Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bath, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:59PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 4:10 PM EDT (20:10 UTC) Moonrise 11:51AMMoonset 10:19PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1135 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
.tropical storm warning in effect...
This afternoon..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves around 4 ft. Numerous showers. Patchy fog early. Patchy fog late.
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming 25 to 35 kt after midnight. Waves around 5 ft. Patchy fog in the evening. Showers likely.
Wed..Tropical storm conditions expected. NW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..Tropical storm conditions possible. NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..Tropical storm conditions possible. NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..NE winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bath, NC
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location: 35.47, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 261911
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
311 pm edt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 310 pm tue... Slowly weakening maria will make closest
approach to area overnight with forecast position about 150
miles east of CAPE hatteras early Wednesday morning. Broad wind
field expected to produce tropical storm conditions for areas
mainly along and east of columbia-new bern-cape carteret line,
with storm surge potential of 2 to 4 feet. See hls for details.

Made slight adjustment to pops. Much of coastal plain will
remain dry but still kept likely pops on the outer banks. Lows
in the lower 70s throughout.

Short term Wednesday
As of 530 pm tue... Tropical storm force winds will be ongoing
across the obx, with moderate coastal impacts continuing due to
the slow northward movement of maria off the nc coast. The slow
moving nature of this system will prolong and possibly enhance
the impacts that eastern nc does receive. At this time, the
greatest impacts will be associated with the large surf
impacting the coast and significant beach erosion is likely with
ocean overwash probable in typically flood-prone areas around
times of high tide and likely persisting into Thursday. Highway
12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and may
become impassable at times, especially along pea island. Coastal
flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also possible but
the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how close maria
gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for amount of
inundation from storm surge will be the duration and magnitude
of the northerly winds across the region. The soundside of the
outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and possibly downeast
carteret county, look to be the most vulnerable locations for
sound side flooding at this time. Showers will slowly taper off
from southwest to northeast during the day as maria begins to
move away from the coast.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 255 pm Tuesday... Tropical cyclone maria will finally
slowly move away from the region Wednesday night and Thursday. A
cooler and drier airmass will then arrive Thursday night and
continue in place through the weekend. A small chance of showers
returns early next week as an inverted surface develops to our
south.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Maria will slowly move away from
the area Wednesday night and Thursday. Will continue small pops
for the northeastern CWA including the northern outer banks and
occasional light showers rotate across those areas as the
tropical cyclone moves away. Gusty NW winds will continue to
keep water levels elevated into Wednesday night, but this
situation should slowly improve by Thursday morning as the
storms starts to turn away from the coast. In the wake of
maria, with downsloping NW winds, temperatures will be quite
warm on Thursday with highs into the upper 80s away from the
immediate coast with a few spots possible hitting 90 degrees
Thursday afternoon, with highs in the low mid 80s outer banks.

This will be the last really warm day, before some cooler and
drier air arrive.

Thursday night through Sunday... Lower dewpoints should start to
arrive from the north Thursday night and remain in place through
the weekend as a much more comfortable fall-like airmass
overtakes eastern nc. High temperatures through the period will
be in the 70s, with lows upper 50s inland and low to mid 60s on
the coast. Dewpoints will be generally in the 50s through the
period.

Monday through Tuesday... With an inverted trough of low pressure
developing offshore to our south, will continue a small chance
of a few showers, mainly coastal zones, for Monday and Tuesday.

Temperatures will remain pleasant.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through 18z Wednesday ...

as of 310 pm tue... MVFR CIGS expected through Wed morning. As
maria moves away from the coast during the day,VFR conditions
will spread into the area from the west. Nnw winds 15-25 kts
through the period.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm Tuesday... Gusty NW winds should start to subside
Wednesday night, with good flying weather expected Thursday into
the weekend as high pressure builds in from the north, providing
cooler and drier weather.VFR conditions should prevail through
the period.

Marine
Short term tonight and Wednesday ...

as of 530 pm tue... Maria will continue to move N through
tonight and is forecast to be 150 miles east of CAPE hatteras at
8 am wed. Tropical storm force winds will persist tonight into
Wednesday across much of the marine area. Seas will peak at
15-20 feet tonight in the coastal waters north of ocracoke with
lower amounts south. Seas will begin to slowly subside during
the day Wednesday in the coastal waters south of oregon inlet as
maria begins to move away.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm Tuesday... Gusty NW winds on the back side of maria
will be ongoing Wednesday evening, but should slowly subside by
Thursday morning. Seas will take some time to subside, going
from 12-17 feet Wednesday night to 9-12 feet Thursday and 6-9
feet Thursday night. Winds should finally drop below SCA status
Friday with seas finally dropping below SCA status Friday night.

Ne winds will gradually increasing during the day Saturday as
high pressure builds south from the great lakes and seas may
start to approach SCA again late in the day Saturday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Tropical storm warning for ncz046-047-081-093>095-103-104.

Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz136.

Tropical storm warning for amz130-131-135-137-150-152-154-156-
158.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Ctc
aviation... Ctc hsa
marine... Ctc hsa sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 53 mi40 min N 24 G 28 82°F 74°F1004.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 62 mi70 min N 25 G 31 82°F 1003.9 hPa (-1.7)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 66 mi40 min N 35 G 44 77°F 77°F1002.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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N16
G22
N12
G20
N14
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N12
G19
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N15
G20
N16
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N15
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N16
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G26
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G26
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G24
N21
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G28
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G30
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G37
1 day
ago
NE11
G16
NE10
G14
NE10
G13
NE7
G11
NE8
G11
N9
G14
NE10
G16
N10
G13
NE11
N11
G15
NE9
G12
N9
G15
N9
G13
N11
G14
N14
G17
N13
G16
N10
G15
N12
G15
NE10
G19
NE16
G22
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N15
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G21
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E9
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G10
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G8
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G7
NE4
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NE5
G8
NE5
G9
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NE6
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NE4
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N6
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N9
G13
NE10
G15
NE12
G17
NE14
G21
NE14
G23
NE11
G19
NE12
G16
NE13
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC11 mi25 minNNE 14 G 2510.00 miOvercast83°F72°F70%1007.8 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11NE8NE9NE8N9NE7N7N8N10N8N10
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N10N10N11N12
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G24
1 day agoNE8NE7NE6NE3NE3NE5NE4NE6NE5N4N4N5N5N4N3N5N6N5NE10
G14
NE6NE10
G16
NE8NE13
G17
NE11
G16
2 days agoNE6NE6NE4N3NE3NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmN4N6N7NE6NE7NE7NE10
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:20 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:37 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:46 PM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.9221.81.51.10.80.60.60.81.11.622.32.32.21.91.61.20.90.70.70.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:19 AM EDT     1.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:57 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.61.81.71.61.310.70.50.40.50.91.31.71.921.91.71.41.10.80.60.50.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.