Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:22PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 2:16 PM EST (19:16 UTC) Moonrise 6:49AMMoonset 5:10PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 1005 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Rest of today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Areas of fog late this morning.
Tonight..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of rain in the morning, then snow or rain likely in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy. Snow likely in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 161801
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
101 pm est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
Cold high pressure remains over the area today. A cold front
will produce light snow on Wednesday and will push offshore
Wednesday night, followed by high pressure building in from the
west late in the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1010 am tues... No sig changes to previous forecast other
than to update fog stratus and vsbys based on latest satellite
imagery and observations. Area of fog and stratus currently
extending from near the va nc line near ahoskie down to cedar
island and points eastward.

As the fog and stratus dissipates late morning and early
afternoon, sunshine will help to warm temperatures into the
upper 40s to low 50s. Widely scattered to scattered shower
activity is expected across the outer banks and hyde and dare
counties in association with an inverted trough off the coast.

However, high-res guidance wasn't as robust as the previous
forecast, and have scaled back pops in this region to now be
mainly over the outer banks.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 335 am tues... Increasing clouds Tuesday night will
prohibit another night of lows in the 20s. Low temps are
expected to reach the low 30s inland, and mid 30s along the
coast. Most areas should remain dry ahead of advancing cold
through Wednesday morning.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 345 am Tuesday... Wednesday through Wednesday evening will
be the focus for wintry weather as rain quickly mixes with then
changes over to snow across most of eastern nc by evening.

Fortunately the system will have limited moisture with most
model QPF forecasts indicating 0.25" or less of water
equivalent. Nonetheless, the system will have good forcing to
wring out what moisture is available. The 00z models have come
in slightly cooler suggesting a faster change over to snow
Wednesday afternoon, especially inland as a surface cold front
moves rapidly east across the area Wednesday morning. This will
be an anafront, where precip occurs behind the sfc boundary.

Thus, not expecting freezing rain, as cooling will occur from
top down. Bndry layer wet bulb temps will be near 0 degrees c
through the day, and even though sfc temps will climb to the
upper 30s north to mid 40s south, the arrival of precip will wet
bulb down to the sfc due to dynamic cooling. So expect a brief
period of rain before transitioning to a ra sn mix then quickly
to snow, from northwest areas to southeast. Right now think
timing will be early afternoon for snow across NW zones, finally
switching to snow southeast zones by early evening as the
precip is coming to an end. Best chance of light accums will be
northern and northwestern counties where deeper cold bndry layer
temps will reside. Timing of the snow should adversely affect
the afternoon and evening commute when the heaviest of the snow
is forecast to occur. Column drying occurs Wed evening as deep
layer saturation quickly erodes, and there may be a brief period
of freezing drizzle before precip comes to an end around
midnight. Roads will likely be treacherous where snow falls
through thur morning as overnight lows Wed night expected in the
upper teens to lower 20s inland to 25-30 immediate coast.

Thursday through Sunday... Cold and dry conditions will follow
this low pressure system, with high temps Thursday only topping
out in the upper 30s across the area. Low temps will be very
cold Thursday and Friday mornings with teens expected inland,
and 20s along the coast. As the cold upper trough moves away on
Friday, high temperatures will moderate to around 50. High
pressure moving off the coast, and rising heights will allow
temperatures to warm above average over the weekend, with dry
weather expected.

Monday... A cold front will approach late Monday bringing a
threat of showers to area by evening. Mild temperatures will
continue ahead of the front with highs in the lower to middle
60s expected.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1240 pm tues... High confidence inVFR conditions to
persist through most of the TAF period. Expect mostly clear
skies this afternoon with high clouds increasing tonight ahead
of the approaching cold front. Clouds will lower Wednesday
morning, but remainVFR until late morning early afternoon where
conditions will lower belowVFR as the onset of rain starting
over the inland TAF sites (pgv and iso) then a mix of rain snow,
while the coastal sites (ewn and oaj) will have mostly rain
before 18z. Winds will remain light from NW this afternoon,
becoming calm overnight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 345 am Tuesday... Rain snow will impact flying conditions
Wednesday and Wednesday night, then a return toVFR conditions
are expected Thursday through Saturday with dry high pressure
forecast to be over the area.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1010 am tues... Extended dfa through 18z north of
ocracoke, including the sounds based on satellite and obs... With
vsbys still 1 mile or less.

Winds are currently N 5 to 15 kts, with seas 4-6 ft, north of
ocracoke and 3-5 ft south. SCA advisories continue for the
waters north of ocracoke, and dropped for the southern waters.

Winds will remain mostly 10-15 kts out of the nnw for the rest
of the period. Seas will be coming down to 3-6 ft likely
tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 345 am Tuesday... Small craft conditions will persist
across the through Thursday dues to gusty northerly winds 20 to
25 kt through Thursday morning and hazardous 5 to 8 ft seas
through Thursday afternoon. Winds and seas slowly decrease late
Thursday afternoon. Friday and Saturday W SW flow around 15 kt
is expected with seas 3-5 ft Friday and 2 to 4 ft Saturday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Dense fog advisory until 1 pm est this afternoon for amz130-
131-135-136-150-152-154.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Jme cqd sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jme tl
aviation... Jme bm
marine... Jme cqd sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 60 mi46 min S 1.9 G 4.1 51°F 45°F1027.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi76 min NE 8 G 8.9 1028.9 hPa (-3.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi46 min NNE 8.9 G 12 38°F 46°F1028.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
N13
G16
N12
G16
N11
G15
N9
G12
N8
G13
N10
G14
N11
G15
N11
G14
N11
G14
N12
G15
N9
G12
N8
N9
N9
G12
N11
N10
N8
N8
N9
N9
N9
N7
G11
N6
S1
1 day
ago
N13
G16
NE12
G22
N14
G19
N15
G19
N11
G18
N12
G16
N16
G20
N17
G23
N16
G20
N16
G21
N17
G22
N16
G22
N17
G21
N13
G20
N13
G19
N14
G18
N12
G20
N12
G15
N11
G17
N13
G17
N11
G20
N14
G18
N13
G19
N14
G17
2 days
ago
W5
G10
NW14
G19
NW10
G14
N11
G15
N11
G16
N15
G20
NE10
G14
N12
G19
N13
G18
N11
G16
N12
G15
N15
G21
N17
G29
N13
G21
N16
G21
N11
G21
N14
G17
N17
N15
G20
N19
G24
N16
G22
NE16
G22
N17
G21
N13
G23

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi21 minNW 410.00 miFair50°F28°F43%1028.8 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi56 minN 010.00 miFair48°F28°F46%1029.1 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrN7CalmN3NW4NW3CalmN3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N3E3CalmN3CalmN3
1 day agoN9
G15
N8NE9NE6N6NE5NE7N9
G15
N7N10N7N9N6N6N7N4N4N6NW5NW6N6CalmCalmN6
2 days agoN8NW6N12
G19
N10
G18
N10N5N8NE7NE9
G15
N7N8N13
G17
N8
G16
N8N7N8
G15
N10N9
G14
N9
G15
N12
G16
N13
G17
N6
G16
N9
G15
N5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:08 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:19 AM EST     2.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:59 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:10 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:34 PM EST     1.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40-0.1-00.40.91.51.92.12.11.81.40.90.40.1-00.10.511.41.71.71.51.1

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Newport River (Yacht Club)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:31 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:54 AM EST     3.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:31 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:10 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EST     2.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.1-0.10.311.92.73.23.43.22.61.810.3-0-00.311.72.22.42.31.91.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.