Monday, July24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cambria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 8:14PM Monday July 24, 2017 1:55 PM PDT (20:55 UTC) Moonrise 6:33AMMoonset 8:24PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
PZZ670 Point Piedras Blancas To Point Sal From 10 To 60 Nm- 853 Am Pdt Mon Jul 24 2017
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 5 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 5 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 4 ft and S 3 ft. Patchy fog.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. Mixed swell nw 4 ft and S 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 853 Am Pdt Mon Jul 24 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt...1031 mb surface high pressure was centered 600 nm miles west of portland oregon. A 1006 mb thermal low was centered over southern nevada. There is a slight chance of Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening south of point conception.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cambria, CA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.58, -121.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 klox 241833
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1133 am pdt Mon jul 24 2017

Synopsis
A push of monsoonal moisture may bring isolated showers and
thunderstorms, mainly across interior areas, through Wednesday.

Increased cloud coverage may bring additional cooling for many
areas before a gradual warming trend takes hold later this week.

Hot and humid conditions are possible next weekend.

Short term (tdy-wed)
immediate concern today is with the forecast chances of showers
and thunderstorms across the mountains, valleys, and waters south
of point conception this morning, and moving to areas north of
point conception this afternoon and this evening. Current radar
has indicated a ne-sw oriented band of showers and thunderstorms
moving northwest from offshore san diego then northeast into the
big bear area. There was much more lightning activity earlier
this morning with this band, but much of the activity is gone
now. Difficult to find any kicker in the models, although this
area sure has the look of some kicker moving northwest.

Precipitable water values per gps met pw sites showing values of
around 1.75 inches to our south then drying out to around 1.25
inches over la and vtu counties, the hourly trends showing values
to flatten a bit. Instability parameters are not that impressive
over the forecast area for this afternoon. The only notable cape
in the NAM is over the ventura-sba-slo mountains this afternoon
and even at that is only around 200 j kg, and with very minimal
lifted indicies just barely negaative. High res models such as
the hrrr indicate that this activity weakens and is shifted to the
northeast as the 850-300 mb upper flow becomes more
southwesterly, although the hrrr strugles with weakly forced
precipitation.

So although not impressed with currently forecast shower and
thunderstorm chances for this afternoon given all the guidance
pointing to a downward trend as well as current lack of lightning
from this area, will need to leave chances in for the time being
since models may be missing the kicker that helped the activity to
our south and enough of the activity still holding together.

Will, however, remove chances for the valley to coastal areas
north of point conception for this afternoon, leaving chances only
in the sba-slo county mountains. Will also likely later pull out
any chances of trw for valleys and coastal waters this evening and
just leave chances in the mountains and antelope valley.

One thing that's more certain is the increase in cloud cover
through the day. Won't be a solid cover and expect breaks now and
then. Temps should be cooler while with higher humidity it won't
feel that much cooler than yesterday.

Upper flow stays southwesterly Tue and Wed and the area is just on
the edge of the high pw levels to our east. Precip chances should
be restricted to the antelope valley and mountains of la and vtu
counties, the better chances in the eastern san gabriels and
eastern antelope valley. Similar story for Wednesday although
chances should be less than tue.

Long term (thu-sun)
overall, 00z models exhibit decent synoptic agreement through
Saturday then start to diverge on Sunday. At upper levels, center
of the ridge will gradually work its way back west to meander
around the four corners area with models differing on exact
location through the weekend. Near the surface, onshore flow will
continue through the period with the models handling what will be
hurricane hilary.

Forecast-wise, Thursday and Friday will be rather quiet days with
stratus impacting the coastal plain each night morning, but mostly
clear skies otherwise. With h5 heights gradually increasing
temperatures will continue to exhibit a warming trend with
temperatures a few degrees above seasonal normals.

For Saturday Sunday, things start to get potentially more
interesting. Models indicate southeasterly flow developing over
the area which should be able to entrain moisture from hurricane
hilary. Based on current solutions, ECMWF has more realistic
handling of the track of hilary than the gfs. Latest forecast
track from NHC supports this thought. So, will lean forecast
towards ECMWF which supports partly cloudy skies for Saturday and
Sunday with potentially enough moisture instability to generate
some thunderstorms over the mountains and deserts on Sunday. Of
course if the GFS is closer to reality, there could be greater
chances of thunderstorms on Sunday and even Saturday. As for
temperatures, potential cloud cover could inhibit temperatures on
Saturday Sunday. However, the increasing relative humidity would
counteract that, resulting in conditions feeling just as warm.

