Wednesday, July26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bath, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday July 26, 2017 12:43 AM EDT (04:43 UTC) Moonrise 8:39AMMoonset 9:40PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1040 Pm Edt Tue Jul 25 2017
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bath, NC
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location: 35.47, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260250
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1050 pm edt Tue jul 25 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will push south across the area tonight. High
pressure will extend over the area from the north Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Another cold front will move in from the
northwest Friday and Saturday and then stall just off the coast
Sunday into Monday.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 1030 pm Tuesday... Aside from a pesky storm over SE duplin
county into western onslow, most of our shower and thunderstorm
activity has been very scattered with the forecast handling it
quite well. Was tempted to lower chances for rain overnight but
we continue to see pin prick showers pop up now and then, even
inland, so a 20% to 30% chance over the southern third of the
forecast area overnight remains a reasonable forecast. Our sky
cover will be mostly cloudy through midnight before drier air
advects into the area. This dry air, courtesy of north-
northeast winds in wake of front will bring in slightly cooler
air as well, allowing min temps to drop into upper 60s north to
lower 70s south.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through 6 pm Wednesday
As of 300 pm Tuesday... Models have trended drier for most of
area but NAM and ECMWF still indicate isolated activity possible
over southern sections where sea breeze may try to build against
n-ne winds and have kept low chance pop there. MAX temps
noticeably cooler with highs around 80 northern obx to 85-88
southern sections, and dew points dropping to 65-70.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 345 pm Tuesday... Drier conditions Wednesday night into
Thursday as high pressure builds in. A cold front will approach
the region Friday and cross Saturday bringing a good chance of
showers and thunderstorms across the region. The front will
stall along or off the coast through the weekend and into early
next week.

Wednesday night through Thursday night... Conditions continue to
look dry for Wednesday night and Thursday as high pressure builds in
from the north. At the same time, a significant cold front and
shortwave located over the midwest ohio valley drops down with a sfc
low developing and moving into the mid-atlantic region. Models keep
the area dry on Thursday, but could see a few showers develop along
the coast and may also see storms move in from the west as upper
level dynamics improve with the approaching shortwave late Thursday
night. Highs expected near 90 inland to mid 80s along the coast with
lows mainly in the mid 70s inland to upper 70s coast.

Friday through Tuesday... Models have not been consistent with
timing of system moving into the area as well as how far the
front will push offshore this weekend, therefore confidence is
low. At this time went with wpc guidance and have the cold front
(and significant shortwave associated with it) to move across
the region Friday into Saturday while low pressure moves off the
mid-atlantic coast Friday with the trailing cold front progged
to move across the area Saturday. Descent instability and shear
expected to exist across the region ahead of the front Friday
with favorable upper level dynamics and could see strong to
severe storms across the region. The front is forecast to stall
offshore late Saturday into Sunday but then move back toward the
coast early next week. An upper trough will persist across the
east coast into early next week as well with the axis west of
the area with S SW flow lifting abundant moisture across the
area.

Strong SW flow persists Friday ahead of the front bringing warm
temps with highs in the lower 90s inland to mid upper 80s along the
coast. Temps a few degrees below normal expected this weekend into
early next week with highs generally in the mid 80s but onshore flow
may hold the northern obx in the lower 80s.

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 730 pm Tuesday...

outside of koaj with a thunderstorm in the next hour,VFR
through the end of the TAF period. At oak a brief thunderstorm
is expected within the next hour with ifr vsbys and CIGS in
heavy rain. Beyond that some patchy clouds around 2500 ft are
possible overnight with NE winds, but the chances for ceilings
at this level appear to be low at this time. Another mostly
sunny day is expected Wednesday with light winds out of the
northeast and sct clouds around 5,000 feet.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 345 pm Tuesday... MainlyVFR conditions for Thursday as drier
conditions are expected, but cannot rule the possible sub-vfr
Wednesday late night to early morning Thursday. A cold front will
move into the region Friday and Saturday which will bring showers
and thunderstorms with periods of sub-vfr conditions.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 1030 pm Tuesday... A surge behind a cold front is keeping
waves in the 3 to 4 foot range as of 10 pm, with winds between
10 and 20 kts. With the front cutting across the central part of
our forecast area, wind directions range from northeast north of
cape lookout, to westerly across the southern waters. Northeast
winds 10 to 20 kts with seas 3 to 4 feet through Wednesday
afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ... As of 345
Tuesday... High pressure will build into the area from the north
Wednesday night and Thursday with winds diminishing to 10 kt or
less late Wednesday night and veering to SE to S Thursday
afternoon with seas around 2-3 ft. A cold front will approach
from the NW Friday with winds becoming SW around 10-15 kt
Thursday night and 15-25 kt Friday into Friday night with seas
expected to build to 3-6 ft. Models continue to differ with the
strength of the SW winds, but there is a good chance sca
conditions will develop across portions of our waters Friday and
continuing through Friday night. The front is forecasted to
move offshore Saturday with a NE surge 10- 20 knots developing
and sea 3-5 ft continuing through Sunday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm eh
short term... Jbm
long term... Bm
aviation... Eh bm
marine... Jbm eh bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 53 mi44 min ENE 6 G 13 79°F 80°F1019 hPa (+0.8)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 62 mi44 min NE 17 G 20 78°F 1019.3 hPa (+0.9)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 66 mi44 min NE 8 G 11 78°F 79°F1020 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC11 mi54 minENE 410.00 miFair73°F66°F81%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW5SW4SW5SW4SW5W5W4NW4NE3N3--E3NE4E6NE7E6E7E4E3E6NE5E4E3
1 day agoS7W5CalmCalmSW4S3S6S6SW8SW9SW10SW6SW6W9SW8
G15
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2 days agoSW8SW5SW7SW6SW6SW9SW8SW8
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G27
CalmE8S6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:04 AM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:57 AM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:21 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.52.21.710.4-0.1-0.2-0.10.41.11.72.22.42.21.81.20.60.2-0.1-00.30.91.62.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:27 AM EDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:26 AM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:56 PM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.12.11.91.510.50.1-0.2-0.10.20.81.41.921.91.61.10.70.2-0-0.10.20.71.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.