Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 7:02PM Monday September 25, 2017 4:39 PM EDT (20:39 UTC) Moonrise 10:59AMMoonset 9:38PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 1254 Pm Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
.tropical storm watch in effect...
This afternoon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tue..Tropical storm conditions possible. N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tue night..Tropical storm conditions possible. N winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves very rough. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Wed..Tropical storm conditions possible. N winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves very rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Fri night..E winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 251915
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
315 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term through tonight
As of 1045 am Monday... No significant changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 345 am Monday... Maria will advance nnw to be well
offshore of the carolinas by late today. Clouds should thicken
and lower, especially coast where windy conditions will develop.

Will continue a 20-30% chance for afternoon showers east
(highest coast) but rainfall amounts will be light. Highs will
be in the lower 80s inland and upper 70s beaches.

Short term Tuesday
As of 345 am Monday... Maria will continue to advance slowly n
offshore tonight. Main impacts will be increasing winds and
threat of showers isolated tstms with pops from 20% inland to
50% coast overnight. Min temps upper 60s inland to mid 70s
coast.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 315 pm Monday... The primary forecast concern through
early Thursday will be impacts associated with hurricane maria.

Maria will move slowly off the nc coast Tuesday through
Wednesday night before an approaching upper level trough and
attendant cold front finally push maria to the east sometime
Thursday. Models are coming into better agreement keeping the
center of maria about 100-150 miles offshore but a large
tropical storm wind field that currently extends 230 miles from
the center and very large seas will still bring moderate to high
impacts across portions of eastern nc, especially the outer
banks.

The slow moving nature of this system will prolong and possibly
enhance the impacts that eastern nc does receive. At this time,
the greatest impacts are expected to be associated with the
large surf impacting the coast and significant beach erosion is
likely with ocean overwash probable in typically prone areas
around times of high tide beginning Tuesday and peaking
at the high tide Wednesday and likely persisting into Thursday.

Highway 12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and
may become impassable at times, especially along pea island.

Coastal flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also
possible but the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how
close maria gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for
amount of inundation from storm surge will be the duration and
magnitude of the northerly winds across the region. The
soundside of the outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and
possibly downeast carteret county, look to be the most
vulnerable locations for sound side flooding at this time.

In addition, tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts are
expected across the eastern third of the region with strongest
winds expected across the outer banks. At this time, rainfall
amounts look to be around 1-2 inches across the eastern half of
the CWA to less than an inch across the coastal plain. We are
not expecting significant impacts from rainfall flooding at this
time but it could be compounded across the outer banks by the
impacts associated with storm surge.

Maria is expected to quickly move away from the area Friday
with an upper level trough approaching from the west. Models do
indicate a very low risk for showers, mainly east portion but
not expecting much in the way of coverage and amounts. Much
cooler weather is in store with highs Friday in the upper 70s-
lower 80s cooling down into the mid 70s Saturday and Sunday.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 18z Tuesday ...

as of 1045 am Monday... Scu expected to persist through rest of
taf period with CIGS lifting with heating today but remaining
mainly MVFR. CIGS lowering again tonight and most guidance is
indicating ifr by late evening, but most guidance was overdone
past 6 hours, thus keeping CIGS at 1k feet at this time.

Scattered showers isolated tstms expected to spread inland from
coast tonight with vcsh mentioned at kewn and koaj. N to ne
winds will gust 15-20 kt this afternoon and may persist tonight.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 315 pm Monday... Hurricane maria will move slowly N NE off
the nc coast through early Thursday. Most of the associated
rain is expected to occur east of the TAF sites with only widely
scattered to scattered showers expected Tuesday night and
Wednesday. Main concern is gusty northerly winds 20 to 30 mph
and the potential for a prolonged period of ifr to MVFR ceilings
through Thursday morning. Aviation conditions improve late
Thursday into Friday as hurricane maria finally moves well away
from the coast and drier air spreads into the region.

Marine
Short term through Tuesday ...

as of 1045 am Monday... No changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 345 am Monday... Building seas and increasing winds will
remain the story for the nc waters as maria approaches late
today producing dangerous conditions. N NE winds 15 to 25 kt
early will increase to 20 to 30 kt with higher gusts today, and
then to 25 to 35 knots by early Tuesday. As usual the wave
models have been too quick to increase seas with hurricane
swell. Current 6 to 11 ft seas are forecast to build to 10 to 16
ft late today and 12 to 20 feet overnight.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 315 pm Monday... Hurricane maria will slowly lift north
off the coast Tuesday night through Wednesday night before
accelerating eastward Thursday and Friday. Models continue in
agreement keeping the center of maria about 100-150 miles
offshore but with a large tropical storm wind field and large,
dangerous seas will that will result in rough and hazardous
conditions across the waters with MAX seas around 20 ft and
boating during this period is not recommended through Thursday.

Conditions are expected to begin to improve late Thursday as
maria finally moves away from the waters and winds subside to 15
to 25 kt late. Further improvement is forecast Friday and
Saturday with N NE winds diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas are
forecast to subside below 10 ft late Thursday, and 6 ft late
Friday. Seas Saturday should be 2 to 4 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Tropical storm watch for ncz098.

Tropical storm warning for ncz046-047-081-095-103-104.

Marine... Tropical storm watch for amz136-137.

Tropical storm warning for amz130-131-135-150-152-154-156-158.

Synopsis... Jme hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Jme sk
aviation... Jme hsa
marine... Jme hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 60 mi51 min N 15 G 21 78°F 75°F1009.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi39 min N 18 G 23 78°F 1009.4 hPa (-1.8)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi51 min NNE 23 G 27 75°F 77°F1010.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last
24hr
NE11
G16
NE10
G14
NE10
G13
NE7
G11
NE8
G11
N9
G14
NE10
G16
N10
G13
NE11
N11
G15
NE9
G12
N9
G15
N9
G13
N11
G14
N14
G17
N13
G16
N10
G15
N12
G15
NE10
G19
NE16
G22
NE14
G22
NE14
G21
N15
G19
N15
G21
1 day
ago
E9
E6
G10
E5
G8
E4
G7
NE4
NE4
NE5
NE5
G8
NE5
G9
NE7
G10
NE6
G9
NE5
G9
NE6
G10
NE4
G7
N6
N7
G10
N9
G13
NE10
G15
NE12
G17
NE14
G21
NE14
G23
NE11
G19
NE12
G16
NE13
G17
2 days
ago
S9
S9
S6
S6
S6
SW4
SW4
SW4
SW3
G6
SW2
SW1
W1
NW3
NW3
W1
NW4
NW4
G8
N6
N7
N6
G9
N9
G13
N9
N5
G11
NE7
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi54 minNNE 13 G 1710.00 miOvercast82°F69°F66%1012.5 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi44 minNNE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F68°F66%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrNE8NE7NE6NE3NE3NE5NE4NE6NE5N4N4N5N5N4N3N5N6N5NE10
G14
NE6NE10
G16
NE8NE13
G17
NE11
G16
1 day agoNE6NE6NE4N3NE3NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmN4N6N7NE6NE7NE7NE10
G16
2 days agoN4N4CalmCalmCalmNE3NE5CalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N4N4N8NE5NE4NE6NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:37 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:01 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.12.121.61.20.80.50.40.60.91.51.92.32.42.32.11.71.20.90.60.60.71.11.5

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Newport River (Yacht Club)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:12 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:22 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.132.621.40.90.60.611.62.43.13.53.53.32.82.11.40.90.70.81.21.72.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.