Aviation 24 1800z.

At 1625z at klax... The marine layer depth was 1400 feet. The top
of the inversion was around 4600 feet with a temperature of about
23 degrees celsius.

There is only low confidence in the 18z TAF package. An extensive
area of mid level clouds has moved across the southern half of
the forecast area. There is now considerable doubt about the
return of marine clouds tonight for the southern half of the
forecast area. Therefore, the onset time of marine clouds for the
south coastal sections has been pushed back several hours.

North of point conception, there is little change and better
confidence in the anticipated onset of marine clouds for the
coastal sections.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening especially in the mountains and in the antelope valley.

Klax... Low confidence in the 18z taf. There is a 50 percent
chance of the marine clouds arriving plus or minus two or more
hours from the forecasted time. There is a 30 percent chance of
vfr conditions persisting through the night.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in the 18z taf. There is a 20 percent
chance of showers and thunderstorms through this evening.

Marine 24 900 am...

wind and sea conditions will remain below small craft advisory
(sca) levels through Thursday. There is a slight chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across the coastal
waters.

Beaches 24 0900 am.

Significant surf conditions may impact the southern california
beaches late this week as tropical storm hilary strengthens to a
major hurricane off the mexican coast during the week. A
southeasterly swell will likely be generated and push into the
coastal waters beginning Thursday night or Friday and peaking over
the weekend. This swell would generate high surf and strong rip
currents on south facing beaches. Damaging sets of surf and beach
erosion cannot be ruled out for south facing los angeles and
ventura county beaches.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
a significant surf event could develop as early as late Thursday as
swells from forecasted major hurricane hilary arrive at southern
california beaches. High surf and strong rip currents will likely
peak over the weekend.

Moisture from hurricane hilary could be entrained across the area
next weekend, bringing the potential for mountain and desert
thunderstorms.

Public... Jackson thompson
aviation... Sweet
marine... Sweet
beaches... Sweet
synopsis... Jld
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46215 - Diablo Canyon, CA (076) 29 mi65 min 61°F3 ft
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA 34 mi43 min S 8.9 G 12 63°F 59°F1014.5 hPa
46028 - CAPE SAN MARTIN - 55NM West Northwest of Morro Bay, CA 40 mi65 min SE 7.8 G 9.7 58°F 59°F5 ft1013.5 hPa (+0.4)
46011 - SANTA MARIA - 21 NM Northwest of Point Arguello, CA 43 mi65 min W 1.9 G 3.9 58°F 62°F4 ft1014 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Port San Luis, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
E3
SW6
G11
W4
G8
E6
NE3
G6
NE3
N5
W4
G7
NW3
--
SE2
E3
SE2
N1
E1
S2
S1
SE2
NE1
SE2
S6
G10
S8
SE6
SW6
G10
1 day
ago
NE5
G8
W4
G8
W11
G15
E4
NE4
NE4
NE5
NE5
E5
NE2
E3
E5
NW1
E3
SW1
SE3
SE2
E3
SE2
SE3
E2
SE6
N4
G8
NE1
2 days
ago
N1
NE2
NE3
NE2
NE2
E1
N3
N2
N2
NE3
E2
--
N2
NE1
N2
NE2
E2
N5
N2
SE3
E1
SE4
G7
N3
E2

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA27 mi62 minSSW 11 G 1410.00 miFair85°F48°F28%1011 hPa

Wind History from PRB (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrSW11S15SW15
G20
SW17
G21
SW14S14S11S9S9S6W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm6SW11S11
G14
1 day ago3W6SW10S12S10S13S10S8S4NW6CalmNW3NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmS4S5S9SW9
2 days agoNW10
G18
NW10NW9NW10NW13NW16NW18
G24
NW14NW15
G22
NW10NW8NW6W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm3

Tide / Current Tables for San Simeon, California
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
San Simeon
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:47 AM PDT     -1.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:33 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:22 PM PDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:23 PM PDT     1.97 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:24 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:28 PM PDT     6.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
64.83.11.4-0.1-1-1.2-0.70.31.7344.54.43.93.12.422.12.63.64.75.76.2

Tide / Current Tables for Morro Beach, Estero Bay, California
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Morro Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:51 AM PDT     -1.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:06 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:32 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:17 PM PDT     4.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:27 PM PDT     1.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:22 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:35 PM PDT     6.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.14.93.31.60.1-0.9-1.2-0.70.31.7344.44.33.72.92.11.61.62.23.24.45.56.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.