Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bath, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:17PM Monday May 29, 2017 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 11:09PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 258 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening.
Thu..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming S around 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves flat. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bath, NC
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location: 35.47, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 291854
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
254 pm edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will drift into the region tonight then drift
back north on Tuesday. The front will stall near the area
through mid to late week then dissipate.

Near term through tonight
As of 3 pm Monday... The atmosphere across eastern nc remains
quite stable and free of clouds at mid-afternoon, except for a
few patchy cumulus as temperatures have soared to around 90
degrees in many areas as expected. Deep westerly flow and drier
air aloft seen on the 12z mhx sounding is keeping any convection
at bay so far. Increased mid-level shortwave energy coupled
with a weak boundary that may drift into portions of the cwa
overnight will lead to an increase in shower and thunderstorm
activity. The latest hrrr and rap models are in good agreement
for arrival of convection after about 02z or 03z. While the area
remains in a slight risk of severe storms later tonight,
questionable as to how much instability will be realized,
particularly late in the evening and overnight. Confidence
however is quite high in measurable precipitation over a good
portion of the CWA and have likely pops over the far northern
tier with at least 50 percent elsewhere, especially after
midnight. Another warm night with low temperatures right around
70 to the lower 70s.

Short term Tuesday
As of 3 pm Monday... The combination of a stalled frontal
boundary near our cwa, strong mid-level shortwaves, and a deeper
plume of moisture in place versus recent days, will lead to a
decent chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday.

Expect more cloud cover with temperatures a few degrees cooler
than today. That cloud cover and increased precip will limit the
severe weather threat tomorrow and SPC has removed our area from
the marginal threat for Tuesday. Will have pops in the 40-50 pct
range Tuesday... Perhaps tapering a bit in the afternoon. High
temperatures will be in the mid 80s for most spots.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 3 pm mon... An unsettled pattern will be the rule through
most of the long term period as shortwaves disturbances move
through the region aloft, with a weak front lingering across or
near the area. These features will lead to continued low
confidence through the period due to timing and exact locations
of subtle short waves passing through the region. Models are
hinting at a better chance for showers storms Sunday as a rather
deep upper trof pushes a surface cold front through the area.

Will cap pops at 50% for now on Sunday but later shifts may need
to increase to likely. Temps through Saturday continue quite
warm with 85-90 interior to around 80 on the beaches, with lows
in the upper 60s lower 70s. Temps cool a bit Sunday into Monday
with highs lower to mid 80s with lows in the mid 60s to lower
70s.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 18z Tuesday afternoon ...

as of 130 pm mon...VFR conditions expected through most of the
period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop after 8
pm across the airspace and may provide brief periods of sub-vfr
conditions. Depending on the amount of rain that falls and
leftover clouds overnight, there could be a period of MVFR
ceilings and visibilities a few hours before sunrise Tuesday.

But, with much uncertainty on the extent of convection, have
elected to go with aVFR TAF at this time for all sites.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm mon... MainlyVFR through the period, though
occasional periods of sub-vfr in mainly aftn evening showers
and storms each day. Surface winds will be from the west to
southwest, less than 10 knots Wed and thu, and 10-15 knots fri
and sat.

Marine
Short term tonight and Tuesday ...

as of 3 pm Monday... Weak front will drift into the area from the
north tonight but will likely drift back north of the area on
Tuesday. Winds should generally be wsw SW this evening and
become S SW overnight and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will continue
at 5-15 knots with seas 2-3 feet tonight and tomorrow as period
of benign marine conditions will continue.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

waters north of ocracoke... Mainly southwest winds Tue night
through Wed night, then shifting winds Thu as a front moves in
and becomes stationary along the coast. Winds will begin to veer
to south once again Thu night into fri, then southwest on
Saturday. Speeds will be 5-15 knots and seas 2-4 feet through
Friday. On Saturday a stronger front will approach from the
north. Speeds will increase a bit to 10-20 knots with seas 2-5
feet.

Waters south of ocracoke... Mainly southwest winds 5-15 kt
through Friday. Winds will increase to 15-20 knots Saturday as a
strong front drops south toward the area. Seas mainly 2-4 feet
through Friday, building to 3-5 feet sat.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Hsa
aviation... Hsa sgk
marine... Ctc hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 53 mi41 min SSW 8.9 G 12 80°F 77°F1013.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 62 mi59 min SSW 12 G 14 80°F 1014.1 hPa (-0.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 66 mi41 min SSW 6 G 8.9 81°F 76°F1014.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC11 mi79 minWNW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F65°F50%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW11
G17
SW8W4CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW4W3W4W3CalmW3W3W4W6NW8NW6NW4NW6NW6W3
1 day agoSW5SW7SW4SW3S4S3S5S4CalmE3SE3S4S3S3CalmSW3CalmSW7SW4SW9
G16
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2 days agoNW7W6W5W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW5SW5W4SW5SW7NW4SW4SW9SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:07 AM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:52 AM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:39 PM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.62.52.11.50.90.3-0.1-0.3-00.51.11.72.12.21.91.50.90.4-0-0.200.51.21.8

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:06 AM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:14 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:38 PM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
22.22.21.81.40.80.3-0-0.2-0.10.30.91.41.81.91.71.30.90.40.1-0.1-0.10.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.