Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:13PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 7:04 PM EDT (23:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:03PMMoonset 7:15AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 307 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2019
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Fri night..E winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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location: 35.56, -77.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211930
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
330 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure at the surface and aloft will build across the
southeast states through early next week.

Near term through tonight
As of 330 pm tue... Backdoor cool front working its way southward
through SRN portions of E nc this afternoon. Sea breeze
developed near the coast, and may be a focus for a shower or
storm over the next couple hours, mainly near the crystal coast
and coastal onlsow, though most areas remain dry so only a 20
pop through late afternoon.

Tonight will feature cooler, drier conditions with temps
dropping back to near climo under light NE flow and clr skies.

Lows 55-60 interior to around 60 beaches.

Short term Wednesday
As of 330 pm tue... Pleasant day on tap with temps near climo,
the last such day before heat wave builds into E nc once again
for late week through early next week. Highs tomorrow will be
very near climo, with pleasantly drier air mass in place under
mostly sunny skies as high pres builds in. Temps in the low 80s
for most interior areas, with 70-75 for the obx zones.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 345 am tue... A return to a highly amplified upper pattern
is expected across the CONUS for the remainder of the period
resulting in a strong upper ridge over the southeast states into
early next week. This pattern favors well above average
temperatures, possibly reaching record levels. Complicating the
temperature forecast is a wavy frontal boundary forecast over
the mid atlantic region which will likely oscillate north south
and could drift into portions of eastern nc Friday into sat
producing slightly cooler temperatures especially along the
coast due to onshore. Inland locations should remain with above
normal warmth. Still looks like a predominately dry forecast
through the period. The aforementioned wavy frontal boundary
could also result in some isolated to widely scattered
convective activity at times but current models indicate no
significant organized precipitation events over the next 7 days.

Thursday through Monday... A strengthening upper level ridge
will move out of the gulf of mexico and park itself over the
deep south Thursday into early next week. Surface high pressure
will again set up over the western atlantic, producing a deep
sw flow to the region. Early signs are showing that this
combination could bring close to record heat to the southeast
us. However, the latest model runs continue to show the ridge a
bit further west, placing eastern nc on the peripheral of the
heat, and vulnerable to wavy front from the north drifting south
into portions of the area though it still looks the potential
for very hot conditions still exists and will forecast inland
highs in the 90s through the period and mid to upper 80s closer
to the coast. Continued to trend towards previous forecast, wpc
and the ECMWF which keeps the ridge in place. Right now the
hottest days look like Sunday and Monday. ECMWF shows 850mb
temps 20c+ over most of eastern nc Sunday through the middle of
next week. Record high temps will be possible. Please see climate
section below for details.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through Wed ...

as of 2 pm tue...VFR skc through the period. Light N to ne
winds through tonight, become E by Wed afternoon. Very little
threat for br tonight through early morning due to the drier air
mass moving in, so have left out of the taf's attm.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 345 am tue... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period, though cannot rule out patchy shallow fog and or stratus
early each morning at the terminals.

Marine
Short term through Wed ...

as of 330 pm tue... Winds have turned NE behind cold front, as
the front is now moving through the crystal coast area. NE winds
will continue 10-15 with some gusts to 20 kt through tonight
with seas 2-4 ft. This will be repeated through the day wed,
with continued NE winds 10-15 kt.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 345 am tue... High pressure will be the dominant feature
through the period. S SW winds 5-15 kt return on thu. Guidance
continues to show a front pushing through the waters Friday with
sw winds 15-20 kt briefly becoming NW N 10-15 kt over the
northern and central waters in the afternoon, and NE all waters
fri night. E NE flow 5-15 kt will continue across the waters
Saturday. Seas generally 2 to 4 ft through the period. Seas may
build up to 5 ft across the outer waters Thu night into Fri in
period of moderate SW flow.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected late this week into
early next week.

Record high temps for 5 24 (Friday)
location temp year
new bern 96 2011 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1992 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1925 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 87 1992 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94 1994 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 2011 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Tl
short term... Tl
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme tl
marine... Jme tl
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi34 min E 8.9 G 12 74°F 81°F1015.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi64 min E 17 G 18 72°F 1014.7 hPa (+0.0)62°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi34 min NE 12 G 18 71°F 75°F1015.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC1 mi84 minN 310.00 miFair88°F53°F30%1013.9 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi79 minNW 410.00 miFair88°F51°F29%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8S9
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S6S6S5S6S8SW6SW4SW5SW7SW6SW3SW3W4N7NE6N6NE3NW6N6N3NW3W5
1 day agoS8S7S5
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S6S5S6S5S7S6S6SW8SW5SW6SW6SW7SW9W11SW9SW10SW7
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2 days agoCalmE10E9E7E4E3SE4SE4SE3SE4S3S3SW3S3SW5SW6SW6S5SW6S8S9
G14
S7S7S9

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:29 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:48 PM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.421.50.90.40-0.10.20.61.21.7221.71.30.80.40.100.30.81.41.92.3

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:03 AM EDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:28 PM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:03 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.121.81.30.90.40.1-0.100.40.91.41.71.71.51.20.80.40.100.20.51.11.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.