Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:03PM Friday November 16, 2018 11:40 AM EST (16:40 UTC) Moonrise 1:40PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1020 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Rest of today..W winds 15 to 20 kt diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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location: 35.56, -77.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 161430
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
930 am est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will ridge into the region through the weekend. A
weak front will cross the area Sunday night. High pressure will
build over the area early through mid next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 930 am fri... Latest sfc analysis shows 993mb low east of
long island this morning with high pressure centered over the
gulf states. The low will continue to lift nne today while the
surface high builds in from the wsw. Skies have cleared and
should be mostly sunny today. Good CAA continues in the wake of
the low and cold front. Low level thickness values support highs
several degrees below normal, in the mid to upper 50s. Gusty
west winds continue along the coast this morning, but will
diminish during the afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
As of 235 am fri... High pressure will build over the area
tonight, allowing for excellent radiational cooling conditions
to set up with mostly clear skies and light winds. A light
freeze could be possible for inland sheltered locations, but not
enough confidence at this point to go with a freeze warning.

Added mention of frost for inland locations with temps dropping
into the low 30s. Overnight lows in the low to mid 30s inland
and low to mid 40s along the beaches.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 230 am fri... High pressure over the southern appalachians
Saturday will slowly weaken and dissipate by Saturday night. A
weak coastal trof will develop Sunday night then move off to the
east Monday. Have the best chances of rain after midnight
Sunday through early Monday morning. Dry weather expected for
the remainder of the period as a surface ridge builds into the
region from the northwest.

Temps Saturday into Sunday near climo reaching into the 60-65
range. Low temps will dip to the mid upper 30s inland, and low
to mid 40s along the coast (except obx which will remain in
upper 40s). High temperatures Monday through Thursday will dip
down to a bit below climo, with readings in the mid upper 50s,
and lows in the 30s interior to 40s coast.

Aviation 14z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 650 am fri... PredVFR expected through the period. W nw
winds around 10 kt today, gusts have diminished this morning.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 230 am fri...VFR conditions are expected through the
long term as high pressure builds into the region.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 930 am fri... Will allow the SCA for the sounds to expire
as forecast at 10 am. Winds have diminished to 15-20 over the
albemarle sound but are still gusting to 25 kt over the pamlico
sound. All of the models, including the high resolution models,
indicate that winds will diminish around 15z so will not extend
current SCA there. Low water levels over the western
pamlico neuse rivers have risen above critical levels so will
let the lwa expire at 15z. Over the nearshore waters, westerly
flow 20-25 kt was observed with seas 5-9 ft. Winds are forecast
to gradually diminish to 15 to 20 kt this afternoon with seas
subsiding to 4-7 ft. CAA continues overnight with NW winds 10-20
kt, but expect seas to subside below 6 ft by early Sat morning.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ... As of 230 am
fri... Winds will become the N NE 5-15 kts Saturday and Sunday,
and then a coastal trough develops Monday, and causes winds to
turn to the NW at 10-15 kts behind it. Seas will then become
mostly 2-4 ft in the long range.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 235 am fri... Westerly flow is diminishing over the pamlico
sound, and as a result water levels have fallen and will
continue to drop. Thus minor soundside flooding is no longer a
threat and the coastal flood advisory for the outer banks will
expire at 10 am.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am est Saturday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for amz158.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for amz156.

Small craft advisory until 1 am est Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Jme cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Hsa tl
aviation... Cqd hsa
marine... Jme cqd hsa
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi40 min NW 7 G 11 51°F 60°F1017 hPa (+0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi40 min WNW 11 G 14 1016.9 hPa (+0.6)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi40 min WNW 14 G 19 49°F 61°F1015.4 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC1 mi60 minWNW 610.00 miFair49°F34°F56%1016.9 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi50 minW 610.00 miFair48°F32°F54%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN9
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NE9N7N10NE6NE4N6NE7N7N8N5N9N9N8
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2 days agoW4W4W6NW5NW6NW8NW5N7N3N5N7N8N6N8NE4N4N6N5N5N6N5N6N7N8
G14

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:48 AM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:07 AM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:02 PM EST     2.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:49 PM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.61.81.81.71.51.20.90.70.60.70.91.31.61.921.91.71.41.10.70.50.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:32 AM EST     2.77 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM EST     0.92 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:46 PM EST     3.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:32 PM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.52.72.72.52.21.71.310.91.11.52.12.62.932.82.521.410.70.71

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.