
5-10 kt. Will continue the current SCA for elevated seas around
6 ft into tonight. Seas Sat subside 2-4 ft all waters.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 240 pm fri... Winds will become the N NE 5-15 kts Sunday,
and then a coastal trough develops Monday, and causes winds to
turn to the NW at 10-15 kts behind it. Seas will then become
mostly 2-4 ft. Guidance is indicating the potential moderate
northerly flow Wed which could build seas to 4-6 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am est Saturday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for amz150-
156.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Jme
short term... Jme
long term... Hsa tl
aviation... Cqd hsa ms
marine... Jme hsa
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 17 mi37 min W 17 G 18 55°F 61°F1016 hPa
44095 26 mi51 min 61°F4 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 27 mi27 min W 14 G 18 58°F 77°F1016.5 hPa46°F
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 28 mi43 min W 8.9 G 12 53°F 58°F1015.5 hPa
41062 34 mi67 min 12 G 16 1015.7 hPa (+0.7)
44086 42 mi42 min 61°F4 ft
41063 48 mi67 min Calm G 0 75°F

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC14 mi16 minWNW 810.00 miFair54°F43°F67%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:40 AM EST     2.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:19 AM EST     0.71 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:35 PM EST     2.60 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:16 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.822.11.91.61.20.90.70.811.41.92.32.62.62.41.91.40.80.40.20.30.61

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:15 AM EST     3.28 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     1.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:29 PM EST     3.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:50 PM EST     0.80 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.33.22.82.31.71.311.21.52.12.73.23.53.53.22.621.40.90.811.52.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.