Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 5:00PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 12:42 PM EST (17:42 UTC) Moonrise 9:21AMMoonset 7:39PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 936 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Rest of today..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..SE winds around 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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location: 35.56, -77.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211445
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
945 am est Tue nov 21 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will move off the coast today. A cold front will
move through Wednesday morning. Areas of low pressure will move
northeast across the offshore waters Thursday through Saturday.

A dry cold front will move through Sunday, bringing a shot of
much colder air. High pressure will build in from the west
Monday.

Near term today
As of 945 am tue... No significant changes needed to forecast for
am update. Latest sfc analysis shows 1025mb high pressure
extending over the area from the east this morning. The high
will continue to slide offshore today with increasing clouds
and warmer temps as low level flow becomes SE to s. Highs will
be in the mid 60s across much of the area, warmest along the
coast. Could see isolated showers along the coast late as models
show activity moving in off the water, in response to weak low
developing off the SE coast.

Short term tonight
As of 210 am tue... An area of low pres will lift NE just off
the coast and depart to the NE wed. Expect decent coverage of
showers to spread across the region with likely pops most areas
with categorical pops obx. Lows will be in the lower 50s coastal
plain with mid upper 50s south coast and obx.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 210 am tue... An area of low pres will move NE away from
the region wed. Showers will end from W to E Wed morn as the low
departs with decreasing clouds and increasing N winds. Temps
shld reach upr 50s to mid 60s Wed before better CAA kicks in.

Dry and cool Wed night as high pres builds in with lows mid upr
30s inland to mostly 40s beaches.

Still some uncertainty for the Thu thru Sat period however bulk
of models now keeping most of the region dry with just some shra
grazing the coast at times. The GFS looks like a wet outlier for
thu Thu evening showing numerous shra over the region. Cont to
lean toward ECMWF with just very small pop near cst late thu
into Fri and again late Fri night into Sat as last of the weak
lows lifts NE offshore. Cool temps cont Thu and Fri with N ne
winds highs mostly in the 50s. On Sat will warm a bit ahead of
approaching cold front with lower 60s expected.

Strong cold front will cross Sat night with cold high pres
building in from the W Sun and mon. Highs Sun will be in the 50s
and looks like mainly 40s to around 50 for mon. Lows will
likely drop to or below freezing most inland areas Sun night.

Aviation 15z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am tue...VFR conditions forecast for most of today.

Clouds will lower and thicken through the day and into tonight
as a coastal trof develops just off the coast and a cold front
approaches from the west. Widely scattered light showers will
develop this afternoon near the coast. Light showers will
increase in coverage this evening and overnight. However,
ceilings and visibilities are forecast to remainVFR at all 4
area terminals. Winds will be light and variable this morning,
becoming east-southeast around 5 knots this afternoon through
late this evening. As the cold front moves through, winds will
become northwest around 5 knots near 12z wed.

Long term Wed through Saturday ...

as of 210 am tue... Sct showers will end Wed morn with any sub
vfr becomingVFR by aftn as clouds diminish. MainlyVFR expected
thu night thru Sat with deeper moisture and shower threat
expected mainly E of TAF sites with pc to mclr skies expected.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 945 am tue... Latest obs show variable winds SE SW 5-10 kt
north of oregon inlet, and NE E 5-10 kt gusts to 15 kt south,
with seas 1-2 ft. High pressure will continue to shift off the
coast today, with flow becoming S SE 5-15 kt. Seas 1-2 ft early
will build to 2-3 ft. SE to S winds 10-15 kts expected most of
tonight. Seas of 2-4 feet forecast north of oregon inlet, with
3-5 feet south.

Long term Wed through Saturday ...

as of 210 am tue... Winds become N and increase Wed as the low
departs and high pres builds in. Speeds will reach 15 to 25 kts
wed aftn and cont in that range Wed night. NE winds 15 to 20 kts
early Thu will grad diminish to 10 to 15 kts late Thu and cont
in that range thru most of fri. Winds will become wsw 10 to 15
kts Sat ahead of approaching cold front.

Seas will build from 3 to 5 feet early Wed to 5 to 8 feet by
evening. Seas will slowly subside to 4 to 6 feet Thu and be
mainly 3 to 5 feet Thu night and fri. On Sat seas will be in
the 2 to 4 foot range.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Cqd hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf hsa
marine... Rf cqd hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi43 min E 4.1 G 5.1 64°F 59°F1022.4 hPa (-1.7)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi43 min NE 9.9 G 11 1022.8 hPa (-1.7)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi43 min N 5.1 G 6 59°F 57°F1023 hPa (-1.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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N4
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NW13
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G21
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G16
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G20
NW12
G16

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC1 mi58 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F41°F56%1024 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi58 minN 010.00 miFair57°F42°F59%1023.7 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW11
G16
NW6
G17
NW9
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NW3NW5NW4NW3NW8
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NW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5NW4N7NW5NW4N5
2 days agoSW14
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G23
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W7NW13
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G16
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G16

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:12 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:17 AM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:03 PM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:37 PM EST     1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.10.70.30.20.30.61.11.72.12.42.321.61.10.70.40.20.40.71.21.61.91.9

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:55 AM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:01 AM EST     3.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:46 PM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:21 PM EST     2.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.50.90.40.30.51.11.92.73.33.53.42.92.21.50.90.50.40.71.21.92.52.92.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.