Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:14PM Thursday May 23, 2019 11:36 AM EDT (15:36 UTC) Moonrise 11:37PMMoonset 9:00AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1010 Am Edt Thu May 23 2019
Rest of today..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..SE winds around 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft, then 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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location: 35.56, -77.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231410
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1010 am edt Thu may 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure along the southeast coast today will temporarily
shift to the southeast. Low pressure will pass to the north of
the region today through Friday, with a trailing frontal
boundary moving south through the area Friday. The high will
build back into the region this weekend and continue into mid
next week.

Near term through today
As of 1010 am thu... No big changes with update. Inc cloud cover
a bit inland as strato CU slow to mix out this morning, though
will eventually mix out to a sct 5-6k ft deck by this afternoon.

Prev discussion... As of 7 am thu... No changes
needed to zones. The surface ridge along the coast this morning
will shift southeast during the day, resulting in a south to
southwest flow. Time sections show scattered high based cu
developing during the day, but no showers forecast. Highs will
be in the mid to upper 80s inland, with upper 70s to lower 80s
south coast and outer banks.

Short term tonight
As of 330 am thu... CU field will dissipate early this evening,
leaving clear skies overnight. Light southwest flow will make
for mild low temps, in the upper 60s to lower 70s throughout the
area.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 330 am thu... A highly amplified upper pattern is expected
across the CONUS through mid next week featuring a strong upper
ridge over the southeast states. This pattern favors well above
average temperatures, possibly reaching record levels and below
normal precipitation. A weak dry front is forecast to cross the
region Friday which will result in cooler but still warm temps
sat bringing a brief respite from the heat. Another
boundary wind shift is expected across the region on memorial
day but is not expected to have much affect on temps except for
the immediate coast. Highs fri, and Sunday through mid week
will be in the 90s. Cooler highs in the 80s are expected sat. It
continues to look predominately dry through the period.

Differential heating local sea breeze circulations and low
amplitude shortwaves rotating around the periphery of the upper
ridge could trigger isolated to widely scattered convective
activity at times but current model runs still indicate no
significant organized precipitation events through mid next
week.

Friday through Wednesday... A strong upper level ridge will
remain stationary over the deep south into mid next week.

Surface high pressure will again set up over the western
atlantic, producing a deep SW flow across the region. This
combination will bring record heat to the southeast us.

However, nc will remain on the northern edge of the ridge and on
the northern periphery of the heat, and vulnerable to weak
boundaries drifting across the region from the north and west
which could have a slight cooling effect if they move into the
area. Inland, the potential for very hot conditions still exists
with 850 mb temps forecast AOA 20c Fri and sun-wed and will
forecast inland highs in the 90s Fri and Sunday through mid next
week. Heat index values Fri and Sunday through Wed will be
95-100 degrees. Please see climate section below for record temp
details.

Aviation 14z Thursday through Monday
Short term through 12z Fri ...

as of 7 am thu...VFR and mostly clear conditions prevail
through the TAF period at all sites, with light and variable
winds becoming southerly during the day today. Any scattered cu
today will dissipate early this evening.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am thu... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period, though cannot rule out patchy shallow fog and or stratus
early each morning at the terminals.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am thu... No changes needed to zones. High pressure
along the coast this morning will shift southeast during the
day. The pressure gradient will gradually tighten today into
tonight as low pressure passes well north of the region.

Resulting light winds this morning will increase into tonight,
but are forecast to remain below 25 knots so no small craft
advisories are forecast. Seas will average 2-3 feet today,
building to 2-4 feet tonight with 3-5 feet in the waters from
oregon inlet to ocracoke.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am thu... High pressure will be the dominant feature
through the period. Guidance continues to show a front pushing
through the waters Friday with W winds 15-20 kt and gusty early
early diminishing and becoming N NE 10-15 kt Fri afternoon and
evening. E NE flow around 10 kt is expected sat. Sunday SW winds
10-15 kt will increase to 15 to 20 kt. Mon W winds around 15 kt
will become NE 10-15 kt as a weak boundary moves through the
waters. Seas Fri will be 3-5 ft subsiding to 2-4 ft and
continue 2-4 ft sat. Sunday seas build to 3-5 ft in the
afternoon. Even though winds are forecast below 25 kt Mon the
wave models are generating 4-6 ft seas over the outer central
waters.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected late this week into
early next week.

Record high temps for 5 24 (Friday)
location temp year
new bern 96 2011 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1992 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1925 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 87 1992 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94 1994 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 2011 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Hsa tl
short term... Hsa
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme hsa
marine... Jme hsa
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi36 min S 7 G 8.9 74°F 76°F1026.3 hPa (+0.3)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi36 min SSE 8 G 8.9 74°F 1025.6 hPa (+0.0)61°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi36 min S 5.1 G 7 76°F 72°F1025.7 hPa (+0.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC1 mi56 minWSW 910.00 miOvercast77°F62°F61%1025.4 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi51 minWSW 610.00 miFair77°F62°F61%1025.7 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7NE3E5E8NE7S4SE8SE8E6SE4SE3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW8SW9
1 day agoNE3NW6N6N3NW3W5E6E8E6E8E4E5E4NE3CalmNE3NE3NE4CalmCalmNE4NE6NE6E9
2 days agoSW10SW7
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S6S6S5S6S8SW6SW4SW5SW7SW6SW3SW3W4N7NE6N6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Thu -- 12:31 AM EDT     2.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:17 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:58 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:13 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.221.61.20.70.40.20.20.511.41.81.91.81.51.10.70.40.30.30.61.11.6

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:15 AM EDT     3.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:00 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:42 PM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:56 PM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.32.92.31.60.90.40.30.411.72.32.72.82.62.11.50.90.50.40.61.11.82.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.