Friday, October19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bath, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 6:28PM Friday October 19, 2018 9:18 AM EDT (13:18 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 1:14AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 700 Am Edt Fri Oct 19 2018
Today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se this afternoon. Waves light chop.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of rain.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A chance of showers in the evening, then a slight chance of rain after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of rain in the morning.
Sun night..N winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw. Waves flat.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bath, NC
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location: 35.47, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191058
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
658 am edt Fri oct 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will be centered over the area today, before
moving offshore later tonight. A developing low will pass by
along the coast late tonight, while a cold front approaches
from the west. The cold front will cross the area Saturday
afternoon, with cold, dry high pressure building in Sunday
through early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 655 am fri... With high pressure centered just to the
north of eastern nc this morning, winds remain mostly calm
across the region, with the exception of the immediate coast. It
will be a rather cold start as temps inland have dropped into
the upper 30s to low 40s, with some sheltered locations reaching
the mid 30s across the northern tier. Temperatures will warm
quickly this morning, reaching the low 60s by late morning. With
high pressure almost directly overhead, it will be dry and
mostly sunny, with very light winds. High temps will be a few
degrees warmer than yesterday, reaching the low 70s across most
of eastern nc, as CAA relaxes and heights build slightly.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
As of 655 am fri... High pressure will slide off the coast
tonight, and winds will quickly turn to the south. Low temps
will likely occur around 9 pm or so, as winds will become strong
enough to disrupt cooling by that time. Expect temps to reach
the mid to upper 50s inland, and then warm into the 60s by early
Saturday morning. Temps along the coast will remain in the 60s,
and increase a few degrees overnight.

A developing area of low pressure will travel up the coast after
midnight, bringing an area of showers and perhaps an isolated
thunderstorm to coastal locations, while a cold front
approaches from the nw. Meso models indicate showers
overspreading SW portions of the region around midnight, so will
bring pops into the forecast a bit earlier. Also, have
increased pops to chance towards daybreak, based on latest model
trends. Depending on where the low tracks, there could be a
period of some strong wind gusts to 25-30 kts along the southern
coast early Saturday morning.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 4 am fri... The weak coastal low will continue to work past the
area during the morning hours Saturday. The primary precip shield
associated with this feature will be on its north and east side,
through scattered showers in proximity to the dynamic lift
associated with the low on its west side may also impact coastal
areas as the low moves past.

Perhaps the more significant impact of the coastal low is that it
will interrupt the pre-frontal moisture transport, and the overall
trend is for decreased rain chances associated with the actual
frontal passage Saturday midday through evening. The highest
atmospheric moisture content, around 1.75 inch pwats, is now
expected to remain off the coast, with low level westerly flow ahead
of the front providing only modest moisture convergence. Overall,
the highest precip chances Saturday are along the coast during the
passage of the weak coastal low and across the northern tier of the
forecast area, further away from drying in the wake of the low.

Change will come abruptly Saturday night as much drier, cooler high
pressure builds in quickly behind the cold front and the upper
trough axis passes overhead, signaling the beginning of height rises
aloft and deep layer subsidence. Sub-freezing 850 mb temps will move
over the area Sunday, brining the coolest airmass of the season,
with many locations only reaching around 60 during the day Sunday.

Lows Sunday night will dip into the 30s for inland areas, and frost
is a concern.

Generally settled weather will prevail through the first half of
next week. A shortwave will pass overhead Monday night into Tuesday,
but high pressure will continue to dominate at the surface,
precluding any precip chances. A weak, backdoor cold front may move
through during the middle of next week as high pressure sliding over
the northeastern us ridges down the east coast.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday ...

as of 700 am fri...VFR conditions are present for most of the
airspace this morning, although there has been some intermittent
ifr conditions at pgv due to steam fog. There will be no flying
issues today as high pressure remains over the area. However,
overnight a low pressure system will move up the coast and bring
a period of gusty winds and rain showers to eastern nc. Right
now only have ceilings dropping to MVFR levels, but ifr
conditions are not out of the question Saturday morning.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 4 am fri... Periods of ceiling and visibility restrictions
are possible into Saturday night as a cold front brings
unsettled weather. Gusty northwest winds will develop behind the
front Saturday night and Sunday.VFR conditions will return
Sunday, prevailing through early next week.

Marine
Short term through Friday night ...

as of 700 am fri... High pressure with fair boating conditions
today, will give way to windier and rainy conditions overnight
into Saturday morning, as an area of low pressure moves along
the coast. Have issued a small craft advisory for the coastal
waters from oregon inlet south to surf city, beginning around
midnight for strong gusty winds and hazardous seas.

Winds today will be less than 10 kts out of the nne this
morning, and then briefly out of the e, before turning to the
s SE late in the afternoon. Winds will strengthen tonight,
becoming S 10-15 kts this evening, and then 20-25 kts overnight,
with some gusts close to 30 kts. Seas are currently 3-5 ft
across the coastal waters and will be mostly 2-4 ft through
early tonight. Seas then increase to 4-7 ft overnight into
Saturday morning.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 4 am fri... Winds will shift from southwest to northwest
later in the day Saturday as a cold front works across the
waters. Though winds and seas may temporarily subside within a
couple of hours on either side of the frontal passage,
conditions will quickly deteriorate later Saturday evening.

Small craft advisories will continue for the coastal waters
south of oregon inlet, where they will already be in effect at
the beginning of the period, and will be needed for all of the
other marine zones beginning overnight Saturday. Winds will peak
around sunrise Sunday, with a few hours of gusts into the mid-
30s possible for exposed marine locations. A gale warning may
eventually be needed. Marine conditions will gradually improve
through the rest of the period as high pressure remains in
control early next week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 3 am Saturday to 8 am edt Monday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 1 am Saturday to 8 pm edt Sunday for
amz156-158.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Cb
aviation... Sgk cb
marine... Sgk cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 53 mi31 min NE 4.1 G 4.1 61°F 72°F1028.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 62 mi79 min ENE 8.9 G 9.9 1028.3 hPa (+0.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 66 mi31 min ENE 5.1 G 6 60°F 66°F1028.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC11 mi39 minN 010.00 miFair49°F44°F86%1029.1 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9N8N10NE6NE4NW8NE4N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW3NW3NW7N6NW3NW3W3W6W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmNW4NW4CalmN4N4N4N7
2 days agoW4CalmCalmCalmNE9NE7NE6NE7NE4--NE4NE4E3E4E3CalmNW3S4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Fri -- 02:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:31 AM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:50 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:49 PM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.81.11.51.8221.91.61.30.90.70.70.81.11.51.92.22.22.11.81.51.10.8

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:05 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:30 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:12 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 06:48 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.50.60.91.21.51.71.71.61.41.10.80.60.50.60.91.21.61.81.91.81.61.31

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.