Friday, May26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belhaven, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:15PM Friday May 26, 2017 8:26 PM EDT (00:26 UTC) Moonrise 5:52AMMoonset 8:15PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 730 Pm Edt Fri May 26 2017
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt late this evening and overnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop late this evening and overnight.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belhaven, NC
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location: 35.54, -76.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 262330
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
730 pm edt Fri may 26 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure will move across to the north late Saturday
through Monday, with a cold front pushing through the area
Tuesday. The front will stall south of the area Wednesday and
return north Thursday. Another cold front will approach Friday.

Near term through tonight
As of 730 pm fri... No big changes with eve update. Did lower
min t's a degree or so, as relatively low td's this afternoon
will translate to lows around 60 interior to mid upr 60s coast.

Previous discussion... As of 230 pm Friday... Other than some
patchy cumulus, skies will be mostly clear overnight with
comfortable temperatures. Lows will be in the mid 60s inland and
lower 70s closer to the coast.

Short term Saturday
As of 230 pm Friday... The bulk of Saturday will be mostly sunny
and dry until mid-level ridge starts to break down late in the
day. Some decent mid-level shortwave energy and an approaching
boundary from the north will kick off scattered showers and
thunderstorms to our north, near the va border, but think these
will stay north of our CWA through 00z Sunday. Saturday will be
quite warm in SW flow with thickness and MOS guidance supporting
highs in the lower 90s inland and low mid 80s beaches.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 330 am Friday... Unsettled weather through most of the
period due to frontal boundaries. Low confidence with the
timing of precip as most of the convection coverage will be
possible each day, except for Wednesday. A front will stall
south of area Wednesday but then lift back north Thursday,
meanwhile another cold front is expected to approach the area
Friday... Leading to more rain.

Saturday night... A low pressure system with its associated cold
front will move towards va. This weak low will be near the
va nc border while the cold front moves across the area and
stalls Sunday. Meanwhile a shortwave energy is expected to cross
e nc Saturday night. Models continue to show scattered coverage
is still possible for mainly the northern sections. Spc
continues with a marginal threat for northern sections as the
0-6 km shear is indicate 35-40 kts which is supportive for a
strong to severe storms. Expect high is the upper 80s to around
90 degrees inland with low mid 80s along the beaches.

Sunday through Tuesday night... Periods of short wave energy
will result in areas of low pressure moving across north of area
Sunday-Monday night with frontal boundary pushing through late
Monday night Tuesday morning with another weak boundary crossing
late Tuesday. Convective activity will be most likely during
typical afternoon evening hours but may persist overnight with
continuing short wave activity, thus will continue chance pops
through the night during period. Models are indicating 35-40 kt
of 0-6 km shear Sunday and even stronger on Monday. Isolated
severe will be possible rest of period as well. Highs will be in
the upper 80s inland to low 80s Sunday and Monday highs
reaching near 90 inland. Tuesday, temps will be a few degree
cooler after the cold front passage. Lows around 70 Sunday night
and Monday night, then 65-70 Tuesday night.

Wednesday through Wednesday night... Weak ridging will build
across the area, meanwhile a frontal boundary remains stalled
offshore. Most of the area will be rain-free, but models are
indicating some weak short wave energy moving across the weak
ridge... Mainly over our coastal waters. Expect highs in the mid
80s inland and upper 70s low 80s along the coast.

Thursday through Friday... Stationary front will lift north as a
warm front and increasing the chances for more scattered
showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. Another cold front will
approach the area from the NW with more rain chances on Friday.

Expect highs in the mid 80s inland and mid upper 70s Thursday
and Friday.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 18z Saturday
as of 730 pm Friday...VFR skc through the TAF period. The
temp dewpoint spread of 3+ degrees and a light breeze will
preclude fg br development overnight tonight.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
as of 345 pm Friday... Sub-vfr conditions are possible starting
Saturday night through Tuesday as weak frontal boundary affects
the area with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Short term tonight and Saturday
as of 230 pm Friday... As the influence of low pressure moving
off new england diminishes and high pressure moving east from
the western virginias builds east and southeast, winds are
gradually subsiding on the coastal waters and sounds. Backswell
energy keeping diamond buoy around 8 feet, but this should
subside later this evening and have SCA ending for the oregon
inlet to ocracoke leg at 11 pm this evening. SW W winds at 15
knots or less are expected on Saturday with seas 2-4 feet.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday
as of 345 pm Friday... Generally winds will be SW 15-20 knots on
Saturday night, then becoming briefly W NW 10-15 kts Sunday
morning, before winds return back to SW 10-15 knots. SW wind
will continue through Tuesday 10-15 knots with some weak
frontal intrusions resulting in shifting winds over northern
waters Sunday night into Tuesday, with front pushing through all
waters Tuesday morning.

Seas will build to 3-5 feet Saturday night, then mainly 2-4 feet
rest of period.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for amz152-
154.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc tl
short term... Ctc
long term... Bm
aviation... Tl bm
marine... Ctc bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 52 mi39 min SW 6 G 8 76°F 73°F1012.2 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 57 mi39 min SW 5.1 G 14 75°F 71°F1011.9 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 58 mi39 min W 7 G 9.9 1011.8 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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SW18
G24
SW15
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SW17
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G29
SW15
G24
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G26
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G27
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SW8
G13
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G27
S12
G17
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G16
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G21
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G23
SE17
G21
S13
G18
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G24
S7
G16
SW11
G15
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G17
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G15
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G17
SW12
G20
SW15
G24
SW19
G27
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G27
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G29
SW23
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G31
SW23
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SW17
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SW20
G28
SW16
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SW12
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SW12
G18
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G20
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SW14
G22
S11
G16
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G19
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G15
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W9
W7
SW8
G11
SW8
S3
G8
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G7
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S7
G11
SE8
G11
S5

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC24 mi47 minW 310.00 miFair76°F57°F52%1012.5 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW7SW7SW9SW11SW8SW9
G16
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SW7W9
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NW7W6W5W4
1 day agoS7S6SE7SE7S10
G14
S6S6S5SW8SW4S4S6SW9
G14
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G15
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G18
SW10SW14
G20
SW16
G24
SW10
G21
SW10
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SW16
G23
W5SW3Calm
2 days agoSW7
G14
SW7SW7SW5SW4S3SW5CalmSW4W3W3CalmCalmCalmN5NE4SE5S6S5SE8SE6SE7SE6S8

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:33 AM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:34 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:07 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2-0-0.1-00.20.50.8110.90.60.30-0.1-0.1-00.20.611.31.41.41.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina
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Ocracoke Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:37 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:39 AM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:37 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:02 PM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.1-0.3-0.3-00.51.21.72.12.11.91.30.70.1-0.2-0.300.61.322.42.62.52

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.