Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Moncure, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:37PM Friday June 22, 2018 10:38 PM EDT (02:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:32PMMoonset 1:35AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moncure, NC
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location: 35.63, -79.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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Fxus62 krah 230001
afdrah
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
750 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018

Synopsis
A back-door cold front will stall over southern va tonight, then
move north on Saturday. Otherwise, a surface trough will linger over
nc through the weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 750 pm Friday...

all the thunderstorms have moved into southern va, so pop updated
for little chance through 900 pm. However, the convection activity
that is more organized heading NE toward charlotte and the southern
piedmont of nc continues to be monitored. There are several
boundaries, (outflow over the far NW and NE piedmont) and (sea
breeze SE coastal plain), and cloud streets noted by satellite and
radar to help initiate additional storms as the more organized
convective approaches later in the evening. We will maintain chance
to good chance pop after 900 or 1000 pm through late night unless
things become more stable. Lows in the 70s again tonight as
convection dies off.

Short term Saturday and Saturday night
As of 145 pm Friday...

east coast trof will deamplify flatten as a shortwave trof moves
across the area Saturday morning. Ensuing westerly flow will
maintain weak surface lee troffing over the area, but forcing will
be meager and drying subsidence aloft will limit convective coverage
to isolated over most of the area, with a slightly better chance in
the coastal plain where instability will be strongest. Highs will
range from upper 80s across the far northern counties to mid 90s
across the far south. Saturday night will be dry with only some
transitory mid high cloudiness zipping east in the westerly flow.

Mins will be persistence, 70 to 75.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 145 pm Friday...

at the surface, a piedmont trough will be in place on Sunday with
continued advection of warm, moist air into the carolinas. A
backdoor front will slide southward toward the region Monday night,
moving into central nc on Tuesday. Current model simulations
indicate the front may only progress through the northeast eastern
third of the area on Tuesday before it lifts back through as a warm
front on Wednesday. The piedmont trough will once again set up
Thursday and Friday. Aloft, central nc will be situated in the base
of an eastward progressing, slightly amplified trough Sunday and
Monday, with high pressure over the gulf coast. As the trough shifts
offshore Monday night, high pressure will ridge northward into the
region through Tuesday night. Meanwhile, another low pressure system
will move east through the northern high plains into the great lakes
region. Although the trough will deamplify some as it moves through
the great lakes toward new england, the high will shift westward,
resulting in a deeper southerly flow advecting warm moist air into
the region. As a result, expect the usual diurnal convection chances
through mid-week, with increasing rain chances toward the end of the
week.

Temperatures: a bit of a roller coaster ride for highs, decreasing
from mid to upper 90s on Sunday to mid to upper 80s on Tuesday then
increasing again into the low to mid 90s by the end of the week.

Lows will follow the same pattern, dropping from mid 70s Sunday
night into the mid to upper 60s by Tuesday night before increasing
again into the mid 70s. Heat indices may approach 105 in the far
south-southeast counties on Sunday, but expect them to remain below
105 as of this update.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
As of 745 pm Friday...

24 hour TAF period:VFR conditions are expected outside of scattered
convection.

Outlook: mainly diurnal convection and related sub-vfr conditions
are expected Sunday and Monday. A cooler and more stable airmass
will build in behind a front pushing through late Monday. This will
limit convection to only isolated late day activity Tuesday through
Thursday.

Climate
Max temperature and high-minimum temperature records...

gso:
rec hi
day MAX yr min yr
06 22 100 1914 75 1981
06 23 100 1986 77 1890
06 24 99 2010 76 1888
-------------------------------------
rdu:
rec hi
day MAX yr min yr
06 22 100 1981 78 1933
06 23 100 1986 77 1890
06 24 99 2010 76 1888
-------------------------------------
fay:
rec hi
day MAX yr min yr
06 22 101 1990 84 1928
06 23 102 1981 77 2017
06 24 102 1914 79 2010

Rah watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Badgett
near term... Badgett
short term... Mlm
long term... Kcp
aviation... Bsd
climate... Kcp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sanford, Sanford-Lee County Regional Airport, NC3 mi38 minN 010.00 miFair78°F68°F71%1008.8 hPa
Raleigh / Durham, Raleigh-Durham International Airport, NC24 mi47 minWSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F68°F61%1008.4 hPa

Wind History from TTA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW5CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmS3SW5S5S7SW6S9SW9
G15
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SW9SW11
G14
SW6SW6CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmNW4W5SW3W4W3W6W6SW3W4CalmCalmCalmNW3
2 days agoSW3SW3NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3CalmN5NW3NW5CalmSE7S4CalmSW4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.