Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fuquay-Varina, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:07PM Sunday November 19, 2017 7:03 AM EST (12:03 UTC) Moonrise 7:44AMMoonset 6:17PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fuquay-Varina, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.64, -78.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 krah 191135
afdrah
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
635 am est Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will move off the north carolina coast this morning.

High pressure will build over the region today through Monday,
before moving off the carolina coast Monday night. Low pressure will
form near florida Tuesday and track northeastward along the
southeast coast during mid week.

Near term today through tonight
As of 145 am Sunday...

the band of showers is making its way through central nc early this
morning, ahead of a potent cold front. As anticipated, the SW winds
within a shallow but well-mixed boundary layer ahead of the front
have tapped into even stronger winds just a couple thousand feet up,
which showed up well in last evening's observed 925 mb plots where
winds were 35-50 kts. Periodic gusts of 25-35 kts will remain common
until frontal passage around 08z-13z. Downslope drying and deep
subsidence and stabilization post-front will swiftly clear skies out
by mid to late morning areawide. The tight mslp gradient behind the
front and observations of 25-40 kts at 1000-2000 ft agl support
gusty NW winds (12-15 mph gusting to 20-25 mph) for much of the day.

Despite morning thicknesses bottoming out around 15-20 m below
normal, insolation should offset the cold air advection a bit, and
expect daytime highs of 53-62 (although most places are seeing their
calendar day "highs" right now). Clear skies and diminishing winds
are expected tonight as the surface high center draws closer. Taking
a degree or so off statistical guidance based on good radiational
cooling favors highs of 27-34. -gih

Short term Monday through Monday night
As of 155 am Sunday...

quiet weather likely. The high pressure will drift across the mid
south and carolinas through Mon afternoon before tracking off the
carolina coast Mon night. A dry and subsiding column and no low
level moisture return potential will translate into sunny skies mon.

Low level thicknesses will be 25-30 m below normal early but will
rise nicely through the day with waning cold air advection. Highs 53-
58. A gradually amplifying mid level trough extending through the
central CONUS and shifting into the miss valley will bring
increasing high clouds into nc from west to east Mon night, so will
have a trend to fair or partly cloudy skies overnight. Expect milder
lows of 30-35. -gih

Long term Tuesday through Saturday
As of 310 am Sunday...

Tuesday will be mild as surface high pressure sites offshore and
brings southerly return flow and warm air advection into the area. A
dry forecast is expected for much of the day but a few showers could
begin to move into the eastern portion of the forecast area as a
weak low pressure system moves up the carolina coast. This system
will continue to develop on Wednesday but will remain offshore and
there will only be an outside chance of showers in the eastern
counties. Temperatures during this timeframe in the mid 50s in the
nw piedmont to mid 60s in the southeast. Wednesday night a dry cold
front will move through the area cooling off temperatures into the
low to middle 30s.

For thanksgiving day, looking like a mostly dry forecast for many
but a second low pressure system moving up the coast will keep
things a little more uncertain for areas mainly east of i-95. There
will be a slight chance of some showers as the system passes by to
the east. Cooler high temperatures in the low 50s. Lows in the mid
30s.

Continental high pressure will then take over for the rest of the
week, keeping the forecast dry with temperatures gradually rising
through the 50s back in to the low 60s across the south by Sunday
afternoon with upper 50s elsewhere.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 635 am Sunday...

vfr conditions are expected for the next 24 hours across central nc.

The brief MVFR conditions in showers which impacted the area
overnight have moved east of all TAF sites, and CIGS have returned
toVFR or have cleared out. These showers were ahead of a cold front
which is now exiting far eastern portions of central nc. Surface
winds have shifted around to northwesterly, and while the gust
magnitudes have gone down from earlier speeds, we will still see
sustained winds of 9-14 kts with sporadic gusts to 18-25 kts through
this afternoon. Expect clear skies areawide after 14z, lasting
through the end of the TAF valid period, with gusty winds from the
nw this afternoon diminishing after nightfall.

Looking beyond 12z mon,VFR conditions are likely through Tue as
high pressure dominates at the surface. MVFR CIGS are possible tue
night as low level moisture streams up and over a frontal zone
sitting along the nc coast. Low pressure tracking NE along this
front through Wed may bring sub-vfr conditions to rwi fay, while
locations further inland are more likely to stayVFR.VFR conditions
are likely areawide thanksgiving day as cool high pressure noses
into central nc from the NW and the frontal zone shifts further se
away from nc. -gih

Rah watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Hartfield
near term... Hartfield
short term... Hartfield
long term... Ellis
aviation... Hartfield


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Raleigh / Durham, Raleigh-Durham International Airport, NC17 mi73 minWNW 9 G 1910.00 miOvercast57°F48°F74%1003.5 hPa
Erwin, Harnett County Airport, NC18 mi99 minW 6 G 175.00 miLight Rain60°F53°F79%1003.7 hPa
Sanford, Sanford-Lee County Regional Airport, NC19 mi79 minW 5 G 1710.00 miOvercast57°F47°F70%1004.1 hPa
Smithfield, Johnston County Airport, NC20 mi69 minW 510.00 miRain59°F57°F94%1003 hPa

Wind History from RDU (wind in knots)
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last 24hrSW5SW9SW10SW14SW17
G24
SW18
G24
SW18
G25
SW19
G25
SW16SW13
G20
SW12S8SW12SW13
G20
S15
G20
SW13
G21
SW16
G30
SW17
G32
SW17
G27
SW21
G29
W7
G15
W9
G16
NW9
G19
NW7
G17
1 day agoCalm54NE643NE45CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6SW5
2 days agoSW4W5SW4W7NW8
G16
NW9W7NW75W4CalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmN3SW3NE3NE5N6N5NE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:37 AM EST     1.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:26 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:07 PM EST     1.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:15 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:02 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.11.31.31.20.90.60.40.2000.30.81.21.41.51.51.20.90.70.40.20

Tide / Current Tables for Castle Hayne, Northeast River, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Castle Hayne
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM EST     1.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:53 PM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:16 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:48 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.71.51.10.80.50.2-00.10.61.21.61.921.91.51.20.80.50.20.10.30.91.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (7,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.