Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 7:18AM||Sunset 5:07PM||Sunday December 16, 2018 9:35 PM EST (02:35 UTC)||Moonrise 1:20PM||Moonset 12:43AM||Illumination 71%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moncure, NCHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus62 krah 170110|
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
810 pm est Sun dec 16 2018
High pressure over the central plains will gradually build east,
reaching the mid-atlantic states by Tuesday and Wednesday.
Near term through tonight
As of 810 pm Sunday...
the back-edge of the broken overcast stratocu cloud deck, associated
with the vertically stacked low moving off the mid-atlantic
seaboard, will exit the far eastern coastal plain zones in the next
hour or two. Otherwise, low-level dry air advection in the wake of
the departing low will finally lead to 100% clearing overnight.
Accompanying weak CAA will help govern overnight lows. Lows tonight
ranging from mid upper 30s NW to lower 40s se.
Short term Monday through Tuesday night
As of 115 pm Sunday...
a dry cold front is expected to pass through the state Monday.
Highs in the upper 50s and 60s on Monday will lower by about
10 degrees or so Tuesday. This occurs as surface high pressure
builds from the upper midwest toward the region Tuesday and
Tuesday night with a fresh cp air mass. Lows Tuesday will
fall back into the upper 20s to mid 30s NW to se, highs Tuesday
only upper 40s to lower 50s, and lows Tuesday night will be in the
mid 20s to lower 30s. There may be some high cloudiness by late
Tuesday and Tuesday night, but most likely not thick enough to
impede excellent radiational cooling of the very dry air mass
Long term Wednesday through Sunday
As of 1245 pm Sunday...
the dry high pressure is expected to remain in control through much
of Wednesday and Wednesday night. However, as the high pressure
moves offshore late Wednesday and Wednesday night, another storm
system is expected to bring increasing rain chances by Thursday. The
return flow from the ese on Wednesday will bring increasing clouds
and milder temperatures. Highs Wednesday should be mostly in the
50s, with around 60 se. Milder temperatures with the cloudiness
Wednesday night will bring lows well above freezing. Expect lower to
Late Wednesday night through Saturday: yet another widespread rain
is expected mainly Thursday into early Friday as it appears now.
The medium range models are in general agreement in the main surface
storm track from the southern plains ene to near the lower ohio
valley or central appalachians by 12z Friday. The parent high
pressure will exit offshore with plenty of WAA into the system
Thursday. This will bring an all rain event for our region for this
storm. Another in-situ cad event is expected over our piedmont
damming region; however, the warm air will overwhelm most of the
region Thursday and Thursday night as the storm track to our west
will ensure. Regardless, some 40s should linger until Thursday night
in the piedmont, while temperatures surge in the east and south into
the 50s 60s Thursday and Thursday night. Just as with this past
system, areas of low stratus and fog will accompany the rain.
The amount of rain or QPF will be tied to the timing or length of
time the significant rain falls. Models suggest a hard to
forecast time a mid upper level dry slot racing NE into the se
states including nc as early as Thursday night. However, some model
solutions indicate additional rain QPF with the mid upper low Friday
and Friday night for portions of nc. These finer details will be
nailed down in later model runs. For now, we will continue to carry
likely pop Thursday and Thursday night, dropping somewhat to high
chance Friday into Friday evening - until the cold front comes
through. Another storm total of 0.5 to 1.5 appears likely, but may
be on the lower end of the dry slot arrives late Thursday night and
Friday. Mild temperatures will cool to near normal by next weekend
with drier - but pacific air.
Aviation 23z Sunday through Friday
As of 615 pm Sunday...
24 hour TAF period:VFR conditions are expected to persist over the
next 24 hours. Skies, cluttered a bit by clouds associated with the
the departing upper-level low, will continue to clear tonight,
remaining skc through the day Monday. Wind will slowly diminish
during the overnight hours, settling in the 3 to 6kt range out of
the west northwest with some variability possible. Winds will likely
shift slightly during the day Monday, become predominantly
northwesterly with periodic gustiness possible.
Looking ahead:VFR conditions expected to persist through Wednesday
ahead of our next weather system, likely to bring a return to sub-
vfr conditions, for Thursday and Friday.
Rah watches warnings advisories
near term... Cbl
short term... Badgett
long term... Badgett
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Sanford, Sanford-Lee County Regional Airport, NC||3 mi||50 min||N 0||10.00 mi||Fair||51°F||42°F||72%||1015.2 hPa|
|Raleigh / Durham, Raleigh-Durham International Airport, NC||24 mi||44 min||W 5||10.00 mi||Fair||50°F||42°F||74%||1014.7 hPa|
Wind History from TTA (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||Calm||N||NW||N||N||N||N||NW||NW||Calm||N||Calm||NE||SW||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||W||Calm||Calm||Calm||SW||Calm|
|2 days ago||Calm||Calm||NE||Calm||NE||Calm||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||NE||N||N||N||Calm|
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (21,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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