Sunday, November18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Waves, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 4:56PM Sunday November 18, 2018 12:01 PM EST (17:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:33PMMoonset 2:42AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 1001 Am Est Sun Nov 18 2018
Rest of today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A chance of rain after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of rain in the evening.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas around 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waves, NC
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location: 35.51, -74.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 181400
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
900 am est Sun nov 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure along the mid-atlantic coast today will move east
tonight. A trof of low pressure will develop off the southeast
coast tonight and move east Monday. A trof of low pressure will
pass through Tuesday. High pressure will then build into the
region through Friday. The next storm system will affect the
region by next Saturday.

Near term through today
As of 9 am sun... No changes needed through today, though will
have to monitor trends for an iso sct shower mention for the
immediate coast as weak trof offshore the outer banks may spit
out a shower or two later today.

Previous discussion... As of 7 am sun... No changes needed.

Continued quiet and bit milder weather on tap today as high
pressure continues to ridge into the area from the mid-
atlantic. Skies will range from mostly clear inland, to partly
to maybe occasionally mostly cloudy along the coast. Warmer
highs in the lower to middle 60s are expected.

Short term tonight
As of 9 am sun... Reintroduced pops back into fcst late tonight,
as now meso models in good agreement with ecm cmc on the weak
impulse spreading rain into the fa by daybreak.

Previous discussion... As of 230 am sun... The surface ridge
over the mid- atlantic will move east off the coast. In its
place, a trof of low pressure will develop off the southeast
coast. Isolated showers initially off the coast this evening
will slowly spread toward the coast after midnight. Confined
pops to along east of a line from jacksonville-new bern-manteo.

Warmer lows tonight due to increased cloud cover, with mid upper
40s inland to lower mid 50s south coast and outer banks.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 230 am sun... The surface ridge over the southern
appalachians will continue to dissipate Monday a weak coastal
trof develops and moves along the E nc coast. High pres builds
back in late Monday through the rest of the period, with yet
another low pressure system likely to impact the area next
weekend.

Monday... A weak coastal trough will strengthen along the coast
early Monday then move offshore Monday afternoon and evening.

Still a challenging precip forecast with continued model
disagreement, though the latest ECMWF came in slightly drier
than previous runs. Lowered pops slightly for Monday, but will
continue slight chance pops inland increasing to high
chance likely along the coast. Best chance of rain likely in the
first part of the day, with precip shifting off the coast late.

Highs in the 60s.

Monday night through Friday... Expect pred dry weather through
the period area. Though a weak cold front may move through
Tuesday, initiating a few coastal showers. Temps will be mild
to start, with 60s for highs on tue, then temps cool behind the
front, bringing below climo temps to the east coast. Temps dip
into the 50s for highs on wed, then some upper 40s to lower 50s
for thanksgiving day and Friday. First freeze of the season may
come to parts of E nc on Fri morning as lows fcst to drop to the
lower 30s inland, remaining in the low 40s coast.

Friday night through Sunday... Latest guidance continues to
indicate digging trough across the southern ms valley, which
may spawn sfc cyclogenesis across the southeastern states and
our next precipitation chances.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am sun... Skies have cleared with MVFR to lifr at three
of the terminals. Fog will burn off quickly over the next few
hours withVFR through the afternoon with only few sct cu
forecast. Winds will be light northeast ewn oaj, light and
variable pgv iso. Sct bkn scu tonight as a coastal trof develops
just offshore. Winds calm.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 230 am sun... MostlyVFR dry conditions are expected
through the period. A coastal trof will bring some rain Monday,
and may drop to subVFR at times in lower stratus. Any low
clouds move out by late Monday as the trof moves offshore.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am sun... No changes to zones. High pressure along the
mid- atlantic coast today will move east tonight, with a
developing trof of low pressure off the southeast coast. A light
northeast flow is forecast today, becoming light west to
northwest tonight north of CAPE lookout. Seas will average 3-5
feet today and 2-4 feet tonight.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 230 am sun... A coastal trof will affect the waters
Monday, a weak cold front will move through Tuesday, then high
pressure builds in from the northwest through Thursday. Overall
flow pattern through the period will be westerly and then
northerly, with the exception of Mon when winds temporarily
become SW due to the coastal trof. Light winds Monday, becoming
westerly 10-15 kt Monday night then nnw around 15 kt late tue
and Tue night. Winds diminish to less than 10 kt wed, becoming n
15-25 kt Thursday. Seas will average 2-4 feet through wed.

Reinforcing dry cold front pushes through by thanksgiving day,
with SCA conditions likely developing with gusty winds and seas
building to 4-6 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa tl
short term... Hsa tl
long term... Cqd tl
aviation... Cqd hsa
marine... Cqd hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41062 20 mi62 min 9.7 G 14 1026.7 hPa (-0.4)
44095 27 mi46 min 60°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 38 mi32 min NNE 8 G 11 58°F 56°F1025.9 hPa
44086 42 mi37 min 61°F4 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 43 mi22 min N 14 G 18 62°F 75°F1025.6 hPa57°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi32 min NNE 9.9 G 14 57°F 58°F1025.4 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC41 mi71 minNNE 810.00 miFair62°F51°F67%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr6NE9
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NE6NE55NE5NE56NE6NE66NE8
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NE9NE65NE6NE65NE66N8N8NE7
1 day agoNW10NW8NW8W6W6W8NW8
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NW6NW7NW6NW7NW7NW4NW5NW6NW43NW5335CalmN7
2 days agoE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:07 AM EST     0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:44 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:43 AM EST     0.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:35 PM EST     0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:55 PM EST     0.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.50.50.50.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.50.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:45 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 03:25 AM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:23 AM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:24 PM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:46 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.72.22.42.42.21.71.20.80.50.60.91.31.92.32.62.52.21.71.10.50.100.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.