Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:30PM Monday June 26, 2017 6:31 PM EDT (22:31 UTC) Moonrise 7:44AMMoonset 9:48PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 402 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Wed..N winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves flat.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
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location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 262012 cca
afdmhx
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service newport morehead city nc
412 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will cross eastern nc Tuesday. High pressure
will build in from the west Wednesday through late week and slide
offshore for the weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 345 pm Monday... Latest sfc analysis is showing a frontal
boundary off the carolina coast. This boundary will push
farther farther offshore as a mid-level trough axis approaches
the area. This will help keep the weather dry overnight, but
mid high clouds will increase overnight... Ahead of the trough.

Overnight temperatures will be pleasant for this time of the
year. Expect lows in the low 60s inland to low 70s along the
coast.

Short term Tuesday
As of 345 pm Monday... A significant shortwave trough will drop
down from the midwest into the carolinas tomorrow tomorrow
night. Winds will shift from SW to NW during the morning weak
cold front crosses the area. This will support scattered showers
and thunderstorms to develop, especially along the sea breeze
zone. Forecast soundings are showing weak instability, but strong
0-6 km shear (around 50 kts), increasing pw values and much cooler
temps aloft. Mainly a rain event, but with a few thunderstorms
developing during the afternoon. Expect high is in the low to mid
80s under a northerly flow.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 300 pm Monday... Scattered showers expected Tuesday night,
then cooler and much drier air will spread into eastern nc
Wednesday through late week. Typical summertime pattern
redevelops late week into next weekend with temps a few degrees
above normal and scattered diurnal driven convection.

Tuesday night... A strong mid-level shortwave will move through
the area Tuesday night, supporting scattered showers and
possibly a thunderstorm. Forecast soundings indicate marginal
instability but strong shear and much cooler temps aloft, 500mb
temps drop to -12 -14c, could see some small hail especially a
few hours in the early evening. Tweaked pops slightly to cover
most of the inland area with 30 pop for the early evening,
diminishing and shifting towards the coast, and then ending by 2
am. Much cooler air coming Tue night with lows dropping into
the upper 50s inland and mid 60s along the coast.

Wednesday through Thursday... Strong high pressure will build
across the region bringing dry and pleasant conditions, with
drier and cooler air in place. Highs will be in the low to mid
80s and lows in the lower 60s inland to around 70 on the
immediate coast Wednesday night.

Friday through Monday... High pressure will shift off the coast
allowing southerly flow to return with an increase in moisture.

Temperatures quickly warm back up with highs creeping back to
the mid 80s 90 degrees through the remainder of the period. Low
temps warming back into the 70s this weekend. With the typical
summertime pattern of troughing inland and high pressure
offshore, scattered diurnal convective chances increase by the
weekend. Friday looks to be mostly dry, but carried a chance of
showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Monday.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Tuesday ...

as of 1 pm Monday... High confidence ofVFR conditions will
dominate most of the TAF period. Clear to scattered high
clouds will skirt through the area due to the offshore frontal
boundary. Skies will clear tonight briefly, then mid to high
clouds will increase as the trough axis approaches closer to
eastern nc. Winds will likely decouple tonight which could lead
to patchy fog to develop. Expect MVFR vsbys from 08-12z
Tuesday.VFR conditions will return back in the morning under
light winds.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Scattered showers and storms may produce
brief period of sub-vfr conditions Tuesday afternoon and
evening. High pressure will bring a dry air mass for Wednesday
and Thursday. Moisture increases Friday and could see patchy
fog stratus Saturday morning and scattered showers and
thunderstorms on Saturday that produce brief periods of MVFR
conditions.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 345 pm Monday... Great marine conditions across eastern nc
waters. The latest buoy observations are showing NE 12 knots or
less and seas 1-2 ft. Winds will continue to veer from the NE to
s SW by tonight ahead of weak cold front, then winds will shift
to the NW by morning as the weak boundary starts to cross.

Overall, wind speeds should remain around 10 knots or less.

Expect showers and thunderstorms to occurs Tuesday
afternoon evening.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... Generally benign and pleasant boating
conditions expected through late week. Could see a brief surge
of winds Tuesday night as cooler drier air sweeps into the area.

At this time kept winds no higher than 15 kt although NAM did
indicate a potential for winds to 20 kt. This will need to be
monitored for future updates.

Surface high pressure will build over the area Tuesday night
crest over the waters Wednesday, and move offshore Thursday.

Winds will shift to north northeast 5-10 kts Wednesday, then
become southeast to south 5-15 kts on Thursday. Gradient will
tighten Fri into Saturday with high pressure offshore and
troughing inland, S SW winds increase to 10-15 kt Friday and
could approach 20 kt by late Saturday. Seas will be generally
2-3 ft until late Saturday when 3 to 4 foot seas are possible.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Bm
short term... Bm
long term... Rsb dag cqd
aviation... Rsb cqd bm
marine... Rsb cqd bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 60 mi44 min ESE 7 G 8.9 80°F 80°F1015.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi32 min ESE 6 G 7 78°F 1016.1 hPa (-1.8)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi44 min ESE 6 G 8 1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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SW2
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SW13
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G23
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G15
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G20
SW11
G20
SW14
G22
SW14
G19
SW14
G21
SW15
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1016.6 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi47 minW 310.00 miFair86°F53°F33%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmN4N3N6N5N5N7NE5SE4N6CalmSW3W5
1 day agoSW8S3S5SW8CalmCalmCalmS4SW5W5CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmW4W3NW4NW5NW4NW4NW5
2 days agoS11
G18
S10S8S9S8
G15
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SW9SW10
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W12W8W5W9W7SW6S4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:27 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:46 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:49 PM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.52.11.40.70.1-0.3-0.4-00.61.31.92.22.21.91.40.80.2-0.2-0.300.61.322.4

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
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Newport River (Yacht Club)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:08 AM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:53 AM EDT     3.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:59 PM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:20 PM EDT     4.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.82.91.70.6-0.2-0.5-0.30.41.42.333.22.92.21.30.4-0.3-0.5-0.30.51.62.83.84.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.