Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Waves, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 5:54PM Thursday February 22, 2018 5:54 PM EST (22:54 UTC) Moonrise 11:46AMMoonset 12:38AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 254 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
Tonight..SW winds 10 kt...becoming nw late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Sat night..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waves, NC
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location: 35.51, -74.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221921
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
221 pm est Thu feb 22 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will sag south into northern portions of eastern
north carolina late tonight and early Friday then lift back
north Friday afternoon. High pressure will continue offshore
over the weekend with continued very warm temperatures. A cold
front will move through the area Sunday night into early Monday,
followed by high pressure Tuesday into Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
As of 215 pm Thursday... Sct CU inland will diminish toward
evening with loss of heating. Mostly clr skies thru the evening
will give way to increasing clouds late in combo of developing
stratus and clouds behind a backdoor cold front that will sag s
thru NRN tier. Deeper moisture looks to remain N of region so
will cont with no pops in fcst. With low lvls remaining
saturated good bet for fog to form again tonight... Always tricky
to determine how widespread the fog will be... There is the
potential for some dense fog. Overnight lows will be slightly
cooler than the past 2 nights mainly cpl dgrs either side of 55.

Short term Friday
As of 215 pm Thursday... The backdoor front is fcst to bisect
the region early with it weakening and lifting back N later in
the day. Clouds fog in morn shld grad diminish into the aftn.

Temps over SRN tier will be similar to today around 80... Bit
cooler NRN tier with front in area with highs in the 60s nrn
cst.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 315 am Thursday... Strong high pressure at the surface and
aloft offshore will continue to provide a warm southwest flow
into the region into the weekend. An approaching cold front
coupled with deep moisture will lead to an increased rain threat
Sunday into Monday before another cold front brings a return to
dry weather Tuesday.

Friday night and Saturday... Near-record high temperatures
expected given southwest flow and unusually high 500 mb heights
over the region. High temperatures will be well into the 70s
with a few spots reaching the lower 80s Saturday. GFS ecmwf
show the development of a few showers Saturday given an increase
in precipitable water ahead of next front.

Sunday through Monday night... Deeper moisture will be drawn
north into the eastern carolinas ahead of cold front as ridge to
the east weakens and moves east. Continued high chance pops
Sunday night and especially Monday when deepest moisture and
best lift is in place. Continued very warm Sunday in warm sector
ahead of front with highs well into the 70s, but as front moves
offshore later Sunday night, highs on Monday will range mostly
in the upper 50s to lower 60s with more widespread precipitation
expected.

Tuesday and Wednesday... Dry high pressure will build across the
region with cooler temperatures, but still above normal under
mostly clear skies. Highs will generally be in the 60s with lows
in the 40s, still about 10 degrees above normal for this time of
year.

Wednesday night and Thursday... An increase in deep moisture
ahead of low pressure crossing the mississippi and ohio valleys
will lead to another round of showers Wednesday night into
Thursday. Have high chance pops in the forecast. Temperatures
will remain mild, despite the precipitation however.

Aviation 18z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through Fri ...

as of 1225 pm Thursday... MainlyVFR thru this evening with sct
to bkn CU this aftn that shld dissipate late today. Tonight
grdnt will relax as weak backdoor cold front sags S into the
region late. Very moist low lvls will cont with areas of fog
and low stratus developing again with ifr expected most sites
poss dropping to lifr at times. The weak front will slowly lift
back N fri. Appears SRN tier will quickly see fog st dissipate
withVFR by mid late morn. NRN tier may hold onto lower clouds
and vsbys til late morn or early aftn withVFR all areas later
in aftn.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 325 am Thursday...VFR conditions will prevail Friday night and
Saturday as high pressure continues to circulate warm air into
the region on S SW winds. Some periods of sub-vfr conditions,
likely MVFR, are expected Sunday into Monday as an approaching
frontal system will bring more numerous showers, especially
behind the cold front on Monday.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 215 pm Thursday... Ssw winds 5 to 15 kts thru the evening
with 3 to 4 foot seas in long period swell. Late tonight a weak
cold front will cross NRN tier with winds become N to NE mainly
from about hatteras N with light wsw winds S of the front. Once
again will likely see fog develop and will have to monitor
trends overnight for poss dense fog advisory. The front will
grad weaken and lift N Fri with winds becoming ssw below 15 kts
all waters later in the day with fog diminishing. Cont longer
period swells will keep seas mainly in the 3 to 4 foot range
fri.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 325 am Thursday... Not alot of change in the latest marine
forecast. S SW winds will cont Friday night and Saturday.

Expect 10-15 knot winds for this period with seas of 2-4 feet.

Small craft advisory conditions still look like a given on
Sunday ahead of the cold front with gusty SW winds of 20-25
knots and seas building to as high as 6-7 feet, south of oregon
inlet. Winds subside again Monday behind the front as winds
become northerly.

Climate
Temps could approach and or break records today.

Record high temps 2 22 (Thursday)
location temp year
cape hatteras 76 1971 (khse)
greenville 80 2003 (coop)
jacksonville 77 2003 (knca)
kinston 78 2003 (coop)
morehead city 72 1971 (coop)
new bern 80 1980 (kewn)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc
marine... Rf ctc
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41062 20 mi54 min 7.8 G 9.7 49°F1031.1 hPa (-0.5)
44095 27 mi66 min 49°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 38 mi54 min S 11 G 13 65°F 66°F1029.9 hPa (-0.4)
41025 - Diamond Shoals 43 mi44 min WSW 12 G 14 73°F 1031 hPa66°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi54 min SSW 5.1 G 8 67°F 61°F1030.3 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC41 mi63 minVar 510.00 miFair69°F64°F84%1030.4 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW5S7S6SW5S6SW6W4W6CalmCalmCalmW7SW5SW5SW4SW5SW7SW8SW5SW6SW5SW45
1 day agoS6S7S8S6S6S4S6SW7S6S3S3SW3CalmS4SW5SW4SW6SW55SW8SW7SW6SW6SW7
2 days agoS7S8S6S6S7S7S6S5S6S5S6S4S5S6S7S8S7S7S7S8S8S9S10S7

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:05 AM EST     0.85 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:31 AM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:26 PM EST     0.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:50 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:17 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.80.90.80.70.50.30.10.10.10.10.20.40.60.70.60.60.40.30.10.10.10.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:45 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:41 AM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:50 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:54 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.92.621.30.70.30.20.511.52.12.42.52.21.71.10.50-0.10.10.61.32.12.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.