Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:00PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 2:05 PM EDT (18:05 UTC) Moonrise 11:52AMMoonset 10:19PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1135 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
.tropical storm warning in effect...
This afternoon..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves around 4 ft. Numerous showers. Patchy fog early. Patchy fog late.
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming 25 to 35 kt after midnight. Waves around 5 ft. Patchy fog in the evening. Showers likely.
Wed..Tropical storm conditions expected. NW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..Tropical storm conditions possible. NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..Tropical storm conditions possible. NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..NE winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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location: 35.56, -77.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 261523
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1123 am edt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1130 am Tuesday... No significant changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 330 am Tuesday... Hurricane maria about 225 miles SE of
cape hatteras and moving slowly north. Tropical storm warnings
continue for most of our eastern counties: carteret, craven,
pamlico, tyrrell, outer banks dare and hyde, mainland dare and
hyde. Please see hlsmhx for additional details.

Moist n-ne flow under lowering inversion resulting in widespread
low cloudiness across eastern nc with main band or showers
remaining just offshore. Guidance does support clouds gradually
lifting with heating during the days but generally remaining
cloudy to mostly cloudy. Models in good agreement that offshore
showers will gradually spread in along coast this morning with
additional scattered development possible inland as well, thus
increased pops to categorical for coastal sections from cape
lookout to oregon inlet and likely east of hwy 17. Kept precip
wording as just showers as atmosphere not support of tstms.

Winds expected to increase during the day due to large wind
field around maria, and sustained tropical storm force winds
likely for outer banks and downeast carteret county by late
afternoon and gusts to 40 mph possible rest of TS warning area.

Max temps from mid 70s outer banks to lower 80s inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 330 am Tuesday... Slowly weakening maria will make closest
approach to area overnight with forecast position about 150
miles east of CAPE hatteras early Wednesday morning. Broad wind
field expected to produce tropical storm conditions for areas
mainly along and east of columbia-new bern-cape carteret line,
with storm surge potential of 2 to 4 feet. See hls for details.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 4 am tue... Long term period will feature continuing
moderate coastal impacts through mid week as maria slowly moves
north off the nc coast, then high pres builds in bringing fall-
like pleasant weather with cooler and drier conditions for late
week into the weekend.

Wednesday into Thursday... Tropical storm force winds will be
ongoing across the obx for Wednesday, with moderate coastal
impacts continuing due to the slow northward movement of maria
off the nc coast. The slow moving nature of this system will
prolong and possibly enhance the impacts that eastern nc does
receive. At this time, the greatest impacts are expected to be
associated with the large surf impacting the coast and
significant beach erosion is likely with ocean overwash probable
in typically flood-prone areas around times of high tide
through Wednesday and likely persisting into Thursday. Highway
12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and may
become impassable at times, especially along pea island. Coastal
flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also possible but
the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how close maria
gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for amount of
inundation from storm surge will be the duration and magnitude
of the northerly winds across the region. The soundside of the
outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and possibly downeast
carteret county, look to be the most vulnerable locations for
sound side flooding at this time.

Occasional rain showers will continue to pivot in from the east
affecting mainly coastal locales on Wednesday, then mainly dry
thur as maria begins her eastward movement well away from nc. It
will be quite warm with thicknesses around 1410m suggesting
highs in the mid upr 80 both Wed and thu.

Friday through Monday... Pleasant conditions expected as dry high
pres builds in from the north behind shortwave trough. Highs
expected in the 70s, with lows in the 50s interior to low 60s
coast. Could be a small threat for some coastal showers
advecting in off the atlantic by late weekend to early next
week, though will advertise no higher than 20 pop attm.

Aviation 15z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Wednesday ...

as of 1130 am Tuesday... MVFR expected to persist through the
period but only moderate confidence for tonight as some guidance
indicates repeat of ifr CIGS again. Scattered mainly light
showers possible through period with higher chances at kewn and
koaj. North winds 10-20 kt will gust up to 30 kt this afternoon
and evening.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am tue... Main concern is gusty northerly winds 20 to 30 mph
continuing on Wednesday, though CIGS look to improve to mainly
vfr with ocnl MVFR ifr still possible ESP for kewn and koaj.

Quiet weather and good flying conditions expected thur into the
weekend as high pres will be in control with generally N to ne
winds 5-15 mph.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 730 am Tuesday... No changes with update. Forecast on
track.

Previous discussion
as of 330 am Tuesday... Tropical storm warnings remain in effect
for the coastal waters, sounds and neuse bay rivers. SCA in
effect for the pamlico pungo rivers. Building seas and
increasing winds will remain the story for the nc waters. Maria
will continue to move N through tonight and is forecast to be
150 miles east of CAPE hatteras at 8 am wed. Winds expected to
increase to tropical storm force during the day and persist
tonight. Wave models continue to be slightly overdone with 10-17
feet currently observed at buoys, but still expect heights
building to 15-20 feet late today through tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am tue... Extremely rough boating conditions continue
wed into Thu as maria very slowly moves east of nc. The storm
will accelerate eastward Thursday though high seas will
continue. Conditions improve Friday into Saturday with seas 2 to
5 ft. Indications that NE winds pick up later this weekend as a
cool front moves through and SCA conditions return with 4-6 ft
seas possible.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Tropical storm warning for ncz046-047-081-093>095-103-104.

Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz136.

Tropical storm warning for amz130-131-135-137-150-152-154-156-
158.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Hsa jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Tl
aviation... Hsa jbm tl
marine... Hsa jbm tl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi48 min N 27 G 34 81°F 74°F1005.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi66 min N 26 G 32 80°F 1005.1 hPa (-1.4)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi48 min N 32 G 39 77°F 77°F1003.5 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N15
G19
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G21
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N12
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N14
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N12
G19
N16
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N15
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G30
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NE12
G16
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NE11
G16
NE10
G14
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G13
NE7
G11
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G11
N9
G14
NE10
G16
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G13
NE11
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G15
NE9
G12
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G15
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N5
G11
NE7
G11
E9
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G8
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G7
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G13
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NE12
G17
NE14
G21
NE14
G23
NE11
G19

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC1 mi81 minN 13 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F72°F73%1009.5 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi71 minN 15 G 207.00 miOvercast81°F73°F79%1011.2 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE13
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NE11NE8NE9NE8N9NE7N7N8N10N8N10
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1 day agoNE7NE10
G16
NE8NE7NE6NE3NE3NE5NE4NE6NE5N4N4N5N5N4N3N5N6N5NE10
G14
NE6NE10
G16
NE8
2 days agoNE6NE8NE6NE6NE4N3NE3NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmN4N6N7NE6NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:20 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:37 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:46 PM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.9221.81.51.10.80.60.60.81.11.622.32.32.21.91.61.20.90.70.70.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:04 AM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:30 PM EDT     3.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.93.132.62.11.51.10.80.91.31.92.63.13.53.53.22.72.21.71.211.11.41.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.